Analysis of Financial Statements A managers primary goal is to maximize the value of the firms stock (shareholders wealth). Value of the firm= firms future cash flow
How an investor estimate future cash flow? How a manager decide which actions will most likely increase the cash flow?
The answer lie in the study of financial statement that publicly traded firms must provide to investors - institutional investor-bank, insurance companies, pension funds.. - individuals investor- you & me!!
Analysis of Financial Statements
Understanding Financial Statements, Taxes, and Cash Flows (Chapter 2 )
Evaluating a Firms Financial Performance (Chapter 3)
Financial Statements, Cash Flow, and Taxes Key Financial Statements Balance sheet Income statements Statement of retained earnings Statement of cash flows Accounting income vs. cash flow taxes The Annual Report Balance sheet provides a snapshot of a firms financial position at one point in time.
Income statement summarizes a firms revenues and expenses over a given period of time.
Statement of retained earnings shows how much of the firms earnings were retained, rather than paid out as dividends.
Statement of cash flows reports the impact of a firms activities on cash flows over a given period of time. SALES - EXPENSES = PROFIT Income Statement SALES - EXPENSES = PROFIT Income Statement Revenue Income Statement SALES - EXPENSES = PROFIT Cost of Goods Sold
Income Statement SALES - EXPENSES = PROFIT Cost of Goods Sold Operating Expenses
Income Statement SALES - EXPENSES = PROFIT Cost of Goods Sold Operating Expenses (marketing, administrative)
Income Statement SALES - EXPENSES = PROFIT Cost of Goods Sold Operating Expenses (marketing, administrative) Financing Costs
Income Statement SALES - EXPENSES = PROFIT Cost of Goods Sold Operating Expenses (marketing, administrative) Financing Costs Taxes SALES - Cost of Goods Sold GROSS PROFIT - Operating Expenses OPERATING INCOME (EBIT) - Interest Expense EARNINGS BEFORE TAXES (EBT) - Income Taxes EARNINGS AFTER TAXES (EAT) - Preferred Stock Dividends - NET INCOME AVAILABLE TO COMMON STOCKHOLDERS (NI) Income Statement SALES - Cost of Goods Sold GROSS PROFIT - Operating Expenses OPERATING INCOME (EBIT)
- Interest Expense EARNINGS BEFORE TAXES (EBT) - Income Taxes EARNINGS AFTER TAXES (EAT) - Preferred Stock Dividends - NET INCOME AVAILABLE TO COMMON STOCKHOLDERS Income Statement SALES - Cost of Goods Sold GROSS PROFIT - Operating Expenses OPERATING INCOME (EBIT)
- Interest Expense EARNINGS BEFORE TAXES (EBT) - Income Taxes EARNINGS AFTER TAXES (EAT) - Preferred Stock Dividends - NET INCOME AVAILABLE TO COMMON STOCKHOLDERS Income Statement Balance Sheet Total Assets = Outstanding Debt + Shareholders Equity Liabilities Balance Sheet Assets Liabilities (Debt) & Equity Balance Sheet Assets Liabilities (Debt) & Equity Current Assets Cash Marketable Securities Accounts Receivable Inventories Prepaid Expenses Fixed Assets Machinery & Equipment Buildings and Land Other Assets Investments & patents Current Liabilities Accounts Payable Accrued Expenses Short-term notes Long-Term Liabilities Long-term notes Mortgages Equity Preferred Stock Common Stock (Par value) Paid in Capital Retained Earnings A Typical Balance Sheet
Total Assets I Current Assets *Cash & Equivalents *Account Receivable *Inventory I Long-Term (Fixed) Assets *Net plant and Equipment *Other Long-Term Assets
Total Liabilities & Equity I Current Liabilities *Accrued wages & taxes *Account payable *Notes payable I Long-Term Debt I Stockholders Equity *Common stock *Retained Earning Net Working Capital= Current Assets Current Liabilities = Assets Current Assets: assets that are relatively liquid, and are expected to be converted to cash within a year. Cash, marketable securities, accounts receivable, inventories, prepaid expenses. Assets Fixed Assets: Machinery and equipment, buildings, and land. Assets Other Assets: any asset that is not a current asset or fixed asset. Intangible assets, such as patents and copyrights. Financing Debt Financing Equity Financing Financing Debt Capital: financing provided by a creditor.
Short-term debt: borrowed money that must be repaid within the next 12 months. Accounts payable, other payables such as interest or taxes payable, accrued expenses, short-term notes.
