Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US, talks about the recent inflationary trends and why the Federal Reserve will likely raise short-term rates in the next 60 days.  He also highlights a brand new economic indicator - created by RSM - that is one of the best at predicting the overall health and outlook of the U.S. economy. Joe then highlights the one huge risk that could derail the entire global economy.  In fact, he believes there is a 50/50 chance of this risk coming to fruition over the next 45 days. Lastly, Joe and Frank have a healthy debate on inflation vs. deflation - and which of these risks the Fed should be more concerned about over the next 6 to 12 months.