1. Land of Opportunity:
Work hard, and you can become anything you want to be.
2. Generational Advancement:
Through hard work, each generation of parents can assure a better life and better education for their children.
Powerful narratives.
No longer true.
Earnings among the lowest income families have declined, even amid big increases at the top.
80%
60%
40%
78%
51%
20%
25%
0%
5% -7%
14%
-20%
Lowest 20%
Second 20%
Third 20%
Fourth 20%
Top 20%
Top 5%
Source: The College Board, Trends in College Pricing 2011 (New York: College Board, 2010), Figure 16A.
Instead of being the most equal, the U.S. has the third highest income inequality among OECD nations.
1.00
0.90
0.80
Gini Coefficient
0.70
United States
0.60
0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00
Note: Gini coefficient ranges from 0 to 1, where 0 indicates total income equality and 1 indicates total income inequality.
Up until about 1980, we were getting ever better as a country at delivering on the promise of opportunity for all...
US intergenerational mobility was getting better until 1980, but gotten much worse since
0.6 Earnings Elasticity
The falling elasticity meant increased economic mobility until 1980. Since then, the elasticity has risen and mobility has slowed
0.35
0.34
0.33
Aaronson and Mazumder. Intergenerational Economic Mobility in the U.S.. 1940-2000. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago WP 2005-12: Dec. 2005.
Now, instead of being the land of opportunity, the US has one of lowest rates of intergenerational mobility
Cross-country examples of the link between father and son wages
0.6 Earnings Elasticity
0.47
0.41 0.32
0.27
0.19
0.18
0.17
0.15
Hertz, Tom. Understanding Mobility in America. Center for American Progress: 2006.
At macro level, better and more equal education is not the only thing we have to do to improve opportunity and mobility in America.
But at the individual level, it really is.
n/a
What schools and colleges do, in other words, is hugely important to our economy, our democracy, and our society.
African American
Latino
White
1971* 1975* 1980* 1984* 1988* 1990* 1992* 1994* 1996* 1999* 2004 2008
*Denotes previous assessment format Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES
African American
Latino 2004
White 2008
3% 24%
7% 26% 32%
Percentage of Students
Proficient/Advanced
Basic
Below Basic
African American
Latino
White
17%
24% 52%
Percentage of Students
49% 48%
Proficient/Advanced
Basic
Below Basic
39% 34% 28% 9%
African American
Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES
Latino
White
More low-income students are performing at higher levels today than in 1996.
Lower Income Students Grade 4 NAEP Math
100% 90% 80%
7% 24% 33%
Percentage of Students
48%
60% 27%
1996
Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES
2011
270
260 250 240 230 220 210 200
272 265 247 238 236 253 251 248 African American Latino White American Indian/Alaska Native 1992* 1994* 1998 2002 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
8th Grade Math: Especially over the last decade, all groups have steadily improved and gaps have narrowed
National Public Grade 8 NAEP Math
310
300 290
293
280
269
270 260 250 240 230 220 210
245
236
1990*
1992*
1996
2000
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
*Accommodations not permitted Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 299)
But at least we have some traction on elementary and middle school problems.
The same is NOT true of our high schools.
1984
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1999
2004
2008
2004
2008
And gaps between groups are mostly wider today than in the late 80s and early 90s.
African American
Latino
White 2008
1971* 1975* 1980* 1984* 1988* 1990* 1992* 1994* 1996* 1999* 2004
*Denotes previous assessment format Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress, NCES
African American
Latino
White
2004
2008
Moreover, no matter how you cut the data, our students arent doing well compared with their peers in other countries.
500
450
400
350
300
550
500
450
400
350
550
OECD
U.S.A.
500
450
400
350
Inequality.
Among OECD countries, the U.S. has the fourth largest science gap between high-SES and low-SES students.
2006 PISA - Science
600
U.S.A.
OECD
550
500
450
400
350
Among OECD countries, the U.S. has the fifth largest reading gap between high-SES and low-SES students.
2009 PISA Reading
600
U.S.A.
OECD
500
450
400
350
How?
By giving students who arrive with less, less in school, too.
Funding Gaps Within States: National inequities in state and local revenue per student
Gap $773 per student $1,122 per student
Source: Education Trust analyses of U.S. Department of Education and U.S. Census Bureau data for the 2005-06 school year.
In truth, though, some of the most devastating lesses are a function of choices that educators make.
Students in poor schools receive As for work that would earn Cs in affluent schools.
