February2009
ExecutiveSummary
EstimatedworthUSD2.5bnin2008 Installedcapacity9645MWwhilepotentialcapacity~45000MW StateofTamilNaduaccountsfor50%ofinstallations 80% of power generated is used for captive consumption 80%ofpowergeneratedisusedforcaptiveconsumption Drivers:StronggovernmentinitiativesatCentralandStatelevels,costcompetitivenessandglobal shiftinthemovementtowardsgenerationofcleanenergy Challenges: Variability in output levels due to climatic conditions shortfall in land available to Challenges:Variabilityinoutputlevelsduetoclimaticconditions,shortfallinlandavailableto developwindfarmsandlackofinfrastructureforgenerationandtransportationofpower
Market
Drivers& Challenges
Trends
Shift from captive consumption to independent power production Shiftfromcaptiveconsumptiontoindependentpowerproduction Shiftfromonshoretooffshorewindenergyduetohigherpotential Largeenergycompaniesenteringtheindustry
Suzlondominatesthemarket
Competition
Ithasinstalled58%ofIndiastotalcapacity Growing@43%p.a.
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WindpoweristhefastestgrowingrenewableenergysourceinIndia andisvaluedatUSD2.5bn
Overview
Thewindpowerinstalledcapacityis9645MW(asof Feb09) Thepotentialcapacityofwindpoweris45195MW Windpowertechnologyisdominatedbyonshore installations(landbased)ofturbines Windpowerisusedforbothcaptiveconsumption andIndependentPowerProducer(IPP)model: dI d d tP P d (IPP) d l
Almost80%ofthepowergeneratedisusedforcaptive consumption
SizeandGrowth
InstalledCapacity(endingMarch) MW
10,000 5,000 0
2004 2005
+34%
3,000
4,430
6,320
7,845
9,645
2006
2007
2008
SegmentedStatewiseInstallations
Maharashtra Karnataka 12% Gujarat 14% 4% Others 44% TamilNadu T il N d 20% 6%
AsofSept.2008 100%=9521.80
SegmentedStatewisePotential
Gujarat 21%
100%=45,195MW
Rajasthan
AndhraPradesh 18% 12% MadhyaPradesh 1% 12% 4% 8% WestBengal 7% Maharashtra TamilNadu Tamil Nadu Rajasthan Orissa
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Drivers&Challenges
Challenges
VariableOutput Variable Output Unavailabilityoflandforwindfarms
Drivers
Governmentinitiatives Costcompetitiveness Globalshifttocleanenergy Lackinginfrastructure
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Positivegovernmentpolicytowardsreducingcostsforinvestorsisthe majordriverinthemarket
Centralgovernmentinitiatives
DirectTaxes
Benefitofaccelerateddepreciation,80%inthefirstyear p , y Additionaldepreciation@20%forprojectsbeingcommissionedafterMarch2005withnew plant&machinery 10yearincometaxexemptionforprofitsfromwindgeneration
Impact
GenerationBasedIncentive(GBI)schemeforgridconnectedprojects
Offeredtoindependentpowerproducerswhodonotavailofaccelerateddepreciation p p p p BenefitofRs.0.50perunit(kwh)foraperiodoftenyears
FinancialIncentive
Financingofupto70%ofeligibleprojectcost 100% FDI is permitted under automatic route 100%FDIispermittedunderautomaticroute
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Stategovernmentshavealsoprovidedlocalizedincentivestoattract playerstoinvestintheirrespectiveStates
State
AndhraPradesh TamilNadu T il N d Karnataka
Wheeling
2%ofenergy,inadditionto veryhightransmission 5%ofenergy 5% f 5%ofenergy+1.15kwhas crosssubsidyfor3rdparty sale TobedecidedbySERC To be decided by SERC 4%ofenergy 2%ofenergy 2%ofenergy+Transmission chargesbySERC 2%ofenergy +5%T&Dloss 2%ofEnergy 2%ofenergy
Banking
12months 5%for12months 5% f 12 th 2%everymonth for12months 9months 9 months (JuneFeb) 6months 6months NotAllowed 2%for12months
Buyback
PresentlyINR3.37w.e.f01.04.2004 (frozenfor5years) INR2.90/kwh INR 2 90/k h INR3.40/kwhnoescalationfor10 years INR3.14/kwhfor20years INR 3.14/kwh for 20 years INR3.37/kwh Tobedecidedoncasetocasebasis withacapofINR4/kwh Present:INR3.97/kwh 5th 20thyear:INR3.30 INR3.50/kwhwithescalationofINR 0.15perunit/yearfor13yearsfrom DoCofproject f CurrentlyatINR3.32/kwh INR2.25/kwh(5%Esc.9596)
