I 2 011-2012
B y Dr. Jo h n K. Pagl i a
Denney Academic Chair and Associate Professor of Finance
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PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT SeniorResearcher JOHNPAGLIA,PhD,MBA,CPA,CFA ResearchSupport IRINASHAYKHUTDINOVA,MBA ExecutiveOfficer PublicRelations MICHAELSIMS F.DOUGLASSGORE KPPUBLICAFFAIRS AdvisortoProject RACHELWILLIAMS Design R&RPARTNERS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Thisresearchwasmadepossiblebythegenerousfunding fromtheDenneyEndowedProfessorship.
PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITY DeanLindaA.Livingstone,PhD AssociateDeanDavidM.Smith,PhD MarkW.S.Chun,PhD,Director,CenterforAppliedResearch DianneKing JuanMena MichaelStamper JingZhang DarleneKiloglu DorisJones RogerLotho DUN&BRADSTREETCREDIBILITYCORP. JeffreyStibel,ChairandChiefExecutiveOfficer AaronStibel,SeniorVicePresident,Technology JudyHackett,ChiefMarketingOfficer ErikSimon BrendaGary
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|1
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
ORGANIZATIONALSUPPORT AllianceforMergersandAcquisitionsAdvisors(AM&AA) InternationalBusinessValuationAssociationLinkedinGroup AssociationforCorporateGrowth(ACG) InternationalFactoringAssociation(IFA) BusinessValuationResources(BVR) LinkedBusinessLinkedinGroup CaliforniaBankersAssociation(CBA) LosAngelesVentureAssociation(LAVA) CaliforniaMortgageBankersAssociation(CMBA) NationalAssociationforSmallBusinessInvestment CaliforniaSmallBusinessAssociation(CSBA) Companies(NASBIC) CommericalFinanceAssociation(CFA) NationalAssociationofWomenBusinessOwners DealFlowSourceLinkedinGroup PE/VCRoundtable ExitPlanningInstitute PepperdinePrivateCapitalMarketsProjectLinkedinGroup FinanceClubLinkedinGroup RiskManagementAssociation(RMA) ValuationLinkedinGroup GraziadioAlumniNetwork(GAN) VentureCapitalLinkedinGroup Harvard/USCBusinessGrowthConference VirginiaActiveAngelNetwork(VAAN) InternationalBusinessBrokerAssociation(IBBA) SURVEYDESIGN,DISTRIBUTION,ANDOTHERSUPPORT RobertT.Slee MichaelMcGregor TimRhine BarryD.Yelton EverettWalker SamirDesai RichardJ.Crosby LeonardLanzi GrayDeFevere JanHanssen RobertZielinski KevinD.Cantrell ScottJones DeidreA.Brennan EricNath GuntherHofmann MichaelPainter JamesA.Nelson,MD JohnDavis LarryGilson AndrewSpringer JeriHarmon LetitiaGreen GloriaGuenther StevenBrandt DatT.Do AndyWilson YingpingHuang JasonBaum JasonKumpf HalSpice JanePak RalphAdams EricWilliams DanDeeney JohnGraham JeffNagle GregHowath NevenaOrbach JohnDmohowski BradTriebsch GaryW.Clark M.ToddStemler PatrickGeorge SeanSamet MarkWalker KellySzejko KevinHalpin AndreSuskavcevic ChrisM.Miller BrianCove JeffThomas JohnLonergan RobBrougham BrettPalmer GaryLaBranche JamieSchneier TroyFukumoto DennisGano LinhXavierVuong ChrisdeVries TuckerHerring MichaelNall SimonJames,PhD
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|2
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
TABLEOFCONTENTS
BUSINESSAPPRAISERSURVEYINFORMATION................................................................................................... 0 1 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 0 1 INVESTMENTBANKERSURVEYINFORMATION.................................................................................................. 4 1 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 4 1 BROKERSURVEYINFORMATION....................................................................................................................... 4 2 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 4 2 LIMITEDPARTNERSURVEYINFORMATION........................................................................................................ 2 3 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 2 3 ANGELINVESTORSURVEYINFORMATION......................................................................................................... 9 3 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 9 3 VENTURECAPITALSURVEYINFORMATION........................................................................................................ 6 4 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 6 4 PRIVATEEQUITYSURVEYINFORMATION .......................................................................................................... 4 . 5 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 4 5 MEZZANINESURVEYINFORMATION ................................................................................................................. 3 . 6 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 3 6 BANKANDASSETBASEDLENDINGSURVEYINFORMATION............................................................................... 0 7 OperationalandAssessmentCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 1 7 AssetBasedLendingSpecificCharacteristics..................................................................................................... 9 7 ABOUTTHEAUTHOR......................................................................................................................................... 1 8 INDEXOFTABLES.............................................................................................................................................. 2 8 INDEXOFFIGURES............................................................................................................................................ 4 8
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|3
based training program developed by Dr. John Paglia in association with his ground-breaking research, Pepperdine Private Capital Market Project.
Designed for business owners and professionals employed within the finance,
banking, investment, mergers and acquisitions, valuation, management consulting, legal, and accounting fields
Learn in-depth critical analysis and evaluation skills necessary for successfully
operating a business within the private capital markets
Overview of Private Capital Markets Theory and Sources of Capital The Role of Intermediaries Angel Investments, Venture Capital, and other Early Stage
Financing Sources
Senior Debt, Cash Flow Based, Asset Based Lending and Factoring Mezzanine and Private Equity Capital Determining the Cost of Capital Using The Pepperdine Private Cost of
Capital Model
REGISTER: bschool.pepperdine.edu/cipcm
Building wealth by making better investment and financing decisions.
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
FOREWORD
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
Historically,agreementamonginvestmentbankersandprivateequityfirmsisuncommonbuttheiragreementis corroborated by the fact that larger safer companies enjoy access to growth capital. However, smaller companiesseekingcapitalgreatlyoutweightheavailablecapital. Otherrevealingfindingsinclude: Dealsaretakinglonger.Respondentsinprivateequitysurveysaidonly12%plannedIPOs.Respondents exitstrategiesincludesellingtoaprivatecompanyat28%,another26%ofrespondentsplantosellto anotherprivateequitygroupand22%saytheywouldselltoapubliccompany.PEfundersalsosaidthey arewaiting4yearsormoretoexitregardlessofinvestmentsize. Refinancingcomprisesalmosthalfofbankloans.Respondentstothebankssurveysaidrefinancing accountedfornearly49%ofalllendingactivityfollowedbyexpansion(22%)andworkingcapital(11%). Thelargestconcentration(58%)ofloansizeswasbetween$1millionand$25million. Privateequityfearsfutureregulation.While11%saidtheyfearedgovernmentregulationandtaxes today,28%saiditwasanemergingissue.Thiscouldbeinresponsetoarecentlyapprovedrulefromthe CommodityFuturesTradingCommission(CFTC)(October31st)requiringthelargestU.S.hedgefundsand privateequityfundstoreportfinancialinformationtothegovernmentstartingnextyear.TheCFTCrule wasalsopassedbytheSecuritiesandExchangeCommission.Thereportingrequirementsweremandated underthe2010financialoverhaullaw.
In2004,RobertT.Sleewrote"PrivateCapitalMarkets:Valuation,Capitalization,andTransferofPrivateBusiness Interests, in which he discussed the importance of the private capital markets but relatively little market wide understanding or research. The Private Capital Markets Projects Capital Markets 20112012 Report seeks to improve the innerworkings of the private capital markets based on real world responses and reactions from professionals. Through improved understanding of market wide conditions and interconnectedness based on responsesfrombusinessownersandcapitalproviders,publicandpolicymakerswillbebetterabletoencourage marketdrivensolutions.
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|6
PEPPE ERDINEPRIVAT TECAPITALMA ARKETSSURVE EY ThePeppe erdineprivatec costofcapital survey(PCOC)isthefirstco omprehensive andsimultane eousinvestigat tionof the major private capita market segm al ments. The survey deployed in Septembe 2011, specif d er fically examine the ed behavior of senior lende assetbase lenders, mezzanine fund private equ groups, ve o ers, ed ds, uity enture capital firms, angel investors, privatelyheld busine esses, investme bankers, b ent business broke limited par ers, usiness rtners, and bu dine PCOC sur rvey investigat ted, for each private capital market segm ment, the important appraisers. The Pepperd ks b er w al accessible, what the benchmark that must be met in orde to qualify for capital, how much capita is typically a requiredre eturnsarefor extendingcap pitalintodays seconomicenv vironment,andoutlookson demandforv various capitaltypes,interestrat tes,andtheec conomyingene eral. gsindicatetha atthecostofc capitalforpriv vatelyheldbus sinessesvaries ssignificantlyb bycapitaltype e,size, Ourfinding and risk assumed. This relationship is depicted in the Pepperdin Private Capital Market L s ne Line, which ap ppears below. Figure 1. Priv F vate Capital Market Requ uired Rates o Return of
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
38%) VC(28% 3 PEG(23% 3 30%) (18% 23%) Mezz( ABL(4% 7 7%) Banks (5 7%) )
1stQ Quartile
Median
3rdQ Quartile
MedianSp pring2011
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|8
Pepperdine Universitys Graziadio School of Business and Management, home of the Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project, is proud to host the CM&AA Certification Program.
Who Should Attend:
CPAs, M&A intermediaries, investment bankers, private equity professionals, attorneys, business valuators, management consultants, and financial advisors/executives focused on M&A corporate development.
objectiveS:
Establish M&A advisory services as a recognized advanced professional business credential by identifying the role of the professional, the underlying body of knowledge, and a course of study by which such knowledge is acquired. Encourage higher educational standards in the middle market M&A and corporate financial advisory fields. Establish an objective measure of an individuals knowledge and competence in the fields of middle market M&A and corporate financial advisory fields.
SponSored by
Figure 2. Annual Rev venues of Co ompanies Va alued 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 62% 6 42% 30% 64 4% 63 % 42% % 31% 15%
essthan Le $5 500,000
$50 00,000 $2m million $5million $10miillion $50million $100million Greaterth han $1million $5m million $10m million $50m million $100million 0 $500million $500 million
Figure 4. Usage of Mu U ultiples Revenuem multiple 22% 2 Recast(ad djusted)EBITDA Amultiple EBITDA(u unadjusted)mu ultiple EBITmulti iple 12% 34% Cashflowmultiple Netincom memultiple Other
5% 4% 17% 6%
Responden ntsindicatedusinganaverageriskfreerateof3.9%,average emarket(equit ty)riskpremium mof6.3%and sizesofcompa averagelon ngtermgrowth hrateof3.2%.F Figure7indicatesconsiderable edifferencesinDLOMsacross anies andsubject tinterests.
Figure 5. Average Risk-Free Ra Market (equity) Risk Premium an Long-Term Growth Ra e ate, ( k nd m ate 0% Risk freerate Market(equity)riskp premium mterminalgro owthrate Longterm 3.2% 1% 2% 3 3% 4% 3.9 9% 6.3% % 5% 6% 7%
Figure 6. Discount for Lack of Marketability (DLOM) by Revenue Siz M y zes 0% $100,000inrevenues $1Minrevenues $25Minrevenues $250Minrevenues Controlinter rest
10% 1
40% 4
Figu 7. Explicit Forecast Period for Hig ure P gh-Growth C Companies b Revenue S by Sizes (years) )
5.6 5.8
ntsindicatedinc creasesincosto ofcapital,riskp premiumsandD DLOMs,andwo orsenedgenera albusinesscond ditions Responden overthelas stsixmonths.
Ta able 2. Gene Business and Industr Assessme eral s ry ent: Today v versus Six Mo onths Ago
Stayed Net Decr reased Decreas sed Increased Inc creased % % about the crease/ inc slightly sign signif ficantly slight tly nificantly increa decrease ase same decrease 3% 3 1% 1 2% 2 0% 0 1% 1 0% 0 0% 0 1% 1 3% 3 19% % 11% % 18% % 3% 18% % 11% % 6% 3% 32% % 27% 65% 63% 63% 53% 57% 73% 54% 40% 34% 19% 15% 27% 27% 29% 18% 37% 20% 17% 4% 1% 7% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 51% % 23% % 16% % 34% % 28% % 32% % 21% % 42% % 25% % 22% 13% 20% 3% 19% 11% 6% 4% 35% 29% 10% -4% 30% 9% 21% 16% 37% -10%
Characteris stics Number of engagements e Time to com mplete a typical appraisal Fees for ser rvices Competition Cost of capital Market (equity) risk premium ms DLOM Company sp pecific risk premiums General bus siness conditions s
Table 3. General Business and Industry Assessment E e B A Expectations over the Ne 12 Month s ext hs
Net Stay Increase In ncrease Decrease % % about the inc crease/ slightly sign slight tly nificantly increa decrease ase decrease same 5% % 10% % 6% % 2% % 7% % 7% % 4% % 6% % 19% % 36% 78% 63% 72% 66% 66% 78% 64% 51% 49% 9% 29% 24% 24% 25% 14% 26% 23% 8% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 56% % 10% % 30% % 24% % 25% % 26% % 16% % 26% % 25% % 6% 10% 6% 2% 7% 7% 4% 7% 22% 51% -1% 24% 23% 19% 19% 11% 19% 3% 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|12
Characteris stics
Number of engagements e Time to com mplete a typical appraisal Fees for ser rvices Competition Cost of capital Market (equity) risk premium ms DLOM Company-sp pecific risk premi iums General bus siness conditions s
Responden ntsbelieveecon nomicuncertain ntyisthemosti importantissue efacingprivatelyheldbusines ssestoday. Governmen ntregulationsa andtaxesasacategoryisindic catedasthemo ostimportantem mergingissue.