100 87
Seventh-Grade Math
Percentile - CTBS4
56 35 34 41 22 21 11 0 A B Grades C D
Low-poverty schools
High-poverty schools
Source: Prospects (ABT Associates, 1993), in Prospects: Final Report on Student Outcomes, PES, DOE, 1997.
5%
80%
49%
60%
40%
25%
20%
16%
19% 10%
0%
Overall Enrollment
Source: U.S. Department of Education Office for Civil Rights, Civil Rights Data Collection
Even African-American students with high math performance in fifth grade are unlikely to be placed in algebra in eighth grade
Percentage of students who were in the top two quintiles of math performance in fifth grade and in algebra in eighth grade
100%
94%
80%
68%
60%
63%
40%
35%
20%
0%
African American
Latino
White
Asian
Source: NCES, Eighth-Grade Algebra: Findings from the Eighth-Grade Round of the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99 (ECLS-K) (2010).
Students of color are less likely to attend high schools that offer physics.
Percent of schools offering Physics
100
80
66 60 40 20 0 High schools with the highest African-American and Latino enrollment High schools with the lowest African-American and Latino enrollment 40
Source: U.S. Department of Education Office of Civil Rights, Civil Rights Data Collection, March 2012
Students of color are less likely to attend high schools that offer calculus.
Percent of Schools Offering Calculus
55%
29%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Source: U.S. Department of Education Office for Civil Rights , Civil Rights Data Collection
Note: High minority school: 75% or more of the students are Black, Hispanic, American Indian or Alaskan Native, Asian or Pacific Islander. Low-minority school: 10% or fewer of the students are non-White students. Novice teachers are those with three years or fewer experience.
Source: Analysis of 2003-2004 Schools and Staffing Survey data by Richard Ingersoll, University of Pennsylvania 2007.
Math classes at high-poverty, high-minority secondary schools are more likely to be taught by out-of-field* teachers.
Percent of Class Taught by Teachers With Neither Certification nor Major
High Low
11%
13%
0% Poverty Minority
Note: High-poverty school: 55 percent or more of the students are eligible for free/reduced-price lunch. Low-poverty school :15 percent or fewer of the students are eligible for free/reduced-price lunch. High-minority school: 78 percent or more of the students are black, Hispanic, American Indian or Alaskan Native, Asian or Pacific Islander. Low-minority school : 12 percent or fewer of the students are non-white students. *Teachers with neither certification nor major. Data for secondary-level core academic classes (math, science, social studies, English) across the U.S. Source: Education Trust Analysis of 2007-08 Schools and Staffing Survey data.
Tennessee: High-poverty/high-minority schools have fewer of the most effective teachers and more least effective teachers.
25
Percent of Teachers
23.8% 21.3%
20 15 10 5
17.6%
16%
Most Effective Teachers
Least Effective Teachers
Note: High poverty/high minority means at least 75 percent of students qualify for FRPL and at least 75 percent are minority. Source: Tennessee Department of Education 2007. Tennessees Most Effective Teachers: Are they assigned to the schools that need them most? http://tennessee.gov/education/nclb/doc/TeacherEffectiveness2007_03.pdf.
Los Angeles: Black, Latino students have fewer highly effective teachers, more weak ones.
Latino and black students are:
READING/LANGUAGE ARTS
as
likely to get highly effective teachers
3X as
likely to get loweffectiveness teachers
African-American and Latino 17-year-olds do math at the same levels as white 13-year-olds.
100%
Percent of Students 0% 200 250 300 350
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress
African-American and Latino 17-year-olds read at the same levels as white 13-year-olds.
100%
Percent of Students 0% 150 200 250 300 350
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress
And these are the students who remain in school through 12th grade.
Students of color are less likely to graduate from high school on time.
Class of 2009
100%
92% 82%
80%
64%
60%
66%
65%
40%
20%
0%
African American
Latino
White
Asian
Native American
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Public School Graduates and Dropouts from the Common Core of Data: School Year 200 8-09 (2011).
Add it all up and throw in college entry and completion rates, and
Whites attain bachelors degrees at twice the rate of blacks and three times the rate of Hispanics.
Bachelors Degree Attainment of Young Adults (25-29-year-olds), 2011
2x
39% 20%
White African American
3x
13%
Latino
2013 THE EDUCATION TRUST
Source: NCES, Condition of Education 2010 and U.S. Census Bureau, Educational Attainment in the United States: 2011.
Young people from high-income families earn bachelors degrees at seven times the rate of those from 90% low-income families.