Thirdpartysales
Allowed;butsubjectto APERCRegulations NotAllowed N t All d AllowedtoHighTension industrialconsumers None NotAllowed NotAllowed Allowed Allowed
Rajasthan UttarPradesh
2%for12months 12months
Allowed Allowed
Lowcostofpowergenerationandfastrecoveryofinvestmentsmade aresomebenefitsinthemarket
Costcompetitiveness
Cost/kWhofgenerationiscomparabletoconventionalpowergeneration NorecurringcostInvestorbearonlyinitialcapitalcostsincewindisanaturalresourcethus zeroinputfuelcost Paybackinshorterdurationascomparedtootherenergysources Operationandequipmentmaintenancecostsarelow Lowgestationperiod Electricpowergenerationcanbeputonlineinaslowassixmonths
Impact
Technicaloperatingavailability98%
Higheroperatingavailability(theproportionofthetimeinwhichtheequipmentisavailable to operate) compared to other electricity generating technology tooperate)comparedtootherelectricitygeneratingtechnology
cents/kWh
LowerEstimate 11.1
cents/kWh
UpperEstimate
15 10
15 11 10
3.9 4.8 4.0 5.1 5.8
15 12
5 0
5 0
Gas
Coal
Hydro
Biomass
Nuclear
Gas
Coal
Hydro
Biomass
Nuclear
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Theneedforcleanenergy,constantlydevelopingtechnologyandthe volatilityinfuelpricesisexpectedtoboostthisindustry
Globalshifttowardscleanenergy
Stronglobbyingbyinstitutionstowardscleanenergygenerationcoupledwith governmentactiontoreducelevelsofgreenhousegaseshasgivenaboostto thismarket thi k t Continualimprovementsarebeingmadeintheabilityofwindturbinesto capturewindenergy
Increaseinpowerandsizeofturbines,improvedpowerelectronics,betteruseof compositematerialsandtallertowers composite materials and taller towers Costofonshorewindpowerhasdecreasedbyabout80%duetotechnologicalgrowth
Impact
Recentvolatilityinthepricesofcrudeoilhasaffectedlevelsofdemand.Thiswill actasamajordriverinthemarketasplayersaremoreinclinedtowardsusing powergeneratedthroughalternativeinexhaustiblesourcesofenergywith power generated through alternative inexhaustible sources of energy with marginalfluctuationsinprice
USDperbarrel
150 100 50
Crudeoilprices
0 Dec Jan Mar May Jul Aug Sep Nov Dec Jan Feb Jul Sep Nov Dec Jan l b l 06 07 07 07 07 07 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 08 08 09
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Thecompletedependenceonclimaticconditionleadstovariabilityin powergenerationwhichactsasanobstacletorecovercosts
Variablesourceofpower
PeakwindsareobservedduringMaySeptnamelytheSouthwestMonsoon, P k i d b dd i M S t l th S th tM therebycreatingachallengeasanintermittentsourceofenergy
Impact
Suppliersfacehighfixedcosts asequipmentandsetup costislarge Recoveringcostisan impedimentasrequisitepower isgeneratedoveralimited periodinayear Lowvariablecostas maintenancechargesare relativelynegligible Furtherinvestmentisrequired topurchaseasystemtostore energyinordertocurtail fluctuationsinpoweroutput
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Unavailabilityofsuitableterrainandthelackofbasicinfrastructure aresomechallengesintheindustry
Lackoflandtosetupwindfarms
Highlysitespecific
WindfarmscanbesetupatMNESidentifiedpotentialsites(whereithasameanannual windpowerdensityof200W/m2 ormoreat50mabovegroundlevel)
Impact
Impactonwildlife
Governmentlandintheformofreserveforestsisnotavailableforsettingupwindfarms becauseofthepossibleadverseimpactonwildlife
Delayinlandallotmentandclearanceduetoinefficientgovernmentoperations
Lackofinfrastructure
Poortransportationinfrastructure
Thereexistconstraintintransportationandinstallationoflargeturbinestowindfarms locatedinruralareas
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KeyTrends