Figure 8. Issues Facin Privatelyng -Held Busine esses 0% To otal Economicuncer rtainty(domes stic) Accesstocap pital Governmentregu ulationsandta axes omicuncertain nty(internation nal) Econo Competit tionfromforei igntradepartn ners Inflat tion 3% 1% 1% Emergiingissue
20%
% 40%
60%
80%
100% 100%
120 0%
Currentissue
Figure 9. Private Busin P ness Sales Transactions Closed in th Last Six M T he Months 3% 6% 6% 7% 7 % 24% 9% 25% 0 1 2 3 20% 4 5 6 Greaterthan6
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|14
Approximately20%ofallt transactionsclo osedinthelastsixmonthsinvo olvedmanufact turing,followed dby15%that involvedbu usinessservices s,and12%thatinvolvedwhole esaleandmanu ufacturing.
Figure 10. Business Types That Were Involve in the Tra 1 ed ansactions C Closed in the Last Six Mo onths Manufacturing 7% 8% 8% 9% 11% 11% 12% 20% % 15% Businessser rvices Wholesale& &distribution Healthcare Informationtechnology Retail&con nsumerservices Financialser rvices Basicmaterials&energy Other
tyofdeals(58% %)tooksixto12 2monthstoclo ose.Rarelydida anydealtakem morethanoney yeartoclose(4% %). Themajorit
Figure 11. Average Number of Month to Close O Deal hs One 4% 7% 22% 2 68m months 13% 29% 1012 2months Greate erthan18mon nths
Nearly7%o oftheresponde entsdontexpe ecttocloseanydealsinthene ext12months;8 84%expecttoc closebetweenone andfivedeals,whileonly2%expecttoclosemorethan6deals.
9% 16%
24m months
Figure 12. Pri F rivate Busine Transacti ess ions Expecte to Close i the Next 1 Months ed in 12 2% 12% % 16% 20% 6 Greaterthan6 7% 7% % 13% 23% 4 5 0 2 1 3
Figu 13. Perce ure entage of Bu usiness Sales Engageme s ents Terminated Without Transacting g
42.7% 57.3 3%
Tr ransacted %Nottransacted
Figure 14. Reasons for Busines Sales Eng s ss gagements N Transacti Not ting 2% 6% 8% 14% 1 17% 18% 29% Valuationg gapinpricing Economicu uncertainty Unreasonab blesellerorbu uyerdemand Lackofcapiitaltofinance forbusiness Nomarketf Insufficient cashflow Sellermisre epresentations s Other
Ofthosetra ansactionsthat tdidntclosedu uetoavaluationgapinpricing g,approximatel ly39%hadava aluationgapinp pricing between21 1%and30%.
6%
Figure 15. Valuatio Gap in Pric on cing for Tran nsactions Th Didnt Clo hat ose 7% 7% 8% 9% 29% 010% 1120% 2130% 39% % 3140% 4150% Greatertha an50%
Theweight tsofthevarious svaluationapproachesusedb byrespondents whenvaluingp privatelyheldb businessesincluded 34%forbot thincomeandtransactionapp proaches.
% 11% 15%
6%
34%
34%
RecastEBIT TDAmultiples(3 39%)andEBITD DAmultiples(21 1%)carriedthe mostweightw whenusingmult tiplestodeterm mine valuations.
Rev venuemultiple e 3% 12% 5% 21% 39% 7% 13% % RecastEBITDAm multiple EB ITDAmultiple EB ITmultiple shflowmultip Cas ple(excludingE EBITDAorEBIT T) Ne etincomemult tiple Ot her
Averagede ealmultiplesontransactionsfr romthepriorsixmonthsasob bservedbyresp pondentsvaried dfrom2to9.
A Average 4 5 6 6 6 7
Manufacturing $1M $5M $10M $25M $50M $100M 3 3 3 3.25 4.5 5.75
Av verage 3 3 3 3 4 5
Tab 6. Median Senior Leve ble n erage Multip ples by Size o Company of
Retail & consumer services 2 3 3 3 3 3.25 Wholesale & W distribution 1.75 2 2 2 2.25 3 Bu usiness se ervices 1.75 2.5 2.75 4 4.5 4 sic Bas Information materia & Health care als re technology ener rgy n/a a 2.5 5 2 2 5 n/a a 1.5 2.75 2.5 2.75 2.5 n/a 2.5 2 2.5 1.5 n/a n/a Financial services 2 3.5 3.5 3.5 5 4
Manufacturing $1M $5M $10M $25M $50M $100M 2 2.5 2 3.25 3 3.75
Av verage 2 3 3 3 4 4
Figu 18. Comp ure ponents of C Closed Deals s 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% arnout Contingentea Sel llerfinancing/ /seller note Low weredmultiple eof EBITDA Adjus stedamounto of e equitysold 37% 32%
28%
27%
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|18
Figure 19 Premium Paid by Strategic Buyers Relative to Financial Bu 9. P s uyers 2% 13% 13% 23% 28% 19 9% No Yes,110%more Yes,1120%more Yes,2130%more Yes,3140%more Yes,4150%more Yes,>50%m more
3%
Responden ntsindicatedag generalimbalan ncebetweenco ompaniesworth hyoffinancinga andcapitalavailableforthesa ame. Thereisar reportedshortageofcapitalfo orthosecompan nieswithlessth han$10million ninEBITDAbutageneralsurpl lusfor companieswith$25millio oninEBITDAormore.
EBITDA
General balance
Scor re (-2 to 2)
Tab 8. How Di ble ifficult to Arr range Senior Debt for Tra r ansactions o over the Past Six Months t
EBITDA $1M $5M $10M $15M $25M $50M $100M Extremely difficult 38% 11% 1% 2% 3% 4% 7% Difficult 34% 19% 19% 15% 12% 12% 7% Somewhat difficult 14% 23% 22% 20% 14% 10% 16% Neutral 8% 22% 20% 15% 21% 18% 7% S Somewhat easy 6% 15% 15% 23% 14% 10% 13% Easy 0% 8% 15% 12% 14% 14% 18% Extremely e easy 1% 2% 9% 1 13% 2 22% 3 33% 3 33% Score (-3 t 3) to -1 1.9 -0 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 IBANKE ERcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|19
Approximately79%ofrespondentsagree ethatamongco ompaniesthatt theyhavework kedwith,senior rmanagers,suc chas chiefexecu utives,wouldbe enefitfromadditionalleadersh hipandskillstra aining.
2 enior Manage and Chie Executives Benefit from Additional Leadership and ers ef s m l Figure 20. Would Se Skil Training? lls ? 4% 1% 17% 30% Stron nglyagree Agree Neut tral 49% Disag gree Stron nglydisagree
torespondentsleadershipskillsarethemostimportantfors seniormanagem menttohave. Accordingt
Figure 21. Skills That Are Impo e T ortant for Se enior Manage ement to Hav ve 0% Leader rship Understa andingcompet titiveenvironm ments Strategicplan nning Sa alesandmarke eting Knowled dgeofbusinessandworldev vents Corporatefinance nspiringinnova ation In Legalandreg gulatoryknowle edge Manag gementaccoun nting Quantitative eanalysis/rese earch Globalbusinessmanagem ment Humanresou urces Today y 38% 37% 36% 32% 30% Inthefut ture
IBANKE ERcont.
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 10 % % 00% 94 4% 88% 86% 69% % 67% 60% 58%
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
Respondentsindicatedincreasesindealflow,marginpressureoncompanies,strategicbuyersmakingdeals,and worsenedgeneralbusinessconditionsrelativetosixmonthsago.
Table 9. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus Six Months Ago
Stayed Net Decreased Decreased Increased Increased % % about the increase/ significantly slightly slightly significantly increase decrease decrease same Deal flow Leverage multiples Deal multiples Amount of time to sell business Difficulty financing/selling business General business conditions Strategic buyers making deals Margin pressure on companies Buyer interest in minority transactions 9% 8% 5% 2% 2% 10% 3% 2% 13% 21% 15% 19% 12% 13% 42% 14% 7% 20% 23% 47% 42% 47% 50% 29% 35% 34% 49% 32% 29% 31% 25% 23% 17% 40% 41% 16% 14% 0% 2% 14% 11% 2% 7% 16% 1% 46% 29% 34% 39% 35% 19% 48% 58% 17% 30% 23% 24% 13% 15% 52% 17% 9% 34% 16% 6% 9% 26% 20% -33% 31% 49% -16%
Duringthenexttwelvemonths,respondentsexpectfurtherincreasesindealflow,marginpressureoncompanies, strategicbuyersmakingdeals,andworseninggeneralbusinessconditions.
Table 10. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months
Decrease Decrease Stay about Increase significantly slightly the same slightly Deal flow Leverage multiples Deal multiples Amount of time to sell business Difficulty financing/selling business General business conditions Strategic buyers making deals Margin pressure on companies Buyer interest in minority transactions 2% 4% 3% 1% 0% 10% 2% 2% 8% 15% 18% 24% 20% 24% 28% 10% 9% 16% 27% 43% 34% 42% 42% 36% 40% 40% 55% 46% 35% 39% 29% 26% 25% 40% 38% 19% Net Increase % % increase/ significantly increase decrease decrease 9% 0% 1% 7% 9% 2% 8% 11% 3% 55% 35% 39% 37% 35% 27% 48% 49% 22% 17% 22% 27% 21% 24% 38% 12% 11% 23% 38% 13% 13% 16% 11% -11% 36% 38% -1%
IBANKERcont.
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|21
Responden ntsbelieveecon nomicuncertain ntyisthemosti importantissue efacingprivatelyheldbusines ssestoday. temergingissu Governmen ntregulationsa andtaxesareindicatedasthemostimportant ue.
0% 0 Econo omicuncertaint ty(domestic) Accesstocapital Governmentregulatio onsandtaxes Economicuncertainty(international) titionfromfore eignpartners Compet Other Inflation
5%
10% 1
15%
2 20%
25%
30% 29%
35%
40%
45% 43%
50%
32%
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|23
Figure 23. Private Busi iness Sales Transactions Closed in th Last Six M T s the Months 2% 6% 5% 6 0% 19 9% 20% 24% 0 2 4 6 1 3 5 Greaterthan n6
8% 16%
Approximately20%ofallt transactionsclo osedinthelastsixmonthsinvo olvedmanufact turingfollowed dby15%that involvedbu usinessservices sand12%thati involvedwholesaleandmanuf facturing.
Figure 24. Private Business Sal Transact B les tions Expecte to bClose in the Next Twelve Mon ed e nths 3% 16% % 11% 6% 14% 16% 6% 8% 20% 0 2 4 6 Greaterthan10
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|24
1 3 5 710
Fig gure 25. Priva Business Sales Trans ate s sactions Exp pect to Close in the Next 12 Months e t 3% 4% 3% 6% 8% 20% % 11% 1 6% 14% 16% 2 4 6 8 10 3 5 7 9 Greaterthan10
4% 5% %
Figure 26. Average Number of Month to Close O Deal hs One 24mo onths 9% 16% 13% 29% 4% 7% 22% 46mo onths 68mo onths 810m months 1012months 1218months rthan18mont Greater ths
Figu 27. Perce ure entage of Bu usiness Sales Engageme s ents Terminated Without Transacting g
46% 54%
Transacted
Nottransacted
Topthreer reasonsfordealsnotclosing:v valuationgapin npricing(24%), lackofcapitalt tofinance(23% %),andeconom mic uncertainty y(19%).
Figure 28. Reasons for Busines Sales Eng s ss gagements N Transacti Not ting 2% 7% 13 3% 23% 19% 7% 5% 5 24% Valuationgap inpricing Lackofcapitalltofinance Economicunce ertainty Unreasonablesellerorbuyerdemand(non nprice) Insufficientcashflow Nomarketfor rbusiness esentations Sellermisrepre Other
Ofthosede ealsthatdidntcloseduetoav valuationgapin npricing,appro oximately42%h hadavaluation ngapinpricing between21 1%and30%.
Figure 29. Valuatio Gap in Pric on cing for Tran nsactions Th Didnt Clo hat ose
2% 23%
popularvaluatio onapproachesu used(byweight t)byresponden ntswhenvaluin ngprivatelyheldbusinessesw were Themostp incomeand dtransactionap pproaches.
