Stratergic sale Overview of the presentation Brief Snapshot of Hindustan Zinc Limited (HZL) Analysis of mines/smelters, assets, employees Past Financials Zinc Industry Investment Perspective Valuation Time table for future Transaction Details Transaction Documents Brief Snapshot of HZL Only integrated primary producer of zinc & lead in the country
Accounts for almost 80% of the countrys zinc production
Headquartered in Udaipur
Owns 6 mines (operates 4) and 4 smelters Capacities & Production 11 mths 12 mths (est) Zn Ingots 161,300 MT 180,000 MT PRODUCT CAPACITY PRODN. 2000-01 PRODN. 2001-02 (9 mths) Zn Ingots 169,000 MT 148,092 MT 132,542 MT Lead Ingots 43,000 MT 34,840 MT 28,993 MT Silver 86,000 kg 35,127 kg 36,946 kg Sulphuric Acid 338,000 MT 271,714 MT 239,162 MT Cadmium Ingots 740 MT 277 MT 298 MT Copper Cathode 2,100 MT 213 MT 128 MT Financial Highlights (Rs. mn.) as on 31.03.2001 31.12.2001 Share Capital 4,225.3 4,225.3 Net Worth 11,602.6 11,867.4 PAT 1,692.2 323.4 Net Fixed Assets 6,642.4 6,484.6 Net Current Assets 4,186.4 4,036.6 Mines & Smelters
Mines - Details MINE RAMPURA AGUCHA RAJPURA DARIBA ZAWAR AGNIGUNDALA Ore with Grade Lead-Zinc Zn 13.70% Pb 1.90% Lead-Zinc Zn 8.00% Pb 2.10% Lead-Zinc Zn 4.63% Pb 2.40% Lead Pb 2.10% Capacity 4500 tpd 2400 tpd 4000 tpd 240 tpd Type Open Pit Underground Underground Underground Estimated Life 23 yrs 15 yrs 10 yrs (750,000 tpa) +8 yrs (300,000 tpa) 11 yrs Lease renewed upto March 13, 2020 May 29, 2010 March 29, 2010 November 21, 2013 Nearest City Bhilwara 80 km Udaipur 80 km Udaipur 44 km Guntur 25 km Cost of Production (2001-02) Rs. 5,691 / MT
Rs. 17,326 / MT Rs. 16,863 / MT Rs. 16,425 / MT Global Mining Cost Comparison MINE RAMPURA AGUCHA RAJPURA DARIBA ZAWAR Cost of Production (Rs./T of concentrate) 5,691 17,326 16,863 Concentrate Grade 54% 51% 55% Cost of Production ($/T of metal) 216 697 629 Breakeven cost at LME of $800/MT and related TC/RC 321 321 321 Breakeven cost at LME of $900/MT and related TC/RC 380 380 380 Breakeven cost at LME of $1000/MT and related TC/RC 439 439 439 Scope for improvement ($/MT of metal) - 376 / 317 / 258 308 / 249 / 190 Smelters - Details SMELTER CHANDERIYA DEBARI VIZAG TUNDOO Metal Zinc & Lead Zinc Zinc Lead Capacity Zinc 70,000 tpa Lead 35,000 tpa 59,000 tpa 40,000 tpa 8,000 tpa Process Zinc ISP Lead Pyro Electrowinning Electrowinning Pot Sintering Recovery (2000-01) Zinc 90.67% Lead 89.86% 95% 87% 87.15% Nearest City Bhilwara 45 km Udaipur 15 km Vizag Dhanbad 36 km Cost of Production (2001-02) Zn - Rs. 35,379 / MT
Pb Rs. 30,802 / MT
Rs. 53,150 / MT Rs. 53,344 / MT Rs. 59,848 / MT Global TC/RC Comparison SMELTER CHANDERIYA DEBARI VIZAG Cost of Zn Production (Rs./MT) 21,782 32,863 32,244 Cost of Zn Production ($/MT) 447 674 661 TC/RC ($/MT of metal) at LME of $800/MT 479 479 479 TC/RC ($/MT of metal) at LME of $900/MT 520 520 520 TC/RC ($/MT of metal) at LME of $1000/MT 561 561 561 Scope for improvement ($/MT of metal) - 195 / 254 / 213 182 / 141 / 100 Employees
Employees WORKMEN EXECUTIVES TOTAL CONTRACT as on 30.6.01 As on 30.9.2000 9,482 1,339 10,821 3,254 As on 24.10.2001 8,625 1,306 9,931 VRS Accepted & Paid 1,348 228 1,576 As on 1/3/02 7,277 1,078 8,355 3,254 Employees (as on 1/3/02) Break-up EXECUTIVES WORKMEN TOTAL CONTRACT (as on 30.6.01) Smelters: 1. Chanderiya 184 631 815 652 2. Debari 100 1,022 1,122 456 3. Vizag 117 898 1,015 531 4. Tundoo 33 514 547 45 Mines: 1. Rampura Agucha 110 606 716 490 2. Rajpura Dariba 113 1,201 1,314 422 3. Zawar Mines 180 1,822 2,002 375 4. Agnigundala 19 170 189 130 5. Sargipalli 32 1 33 0 6. Maton 16 23 39 3 Others 174 389 563 150 TOTAL STAFF 1,078 7,277 8,355 3,254 Other Assets