Trends
Largeenergycompaniesare enteringthemarketcapitalizing onthecostbenefitsavailable th tb fit il bl andthelackofcompetition Offshorewindenergyis becomingmoreattractivethan g onshorewindenergy
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Existingopportunitiesforthesaleofpowercommerciallyisbeing realizedandashiftfromonshoretooffshoretechnologyisobserved
ShifttowardsIPPModel
TurbineManufacturers Players capitalizingon profitincentives Independentlyproducing powerandsupplyingittothe g governmenthence maximisingprofits
Offshoretechnology
Growthinoffshoretechnology
Turbinesinstalledinseabedsexperiencestrongerwindsthanonshoreinstallation Lessobtrusivecomparedtoturbinesonland Strongprospects dueto technological advancements
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Energygiantsaremovingtowindpowergenerationduetothelarge scopeofgrowthavailableintheindustry
Largeenergycompaniesmovingtowindpower
Company
ONGC
ProposedInvestment
PlanningtoinvestUSD123mninGujarattowardsgenerating10002000mwof windenergy ItalsoplansoninvestingUSD61mninKarnatakatowardswindpowergeneration It Itproposestosetup4.5mwofwindpowerprojectinGujaratinvestingoverUSD t t 45 f i d j ti G j ti ti USD 5mn KarnatakaandMaharashtraarealsobeingconsideredaswindpowergeneration sitescancombinedinstalledcapacityof19mwisexpected Pl Planstodevelopa8.37MWwindfarmprojectatJogimatti,TalukaHiriyur,and t d l 8 37 MW i d f j t t J i tti T l k Hi i d DistrictChitradurgainKarnataka Thecompanyplanstoexpandtheirwindpowerproductioncapacityfrom 200MWto500MWby2011
GAIL
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SuzlonEnergyisthedominantplayeramongthemanufacturers (1/5)
No.
1
Manufacturer
ABAN Kenetech
Rating kW
410 220
Detailsason31stMar2008 Nos.
231 2 328 3 16 17 79 184 94 2 12 9 284 10 8 14 1 51 12
2
MW
94.71 0.44 0 44 82 1.5 0.88 3.4 34 15.8 46 23.5 1.2 12 1.8 0.72 71 2.25 2 25 2 21 0.2 15.3 15 3 7.2
AMTL WindWorld
250 500
BHEL
55 200 200 250 250 600 150 80 250 225 250 1500 200
BHELNordex
5 6 7 8 9 10
11
Elecon
300 600
NOTE
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(2/5)
No. Manufacturer Rating kW
230 12 Enercon 330 600 800 13 14 15 16 Himalaya KirloskarWEG Micon(Pearl) Mitsubishi 140 200 400 90 315 250 17 NedwindWindia 500 550 18 19 20 Pegasus PioneerAsia Pioneer Asia SangeethCarter 250 850 300 225 21 NEPCIndia 250 400 750
1
Detailsason31stMar2008
Nos. 452 40 719 1390 4 24 8 99 6 4 20 35 9 52 25 962 16 7 14
2
MW
103.96 13.2 13 2 431.4 1112 0.56 4.8 48 3.2 8.91 1.89 1 10 19.25 2.25 44.2 44 2 7.5 216.45 4 2.8 28 10.5
NOTE
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(3/5)
No. Manufacturer Rating kW
55 110 200 22 NEPCMicon 225 250 400 600 110 23 PioneerWincon 250 755 55 24 REPL Bonus 100 320 25 26 RESAdvancedWindTurbine RES Advanced Wind Turbine SouthernWindfarm 250 225 250 27 Tacke 600 750 28 SIVA 250
1
Detailsason31stMar2008 Nos.
14 2 50 589 528 121 2 10 461 1 22 1 60 80 349 4 21 1 1
2
MW
0.77 0.22 0 22 10 132.53 132 48.4 48 4 1.2 1.1 115.25 0.755 0 755 1.21 0.1 19.2 20 78.525 1 12.6 0.75 0 75 0.25
NOTE
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(4/5)
No. Manufacturer Rating kW
270 350 600 29 Suzlon 1000 1250 1500 2000 2100 30 TextoolNordtank 300 550 250 1350 55 90 100 32 Vestas RRB 200 225 500 600
1
Detailsason31stMar2008 Nos.
2 932 366 81 1836 523 1 1 65 5 351 1 31 21 5 56 772 609 488
2
MW
0.54 326.2 326 2 219.6 81 2295 784.5 784 5 2 2.1 19.5 2.75 2 75 87.75 1.35 1.71 1.89 1 89 0.5 11.2 173.7 304.5 304 5 292.8
31
TTG/ShriramEPC
NOTE
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(5/5)
No. Manufacturer Rating kW
750 33 VestasWindTechnology Vestas Wind Technology 950 1650 34 35 36 WindMaster Windmatic WindPower Wind Power TOTAL 200 55 330
1
Detailsason31stMar2008 Nos.