5% 13% 5%
13%
30%
34%
Figure 31. Usage of Mu ultiples 5% 7% % 12% 15% 23% 4% 34% Reca astEBITDAmultiple Cash hflowmultiple e EBIT TDAmultiple Reve enuemultiple Othe er Netincomemultip ple EBIT Tmultiple
Table 11. Median Re 1 evenue Deal Multiples by Revenue S l y Size of Comp pany
B Basic Retail & Wholesale & Business Health consu umer mat terials & distribution services care servic ces nergy en 1.4 4 1.7 7 1.6 6 1.5 5 2 2 1.3 1.4 0.8 1 3 3 1.5 1.1 1.4 1 1 2 2 2 2.1 2 2.4 3 2 2.1 0.8 1.2 3 2.1 Information technology 2 2.1 2.4 3 2.8 3 Financial services 1 1.2 1.8 1.4 2.7 2.8
Revenue
Manufacturing
Ave erage
2 2 2 2 2 3
Table 12. Median EBITDA Deal Multiples by Revenue Si of Compa 1 E y ize any
Retail & Wholesale & Bus siness consumer distribution ser rvices services 2 3 3 4 5 3.5 3.25 3 4 4 3 3 3.5 3 4 4.75 4 c Basic s materials & y energy 2.75 4 3.5 4.5 7 Health care 5.5 4 4 7 6 Information technology 5 3 4.75 5.5 7 Financial services 3.25 3.75 5 2.5 5
Revenue
Manufacturing
Ave erage
BROKE ERcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|27
Figu 32. Comp ure ponents of C Closed Deals s 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 61% 49% 36% 15%
Contingentearn nout
Low wereddealpric ce
Figure 33. How Difficult to Ar D rrange Senio Debt for Tr or ransactions over the Pas Six Months st s
Revenu ue size $100K $500K $1M $5M $10M $15M $25M+ Extrem mely difficu ult 71% % 41% % 31% % 14% % 12% % 13% % 12% % Difficult 8% 23% 27% 22% 19% 9% 12% Somewhat difficult 3% 9% 10% 19% 27% 22% 18% Neutral 16% 11% 16% 17% 12% 9% 12% S Somewhat easy 0% 7% 10% 14% 15% 26% 29% E Easy 3% 9% 6% 14% 8% 9% 0% Extremely eas sy 0% % 0% % 0% % 0% % 8% % 13% 18% e Score (-2 to 2 2) -1.26 -0.52 -0.33 0.36 0.54 1.04 1.06
Approximately72%ofrespondentsagree ethatamongco ompaniesthatt theyhavework kedwith,senior rmanagers,suc chas chiefexecu utives,wouldbe enefitfromadditionalleadersh hipandskillstra aining.
3 enior Manage and Chie Executives Benefit from Additional Leadership and ers ef s m l Figure 34. Would Se Skil Training? lls ?
23%
5%
36%
Stronglyagre ee Agree
36%
Neutral Disagree
Accordingt torespondents, ,leadershipskills,strategicpla anning,andund derstandingcom mpetitiveenvironmentsareth he mostimpor rtantforsenior rmanagementt tohave.
Figure 35. Skills That Are Impo e T ortant for Se enior Manage ement to Hav ve 0% Leade ership Strategicpla anning Underst tandingcompe etitiveenvironm ments Salesandmarketing Knowle edgeofbusine essandworlde events Corporatefinance Inspiringinnov vation Mana agementaccou unting Humanreso ources Legalandre egulatoryknow wledge Quantitativ veanalysis/res search Globalbu usinessmanage ement Other 10 0% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 1 % % 100% 75% 77% 73% 73% 86% 86% 86%
58% 62% 59% 56% 48 8% 53% 64% 41%47% 42% 52% 40% 41% 41% 55%
Responden ntsbelieveecon nomicuncertain ntyisthemosti importantissue efacingprivatelyheldbusines ssestoday. Governmen ntregulationsa andtaxesandeconomicuncert taintyareindic catedasthemo ostimportantem mergingissues. .
0% Ec conomicuncert tainty(domest tic) Accesstocapital Econo omicuncertaint ty(internation nal) Gov vernmentregulationsandtax xes Competiti ionfromforeig gntradepartne ers Oth her 0%
10%
20%
30% 27%
40%
50% 48%
60%
27%
27%
Emerg gingissue
BROKE ERcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|29
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
Table 13. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today Versus Six Months Ago
Stayed Net Decreased Decreased Increased Increased % % about the increase/ significantly slightly slightly significantly increase decrease same decrease Deal flow Ratio of businesses sold/total listings Deal multiples Business exit opportunities Amount of time to sell business Difficulty selling business Business opportunities for growth General business conditions Margin pressure on companies 11% 13% 3% 6% 0% 4% 4% 15% 1% 10% 4% 23% 26% 11% 16% 20% 33% 8% 32% 49% 59% 30% 39% 36% 42% 29% 37% 36% 28% 13% 33% 38% 24% 28% 22% 39% 11% 6% 3% 6% 11% 20% 6% 0% 14% 47% 33% 16% 39% 49% 44% 33% 22% 54% 21% 17% 26% 31% 11% 20% 25% 49% 10% 26% 16% -10% 7% 38% 24% 9% -26% 44%
Duringthenexttwelvemonths,respondentsexpectfurtherincreasesindealflow,marginpressureoncompanies,and worseninggeneralbusinessconditions.
Table 14. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months
Net Decrease Decrease Stay about Increase Increase % % increase/ significantly slightly the same slightly significantly increase decrease decrease Deal flow Ratio of businesses sold/total listings Deal multiples Business exit opportunities Amount of time to sell business Difficulty selling business Business opportunities for growth General business conditions Margin pressure on companies 10% 12% 7% 8% 2% 2% 5% 12% 2% 14% 12% 24% 28% 17% 15% 24% 33% 14% 34% 47% 59% 30% 37% 37% 37% 30% 41% 32% 27% 9% 30% 32% 25% 29% 25% 34% 10% 2% 2% 3% 13% 20% 5% 0% 10% 42% 29% 10% 33% 45% 46% 34% 25% 44% 24% 24% 31% 37% 18% 17% 29% 45% 15% 19% 5% -21% -3% 27% 29% 5% -20% 29%
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|30
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|31
Figure 37. As F ssets under Managemen t or Investab Funds M ble 15% 9% 18% 8% Le essthan$50million $5 50million$50 00million $5 500million$1 1billion 23% $1 1billion$5billion $5 5billion$10b billion Gr reaterthan$10 0billion
Responden ntsreportedontheir%oftotalassetallocatio onsforAlterna ativeAssets.
26%
Figure 38. Current and Target Asset Alloca e t A ations for "A Alternative As ssets" (% of total portfol lio) 100% 52% 50% 0% cation Currentalloc Targ getallocation
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|32
55%
Onaverage e,respondentst targettoallocate20%oftheir rassetstoventu urecapital,19% %tobuyoutpriv vateequity,and d15% todirectinv vestments.
Figur re 39. Curren Target Ass Allocation nt set n Venturecapital Privateequitybuyo out Di irectinvestments Privateequitygrow wth Realestatefu und Hedgefu und Secondaryfun nds Privateequitydistress sed Mezzanine Fundoffun nds 20% 19% % 15 5% 11% 9% 8% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2
Fi igure 40. Ann nual Return Expectations for New Inv E s vestments 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 20% 20% % 20% 18% 18% % 15% 15% 15% % 14% 13% % 12%
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|33
Figure 41. Asse with the Best Risk/Re ets B eturn Trade-o Currently off
Private eequitybuyo outs Directinvestments 6% 7% 7% % 7% 11% % 13% 19% 6% 4% 20% Ventu recapital Private eequitygrow wth Private eequitydistr ressed Secon daryfunds Hedge efund Mezza anineinvestme ent Realestatefunds Fundo offunds
Whenaskedaboutwhichindustriescurre entlyoffertheb bestrisk/return ntradeoffs,48% %ofresponden ntsreportedhe ealth care,follow wedby36%reportinginformat tiontechnology y.
Figure 42. Industry with the Be Risk/Retu e y est urn 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 48% 36% 34% % 30% 24% 12% 10% 10 0% 8%
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|34
Inregardto othegeographicregionswiththebestrisk/re eturntradeoffs s,57%ofrespondentsreporte edNorthAmeric ca, followedby ytheLatinAme erica(41%),and demergingAsia a(35%)areas.
Figure 43. Geograp e phic Regions of the Worl Offering th Best Risk s ld he k/Return Trad deoff Curren ntly 60% 50% 41% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% North America Latin America A Em merging Asia Deve eloped Asia A Wes stern Euro ope Other ging emerg mark kets Centraland rn Easter Europ pe r Other 20% 2 6% 16 % 10% 4% 2% 35% 57%
Accordingt to38%ofrespo ondentsthegeo ographicregionwithbestrisk/ /returntradeof ffsisSiliconValleywithanothe er24% selectingBa ayArea,followedbyTexas(35 5%),andNewEngland(27%).
Figure 44. Geographic Regions of the USA with the Best Ris G R t h sk/Return Cu urrently 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% iliconValley Si Texas NewEngland BayArea NewYork Metro Southern California Washingto on DC 27% 24% 22% 19% 11% 38% 35%
LPcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|35
Accordingt torespondents, ,thegeneralpa artneristhemo ostimportantfa actorwheneva aluatinginvestm mentfollowedb by specificstra ategyandhisto oricalfundperfo ormance.
Approximately60%ofrespondentsagree ethatamongco ompaniesthatt theyhavework kedwith,senior rmanagers,suc chas chiefexecu utives,wouldbe enefitfromadditionalleadersh hipandskillstra aining.
4 enior Manage and Chie Executives Benefit from Additional Leadership and ers ef s m l Figure 45. Would Se Skil Training? lls ? 4% 8% 36% 52% 5
LPcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|36
Figure 46. Skills That Are Impo e T ortant for Se enior Manage ement to Hav ve 0% Leader rship Strategicplan nning Understa andingcompet titiveenvironm ments Sa alesandmarke eting Knowled dgeofbusinessandworldev vents Humanresou urces Globalbusinessmanagem ment nspiringinnova ation In Legalandreg gulatoryknowle edge Corporatefinance Quantitative eanalysis/rese earch Manag gementaccoun nting Today y 20% 0% 40 60% 80% 100% 12 20%
71% 64% 68% 61% 57% % % 61% 72% 57% % 79% 54% 49% 43% 45% 39% 42% 32 % 30% Inthefut ture
Responden ntsindicatedinc creasedallocationstodirectin nvestmentsand dprivateequity anddecreased dallocationstoall otheraltern nativeassetsin nthelastsixmo onths.Responde entsalsoindica atedincreasede expectedreturn nsonnewcapit tal deployedb butworsenedge eneralbusiness sconditions.
Ta able 16. Gene Business and Indust Assessm eral try ment: Today v versus Six M Months Ago
Net Stayed De ecreased Decre eased % % Increased In creased about the in e ncrease/ significantly sligh htly gnificantly increa ase decrease slightly sig same decrease 6% 0% 4% 11% 8% 8% 4% 4% 2% 15% % 11% % 22% % 16% % 8% % 10% % 6% % 43% % 19% % 69% 70% 67% 68% 77% 74% 47% 35% 38% 10% 15% 7% 5% 5% 5% 23% 17% 38% 0% 4% 0% 0% 3% 3% 19% 0% 4% 10% % 19% % 7% % 5% % 8% % 8% % 43% % 17% % 42% % 21% 11% 27% 27% 15% 18% 11% 48% 21% -10% 9% -20% -22% -8% -10% 32% -30% 21% LPcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|37
Characteris stics
Allocation to venture capital o Allocation to private equity o Allocation to mezzanine o Allocation to hedge funds o Allocation to secondary fund o ds Allocation to real estate fund o ds Direct invest tments General bus siness conditions s Expected returns on new capital deployed
Table 17. General Business an Industry Assessment Expectation over the N nd A ns Next 12 Month hs
Decrease signif ficantly Net ase Stay about Increase Inc crease % Decrea % ncrease/ in the same slightly sign ificantly increas decrease slightly se d decrease 13% % 6% 14% % 5% 13% % 13% % 4% 22% % 13% % 79% 81% 74% 78% 68% 56% 57% 40% 54% 8% 11% 7% 8% 8% 23% 26% 30% 26% 0% 2% 2% 3% 5% 3% 1 11% 6% 4% 8% 13% 9% 11% 13% 26% 37% 36% 30% 13% 6% 16% 11% 18% 18% 7% 24% 15% -4% 6% -7% 0% -5% 8% 30% 12% 15%
Characterist tics
Allocation to venture capital o Allocation to private equity o Allocation to mezzanine o Allocation to hedge funds o Allocation to secondary fund o ds Allocation to real estate fund o ds Direct invest tments General bus siness conditions s Expected returns on new capital deployed
0% 0 0% 0 2% 2 5% 5 5% 5 5% 5 2% 2 2% 2 2% 2
Responden ntsbelieveaccesstocapitalandeconomicunc certaintyareth hemostimportantissuesfacin ngprivatelyheld businessestoday.Governm mentregulation nsandtaxesan ndeconomicun ncertaintyarein ndicatedasthemostimportan nt emergingis ssues.
