Lawrence W. Green
Office of Extramural Prevention Research Public Health Practice Program Office Centers for Disease Control and Prevention U.S. Department of Health & Human Services
York University Forum, Toronto, Feb. 20, 2003
Health Promotion
Primary Prevention & Health Protection
Secondary Prevention
Self-care Tertiary Prevention
Sequelae, Outcomes
Lesson 1. Social determinants operate as background & as distal determinants on most of the proximal determinants of health.
Determinants of Health*
More Distal
Income & social status Gender Education Employment & working conditions Physical environment Biology & genetic endowment
More Proximal
Personal health practices & coping skills Healthy child development Health & social services Culture Social support networks Social environment
*Tonmyr et al., The population health perspective Chronic Diseases in Canada 23:123-129, Fall 2002.
tobacco control experience, we know that some work with other sectors and work within the health sector on more distal determinants is essential to long-term success Many, if not most, social determinants are:
More proximal, and/or Amenable to health sector intervention, and/or Amenable to collaboration with other sectors
HEALTH CHALLENGES
REDUCING INEQUITIES
INCREASING PREVENTION
ENHANCING COPING
SELF-CARE
MUTUAL AID
HEALTHY ENVIRONMENTS
IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGIES
*Epp, Jake. Achieving health for all: a framework for health promotion. Ottawa: Minister of Supply and Services, 1986.
What is this public health achievement of the 20th Century? What is the evaluation method to judge this an achievement?
5,000
4,000
Number of Cigarettes
35%
3,000
2,000
22%
1,000
0 1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
Adult Per Capita Cigarette Consumption and Major Historical EventsUnited States, 1900-2000
1st World Conference on Smoking and Health
5,000
Broadcast Ad Ban
4,000
Number of Cigarettes
3,000
2,000
1,000
1st Great American Smokeout Nicotine Medications Available Over the Counter Master Settlement Agreement Fairness Doctrine Messages on TV and Radio 1st SmokingCancer Concern Surgeon Generals Report on Environmental Nonsmokers Tobacco Smoke Rights
Great Depression
0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950
Movement Begins
1960 1970
1980
to establishing baselines & trend lines that can be projected to warn against neglect Key to putting an issue on the public policy agenda Key to showing change in relation to other trends, policy and program interventions Key to comparing progress in relation to objectives and programs, over time and between jurisdictions.
Lesson 4: Evaluation of ecological approaches to prevention on community-wide or province-wide scale should not attempt to isolate the components.
Lesson 5: Comprehensiveness
In
trying to isolate the essential components of tobacco control programs that made them effective, none could be shown to stand alone Any combination of methods was more effective than the individual methods The more components, the more effective The more components, the better coverage
Source: Warner KE. Smoking cessation: Alternative strategies: Financial implications. Tobacco Control , Autumn 1995.
Lesson 6: Effectiveness and benefit may increase with intensity, but cost-utility and cost-effectiveness often decline. Intensity limits reach. -->Issue of inequalities.
Estimated Efficacy (6-month quit rates), Reach (number using), and Impact of Main Cessation Strategies
Intervention Ef Reach # Impact Impact % us ing US U.S. B .C. None (un aided) 3 22,800,000 684,000 7,600 R x NR T O TC NR T Behavioral Inpatient Rx 14 14 24 32 2,500,000 280,000 3,111 6,300,000 560,000 6,222 395,000 500 94,800 1,053 160 2
Lesson 7: Cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness depend as much on the reach as on the efficacy of interventions.
1984-1988
1990-1992
1992-1996
Similar,
Programs
Counter-Marketing Cessation
Programs
Programs
Chronic
Disease Programs
Programs
Surveillance
and
and
Evaluation
Administration
School
Enforcement
Management
Need
Percent Reductions in Per Capita Cigarette Consumption Attributable to Non-Price Public Health Interventions
80%
70%
60% 55% 40% 20% $ 2 $ 4 $ 6 $ 8 20% $ 10
critical mass of personal exposure is needed for individuals to be influenced A critical mass of population exposure is necessary to effect detectable community response A critical distribution of exposure is necessary to reach segments of the population who are less motivated
Arizona
California Massachusetts $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 Dollars Per Capita $10 $12
provide opportunities Environments provide cues Environments enable choices Social environments reinforce positive behavior and punish negative behavior Legal penalties and financial incentives can be built into environments
10
8 6 4 2 0 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992*
* Through September 1992. Source: National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute (1993). Smoking and Tobacco Control - Monograph 3. Major Local Tobacco Control Ordinates in the U.S.
Year
US Dept. of Health and Human Service. Public Health Service, National Institutes of Health. NIH Publ. No. 93-3532.
* Through September 1992. Source: National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute (1993). Smoking and Tobacco Control - Monograph 3. Major Local Tobacco Control Ordinates in the U.S.
US Dept. of Health and Human Service. Public Health Service, National Institutes of Health. NIH Publ. No. 93-3532.
Year
awareness of risks and benefits Public interest in lifestyle options Public understanding of behavioral steps Public attitudes toward the options & steps Public outrage at the conditions that have put them at risk or in danger Personal and political actions
practices indicated by research to their application in practice in underserved areas best practices from research to the most appropriate adaptations for special populations The success of individual behavior changes of the affluent to the system changes needed to reach the less affluent, less educated University-based, investigator-driven research to practitioner- & community-centered research
4. Evaluate Program
Reassess causes
Green & Kreuter, Health Promotion Planning, 3rd ed., Mayfield, 1999.
Reconsider X
Surveillance, Planning and Evaluating for Policy and Action: PRECEDE-PROCEED MODEL*
Phase 5 Administrative & policy assessment Phase 4 Educational & ecological assessment
Predisposing
Health Program
Environment
Phase 6 Implementation
Input Process
FOCUSING
Population Health Models of Change Best Practices Dissemination Policy
EVALUATING
Evaluation of Uptake
Research
Use
Knowledge Synthesis
Expertise Research
Expertise Research
Dissemination Model
Tends
to linear, one-way communication Presumes centrally defined needs Limited, inconsistent impact Incomplete monitoring and evaluation capacity Disciplines and literatures isolated Lack of systems thinking
Endorsement
Understanding Differences Among Publics Perception of Needs, the Health Sectors Assessments, and the Political Assessments
Publics perceived needs, C priorities
E
Actual needs
D B
A A
LW Green, Inst of Health Promotion Research, Univ. British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3
Health Education
(advocacy)