Bachelors Degree attainment by Age 24
80%
70%
60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
7x
11%
2010
79%
0%
Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, Bachelors Degree Attainment by Age 24 by Family Income Quartiles, 1970 to 2010.
96%
2,312
4,431 669
15%
-5,516
Closing racial gaps in degree attainment will create more than half the degrees necessary to raise America to first in the world in degree attainment.
Note: Projected Population Growth, Ages 024, 2010-2050 Source: National Population Projections, U.S. Census Bureau. Released 2008; NCHEMS, Adding It Up, 2007.
Though no longer #1, were still relatively strong in overall educational attainment
Percentage of residents aged 25-64 with a postsecondary degree
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Note: Adults with a postsecondary degree include those who have completed either a tertiary-type B program (programs that last for at least two years, are skill-based, and prepare students for direct entry into the labor market) or a tertiary-type A program (programs that last at least three, but usually four, years, are largely theory-based, and provide qualifications for entry into highly-skilled professions or advanced research programs) Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Education at a Glance 2011 (2011)
40%
20%
0%
Note: Adults with a postsecondary degree include those who have completed either a tertiary-type B program (programs that last for at least two years, are skill-based, and prepare students for direct entry into the labor market) or a tertiary-type A program (programs that last at least three, but usually four, years, are largely theory-based, and provide qualifications for entry into highly-skilled professions or advanced research programs) Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Education at a Glance 2011 (2011)
80%
60%
OECD Average United States 20%
40%
0%
Note: Adults with a postsecondary degree include those who have completed either a tertiary-type B program (programs that last for at least two years, are skill-based, and prepare students for direct entry into the labor market) or a tertiary-type A program (programs that last at least three, but usually four, years, are largely theory-based, and provide qualifications for entry into highly-skilled professions or advanced research programs) Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Education at a Glance 2011 (2011)
But if theres truly nothing that we can do, why are low-income students and students of color performing so much higher in some schools?
Note: Enrollment and demographic data are from 2009-2010 Source: Louisiana Department of Education
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
2007
Source: Louisiana Department of Education
2011
90%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Math
4% 19% 15%
Percentage of Students
44%
Advanced
46%
28% 6% 3%
20% 14%
Bethune
Source: Source:Louisiana Department of Education
Louisiana
80%
78%
60%
50%
40%
Hewetson Nevada
26%
20%
7%
0%
2004
Source: Nevada Department of Education
2010
29%
80%
Percentage of Students
63%
60%
33%
40%
20%
28% 6% 4%
25%
14%
0%
Halle Hewetson
Source: Nevada Department of Education
Nevada
25% Low-Income
95%
96%
93%
79%
73% 67%
All Students
New York State Department of Education
Low-Income Students
93%
96%
93%
93%
96%
90%
85%
80%
70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
46%
51%
55%
57%
61%
64%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
96% 73%
98% 89%
99%
58%
57%
Elmont New York
Overall
African American
Latino
Some districts
DC, Boston, and Charlotte showed the most improvement for Latino students between 2003 and 2011
Latino Students NAEP TUDA Grade 4 Reading
District of Columbia (DCPS)
17
Boston
13
Charlotte
10
National Public
6
0 5 10 15 20
African-American students in Atlanta and Boston improved at twice the rate of their counterparts nationally
African-American Students NAEP TUDA Grade 8 Math
Boston
21
Atlanta
21
Chicago
15
National Public
10
0 5 10 15 20 25
Bottom line: At every level of education, some getting much better results than others.
There is no question that the kids can do this, the questions are about us.