Figure 47 Issues Faci Privately 7. ing y-Held Busin nesses 5% 5 10% 2 20% 15% 0% Accesstocapital Ec conomicuncert tainty(domest tic) Gov vernmentregulationsandtax xes Econo omicuncertaint ty(internation nal) Competiti ionfromforeig gntradepartne ers Inflation her Oth 2% 2% 4% 4% 12% 8% 17% 17% 13%
25%
35%
33%
29%
2%
Currentiss sue
Emerg gingIssue
ANGELIN A NVESTORSURVEYINFORMATION
Approximately14%ofthe e93respondent tstotheangeli investorsurvey yplantoinvest outsideoftheU.S.overthene ext12 months,themajority(56% %)ofresponden ntsplantomakebetweenone eandfiveinvest tments.Otherk keyfindingsinc clude: Ap pproximately30%ofresponde entsbasevaluationsonabasic cmethod(quickestimate)whenvaluingpriva ately he eldbusinesses. Th hetypesofbusinessesrespond dentsplantoin nvestinoverne ext12monthsa areverydiverse ewithover34% % ta argetinginformationtechnolog gyandanother22%planningt toinvestinhea althcare. y, Re espondentsind dicatedasharpincreaseindem mandforangelc capital,andinc creasesinsizeo ofangelindustry fo ollowoninvestm ments,andexp pectedreturnso onnewinvestm ments.Theyalso oreportedincre easedqualityof f co ompaniesseekinginvestments sandtimetoex xitdeals,decrea asedopportuni itiestoexit,wo orsenedgeneral l bu usinessconditio onsandappetit teforrisk. Re espondentsexitstrategiestha atincludesellin ngtoaprivatec companytotal3 34%,whileanot ther34%of re espondentsplan ntoselltoapu ubliccompany.
Figure 48. Total Nu e umber of Inv vestments Ma in the La Six Mont ade ast ths
2% 8%
% 12%
7%
12% % 25%
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 M Morethan10
15%
19%
Figure 49 Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last Six Mo 9. I e onths 4% 1% 5% 4% 18% 20% 25 5% 4 610 5 Morethan10 23% % 0 2 1 3
Figure 50. Number of Total Inve r estments Pla anned over N Next 12 Mont ths
18% 18% 7%
8%
1 3 5 Mo orethan10
5% 6%
14% 10% 1% 7%
6%
21% % 20%
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 M Morethan10
21%
Thetypeso ofbusinessesre espondentsplan ntoinvestinov vernext12mon nthsareverydiversewithove er34%targeting g information ntechnologyan ndanother22% %planningtoinvestinhealthc care.
Figure 52 Type of Bu 2. usiness for In nvestments P Planned ove Next 12 Mo er onths 1% 7% 9% 9% 9 10% 22%
3% 5% 34%
Inform mationtechno ology Healt thcare Basic materials&en nergy Retail&consumers services Busin nessservices Manu ufacturing Finan ncialservices Whollesale&distrib bution Other r
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
ANGELcont.
Respondentsreportedonavarietyofstatspertainingtotheirinvestments.
Average size of investment ($ thousands) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile $25 $150 $250 $75 $150 $150 $75 $150 $250 $75 $150 $250
Average % of total equity purchased (fully diluted basis) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 5% 15% 25% 4% 6% 20% 3% 6% 10% 1% 2% 9%
Total EXPECTED returns (gross cash on cash pretax IRR) on new investments (%) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile Expected time to exit (years) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 4 5 5 4 5 5 3 4 5 3 4 4 30% 45% 95% 28% 45% 83% 28% 40% 70% 18% 38% 58%
Average company pre-money value ($ millions) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 0.45 1.5 1.5 0.65 1.5 2.5 1.5 2.5 4.5 0.95 2.5 10
Average company value at time of investment (post-money $ millions) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 0.750 1.5 3.5 1 2 4.5 2 3 7 1.5 3.5 8
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|41
Responden ntsreportedonwheretheypla antoinvestove erthenext12m months.Theres sultsreflectinve estmentthroug ghout theU.S.,14 4%ofrespondentsareplanningtoinvestouts sideoftheU.S.
Figure 53. Geographic Location of Planned Inv . c f vestment ov Next 12 M ver Months 14% 17 7% 8% 7% 6% 4% South hernCalifornia Texas s NewE England Silicon nValley NewY YorkMetro Wash hingtonDC BayA Area herUS Alloth deofUS Outsid
39% 2% 3% %
35%
Approximately30%ofrespondentsbasevaluationsona abasicmethod (quickestimate e)whenvaluing gprivatelyheld d businesses. .Only14%ofre espondentsuse eanincomeapp proach.
Figur 55. Usage of Valuation Approache re n es Basic method(quick kestimate) 7% % 9% % 5% 14% 30% Transa actionapproac ch Incom meapproach(D DCF,NPV,IRR) 14% 21% Public ccompanyapp proach Costs tocreateappr roach Assetbasedapproac ch Other r
ANGELcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|42
Figure 56. Items Required to C e R Close One De eal 50 40 30 20 10 0 Meet Businessplans sor tingswithprincipals Propos sallettersorte erm morandumsre eviewed sheetsissued conducted mem 1stQuartile Median 3rdQuartile ofintentsigne Letterso ed 8 5 6.5 20 10 0 1 2 3 1 1 2
40 4
Figure 57. Exit Plan for Portfo Compani e ns olio ies 5% 5% 3% 34% Sellt toaprivatecom mpany Sellt toapubliccom mpany Sellt toprivateequit tygroup Liquidateorbankru upt 34% IPO Sellt toaVC Mana agementbuyo out Othe er
Approximately90%ofrespondentsagree ethatamongco ompaniesthatt theyhavework kedwith,senior rmanagers,suc chas chiefexecu utives,wouldbe enefitfromadditionalleadersh hipandskillstra aining.
5% 7% 7%
5 enior Manage and Chie Executives Benefit from Additional Leadership and ers ef s m l Figure 58. Would Se Skil Training? lls ? 5% 5% 41% Str ronglyagree Ag gree 50% Ne eutral Dis sagree
Accordingt torespondents, ,leadershipskills,understandingcompetitive eenvironments sandstrategicp planningarethe mostimpor rtantforsenior rmanagementt tohave.
Figure 59. Skills That Are Impo e T ortant for Se enior Manage ement to Hav ve Leader rship Understa andingcompet titiveenvironm ments Sa alesandmarke eting Strategicplan nning In nspiringinnova ation Knowled dgeofbusinessandworldev vents Corporatefinance Quantitative eanalysis/rese earch Legalandreg gulatoryknowle edge Humanresou urces Manag gementaccoun nting Globalbusinessmanagem ment Other O 8% % 6% % Today y 17% 3 36% 39% 33 3% 3 3% 30% % 3 3% 27% 36% 24% % 30% 41% 83% 83% 74% 2% 74%82 77% 71% 64% 63% 58 8% 54% 98%
Inthefut ture
Responden ntsindicatedas sharpincreaseindemandfora angelcapital,in ncreasesinsizeofangelindust try,followon investment tsandexpected dreturnsonnew winvestments.Theyalsorepo ortedincreased dqualityofcom mpaniesseeking g investment tsandtimetoe exitdeals,decre easedopportun nitiestoexit,wo orsenedgenera albusinesscond ditions,andapp petite forrisk.
Ta able 19. Gene Business and Indust Assessm eral try ment: Today v versus Six M Months Ago
Net Stayed % Decr reased Decreas sed Increased Incr reased % inc crease/ about the signif ficantly slightly se slightly sign ificantly increas decrease same decrease Demand for angel capital Size of ange finance industr el ry Quality of co ompanies seeking investment Follow-on in nvestments Average investment size Exit opportunities Time to exit deals Expected returns on new inv vestments Value of por rtfolio companies s General bus siness conditions s Appetite for risk 2% 2 3% 3 0% 0 0% 0 3% 3 6% 6 3% 3 2% 2 2% 2 20 0% 15 5% 2% 25% % 14% % 17% % 23% % 33% % 14% % 9% 28% % 31% % 38% % 32% 25% 43% 43% 45% 43% 34% 60% 34% 25% 31% 28% 25% 34% 28% 26% 13% 27% 25% 34% 20% 11% 3 37% 2 22% 9% 1 12% 3% 5% 2 22% 5% 3% 5% 5% 65% 47% 43% 40% 29% 17% 48% 29% 37% 25% 15% 3% 28% 14% 17% 26% 40% 17% 11% 29% 51% 54% 62% 19% 29% 23% 3% -22% 31% 18% 8% -26% -38% ANGELcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|44
Table 20. General Business an Industry Assessment Expectation over the N nd A ns Next 12 Month hs
Decrease signif ficantly Demand for angel capital Size of ange finance industr el ry Quality of co ompanies seeking investment Follow-on in nvestments Average investment size Exit opportunities Time to exit deals Expected returns on new inv vestments Value of por rtfolio companies s General bus siness conditions s Appetite for risk 0% 0 5% 5 5% 5 0% 0 0% 0 6% 6 3% 3 3% 3 2% 2 16% 13% ase Decrea slightly 0% 8% 9% 14% % 17% % 14% % 9% 16% % 14% % 23% % 28% % Stay about the same 20% 35% 48% 38% 48% 47% 47% 52% 36% 28% 39% Net Increase Inc crease % % inc crease/ slightly sign ificantly increas decrease se dec crease 56% 41% 34% 41% 32% 27% 31% 25% 44% 25% 17% 2 23% 1 11% 3% 6% 3% 6% 9% 5% 5% 8% 3% 80% 52% 38% 48% 35% 33% 41% 30% 48% 33% 20% 0% 13% 14% 14% 17% 20% 13% 19% 16% 39% 41% 80% 40% 23% 33% 17% 13% 28% 11% 33% -6% -20%
Responden ntsbelieveaccesstocapitalist themostimpor rtantissuefacin ngprivatelyheldbusinessesto oday.Governme ent regulations sandtaxesareindicatedasthe emostimporta antemergingiss sue.
Figure 60. Issues Faci Privately ing y-Held Busin nesses 0% Accesstocapital Ec conomicuncert tainty(domest tic) Econo omicuncertaint ty(internation nal) Gov vernmentregulationsandtax xes Competiti ionfromforeig gntradepartne ers Inflation her Oth Currentiss sue 0% 0% 3% 8% 11% Emerg gingissue 5% 6% 8% 11% 26% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 22 2% 25% 36% 30% 35% 3 40% 45% 41 1%
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|45
Figure 61. Total Nu e umber of Inv vestments Ma in the La Six Mont ade ast ths 11% 18% 5% 5% 15%
14%
13% 19%
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 M Morethan10
19% 10% 6% %
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 M Morethan10
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|46
Figure 63. Number of Total Inve r estments Pla anned over N Next 12 Mont ths 19% 18% 21% 12% % 7% 7% 4% 12%
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 Mo orethan10
4. f nvestments Planned ove Next 12 Mo er onths Figure 64 Number of Follow-on In 18% 17% 8% 8 6% 13% 11% 1
9% 18% 1
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 More ethan10
Thetypeso ofbusinessesre espondentsplan ntoinvestinov vernext12mon nthsareverydiversewithove er43%targeting g Information ntechnologyan ndanother19% %planningtoinvestinhealthc care.
Figure 65 Type of Bu 5. usiness for In nvestments P Planned ove Next 12 Mo er onths 1% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% Inform mationtechno ology Healt hcare Basic materials&en nergy Manu ufacturing Busin nessservices Retaill&consumers services Finan ncialservices Wholesale&distrib bution Other r
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|47
13%
43%
19%
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
VENTURACAPITALcont.
Respondentsreportedonavarietyofstatspertainingtotheirinvestments.
Number of investments made in last six months 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 2 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 2 2 4
1 1 4
$3 $3 $8
Average size of investment ($ millions) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile <1 <1 <1 <1 $2 $3 <1 $2 $3 <1 $3 $4
Average % of total equity purchased (fully diluted basis) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 15% 25% 25% 15% 15% 25% 5% 15% 20% 5% 15% 15% 5% 5% 15%
Total expected returns (gross cash on cash pretax IRR) on new investments 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile Expected time to exit 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 5 5 7 4 5 6 3 4 5 3 3 5 28% 38% 78% 23% 30% 45% 23% 28% 50% 18% 28% 38%
2 2 2
Average company pre-money value 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 1.5 1.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 8.0 3.5 8.0 15.0 8.0 15.0 35.0 25.0 35.0 80.0
Average company value at time of investment (post-money $ millions) 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 1.0 2.5 3.5 3.5 8.0 10.0 3.5 8.0 15.0 15.0 25.0 35.0
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|48
Responden ntsreportedonwheretheypla antoinvestove erthenext12m months.Theres sultsreflectinve estmentthroug ghout theU.S.,39 9%ofrespondentsareplanningtoinvestouts sideoftheU.S.