772 57 291 1 30 29 14886
2
MW
579 54.15 54 15 480.15 0.2 1.65 9.57 9 57 8697.93
NOTE
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MajorwindpowergenerationinstallationsinIndia(1/2)
PowerPlant
VankusawadeWindPark CapeComorim KayatharSubhash Ramakkalmedu MuppandalWind Muppandal Wind Gujdimangalam PuthlurRCI LamdaDanida ChennaiMohan JamgudraniMP JogmattiBSES PerungudiNewam KethanurWindFarm HyderabadAPSRTC pp MuppandalMadras PoolavadiChettinad
Owner
SuzlonEnergyLtd. AbanLloydChilesOffshoreLtd. SubhashLtd. SubhashLtd. MuppandalWindFarm Muppandal Wind Farm GujdimangalamWindFarm Wescare(India)Ltd. DanidaIndiaLtd. MohanBreweries&DistilleriesLtd. MPWindfarmsLtd. BSESLtd. NewamPowerCompanyLtd. KethanurWindFarm AndhraPradeshStateRapidTransit Corp. MadrasCementsLtd. ChettinadCementCorp.Ltd.
Location City
SataraDist. CapeComorim Kayathar Ramakkalmedu Muppandal Gujdimangalam Puthlur Lamda Chennai Dewas Chitradurga Perungudi Kethanur Hyderabad Muppandal pp Poolavadi
State
Maharashtra TamilNadu TamilNadu Kerala TamilNadu Tamil Nadu TamilNadu AndhraPradesh Gujarat TamilNadu MadhyaPradesh Karnataka TamilNadu TamilNadu AndhraPradesh TamilNadu TamilNadu
TotalCapacity (Mwe)
259 33 30 25 22 21 20 15 15 14 14 12 11 10 10 10
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KeyDevelopments
Date
29Jan09 10Jan09
Development
TheRailwaysisconsideringtoinvestUSD14mntowardssettingupofa10.5MWwindplantintheSaurashtraregionin Gujarat.Investmentsareexpectedtobescaledupinordertoachieveacapacityof100MW. GujaratgovernmentamendedwindpowerpolicybyhikingpurchaseratestoINR3.5/unitfromINR3.37/unitfixedlastyear. j g p p y y gp y ThisisinlieuofprojectamountingtoUSD4bnthatisexpected.Distributionlicenseemustpurchase10%ofpowerproduced fromwindinayearincomparisonto2%whichstoodpreviously.MajorplayersexpectetoexpandcapacityareSuzlonwhowill investUSD1bnexpandingcapacityby1500MW,EneronandAbelonexpandingcapacityby600MWand1000MW respectively. Suzlonconsolidatedtheirpositioninthemarketasitbought22.4%stakeinGermanwindturbinemanufacturerREpower Systems.Theynowown91%stakeinREpower.Thedealwasvaluedatapproximately65mnEuros. S t Th 91% t k i RE Th d l l d t i t l 65 E GeneralElectricCo.'s(GE)energyunitplanstobuildawindturbineassemblyplantwhichisexpectedtobecompletedby December2009.InitialinvestmentwillbebetweenUSD35mn JharkhandRenewableEnergyDevelopmentAgencyislookingatcompaniesintheindustrytosetupplantsintwopotential sitesnamelySakhuapaaniinGumlaandMatarmetainSimdega.MNREisexpectedtoprovidefundingfortheproject.The projectswillbeonturnkeybasiswitha10yearmaintenanceperiod. SuzlonhasinvestedUSD102mntowardsgeneratingpowerinWestBengal.The50MWwindfarm,expectedtobe operationalby2009,willbethelargestinstallationintheeasternregion. TataPowerhasinvestedUSD102mntowardswindpowerexpansionadding115MWofwindpowercapacity. DubaiGroup,aleadingfinancialservicescompany,acquired40%shareinIndiasChiranjjeeviWindEnergy(CWEL).Earlier, Dubai Group a leading financial services company acquired40% share in Indias Chiranjjeevi Wind Energy (CWEL) Earlier CWELreceivedanorderfromIndiaGlobalizationCapital,IncworthUSD25mntosetupa24MWwindfarminKarnataka whichwasfollowedbyadealtoinstall260MWinKarnatakaforwardedbytheKarnatakaThermalPowerCorporationLtd. CLPHoldingsofHonKongwasgrantedaloanamountingtoUSD113mnfromtheAsianDevelopmentBanktodeveloptwo windfarmshavingacombinedcapacityof183.2MW.ThisprojecthasatotalcostamountingtoUSD250mn.
21April08
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