80% 70%
87%
89%
91%
93%
60%
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
2009
2010
2011
2012
80% 70%
82%
81%
84%
82%
60%
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
2009
2010
2011
2012
80% 70%
83%
85%
85%
85%
86%
60%
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
80% 70%
80%
84%
84%
85%
85%
60%
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
But gaps persist. (Keep your eyes on the green: best estimate of proficiency rates post Common Core)
Students of color half as likely as white students to score at advanced level in reading
MSA - Grade 4 Reading (2012)
100% 90% 80%
22% 52%
28% 53%
Percent of students
Advanced
66% 61% 43%
Proficient Basic
45%
4%
12%
11%
3%
White
African-American
Latino
Asian
2013 2013 THE THE EDUCATION EDUCATION TRUST TRUST
Low-income students far less likely to have advanced reading skills in BCPS
MSA Grade 4 Reading (2012)
100% 90% 80%
22% 53%
Percent of students
Advanced
67%
Proficient Basic
43%
20% 10%
11%
0%
4%
Low Income
Half of BCPSs African-American students score at the basic level in math, only one in 7 scores at Advanced
MSA - Grade 8 Math (2012)
100% 90% 80%
Percent of students
White
African-American
Latino
Asian
2013 2013 THE THE EDUCATION EDUCATION TRUST TRUST
Percent of students
Advanced Proficient
35% 46% 20%
Basic
Low Income
One in eight African-American students and one in six Latinos performs at the advanced level in HSA Algebra (2012) Algebra
100% 90% 80%
12% 37%
16% 50%
Percent of students
70% 60%
67%
50% 40%
Advanced
71%
Proficient Basic
46%
55%
30% 20% 10% 0%
22%
8%
13%
4%
White
African-American
Latino
Asian
2013 2013 THE THE EDUCATION EDUCATION TRUST TRUST
Low-income students less than half as likely to perform at advanced level in algebra
HSA Algebra (2012)
100% 90% 80%
14% 32%
Percent of students
68% 56%
19%
11%
Low Income
Students of color far less likely to score at the advanced level in English
HSA English (2012)
100% 90% 80%
12% 38%
17% 39%
Percent of students
21% 10%
13%
10%
0%
White
African-American
Latino
Asian
2013 2013 THE THE EDUCATION EDUCATION TRUST TRUST
Low-income high school students twice as likely to score at basic level in English
HSA English (2012)
100% 90% 80%
13%
33%
Percent of students
67% 56%
21%
11%
Low Income
84%
80%
Graduation rate
60%
40%
20%
0%
Source: 2012 Maryland Report Card, http://mdreportcard.org/CohortGradRate.aspx?PV=160:12:03:XXXX:1:N:0:13:1:1:0:1:1:1:3.
Graduation Rate
80%
73%
60%
40%
20%
0%
White
African-American
Latino
Asian
80%
Graduation Rate
60%
40%
20%
0%
Low-Income
Higher Income
Nearly 9 in 10 graduates meet course requirements for admissions to state university system, but few students complete a rigorous high school program.
100%
Class of 2012
72%
80%
Percent of graduates
60%
40%
20%
15% 8%
20%
0%
University System of Career and technology Both University and Maryland course education program career/technology requirements requirements requirements
Note: Rigorous high school program category may overlap with other categories Source: 2012 Maryland Report Card, http://mdreportcard.org/HighSchoolCompletion.aspx?PV=38:12:03:AAAA:1:N:0:13:1:1:0:1:1:1:3.
Wide gaps in rigorous program completion between lowincome and higher income graduates
100%
Class of 2012
FARMS 74% 68% Non-FARMS
Percent of graduates
80%
60%
40%
27%
20%
11%
15% 6%
15% 7%
0%
University System of Career and technology Both University and Maryland course education program career/technology requirements requirements requirements
Note: Rigorous high school program category may overlap with other categories Source: 2012 Maryland Report Card, http://mdreportcard.org/HighSchoolCompletion.aspx?PV=38:12:03:AAAA:3:N:0:5:1:2:1:1:1:2:3.
80%
59%
60%
45%
40%
40%
20%
0%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007 Latino
2008 White
2009
2010
African American
Source: Baltimore County Public Schools, Results of Student Tracker Study from the National Student Clearinghouse 2010 Data Summary.
Despite improvements, students of color less likely to enroll in college in the fall following high school graduation
100%
80%
75% 66%
60%
58% 46%
40%
20%
0%
White
African-American
Latino
Asian
Source: Baltimore County Public Schools, Results of Student Tracker Study from the National Student Clearinghouse 2010 Data Summary.
#1. They focus on what they can do, rather than what they cant.
Some of our children live in pretty dire circumstances. But we cant dwell on that, because we cant change it. So when we come here, we have to dwell on that which is going to move our kids.
When asked what can be done to solve the achievement problem, some adults just point out the schoolhouse window. But were not look out the window educators here: were look in the mirror folks. --Adelaide Flamer DCPS
#2. They dont leave anything about teaching and learning to chance.
An awful lot of our teacherseven brand new onesare left to figure out on their own what to teach and what constitutes good enough work.
What does this do? Leaves teachers entirely on their own to figure out what to teach, what order to teach it in, HOW to teach itand to what level.
Percentile - CTBS4
56 35 34 41 22 21 11 0 A B Grades C D
Low-poverty schools
High-poverty schools
Source: Prospects (ABT Associates, 1993), in Prospects: Final Report on Student Outcomes, PES, DOE, 1997.