Figure 66. Geographic Location of Planned Inv . c f vestment ov Next 12 M ver Months Sili iconValley 11% % 39% 26% 11% 5% 5% 3% BayArea Ne ewEngland Ne ewYorkMetro SouthernCaliforn nia AllOtherUS Ou utsideofUS
Whenvalui ingthecompan ny,approximate ely40%ofthew weightoftheva aluationisputo onatransaction napproachwhe en valuingpriv vatelyheldbusinesses.
5% 11 1% 15% 1
12%
17% %
Figure 68. Items Required to C e R Close One De eal 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 100 60 30 10 20 30 0 2 3 5 1 1 2
Meet Businessplan nsor tingswithprin ncipals Propos sallettersorte erm Letterso ofintentsigned d emorandumsr reviewed conducted sh heetsissued me 1stQuartile 1 Median 3 3rdQuartile
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|49
Figure 69. Exit Plan for Portfo Compani e ns olio ies 4% 4% % 4%3% 41% Selltoapublicco ompany Selltoaprivatec company IPO O Selltoprivateeq quitygroup SelltoanotherV VC Ma anagementbuyout Liq quidateorbankrupt Other
5% 12%
27%
ethatamongco ompaniesthatt theyhavework kedwith,senior rmanagers,suc chas Approximately76%ofrespondentsagree utives,wouldbe enefitfromadditionalleadersh hipandskillstra aining. chiefexecu
7 enior Manage and Chie Executives Benefit from Additional Leadership and ers ef s m l Figure 70. Would Se Skil Training? lls ? 16% % 7% 22% Stro onglyagree Agr ree 54% Neu utral Disa agree
Accordingt torespondents, ,leadershipskills,strategicpla anning,andund derstandingcom mpetitiveenvironmentsareth he mostimpor rtantforsenior rmanagementt tohave.
Figure 71. Skills That Are Impo e T ortant for Se enior Manage ement to Hav ve Leader rship Strategicplan nning Understa andingcompet titiveenvironm ments Sa alesandmarke eting In nspiringinnova ation Knowled dgeofbusinessandworldev vents Humanresou urces Corporatefinance Legalandreg gulatoryknowle edge Manag gementaccoun nting Globalbusinessmanagem ment Quantitative eanalysis/rese earch Other O 9 91% 89% 72% 83% 7 70% 79% 7 70% 81% 60% % 65% 51% % 46% 49 9% 57% 44% 51% 39% 40% 37% 31% 54% 30% 37% Inthefut ture
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|50
2.9% % 5% Today y
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
VENTURACAPITALcont.
Table 23. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus Six Months Ago
Stayed Net Decreased Decreased Increased Increased % % about the increase/ significantly slightly slightly significantly increase decrease same decrease Demand for venture capital Quality of companies seeking investment Follow-on investments Average investment size Exit opportunities Time to exit deals Expected returns on new investments Value of portfolio companies General business conditions Presence of super angels in space formerly occupied by VCs Size of venture capital industry 1% 1% 0% 2% 4% 0% 0% 1% 15% 0% 14% 10% 7% 5% 9% 34% 12% 33% 28% 36% 11% 47% 40% 46% 41% 56% 26% 32% 43% 33% 31% 26% 29% 30% 34% 33% 26% 25% 44% 16% 30% 16% 43% 8% 18% 12% 22% 8% 10% 12% 7% 7% 1% 20% 3% 48% 46% 55% 33% 35% 56% 24% 37% 18% 62% 11% 12% 9% 5% 11% 38% 12% 33% 30% 51% 11% 61% 36% 37% 50% 23% -3% 44% -9% 7% -33% 51% -50%
Respondentsexpectfurtherincreasesinallbusinesscharacteristicsexceptgeneralbusinessconditionsandsizeof venturecapitalindustry.
Table 24. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months
Decrease significantly Demand for venture capital Quality of companies seeking Investment Follow-on investments Average investment size Exit opportunities Time to exit deals Expected returns on new investments Value of portfolio companies General business conditions Presence of super angels in space formerly occupied by VCs Size of venture capital industry 3% 0% 0% 0% 3% 2% 2% 3% 15% 3% 8% Net Decrease Stay about Increase Increase % % increase/ slightly the same slightly significantly increase decrease decrease 3% 5% 5% 5% 21% 3% 25% 14% 17% 12% 41% 27% 39% 27% 41% 32% 44% 40% 32% 40% 55% 38% 52% 48% 48% 47% 35% 41% 29% 40% 23% 23% 11% 15% 8% 20% 8% 9% 11% 5% 11% 5% 7% 3% 67% 56% 69% 55% 44% 52% 34% 51% 28% 30% 14% 6% 5% 5% 5% 24% 5% 26% 17% 32% 15% 48% 61% 52% 64% 50% 20% 47% 8% 34% -5% 15% -34% 2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|51
Responden ntsbelieveaccesstocapitalist themostimpor rtantissuefacin ngprivatelyheldbusinessesto oday.Domestic economicu uncertaintyisin ndicatedasthemostimportan ntemergingissu ue.
Figure 72. Issues Faci Privately ing y-Held Busin nesses 0% Accesstocapital Ec conomicuncert tainty(domest tic) Econo omicuncertaint ty(internation nal) Gov vernmentregulationsandtax xes Oth her Competiti ionfromforeig gntradepartne ers Inflation 1% 0% 3% % Emerg gingissue 4% 4 % 3% 5% 10% 18% 20 0% 23% % 5% 10% 15% 20% 20 0% 28 8% 26% 25% 0% 30 35% 40% 3 37%
Currentiss sue
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|53
Figure 73. Ty F ypical Investm ment Size 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% essthan$1 $1 5million Le million $5$10 million m $1 1025 mi illion $25 $50 mil lion $50$ $100 milliion $100$500 Greatert than millio on $500million 8% 18% % 16% % 3% 30% 33% 35% 3 33 3%
RIVATEEQUIT TYcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|54
Thetypeso ofbusinessesre espondentsplan ntoinvestinov vernext12mon nthsareverydiversewithove er19%targeting g manufacturingandanothe er16%planning gtoinvestinbu usinessservices s.
Figure 74 Type of Bu 4. usiness for In nvestments P Planned ove Next 12 Mo er onths Ma anufacturing Bu usinessservices s He ealthcare Re etail&consumerservices Ba asicmaterials& &energy Wh holesale&dist tribution Fin nancialservices Inf formationtech hnology Ot ther
16%
Figure 75. Total Nu e umber of Inv vestments Ma in the La Six Mont ade ast ths 2% 3% 7%4% 26% 11% % 17% % 30% 0 2 4 610 1 3 5 Morethan10 M
Figure 76. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last Six Mo I e onths 3% 2%1%1% 8% 17% % 29%
39%
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 M Morethan10
Figure 77. Number of Total Inve r estments Pla anned over N Next 12 Mont ths 1% 2% % 12% 9% 31% 30%
6% 6 9%
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 Morethan10
Figure 78 Number of Follow-on In 8. f nvestments Planned ove Next 12 Mo er onths 3% 14% 31% 24% 1% 6% 5% 16% %
0 2 4 610
1 3 5 Mo orethan10
Averagede ealmultiplesfor rbuyoutdealsf forthepriorsix xmonthsvaryfr romfourtosev ventimesEBITD DAdependingo onthe sizeofthec company.Expectedreturnsva aryfrom23%to o30%.
PRIVATEEQUIT TYcont.
Incomeap pproach(DCF,NPV,IRR) 12% % 17 7% 27 7% 9% 35% Transactio onapproach Publiccom mpanyapproac ch Assetbase edapproach Other
Figure 80. Usage of Mu ultiples Revenu uemultiple 6% 3% 10% % % 18% 7% 30% 26% RecastEBITDAmultip ple EBITDA Amultiple EBITmultiple Cashflo owmultiple Netinc comemultiple Other
PRIVATEEQUIT TYcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|57
Figure 81. Items Required to C e R Close One De eal 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Mee nsor etingswithprin ncipals Propo osallettersorterm Businessplan emorandumsr reviewed conducted s sheetsissued me 1stQuartile 1 Median 3rdQuartile Lettersofintentsigne ed 20 50 8 15 5 25 3 5 10 1 2 3 100
Responden ntsexitstrategi iesthatincludesellingtoapriv vatecompanyt total28%,while eanother26%ofrespondents splan toselltoan notherprivatee equitygroup.
Figure 82. Exit Plan for Portfo Compani e ns olio ies 1% 5% 6% 12% % 22% Sellto oaprivatecom mpany 28% Sellto oanotherPEG Sellto oapubliccompany 26% IPO Mana agementbuyou ut Liquid dateorBankru upt Other r
Responden ntsreportedonaverageitisea asierforthemto oarrangesenio ordebtforinve estmentsintoco ompanieswith $5millioninEBITDAandm more.
Ta able 29. The Ease to Arrange Senior Debt for Tran E D nsactions ov the Past S Months ver Six
Extrem mely difficult $1M EBITD DA $5M EBITD DA $10M EBIT TDA $15M EBIT TDA $25M EBIT TDA $50M EBIT TDA $100M+ EB BITDA 31% % 13% % 5% % 3% % 3% % 3% % 4% % Difficult 26% 21% 7% 8% 3% 7% 0% Somewhat Difficult 17% 28% 25% 23% 28% 21% 15% Neutral 12% 11% 16% 13% 19% 17% 15% S Somewhat Easy 3% 12% 18% 15% 19% 21% 19% Easy 5% 12% 25% 23% 14% 17% 23% Extr remely E Easy 5 5% 4 4% 5 5% 15% 14% 14% 2 23% Score (-3 to 3) o -1.5 5 -0.6 6 0.3 3 0.5 5 0.5 5 0.5 5 1.3 3
PRIVATEEQUIT TYcont.
Mostofthe erespondentsb believeworthy yoffinancinge exceedscapita alavailablefor rthecompanies swithlessthan n $10MinEB BITDA.Whereas sforthelargercompanies,ca apitalavailable exceedswort thyoffinancing g.
le alance of Ava ailable Capit with Quali Compani for the Fo tal ity ies ollowing Size e Tabl 30. The Ba
Comp panies wort of thy financing EATLY GRE exc ceed capital available $5M EBITD DA $10M EBIT TDA $15M EBIT TDA $25M EBIT TDA $50M EBIT TDA $100M EBITDA > $100M EBITDA E 39 9% 17 7% 6% 6 4% 4 4% 4 3% 3 4% 4 Companies wo orthy of fin nancing exce capital eed av vailable 24% 35% 24% 20% 12% 14% 7% Capital available exceeds companies worthy of financing 17% 21% 29% 26% 28% 39% 38% Capital available GREATLY Y exceeds companies s worthy of financing 8% 4% 10% 17% 16% 14% 20%
General balance
Score e (-2 to 2 2)
Averagevaluationdiscoun ntsforlackofco ontrolimpliedt toproratavalu uesforvariouss sizedminoritys stockinterestsina typicalprivatelyheldcompanywithatot talequityvalueof$10million varyfrom10%to25%forprofitablebusiness s,and from25%to45%forunpr rofitablebusine essdependingo onpercentageo ofequityinterest.
Table 31. Valuation Discount for Minority Stock Interests in a Typical Privately-He Company with . D M eld y a Total Equity Value of $1 Million y 10
Profitable bus siness 1st quartile 10% equity interest y 20% equity interest y 30% equity interest y 40% equity interest y 50% equity interest y 15% 15% 11% 10% 2% Median n 25% 20% 18% 15% 10% 3rd quarti ile 35% 25% 24% 20% 19% 25% 24% 24% 20% 19% Unprofitable business 1st quarti ile Median n 45% 35% 25% 30% 25% 3rd quart tile 65% 50% 50% 55% 45%
Approximately79%ofrespondentsagree ethatamongco ompaniesthatt theyhavework kedwith,senior rmanagers,suc chas chiefexecu utives,wouldbe enefitfromadditionalleadersh hipandskillstra aining.