Other Assets City Location Nos. Nature Area (sq.ft) Jaipur Bani Park (Flat) 2 Owned 1050 x 2 Bani Park (Flat) 1 Owned 1,650 Bangalore M. G. Road (Office) 1 Rented 1,139 Vijaynagar (Flat) 1 Owned 1,075 Vijaynagar (Flat) 1 Owned 1,278 Vijaynagar (Garage) 1 Owned 203 Delhi Nehru Place (Office) 1 Rented 1,290 Nehru Place (Office) 1 Rented 645 SCOPE-Lodi Road 1 Rented 1,079 SCOPE-Laxmi Nagar 1 Rented 6,000 Asiad Village (Flat) 1 Rented 1,241 Ring Rd. Lajpat Nagar Guest House 1 Rented 6,600 Ghaziabad Devika Apartments 4 Owned 1020 x 4 Hyderabad Saifabad (Office) 1 Owned 3,613 Saifabad (Garage) 1 Owned 200 Saifabad (Flat) 1 Owned 1,714 Other Assets City Location Nos. Nature Area (sq.ft) Mumbai Nariman Pt. (Office) 1 Rented 1,650 Santacruz (East) - Flat 1 Owned 580 Santacruz (East) - Flat 1 Owned 566 Santacruz (East) - Flat 1 Owned 910 Borivili (East) - Flat 1 Owned 1,100 Borivili (East) - Flat 1 Owned 1,100 Kolkata A. J. C. Bose Rd., Tollygunge 2 Owned 1159 x 2 Car park 1 Owned CIC Bldg, (Flats) 2 Owned 2324 x 2 (Car Park) 1 Owned 200 Udaipur H O Yashad Bhawan Owned approx. 30,000 Past Financials
Summary P&L Accounts Past Rs. mn. 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 (9 mths) Net Sales 11,258 13,144 14,436 9,179 Other Income 368 499 198 237 Total Income 11,625 13,643 14,634 9,415 Total Expenditure 9,362 11,042 11,200 8,006 PBDIT 2,263 2,601 3,434 1,409 Depreciation 572 670 577 459 Interest 152 105 25 168 VRS amortised 290 PBT 1,539 1,826 2,832 494 PAT 763 904 1,692 218 Cash profit excluding extraordinary items 1,417 Summary Balance Sheet - Past Particulars (Rs. mn.) 31.3.1999 31.3.2000 31.3.2001 31.12.2001 (provisional) Share Capital 4,225 4,225 4,225 4,225 Reserves & Surplus 5,572 6,218 7,377 7,642 Loans 940 150 57 642 Net Fixed Assets 6,557 6,482 6,642 6,485 Investments 830 830 Current Assets 7,163 8,676 7,649 7,045 Current Liabilities 2,983 4,564 3,462 3,008 Net Current Assets 4,180 4,112 4,186 4,037 Cashflow Statement - Past (Rs. mn.) 1999-2000 2000-2001 2001-02 Q1-3 Opening Cash Balance 1257 1658 695 Sources Net Cash Accruals 1574 2319 265 Increase in Loan Funds - - 600 Sale of Fixed Assets - - 158 Total 1574 2319 1023 Uses Decrease in Loan Funds 789 94 15 Inc./(Dec.) in Net Working Capital -469 1038 1433 Purchase of Fixed Assets 595 738 - Purchase of Investments - 830 0 Dividend paid 258 582 - Total 1173 3282 1448 Surplus/(Deficit) 401 (963) (435) Closing Cash Balance 1658 695 260 Key Ratios Ratio 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 Current Ratio 2.18 1.53 2.14 Debt:Equity 0.09 0.01 0.00 RONW (%) 7.79 8.66 14.58 ROCE (%) 14.97 20.01 26.33 BVPS (Rs.) 23.19 24.72 27.46 EPS (Rs.) 1.81 2.14 4.00 Dividend (%) 4.25 5.5 12.5 Realisations 2000-01 Tonnage of Zn-Pb 182,932 Rs. mn. Rs./MT % Realisation (incl. Other income) 14,634 79,998 100.00% Variable Costs Raw Materials 2,278 12,451 15.56% Power & fuel 2,628 14,368 17.96% Other factory expenses 109 597 0.75% Total 5,015 27,416 34.27% Contribution 9,619 52,582 65.73% Fixed Costs Salaries & Wages 2,790 15,254 19.07% Other fixed expenses 3,394 18,555 23.19% Total 6,185 33,809 42.26% Total Expenditure 11,200 61,225 76.53% PBDIT 3,434 18,773 23.47% Depreciation 577 3,156 3.95% Interest 