Your thesis will state specifically what Anne's overall personality is, and what general psychological and intellectual changes she exhibits over the course of the book You might organize your essay by grouping psychological and intellectual changes OR you might choose 3 or 4 characteristics (like friendliness, patience, optimism, self doubt) and show how she changes in this area.
Source: Unnamed school district in California, 2002-03 school year.
Elementary Version
1 2001
1 2005
Even when they start with high drop out rates, high impact high schools focus on preparing all kids for college and careers
And the leaders dont think about closing the achievement gap only as bringing the bottom up.
African American and Latino students are not making gains at the advanced level at the same rate as white students
NAEP Grade 8 Math
14% 12%
Percent at Advanced
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 5%
10% 9% 7% 7%
2% 1%
1996
Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES
2000
2003
2005
2007
2009
High performers dont just set stretch goals, they use data pervasively to chart progress, spot problems.
#4. Principals are hugely important, ever present, but NOT the only leaders in the school
Source:
Source:
We do have some problems still. And you all know what they are: our subgroup populations.
We need to raise our test scores or the state/feds are going to come down on us.
Source:
Source:
There is a place of incredible possibilities within the neighborhoods of these socalled disadvantaged childrentheir free public schools. And inside those schools, there are educators (us) who have the power and the privilege to develop in our children perhaps the most powerful resource of all the mind. --Molly Bensinger-Lacy
Source:
#5. Good schools know how much teachers matter, and they act on that knowledge.
Students in Dallas Gain More in Math with Effective Teachers: One Year Growth From 3rd-4th Grade
2013 THE EDUCATION TRUST Source: Heather Jordan, Robert Mendro, and Dash Weerasinghe, The Effects of Teachers on Longitudinal Student Achievement , 1997.
BUT
We pretend that there arent.
Source:
So, we paper over the differences among our teachers ANDwe continue to assign our weakest to the kids who need the strongest.
Math Classes at High-Poverty and High- Minority Schools More Likely to be Taught by Out of Field* Teachers
Note: High Poverty school-75% or more of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low-poverty school -15% or fewer of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch. High minority school-75% or more of the students are Black, Hispanic, American Indian or Alaskan Native, Asian or Pacific Islander. Low-minority school -10% or fewer of the students are non-White students. *Teachers with neither certification nor major. Data for secondary-level core academic classes (Math, Science, Social Studies, English) across USA. 2013 THE EDUCATION TRUST Source: Analysis of 2003-2004 Schools and Staffing Survey data by Richard Ingersoll, University of Pennsylvania 2007.
Note: High minority school-75% or more of the students are Black, Hispanic, American Indian or Alaskan Native, Asian or Pacific Islander. Low-minority school -10% or fewer of the students are non-White students.
*Novice teachers are those with three years or fewer experience. 2013 THE EDUCATION TRUST Source: Analysis of 2003-2004 Schools and Staffing Survey data by Richard Ingersoll, University of Pennsylvania 2007.
Tennessee: High poverty/high minority schools have fewer of the most effective teachers and more least effective teachers
Note: High Poverty/High minority means at least 75% qualify for FRPL and at least 75% are minority.
Source: Tennessee Department of Education 2007. Tennessees Most Effective Teachers: Are they assigned to the schools that need t hem 2013 THE EDUCATION TRUST most? http://tennessee.gov/education/nclb/doc/TeacherEffectiveness2007_03.pdf
Los Angeles: LOW-INCOME STUDENTS LESS LIKELY TO HAVE HIGH VALUE-ADDED TEACHERS
ELA
A low-income student is more than twice as likely to have a low value-added teacher for ELA A student from a relatively more affluent background is 62% more likely to get a high value-added ELA teacher.
MATH
In math, a student from a relatively more affluent background is 39% more likely to get a high valueadded math teacher. A lowincome student is 66% more likely to have a low valueadded teacher.
Low-Achieving Students are More Likely to be Assigned to Ineffective Teachers than Effective Teachers
Source: Sitha Babu and Robert Mendro, Teacher Accountability: HLM-Based Teacher Effectiveness Indices in the Investigation of 2013 THE EDUCATION TRUST Teacher Effects on Student Achievement in a State Assessment Program, AERA Annual Meeting, 2003.
Download this presentation and register for the Education Trust national conference. Ordinary People, Extraordinary Results. October 24-25, Baltimore, MD. www.edtrust.org
Oakland, CA 510/465-6444