8 enior Manage and Chie Executives Benefit from Additional Leadership and ers ef s m l Figure 83. Would Se Skil Training? lls ? 17% 44% 4% 35% Stronglyagree Agree Neutral Disagree
Figure 84. Skills That Are Impo e T ortant for Se enior Manage ement to Hav ve 0% Leader rship Understa andingcompet titiveenvironm ments Strategicplan nning Sa alesandmarke eting Knowled dgeofbusinessandworldev vents nspiringinnova ation In Humanresou urces Corporatefinance Legalandreg gulatoryknowle edge Manag gementaccoun nting Globalbusinessmanagem ment eanalysis/rese earch Quantitative Today y % 51% 61% 52% 56% 4 48% 46% 41% 41% % 41% 40% 36% 40% 34% 31% 33% 30% 36% Inthefut ture 52% 10 0% 20% 30 0% 40% 5 0% 60% 7 70% 80% 90% 9
Relativetosixmonthsago o,respondentsindicatedincrea asesindemand dforprivateequity,qualityofcompaniessee eking investment t,amountofno oncontrolinves stmentsandslig ghtincreasesin ndealmultiples s.Theyalsoreportedadecreas sein expectedre eturnsonnewi investmentsan ndworsenedgeneralbusiness conditions.
Ta able 32. Gene Business and Indust Assessm eral try ment: Today v versus Six M Months Ago
Net Stayed % Decr reased Decreased Increased Inc reased % inc crease/ about the signif ficantly slightly nificantly increas decrease se slightly sign same de ecrease Demand fo private equity or Quality of companies seeki c ing investment t Average in nvestment size Non-contro investments ol Expected investment holdin ng period Deal multip ples Exit opport tunities Expected returns on new r investment ts Value of po ortfolio companie es General bu usiness condition ns Size of priv vate equity indus stry 1% 1 1% 1 1% 1 0% 0 0% 0 3% 3 9% 9 2% 2 2% 2 12% 2% 2 7% 25% % 14% % 9% 7% 25% % 34% % 31% % 32% % 47% % 27% % 41% 29% 52% 55% 40% 32% 27% 45% 23% 22% 43% 35% 38% 30% 28% 35% 31% 25% 21% 38% 17% 22% 17% 7% 3% 8% 18% 9% 5% 1% 5% 2% 5% 52% 45% 33% 36% 53% 40% 30% 21% 43% 19% 28% 8% 26% 15% 9% 7% 28% 43% 34% 35% 59% 29% 44% 19% 18% 27% 46% 11% -13% -12% 8% -40% -2%
Table 33. General Business an Industry Assessment Expectation over the N nd A ns Next 12 Month hs
Decr rease signif ficantly Demand for private equity Quality of co ompanies seeking investment Average investment size Non-control investments Expected inv vestment holding period g Deal multiple es Exit opportunities Expected returns on new investments s Value of por rtfolio companies s General bus siness conditions s Size of priva equity industr ate ry 0% 0 1% 0% 0 1% 0% 0 3% 3 6% 6 2% 2 4% 4 11 1% 4% 4 ase Decrea slightly 5% 16% 14% 12% 6% 25% 27% 26% 22% 33% 23% Stay about the same 32% 32% 46% 49% 48% 38% 39% 47% 36% 28% 47% N Net Increase Incr rease % % incr rease/ slightly signif ficantly increase decrease e dec crease 50% 43% 36% 32% 37% 31% 25% 25% 32% 25% 20% 1 3% 9 9% 5 5% 6 6% 9 9% 2 2% 3 3% 1 1% 6 6% 3 3% 6 6% 63% 51% 41% 39% 45% 34% 29% 26% 38% 28% 26% 5% 17% 14% 13% 6% 28% 33% 27% 26% 44% 27% 5 58% 3 35% 2 27% 2 26% 3 39% 6 6% -4% -2% 1 12% -1 17% -1%
Figure 85. Issues Faci Privately ing y-Held Busin nesses 0% Accesstocapital Ec conomicuncert tainty(domest tic) Econo omicuncertaint ty(internation nal) Gov vernmentregulationsandtax xes Oth her Competiti ionfromforeig gntradepartne ers Inflation 1% 0% Currentiss sue Emerg gingissue 4% 4 % 3% 5% 10% 18% 20 0% 23% % 5% 10% 15% 20% 0% 20 28 8% 26% 25% 0% 30 35% 40% 3 37%
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|61
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|62
Figure 87. Ty F ypical Investm ment Size 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 58% 39% 37% 18% 6% Lessthan$1 $15million million $5$10 million $1025 million $25$50 million 10%
5% $100$500 million
$50$100 million
Thetypeso ofbusinessesre espondentsplan ntoinvestinov vernext12mon nthsareverydiversewithove er22%targeting g businessse ervices,followedby21%whop plantoinvestin nmanufacturin g.
Figure 88 Type of Bu 8. usiness for In nvestments P Planned ove Next 12 Mo er onths 2% 3% 8% 8% 10% 12% 14% 21% Businessservices Manufacturing g Healthcare Retailandcon nsumerservice es Wholesale&d distribution Informationte echnology Basicmaterials&energy Financialservi ices Other
22% 2
Figure 89. Total Nu e umber of Inv vestments Ma in the La Six Mont ade ast ths
14% % 11%
0 2 18% 4 610
1 3 5 Mor rethan10
Figure 90 Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last Six Mo 0. I e onths 2% 2% 5% 6% 15% 2 17% % 19% 4 610 3 5 Morethan10 34% 0 1
Figure 91. Number of Total Inve r estments Pla anned over N Next 12 Mont ths 2% 2% % 23% 2 4% 14% 9% 32% % 14% 4 610 5 M Morethan10 0 2 1 3
2. f nvestments Planned ove Next 12 Mo er onths Figure 92 Number of Follow-on In 2% 10% 13% 8% 13% % 17 7% 12% % 25% 0 2 4 610 1 3 5 Mo orethan10
MEZZANIN NEcont.
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
ResultsofresponsestosponsoreddealsbasedonsizeofinvesteeEBITDAarereportedbelow.
ResultsofresponsestononsponsoreddealsbasedonsizeofinvesteeEBITDAarereportedbelow.
$1M EBITDA % of deals with warrants Average loan terms (years) Senior leverage ratio (multiple of EBITDA) Total leverage ratio (multiple of EBITDA) Average loan size Cash interest rate PIK Warrants expected return (IRR contribution) Total expected returns (gross cash on pre-tax IRR) 88% 4 2 4 4 11% 2% 8% 17.5%
MEZZANINEcont. 2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|66
Figure 93. Borrower Mo B otivation to Secure Mezza S anine Fundin (past six m ng months) Acquisitionloan 31% Managemen ntbuyout Refinancing g 29% Financinggr rowth Workingcap pitalfluctuatio ons Financewor rseningoperat tionscondition ns
Responden ntsreportedonitemsrequired dtocloseonedeal.
6% 2% 16% % 16%
Meet Businessplan nsor tingswithprincipals Propos sallettersorte erm Lettersofintentsigned d emorandumsr reviewed sh heetsissued conducted me 1stQuartile 1 Median 3 3rdQuartile
MEZZANIN NEcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|67
Approximately80%ofrespondentsagree ethatamongco ompaniesthatt theyhavework kedwith,senior rmanagers,suc chas chiefexecu utives,wouldbe enefitfromadditionalleadersh hipandskillstra aining.
Figure 95. Would Se 9 enior Manage and Chie Executives Benefit from Additional Leadership and ers ef s m l Skil Training? lls ? 2% 18% 29% Stronglyagree e Agree Neutral 51% Disagree
Accordingt torespondents, ,leadershipskills,understandingcompetitive eenvironments sandstrategicp planningarethe mostimpor rtantforsenior rmanagementt tohave.
Figure 96. Skills That Are Impo e T ortant for Se enior Manage ement to Hav ve 0% Leader rship Understa andingcompet titiveenvironm ments Strategicplan nning Sa alesandmarke eting Knowled dgeofbusinessandworldev vents Corporatefinance nspiringinnova ation In Manag gementaccoun nting Legalandreg gulatoryknowle edge Quantitative eanalysis/rese earch Humanresou urces Globalbusinessmanagem ment Today y
MEZZANIN NEcont. 2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|68
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 10 % % 00% 84% 93 3%
65% 53% 5 51% 49 9% 42% 42% 35% 40% 38% 35% 33% 3 30% 20% 35% Inthefut ture 5 51% 58%
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
Totaldebttocashflowratiowasthemostimportantfactorwhendecidingwhethertoinvestornot,followedbytotal debtservicecoverageratio.
Table 41. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus Six Months Ago
Stayed Net Decreased Decreased Increased Increased % % about the increase/ significantly slightly slightly significantly increase decrease same decrease Demand for mezzanine capital Credit quality of borrowers seeking investment Average investment size Average investment maturity General underwriting standards Warrant coverage PIK features Loan fees Leverage multiples Expected returns on new investments General business conditions 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 8% 0% 0% 0% 2% 7% 12% 19% 7% 0% 19% 31% 24% 12% 10% 45% 45% 33% 49% 62% 93% 57% 46% 63% 81% 20% 26% 29% 47% 28% 29% 7% 17% 13% 10% 7% 71% 21% 14% 9% 5% 2% 0% 2% 3% 2% 0% 0% 5% 5% 56% 33% 31% 7% 19% 15% 12% 7% 71% 26% 19% 12% 19% 7% 0% 24% 38% 24% 12% 10% 48% 52% 44% 14% 24% 7% -5% -23% -12% -5% 61% -21% -33%
MEZZANINEcont.
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|69
Table 42. General Business an Industry Assessment Expectation over the N nd A ns Next 12 Month hs
Dec crease significantly Demand fo mezzanine cap or pital Credit quality of borrowers seeking investment t Average in nvestment size Average in nvestment maturi ity General un nderwriting stand dards Warrant co overage PIK feature es Loan fees Leverage multiples m Expected returns on new r investment ts General bu usiness condition ns Size of me ezzanine industry y 0% 0 2% 2 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 2% 2 0% 0 5% 5 0% 0 Net ase Stay about Increase t In crease Decrea % % ncrease/ in slightly sign slight tly the same nificantly increas decrease se de ecrease 2% % 29% % 3% % 3% % 13% % 13% % 10% % 5% % 27% % 20% % 51% % 10% % 41% 44% 80% 93% 65% 68% 80% 83% 41% 44% 27% 49% 37% 22% 15% 3% 20% 15% 5% 10% 29% 29% 17% 34% 20% 2% 3% 3% 3% 5% 5% 2% 0% 7% 0% 7% 56% % 24% % 18% % 5% 23% % 20% % 10% % 12% % 29% % 37% % 17% % 41% % 2% 32% 3% 3% 13% 13% 10% 5% 29% 20% 56% 10% 54% -7% 15% 3% 10% 8% 0% 7% 0% 17% -39% 32%
Figure 97 Issues Faci Privately 7. ing y-Held Busin nesses 0% Ec conomicuncert tainty(domest tic) Econo omicuncertaint ty(internation nal) Accesstocapital Gov vernmentregulationsandtax xes Inflation Competiti ionfromforeig gntradepartne ers Oth her 2% 1% 4% % Currentiss sue Emerg gingissue 5% 5 9% 11% 17% 28% 21% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 29% 35% 40% 45% 44% % 50%
Therewere e103responses stothebankss surveywithcom mmercialbanks makingup35% %intermsofindividuallending g function.O Over32%ofresp pondentsbeliev vethatgeneralbusinesscondiitionswillimpro oveoverthene ext12monthsa and over51%sa aiddemandfor rloanswillincre ease.Otherkey yfindingsinclud de: Overthelastsixmonthsrespon ndentsweresee eingworsened businesscondit tionsandappet titeforrisk,flat t emandforloansandunderwri itingstandardswithslightincr reaseincreditq qualityofborro owers,andfocuson de co ollateralasaba ackupmeansofpayment. Re espondentsalso oexpectincrea aseinlendingca apacityofbank sandSBAlending,flatunderw writingstandard dsand cr reditqualityofborrowers,slightincreasesinseniorandtota alleveragemult tiples,increasin ngduediligence e ef fforts,andfurth herpricingcompression. Cu urrently,themajorityoflende ers(56%)seedo omesticeconom micuncertainty yasthetopissu uefacingprivate ely he eldbusinesses.
5%
Figu 98. Descr ure ription of Le nding Entity y 2% 2% 1% 8% 8% 8% 31% 35% Commercialban nk A Assetbasedlen nder Corporatebank k Communityban nk Commercialfina ancecompany y O Other Privatebanker R esidentialmor rtgagelender Creditunion
22% Yes No
78%
BANK KScont.