Long-term debt: loans from banks or other sources that lend money for longer than 12 months. Financing Equity Capital: shareholders investment in the firm. Preferred Stockholders: receive fixed dividends, and have higher priority than common stockholders in event of liquidation of the firm. Common Stockholders: residual owners of a business. They receive whatever is left after creditors and preferred stockholders are paid. Free Cash Flows Free cash flow: Cash flow that is free and available to be distributed to the firms investors (both debt and equity investors). Free Cash Flows Cash Flows from Assets = Cash Flows from Financing Cash flows generated through the firms assets = Cash flows paid to - or received from - the firms investors (creditors & stockholders) Calculating Free Cash Flows: An Asset Perspective After-tax cash flow from operations less investment in net operating working capital less investments in fixed and other assets Calculating Free Cash Flows: An Asset Perspective After-tax cash flow from operations less investment in net operating working capital less investments in fixed and other assets Operating income + depreciation - cash tax payments Calculating Free Cash Flows: An Asset Perspective After-tax cash flow from operations less investment in net operating working capital less investments in fixed and other assets [Change in current assets] - [change in non-interest bearing current liabilities] Calculating Free Cash Flows: An Asset Perspective After-tax cash flow from operations less investment in net operating working capital less investments in fixed and other assets Change in gross fixed assets, and any other assets that are on the balance sheet. Calculating Free Cash Flows: A Financing Perspective Interest payments to creditors - change in debt principal - dividends paid to stockholders - change in stock
= Financing Free Cash Flows Tax Example: Space Cow Computer has sales of $32 million, cost of goods sold at 60% of sales, cash operating expenses of $2.4 million, and $1.4 million in depreciation expense. The firm has $12 million in 9.5% bonds outstanding. The firm will pay $500,000 in dividends to its common stock holders.
If the Tax rate is 34% Calculate the firms tax liability. Sales $32,000,000 Cost of Goods Sold (19,200,000) Operating Expenses (2,400,000) Depreciation Expense (1,400,000) EBIT or NOI 9,000,000 Interest Expense (1,140,000) Taxable Income 7,860,000 Total Tax payment $7,860,000 x .34 = $2,672,400
Evaluating a Firms Financial Performance
Financial Ratio Analysis Are our decisions maximizing shareholder wealth? We will want to answer questions about the firms
i) Liquidity ii) Efficient use of Assets iii) Leverage (financing) iv) Profitability
Financial Ratios Tools that help us determine the financial health of a company. We can compare a companys financial ratios with its ratios in previous years (trend analysis). We can compare a companys financial ratios with those of its industry. Example: CyberDragon Corporation CyberDragons Balance Sheet ($000) Assets: Liabilities & Equity: Cash $2,540 Accounts payable 9,721 Marketable securities 1,800 Notes payable 8,500 Accounts receivable 18,320 Accrued taxes payable 3,200 Inventories 27,530 Other current liabilities 4,102 Total current assets 50,190 Total current liabilities 25,523 Plant and equipment 43,100 Long-term debt (bonds) 22,000 less accum deprec. 11,400 Total liabilities 47,523 Net plant & equip. 31,700 Common stock ($10 par) 13,000 Total assets 81,890 Paid in capital 10,000 Retained earnings 11,367 Total stockholders' equity 34,367 Total liabilities & equity 81,890 Sales (all credit) $112,760 Cost of Goods Sold (85,300) Gross Profit 27,460 Operating Expenses: Selling (6,540) General & Administrative (9,400) Total Operating Expenses (15,940) Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 11,520 Interest charges: Interest on bank notes: (850) Interest on bonds: (2,310) Total Interest charges (3,160) Earnings before taxes (EBT) 8,360 Taxes (assume 40%) (3,344) Net Income 5,016 CyberDragons Income Statement CyberDragon Other Information
Dividends paid on common stock $2,800 Earnings retained in the firm 2,216 Shares outstanding (000) 1,300 Market price per share 20 Book value per share 26.44 Earnings per share 3.86 Dividends per share 2.15 Financial Ratios
Liquidity Efficient use of Assets Profitability Leverage (financing) Why are ratios useful? Standardize numbers- facilitate comparisons.
highlight weaknesses & strengths.