25 135 0.17% PBT 2,832 15,481 19.35% Tax provision 1,130 6,177 7.72% PAT (incl. Prior items) 1,692 9,250 11.56% Net Cash Accruals 2,279 12,460 15.58% Realisations 31.12.2001 Tonnage of Zn-Pb 161,535 Rs. mn. Rs./MT % Realisation (incl. Other income) 9,882 61,172.55 100.00% Variable Costs 4,243 26,266.32 42.94% Contribution 5,639 34,906.23 57.06% Salaries & Wages 2,265 14,020.24 22.92% Other fixed expenses 1,964 12,161.32 19.88% Fixed Costs 4,229 26,181.56 42.80% Total Expenditure 8,472 52,447.88 85.74% PBDIT 1,409 8,724.67 14.26% Depreciation 459 2,840.87 4.64% Interest 168 1,038.17 1.70% PBT 289 1,789.33 2.93% Tax provision 494 3,056.30 5.00% PAT 211 1,308.08 2.14% Net Cash Accruals 959 5,938.28 9.71% Unit-wise Profitability MINES SMELTERS Zawar RD RA Debari Vizag Chanderiya Employees Workmen 1822 1201 606 1022 898 631 Executives 180 113 110 100 117 184 Base Production (T) Zn Concentrate Zn Metal 43,457 36,091 306,052 57,000 37,000 86,000 Cash profit (Rs. mn.) -127.78 -170.06 1,014.02 210.01 189.52 1,027.58 Pb Concentrate Pb Metal 17,605 7,799 18,325 33,000 Cash profit (Rs. mn.) 73.24 22.96 164.12 220.92 Total Cash Profit (Rs. mn.) -54.53 -147.11 1,178.14 210.01 189.52 1,248.50 Unit-wise Profitability MINES SMELTERS Zawar RD RA Debari Vizag Chanderiya Production with capex (T) Zn Concentrate Zn Metal 54,322 57,745 306,052 57,000 37,000 86,000 Cash profit (Rs. mn.) -103.26 -179.93 1,014.02 210.01 189.52 1,027.58 Pb Concentrate Pb Metal 22,007 12,478 18,325 33,000 Cash profit (Rs. mn.) 101.36 36.73 164.12 220.92 Total Cash Profit (Rs. mn.) -1.90 -143.20 1,178.14 210.01 189.52 1,248.50 VRS Cost (Rs. mn.) 1,591.5 1,042.0 Production of RD & Zawar mines can be substituted by increasing RA production from 18 lakh tonnes to 23 lakh tonnes Zinc Industry
Major World Capacities Refined Zinc COMPANY CAPACITY (MT) % Pasminco 656,000 12.59% Korea Zinc 628,000 12.06% Union Miniere 476,000 9.14% Cominco 391,000 7.51% Asturiana (now with Xstrata) 335,000 6.43% Glencore 307,000 5.89% Falconbridge 245,000 4.70% Noranda 244,000 4.68% Mitsui 239,000 4.59% Outokumpu 225,000 4.32% Metaleurope 224,000 4.30% Industrias Penoles 220,000 4.22% MIM 174,000 3.34% Hindustan Zinc 169,000 3.24% Zinc Corp America 148,000 2.84% Norzink 143,000 2.75% Grupo Mexico 105,000 2.02% MG 100,000 1.92% Padaeng 95,000 1.82% Anglo American 85,000 1.63% 5,209,000 100.00% Consumption Pattern 49% 20% 14% 9% 8% Galvanizing Brass & Bronze Zinc Alloys Chemicals Semi-manufactures Current Global Scenario USA is the single largest consumer of Zinc ( 1.6 mn. tonnes) Europe is the single largest continent which consumes Zinc ( 2.3 mn. tonnes) World Production has grown by 6.4% in 2000 and 2.4% (in 2001) World Zinc Consumption which grew by 6.3% in 2000 has reduced by 1.1% in 2001 Zinc prices continue to slide. In real terms, the lowest level since the early 1940s LME Price Progression - Zn (US$/ ton) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 A p r - 9 5 A u g - 9 5 D e c - 9 5 A p r - 9 6 A u g - 9 6 D e c - 9 6 A p r - 9 7 A u g - 9 7 D e c - 9 7 A p r - 9 8 A u g - 9 8 D e c - 9 8 A p r - 9 9 A u g - 9 9 D e c - 9 9 A p r - 0 0 A u g - 0 0 D e c - 0 0 A p r - 0 1 A u g - 0 1 D e c - 0 1 (US$/ ton) LME Prices (Current Levels) Cash = $ 813 / MT 18 mth Forward = $ 883 / MT 27 mth Forward = $ 913 / MT Current Indian Scenario Zinc consumption in India higher compared to production 70% met internally, rest imported Lower per capita consumption implies potential for growth (0.24 kg compared to 0.8 kg in Brazil and 4 kg in USA) HZL & Binani Zinc, the only domestic producers, with HZL being around 6 times the size of Binani Zinc - Production in India 2 9 . 2 7 3 2 8 . 3 2 1 3 1 . 1 7 5 2 9 . 1 6 2 2 9 . 9 2 3 111.149 136.271 141.806 145.796 148.092 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 1 9 9 6 - 9 7 1 9 9 7 - 9 8 1 9 9 8 - 9 9 1 9 9 9 - 0 0 2 0 0 0 - 0 1 ' 0 0 0