5million(58%). Thelargestconcentrationofloansizeswasbetween$1millionand$25
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|71
Fi igure 100. Ty ypical Invest tment Size 30% 25% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Lessthan$1 million $15millio on $6$10m million $112 25million $ $25$50 million G Greaterthan$50 million 11% 17% % 1 18% 14% 15%
$1M Cash flow loan Working ca apital loan Equipment loan t Real estate loan e Typical fixe ed-rate loan term (years) m 6% 6% 6% 6% 5.5
$1M EBIT TDA Manufacturing Retail and consumer servic ces Wholesale & distribution Business services s Basic mate erials & energy Health care e Information technology n Financial services s Average 1.2 25 1.2 25 1.2 25 1.2 25 1. .5 1.2 25 1. .5 1.2 25 1. .3 M $5M EBIT TDA 1.2 25 1.2 25 1.2 25 1.2 25 1.2 25 1.5 5 1.5 5 1.2 25 1.3 3 M $10M DA EBITD 1.25 5 1.25 5 1.25 5 1.25 5 1.25 5 1.75 5 1.5 5 1.5 5 1.4 4 M $25M EBITD DA 1.25 5 1.25 5 1.25 5 1.25 5 1.25 5 2 2 1.75 5 1.5 M $50M EBITD DA 1.75 5 1.25 5 1.25 5 1.75 5 1.25 5 1.75 5 1.5 1.75 5 1.5 M $100M EBITD DA 1.75 5 1.25 5 1.5 1.75 5 1.75 5 1.75 5 1.75 5 1.75 5 1.7
Figure 101. Borrowe Motivation to Secure F er n Financing (p past six mont ths) 5% % % 11% 12% 17% 52% % Refinancing gexistingloans sorequity Expansion Workingca apitalfluctuatio ons Financewo orseningoperatingconditions Manageme entbuyout Other
3%
BANK KScont.
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
Unimportant Current ratio Senior DSCR or FCC ratio Total DSCR or FCC ratio Senior debt-to-cash flow Total debt-to-cash flow Debt-to-net worth Revenue growth rate 29% 9% 9% 7% 7% 16% 6%
Respondentsreportedonthepercentageofloans(bysize)thatrequirepersonalguarantees..
Approximately63%ofcashflowapplicationsweredeclined.
BANKScont.
2011|PEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYGRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT.AllRightsReserved.|74
Qua alityofearning gsand/orcashflow Ins sufficientcollat teral Debtload Custom merconcentrat tions Sizeofcomp pany Economicconc E cerns Sizeorav vailabilityofpe ersonalguaran ntees Weakeningindustry W Insufficientm managementteam Insufficientoperatinghis story Insufficientcr redit Lackofba ankingrelation nship Other O
Fig gure 103. Fee eling Increas Pressure from Regul sed e lators to Avo Making R oid Risky Loans 13% 4% 13% % 17% Stronglyagree 52% Ag gree Ag greesomewhat Ne eitheragreeno ordisagree Disagreesomew what
ethatamongco ompaniesthatt theyhavework kedwith,senior rmanagers,suc chas Approximately58%ofrespondentsagree chiefexecu utives,wouldbe enefitfromadditionalleadersh hipandskillstra aining.
04. enior Manag gers and Chie Executives Benefit fro Additiona Leadership and ef s om al p Figure 10 Would Se Skil Training? lls ? 12% 12% % 31 1% Stronglyagree e A Agree 46% Neutral Disagree
2011|PEPPER RDINEUNIVERSITY YGRAZIADIOSCHO OOLOFBUSINESS ANDMANAGEME ENT.AllRightsReserved.|75
BANK KScont.
Figure 105. Skills That Are Imp e T portant for Se enior Manag gement to Ha ave 0% Leader rship Sa alesandmarke eting Strategicplan nning Understa andingcompet titiveenvironm ments Legalandreg gulatoryknowle edge In nspiringinnova ation Knowled dgeofbusinessandworldev vents Corporatefinance gementaccoun nting Manag Quantitative eanalysis/rese earch Globalbusinessmanagem ment Humanresou urces Today y 28% 42% 46% 39% 39% 39% 42% 3 36% 39% 33% % 10% 20% 30% 4 40% 50% 60% 70% 7
Figure 106 Issues Fac 6. cing Privately y-Held Busin nesses 56%
Economicunc certainty(dom mestic) Accesstocapital Governmentre G egulationsandtaxes Eco onomicuncerta ainty(international) Compe etitionfromfor reigntradepar rtners Inflation Other O 2% % 5% 7% 5% 2% % Emerg gingissue 9% 9% 21% 1 16% 2 28%
40 0%
Currentiss sue
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
Respondentsindicatedincreasesinalmostallgeneralbusinesscharacteristicsexceptgeneralunderwritingstandards, amountofnonaccrualloans,sizeofinterestratespreads,businessconditionsandappetiteforrisk.
Table 51. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus Six Months Ago
Stayed Net Decreased Decreased Increased Increased % % about the increase/ significantly slightly slightly significantly increase decrease decrease same Demand for business loans (applications) General underwriting standards Credit quality of borrowers applying for credit Loans outstanding Nonaccrual loans Number/ tightness of financial covenants Due diligence efforts Average loan size Average loan maturity (months) Percent of loans with personal guarantees Percent of loans requiring collateral Size of interest rate spreads (pricing) Loan fees Standard advance rates Interest rate spread (pricing) Senior leverage multiples Total leverage multiples Focus on collateral as backup means of payment SBA lending Lending capacity of bank General business conditions Appetite for risk 12% 0% 7% 0% 25% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 10% 8% 7% 8% 12% 20% 16% 11% 38% 11% 0% 14% 7% 10% 4% 48% 42% 6% 56% 4% 8% 8% 20% 8% 29% 36% 30% 64% 37% 17% 38% 61% 48% 49% 60% 80% 76% 24% 42% 61% 17% 58% 54% 58% 35% 17% 43% 28% 35% 12% 35% 56% 0% 17% 40% 35% 28% 5% 16% 20% 14% 28% 17% 29% 29% 29% 25% 38% 21% 20% 12% 4% 5% 17% 0% 6% 12% 2% 5% 5% 4% 8% 2% 6% 6% 8% 8% 4% 10% 29% 0% 8% 47% 16% 40% 72% 0% 22% 52% 37% 33% 10% 20% 28% 16% 33% 22% 38% 38% 33% 35% 67% 21% 28% 23% 20% 23% 11% 63% 17% 0% 14% 7% 10% 4% 48% 42% 6% 61% 4% 8% 8% 30% 17% 36% 44% 23% -4% 16% 61% -63% 6% 52% 23% 26% 0% 16% -20% -26% 28% -39% 33% 29% 25% 5% 50% -14% -16%
BANKScont.
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Respondentsexpectfurtherincreasesinallbusinesscharacteristicsexceptaverageloansize,loanfees,totalleverage multiples,focusoncollateral,andlendingcapacityofbank.
Table 52. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months
Decrease significantly Demand for business loans (applications) General underwriting standards Credit quality of borrowers applying for credit Due diligence efforts Average loan size Average loan maturity (months) Percent of loans with personal guarantees Percent of loans requiring collateral Size of interest rate spreads (pricing) Loan fees Senior leverage multiples Total leverage multiples Focus on collateral as backup means of payment SBA lending Lending capacity of bank General business conditions Appetite for risk 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Net Decrease Stay about Increase Increase % % increase/ slightly the same slightly significantly increase decrease decrease 5% 8% 16% 0% 31% 17% 0% 0% 5% 14% 8% 38% 23% 0% 28% 4% 4% 44% 72% 56% 22% 56% 61% 68% 56% 70% 82% 80% 42% 63% 89% 50% 64% 60% 37% 16% 26% 61% 6% 17% 28% 42% 21% 0% 4% 17% 12% 11% 22% 28% 32% 14% 4% 2% 17% 6% 6% 4% 2% 5% 5% 8% 4% 2% 0% 0% 4% 4% 51% 20% 28% 78% 13% 22% 32% 44% 26% 5% 12% 21% 14% 11% 22% 32% 36% 5% 8% 16% 0% 31% 17% 0% 0% 5% 14% 8% 38% 23% 0% 28% 4% 4% 47% 12% 12% 78% -19% 6% 32% 44% 21% -9% 4% -17% -9% 11% -6% 28% 32%
BANKScont.
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Figure 107. Industries Served by As S sset-Based L Lenders Man nufacturing 3% 7% 8% 12 2% 12% 5% 12% 25% 16% Who olesale&distribution Heallthcare Busi nessservices Basic cmaterials&e energy Infor rmationtechnology Reta ail&consumer rservices Fina ncialservices Othe er
Approximately38%ofthe ecompaniestha atbookedasset tbasedloansin nthelastsixmo onthshadEBITD DAsizelessthan $5million.
Figure 108. Typical EBIT F T TDA Sizes for Companies Booked r s 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% NegativeEBITD N DA
38 8%
13%
16%
18% %
15%
$510million $ EBITDA
$50+millionEBITDA A
Tab 54. Stand ble dard Advanc Rate (or LTV ratio) for Assets (%) ce
Typical Loan 1st qu uartile Marketable securities e Accounts receivable r Inventory - low quality Inventory - intermediate quality Inventory - high quality Equipment t Real estate e Land 90 9 80 8 25 2 40 4 55 5 59 5 60 6 35 3 Media an 90 85 30 45 60 75 65 40 3rd quart tile 90 85 31 50 65 80 70 45 1st quar rtile 90 85 21 40 50 75 55 37 Upper Lim mit Median 90 85 30 50 60 75 70 42 3rd quartile 90 90 46 60 65 78 75 44
Fi igure 109. Va aluation Stan ndards Used to Estimate LTV Ratio d 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 87% 63% 44% % 35% 10% 6% Purchase price 11% 33% % 25% 25% 6% 5% Fairmarket value Forced liquidation 10% 7% Orderly n liquidation Inventory
torespondentsworkingcapita albasedloansh hadthesmalles stdeclinerate(5 59%)overthelastsixmonths. . Accordingt
10% 7% 6% % Other
Facevalue Realestate
Accountsreceivable
Figure 110. Assete -Based Loan Decline Ra ns ate 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Workingcapita W al Receivable es based Equipm ment base ed Invent orybased R Realestate based O Otheroperatin ng assetbased
72% 59%
73% %
7 74%
79%
79%
PEPPERDINEPRIVATECAPITALMARKETSPROJECT|CAPITALMARKETSREPORT20112012
ABOUTTHEAUTHOR
JohnPaglia,PhD,MBA,CPA,CFA
AssociateProfessorofFinanceandSeniorResearcher PepperdinePrivateCapitalMarkets Dr.Paglia,aformerJulianVirtueandDenneyProfessorshiprecipient,isanassociateprofessoroffinanceat PepperdineUniversityanddirectsthePepperdinePrivateCapitalMarketsProject.Hehasover10yearsof universityteachingexperienceinfinance,performsbusinessvaluationsforprivatelyheldcompanies,andhas testifiedasanexpertoneconomicdamageandvaluationmatters. HisworkonthePepperdinePrivateCapitalMarketsProjectthefirstsimultaneous,comprehensive,andon goinginvestigationofthemajorprivatecapitalmarketsegmentshasresultedinover20,000report downloadsinmorethan70countriesandhasearnedhimthe2011GeorgeAward,whichisgiventotheone facultymemberannuallywhobestleveragesthebusinesscommunitytomakeadifferenceintheclassroom.