Ratio comparisons should be made through time and with competitors Trend analysis Peer (or Industry) analysis 1. Liquidity Ratios Do we have enough liquid assets to meet approaching obligations? Liquidity Acid Test / Quick ratio current ratio Average Collection Period What is CyberDragons
Current Ratio? What is CyberDragons Current Ratio? current assets current liabilities What is CyberDragons Current Ratio? If the average current ratio for the industry is 2.4, is this good or not? 50,190 25,523 = 1.97 below the industry average. Liquidity position is weak. What is the firms
Acid Test Ratio? What is the firms Acid Test Ratio? current assets - inventories current liabilities What is the firms Acid Test Ratio? Suppose the industry average is 0.92. What does this tell us? 50,190 - 27,530 25,523 = 0.89 What is the firms
Average Collection Period? What is the firms Average Collection Period? accounts receivable daily credit sales What is the firms Average Collection Period? If the industry average is 47 days, what does this tell us? 18,320 112,760/365 = 59.3 days 2. Operating Efficiency Ratios Measure how efficiently the firms assets generate operating profits. Operating Efficiency Ratios Operating Income Return on Investment (OIROI) Total Assets turnover ratios Accounts Receivable Turnover Operating Profit Margin Inventory Turnover What is the firms
Operating Income Return on Investment (OIROI)? What is the firms Operating Income Return on Investment (OIROI)? operating income total assets Assuming Industry OIROI is 15%. Slightly below the industry average The OIROI reflects product pricing and the firms ability to keep costs down. What is the firms Operating Income Return on Investment (OIROI)? 11,520 81,890 = 14.07% What is their
Operating Profit Margin? What is their Operating Profit Margin? operating income sales What is their Operating Profit Margin? If the industry average is 12%. What can you conclude? 11,520 112,760 = 10.22% What is their
Total Asset Turnover? What is their Total Asset Turnover? sales total assets What is their Total Asset Turnover? The industry average is 1.82 times. The firm needs to figure out how to squeeze more sales dollars out of its assets. 112,760 81,890 = 1.38 times What is the firms
Accounts Receivable Turnover? What is the firms Accounts Receivable Turnover? credit sales accounts receivable What is the firms Accounts Receivable Turnover? CyberDragon turns their A/R over 6.16 times per year. The industry average is 8.2 times. Is this efficient? 112,760 18,320 = 6.16 times What is the firms
Inventory Turnover? What is the firms Inventory Turnover? cost of goods sold inventory What is the firms Inventory Turnover? CyberDragon turns their inventory over 3.1 times per year. The industry average is 3.9 times. Is this efficient? 85,300 27,530 = 3.10 times Low inventory turnover: The firm may have too much inventory, which is expensive because: Inventory takes up costly warehouse space. Some items may become spoiled or obsolete. What is the firms
Fixed Asset Turnover? What is the firms Fixed Asset Turnover? sales fixed assets What is the firms Fixed Asset Turnover? If the industry average is 4.6 times, what does this tell us about CyberDragon? 112,760 31,700 = 3.56 times 3. Leverage Ratios / Debt Mgmt (financing decisions) Measure the impact of using debt capital to finance assets. Firms use debt to lever (increase) returns on common equity. Leverage Ratios / Debt Mgmt Debt Ratio Times-Interest- Earned (TIE) ratio How does Leverage work? Suppose we have an all equity- financed firm worth $100,000. Its earnings this year total $15,000.
ROE =
(ignore taxes for this example) How does Leverage work? Suppose we have an all equity- financed firm worth $100,000. Its earnings this year total $15,000.
ROE = = 15%
15,000 100,000 How does Leverage work? Suppose the same $100,000 firm is financed with half equity, and half 8% debt (bonds). Earnings are still $15,000.
ROE = How does Leverage work? Suppose the same $100,000 firm is financed with half equity, and half 8% debt (bonds). Earnings are still $15,000.
ROE = = 15,000 - 4,000 50,000 How does Leverage work? Suppose the same $100,000 firm is financed with half equity, and half 8% debt (bonds). Earnings are still $15,000.
ROE = = 22% 15,000 - 4,000 50,000 What is CyberDragons
Debt Ratio? What is CyberDragons Debt Ratio? total debt total assets What is CyberDragons Debt Ratio? 47,523 81,890 = 58% If the industry average is 47%, what does this tell us?
Can leverage make the firm more profitable? Can leverage make the firm riskier? What is the firms
Times Interest Earned Ratio? What is the firms Times Interest Earned Ratio? operating income interest expense What is the firms Times Interest Earned Ratio? The industry average is 6.7 times. This is further evidence that the firm uses more debt financing than average. 11,520 3,160 = 3.65 times 4. Return on Equity/ Profitability How well are the firms managers maximizing shareholder wealth? What is CyberDragons
Return on Equity (ROE)? What is CyberDragons Return on Equity (ROE)? net income common equity What is CyberDragons Return on Equity (ROE)? 5,016 34,367 = 14.6% The industry average is 17.54%. Is this what we would expect, given the firms leverage? Conclusion: Even though CyberDragon has higher leverage than the industry average, they are much less efficient, and therefore, less profitable. The DuPont Model Brings together:
Profitability Efficiency Leverage ROE = x / (1- )
Net Profit Total Asset Debt Margin Turnover Ratio The DuPont Model ROE = x / (1- )
= x /(1- )
= x / (1 - )
= 14.6% Net Profit Total Asset Debt Margin Turnover Ratio
Net Income Sales Total Debt Sales Total Assets Total Assets
5,016 112,760 47,523 112,760 81,890 81,890
The DuPont Model The DuPont Model ROE = x / (1- )
Net Profit Total Asset Debt Margin Turnover Ratio net income common equity Special gift for guys!! End of Lecture 2