13 12 11 10 9 ? 8 7 6 5 4 Industrial revolution Black Deaththe Plague 3 2 1 0 2-5 million 8000 years Hunting and gathering 6000 4000 2000 2000 2100 B.C. A.D. Agricultural revolution Industrial revolution Fig. 1-1, p. 16 Fig. 1-10, p. 1
Population Change
Population change = (births + immigration) - (deaths + emigration) Demographers look at birth rates and death rates 2009:
China, 1.3 billion people India, 1.1 billion people USA, 306 million people
Number of Children
Fertility rates affect population size and growth rate Total fertility rate (TFR) 1950-2009: Global TFR fell to:
1.6 from 2.5 in developed countries 2.8 from 6.5 in developing countries
Migration
Migration driven by economic desires Other reasons
Religious persecution Political oppression Ethnic conflicts Wars Environmental degradation
6-3 How Does a Populations Age Structure Affect Its Growth or Decline? Concept 6-3 The numbers of males and females in young, middle, and older age groups determine how fast populations grow or decline.
Age Structure
Distribution of population
Prereproductive Reproductive Postreproductive
Country with many young people grows rapidly Country with many older people will decline Developing countries: >30% under 15 years old
Birth rate and death rate (number per 1,000 per year)
60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Low Increasing
Death rate
Very high
Decreasing
Low
Zero
Negative
Low
(to compensate for high infant mortality) and 80 a high death 70 rate
Stage 2 Transitional Population grows rapidly because birth Population grows very rates are high and death rates drop slowly because of improved food production because of a and health high birth rate
Stage 1 Preindustrial
Stage 3 Industrial
Population growth slows as both birth and death rates drop because of improved food production, health, and education
Stage 4 Postindustrial Population growth levels off and then declines as birth rates equal and then fall below death rates
High
Urban Living
Half the world lives in urban areas 50% of world population lives in cities Urban areas continue to grow
Natural increase Immigration
Karachi 10.4 million Dhaka 16.2 million 13.2 million Beijing 22.8 million 10.8 million 11.7 million Los Angeles 13.3 million 19.0 million Mexico City 18.3 million 20.4 million New York 16.8 million 17.9 million Sao Paulo 18.3 million 21.2 million Cairo 10.5 million 11.5 million Lagos 12.2 million 24.4 million Tokyo 26.5 million 27.2 million Osaka 11.0 million 11.0 million Manila 10.1 million 11.5 million
Mumbai (Bombay) 16.5 million 22.6 million Delhi 13.0 million 20.9 million
Calcutta 13.3 million 16.7 million Jakarta 11.4 million 17.3 million
6-6 How Does Transportation Affect Urban Environmental Impacts? Concept 6-6 In some countries, most people live in dispersed urban areas and depend mostly on motor vehicles for their transportation.
Dispersed cities
Transportation by automobile Most American cities
Alternatives to Cars
Bicycles Mass transit systems in urban areas Bus systems Rapid rail
Trade-Offs
Bicycles
Advantages
Are quiet and non-polluting
Disadvantages
Provide little protection in an accident
Trade-Offs
Mass Transit Rail
Advantages
Uses less energy and produces less air pollution than cars do Reduced need for more roads and parking areas Causes fewer injuries and deaths than cars do Reduces car congestion in cities
Disadvantages
Is expensive to build and maintain
Trade-Offs
Buses
Advantages
Can greatly reduce car use and air pollution
Disadvantages
Can lose money because they require affordable fares Can get caught in traffic and add to noise and pollution Commit riders to transportation schedules
Can be rerouted as needed Cost less to develop and maintain than heavy-rail system
Trade-Offs
Rapid Rail
Advantages
Is much more energy efficient per rider than cars and planes are Produces less pollution than do cars and planes Can reduce need for more air travel, cars, roads, and parking areas
Disadvantages
Is costly to run and maintain Causes noise and vibration for nearby residents Has some risk of collision at car crossings
Solutions
Smart Growth Tools
Limits and Regulations Limit building permits Urban growth boundaries Greenbelts around cities Public review of new development Zoning Encourage mixed use of housing and small businesses Concentrate development along mass transportation routes Promote high-density cluster housing developments Planning Ecological land-use planning Environmental impact analysis Integrated regional planning State and national planning Protection Preserve existing open space Buy new open space Buy development rights that prohibit certain types of development on land parcels Taxes Tax land, not buildings Tax land on value of actual use (such as forest and agriculture) instead of on highest value as developed land
Tax Breaks For owners agreeing not to allow certain types of development (conservation easements) For cleaning up and developing abandoned urban sites (brownfields) Revitalization and New Growth Revitalize existing towns and cities Build well-planned new towns and villages within cities