ABOUTPEPPERDINEUNIVERSITYS GRAZIADIOSCHOOLOFBUSINESSANDMANAGEMENT
Foundedonthecorevaluesofintegrity,stewardship,courage,andcompassion,PepperdineUniversitys GraziadioSchoolofBusinessandManagementhasbeendevelopingvaluescenteredleadersandadvancing responsiblebusinesspracticesince1969.Studentfocused,experiencedriven,andgloballyoriented,the GraziadioSchooloffersfullyaccreditedMBA,masterofscience,andbachelorscompletionbusinessprograms. Moreinformationfoundat:bschool.pepperdine.edu/newsroom
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INDEXOFTABLES
Table1.PrivateCapitalMarketRequiredRatesofReturn...................................................................................8 Table2.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayversusSixMonthsAgo ........................................... 2 . 1 Table3.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsovertheNext12Months............................... 2 1 Table4.MedianDealMultiplesbyEBITDASizeofCompany.............................................................................. 7 1 Table5.MedianTotalLeverageMultiplesbySizeofCompany .......................................................................... 8 . 1 Table6.MedianSeniorLeverageMultiplesbySizeofCompany ........................................................................ 8 . 1 Table7.BalanceofAvailableCapitalwithQualityCompanies ........................................................................... 9 . 1 Table8.HowDifficulttoArrangeSeniorDebtforTransactionsoverthePastSixMonths................................... 9 1 Table9.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayversusSixMonthsAgo ........................................... 1 . 2 Table10.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsovertheNext12Months............................. 1 2 Table11.MedianRevenueDealMultiplesbyRevenueSizeofCompany............................................................ 7 2 Table12.MedianEBITDADealMultiplesbyRevenueSizeofCompany.............................................................. 7 2 Table13.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayVersusSixMonthsAgo......................................... 0 3 Table14.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsovertheNext12Months............................. 0 3 Table15.ImportanceofFactorsWhenEvaluating............................................................................................. 6 3 Table16.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayversusSixMonthsAgo.......................................... 7 3 Table17.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsovertheNext12Months............................. 8 3 Table18.GeneralInformationonInvestmentsbyCompanyStages................................................................... 1 4 Table19.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayversusSixMonthsAgo.......................................... 4 4 Table20.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsovertheNext12Months............................. 5 4 Table21.VCFundData..................................................................................................................................... 7 4 Table22.GeneralInformationonInvestmentsbyCompanyStages................................................................... 8 4 Table23.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayversusSixMonthsAgo.......................................... 1 5 Table24.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsovertheNext12Months............................. 1 5 Table25.PEGFundData................................................................................................................................... 4 5
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Table26.GeneralCharacteristicsBuyoutTransactions(medians)................................................................... 6 5 Table27.GeneralCharacteristicsNonBuyoutTransactions(medians)............................................................ 6 5 Table28.DealMultiplesAmongIndustries(medians)........................................................................................ 7 5 Table29.TheEasetoArrangeSeniorDebtforTransactionsoverthePastSixMonths........................................ 8 5 Table30.TheBalanceofAvailableCapitalwithQualityCompaniesfortheFollowingSize................................. 9 5 Table31.ValuationDiscountforMinorityStockInterestsinaTypicalPrivatelyHeldCompanywithaTotalEquity Valueof$10Million................................................................................................................................. 9 5 Table32.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayversusSixMonthsAgo.......................................... 0 6 Table33.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsovertheNext12Months............................. 1 6 Table34.MezzanineFundData......................................................................................................................... 4 6 Table35.SponsoredDealsbySizeofInvesteeCompanyEBITDA(medians)....................................................... 6 6 Table36.InvestmentTypebySizeofInvesteeCompany,SponsoredDeals........................................................ 6 6 Table37.NonSponsoredDealsbySizeofInvesteeCompanyEBITDA(medians)................................................ 6 6 Table38.InvestmentTypebySizeofInvesteeCompany,SponsoredDeals........................................................ 7 6 Table39.ImportanceofFinancialEvaluationMetrics........................................................................................ 9 6 Table40.FinancialEvaluationMetricsAverageData......................................................................................... 9 6 Table41.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayversusSixMonthsAgo.......................................... 9 6 Table42.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessmentExpectationsovertheNext12Months............................. 0 7 Table44.AllinRatesbyIndustry...................................................................................................................... 2 7 Table45.AllinRatesbyLoanType................................................................................................................... 2 7 Table46.SeniorLeverageMultiplebyEBITDASize............................................................................................ 3 7 Table47.FeesCharged ..................................................................................................................................... 3 . 7 Table48.ImportanceofFinancialEvaluationMetrics........................................................................................ 4 7 Table49.FinancialEvaluationMetricsAverageData......................................................................................... 4 7 Table50.PersonalGuaranteePercentageofOccurrencebySizeofLoan(%) ..................................................... 4 . 7 Table51.ApplicationsData............................................................................................................................... 4 7 Table52.GeneralBusinessandIndustryAssessment:TodayversusSixMonthsAgo.......................................... 7 7
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INDEXOFFIGURES
Figure1.PrivateCapitalMarketRequiredRatesofReturn .................................................................................7 . Figure2.AnnualRevenuesofCompaniesValued............................................................................................... 0 1 Figure3.UsageofValuationApproaches .......................................................................................................... 0 . 1 Figure4.UsageofMultiples.............................................................................................................................. 1 1 Figure5.AverageRiskFreeRate,Market(equity)RiskPremiumandLongTermGrowthRate........................... 1 1 Figure6.DiscountforLackofMarketability(DLOM)byRevenueSizes............................................................... 1 1 Figure7.ExplicitForecastPeriodforHighGrowthCompaniesbyRevenueSizes(years)..................................... 2 1 Figure8.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses............................................................................................... 3 1 Figure9.PrivateBusinessSalesTransactionsClosedintheLastSixMonths....................................................... 4 1 Figure10.BusinessTypesThatWereInvolvedintheTransactionsClosedintheLastSixMonths....................... 5 1 Figure11.AverageNumberofMonthstoCloseOneDeal.................................................................................. 5 1 Figure12.PrivateBusinessTransactionsExpectedtoCloseintheNext12Months............................................ 5 1 Figure13.PercentageofBusinessSalesEngagementsTerminatedWithoutTransacting.................................... 6 1 Figure14.ReasonsforBusinessSalesEngagementsNotTransacting................................................................. 6 1 Figure15.ValuationGapinPricingforTransactionsThatDidntClose............................................................... 6 1 Figure16.UsageofValuationApproaches......................................................................................................... 7 1 Figure17.UsageofMultiples............................................................................................................................ 7 1 Figure18.ComponentsofClosedDeals............................................................................................................. 8 1 Figure19.PremiumPaidbyStrategicBuyersRelativetoFinancialBuyers......................................................... 9 1 Figure20.WouldSeniorManagersandChiefExecutivesBenefitfromAdditionalLeadershipandSkillsTraining? ................................................................................................................................................................ 0 2
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Figure21.SkillsThatAreImportantforSeniorManagementtoHave................................................................ 0 2 Figure22.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses............................................................................................. 2 2 Figure23.PrivateBusinessSalesTransactionsClosedintheLastSixMonths..................................................... 4 2 Figure24.PrivateBusinessSalesTransactionsExpectedtobCloseintheNextTwelveMonths.......................... 4 2 Figure25.PrivateBusinessSalesTransactionsExpecttoCloseintheNext12Months....................................... 5 2 Figure26.AverageNumberofMonthstoCloseOneDeal.................................................................................. 5 2 Figure27.PercentageofBusinessSalesEngagementsTerminatedWithoutTransacting.................................... 5 2 Figure28.ReasonsforBusinessSalesEngagementsNotTransacting................................................................. 6 2 Figure29.ValuationGapinPricingforTransactionsThatDidntClose............................................................... 6 2 Figure30.UsageofValuationApproaches......................................................................................................... 6 2 Figure31.UsageofMultiples............................................................................................................................ 7 2 Figure32.ComponentsofClosedDeals............................................................................................................. 8 2 Figure33.HowDifficulttoArrangeSeniorDebtforTransactionsoverthePastSixMonths................................ 8 2 Figure34.WouldSeniorManagersandChiefExecutivesBenefitfromAdditionalLeadershipandSkillsTraining? ................................................................................................................................................................ 8 2 Figure35.SkillsThatAreImportantforSeniorManagementtoHave................................................................ 9 2 Figure36.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses............................................................................................. 9 2 Figure37.AssetsunderManagementorInvestableFunds................................................................................. 2 3 Figure38.CurrentandTargetAssetAllocationsfor"AlternativeAssets"(%oftotalportfolio)........................... 2 3 Figure39.CurrentTargetAssetAllocation......................................................................................................... 3 3 Figure40.AnnualReturnExpectationsforNewInvestments............................................................................. 3 3 Figure41.AssetswiththeBestRisk/ReturnTradeoffCurrently........................................................................ 4 3 Figure42.IndustrywiththeBestRisk/Return.................................................................................................... 4 3 Figure43.GeographicRegionsoftheWorldOfferingtheBestRisk/ReturnTradeoffCurrently........................... 5 3 Figure44.GeographicRegionsoftheUSAwiththeBestRisk/ReturnCurrently................................................. 5 3 Figure45.WouldSeniorManagersandChiefExecutivesBenefitfromAdditionalLeadershipandSkillsTraining? ................................................................................................................................................................ 6 3
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Figure46.SkillsThatAreImportantforSeniorManagementtoHave................................................................ 7 3 Figure47.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses............................................................................................. 8 3 Figure48.TotalNumberofInvestmentsMadeintheLastSixMonths............................................................... 9 3 Figure49.NumberofFollowonInvestmentsMadeintheLastSixMonths........................................................ 9 3 Figure50.NumberofTotalInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months............................................................. 0 4 Figure51.NumberofFollowonInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months...................................................... 0 4 Figure52.TypeofBusinessforInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months ....................................................... 0 . 4 Figure53.GeographicLocationofPlannedInvestmentoverNext12Months.................................................... 2 4 Figure54.GeographicalLimitforInvestment.................................................................................................... 2 4 Figure55.UsageofValuationApproaches......................................................................................................... 2 4 Figure56.ItemsRequiredtoCloseOneDeal..................................................................................................... 3 4 Figure57.ExitPlansforPortfolioCompanies..................................................................................................... 3 4 Figure58.WouldSeniorManagersandChiefExecutivesBenefitfromAdditionalLeadershipandSkillsTraining? ................................................................................................................................................................ 3 4 Figure59.SkillsThatAreImportantforSeniorManagementtoHave................................................................ 4 4 Figure60.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses............................................................................................. 5 4 Figure61.TotalNumberofInvestmentsMadeintheLastSixMonths............................................................... 6 4 Figure62.NumberofFollowonInvestmentsMadeintheLastSixMonths........................................................ 6 4 Figure63.NumberofTotalInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months............................................................. 7 4 Figure64.NumberofFollowonInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months...................................................... 7 4 Figure65.TypeofBusinessforInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months ....................................................... 7 . 4 Figure66.GeographicLocationofPlannedInvestmentoverNext12Months.................................................... 9 4 Figure67.UsageofValuationApproaches......................................................................................................... 9 4 Figure68.ItemsRequiredtoCloseOneDeal..................................................................................................... 9 4 Figure69.ExitPlansforPortfolioCompanies..................................................................................................... 0 5 Figure70.WouldSeniorManagersandChiefExecutivesBenefitfromAdditionalLeadershipandSkillsTraining? ................................................................................................................................................................ 0 5
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Figure71.SkillsThatAreImportantforSeniorManagementtoHave................................................................ 0 5 Figure72.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses............................................................................................. 2 5 Figure73.TypicalInvestmentSize..................................................................................................................... 4 5 Figure74.TypeofBusinessforInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months ....................................................... 5 . 5 Figure75.TotalNumberofInvestmentsMadeintheLastSixMonths............................................................... 5 5 Figure76.NumberofFollowonInvestmentsMadeintheLastSixMonths........................................................ 5 5 Figure77.NumberofTotalInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months............................................................. 5 5 Figure78.NumberofFollowonInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months...................................................... 6 5 Figure79.UsageofValuationApproaches......................................................................................................... 7 5 Figure80.UsageofMultiples............................................................................................................................ 7 5 Figure81.ItemsRequiredtoCloseOneDeal..................................................................................................... 8 5 Figure82.ExitPlansforPortfolioCompanies..................................................................................................... 8 5 Figure83.WouldSeniorManagersandChiefExecutivesBenefitfromAdditionalLeadershipandSkillsTraining? ................................................................................................................................................................ 9 5 Figure84.SkillsThatAreImportantforSeniorManagementtoHave................................................................ 0 6 Figure85.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses............................................................................................. 1 6 Figure86.SBIC(smallbusinessinvestment)Firms............................................................................................. 3 6 Figure87.TypicalInvestmentSize..................................................................................................................... 3 6 Figure88.TypeofBusinessforInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months ....................................................... 4 . 6 Figure89.TotalNumberofInvestmentsMadeintheLastSixMonths............................................................... 4 6 Figure90.NumberofFollowonInvestmentsMadeintheLastSixMonths........................................................ 5 6 Figure91.NumberofTotalInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months............................................................. 5 6 Figure92.NumberofFollowonInvestmentsPlannedoverNext12Months...................................................... 5 6 Figure93.BorrowerMotivationtoSecureMezzanineFunding(pastsixmonths)............................................... 7 6 Figure94.ItemsRequiredtoCloseOneDeal..................................................................................................... 7 6 Figure95.WouldSeniorManagersandChiefExecutivesBenefitfromAdditionalLeadershipandSkillsTraining? ................................................................................................................................................................ 8 6
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Figure96.SkillsThatAreImportantforSeniorManagementtoHave................................................................ 8 6 Figure97.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses............................................................................................. 0 7 Figure98.DescriptionofLendingEntity............................................................................................................. 1 7 Figure99.ParticipationinGovernmentLoanPrograms..................................................................................... 1 7 Figure100.TypicalInvestmentSize................................................................................................................... 2 7 Figure101.BorrowerMotivationtoSecureFinancing(pastsixmonths)............................................................ 3 7 Figure102.ReasonforDeclinedLoans .............................................................................................................. 5 . 7 Figure105.FeelingIncreasedPressurefromRegulatorstoAvoidMakingRiskyLoans........................................ 5 7 Figure103.WouldSeniorManagersandChiefExecutivesBenefitfromAdditionalLeadershipandSkillsTraining? ................................................................................................................................................................ 5 7 Figure104.SkillsThatAreImportantforSeniorManagementtoHave .............................................................. 6 . 7 Figure106.IssuesFacingPrivatelyHeldBusinesses........................................................................................... 6 7 Figure107.IndustriesServedbyAssetBasedLenders....................................................................................... 9 7 Figure108.TypicalEBITDASizesforCompaniesBooked.................................................................................... 9 7 Figure109.ValuationStandardsUsedtoEstimateLTVRatio............................................................................. 0 8 Figure110.AssetBasedLoansDeclineRate...................................................................................................... 0 8
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