t o n n e s BZL HZL Expected Global Scenario Demand for Zinc is expected to remain stagnant LME price to remain depressed in the short-term due to surplus production and stocks Future Outlook bright 2002 2003 2004 2005 Consumption (tonnes) 9,025,000 9,408,000 9,663,000 9,927,000 Supply (tonnes) 9,400,000 9,625,000 9,770,000 9,943,000 Supply/Demand Balance (tonnes) 375,000 217,000 107,000 16,000 LME Cash ($/tonne) 900 1050 1100 1150 Source: Barclays Capital Expected Indian Scenario Indian Zinc demand expected to remain in line with the economy though in the future it is expected to increase due to infrastructural projects taking shape. Supply-demand scenario unlikely to affect production unless domestic prices continue to fall, in line with LME price
Overall Assessment of Investment
Investment Perspective Strengths
Track record of profit making Ore grade in Rajpura Dariba and Rampura Agucha mines fairly high compared to grades available internationally The Company has sites where preliminary exploration work has commenced and indicates quality reserves The Rampura Agucha mine has substantial reserves of high quality and the cost of mining is also low Debt-free company Investment Perspective Strengths
Has net working capital exceeding Rs. 4000 mn. Assets are available when Zinc LME at historical low Reasonably professional management with fair commercial orientation Conservative accounting practices maintained Unforeseen liability unlikely write-backs possible Huge other properties in terms of offices, residential premises/housing colonies The staff members have not exhibited any overt signs of hostility towards the process of privatisation Investment Perspective Concern Areas Zinc industry highly dependent on steel industry Demand forecast for Zn not encouraging Scattered locations of mines and smelters Analysis of cost structures reveals that only RA mine is viable at current LME levels Profitability of the company sensitive to changes in import duty structure (reduction) or fall in world prices Quality of rock at the RD mine The availability of water in Rajasthan dependent on annual rainfall. Investment Perspective Concern Areas Power costs are high Salaries and wages is a large component of the total costs Sargipalli and Maton mines are being closed. The non- VRS costs of the closure, if any, would need to be examined in detail. Agnigundala mine and Tundoo smelter are also in the process of being closed. The closure costs of these have to be examined. Company produces significant amount of PW grade zinc which has low demand and lower margins Companys equity base is very high Assumptions Underlying Future Projections and Valuation
Assumptions Production Based on capacity Pricing LME-based, landed cost Insurance & Freight etc is assumed at USD 30/t Import Duty Structure as below 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 Rate (%) 35 25 25 20 20 20 20 Clearance and domestic costs have been assumed at Rs. 1500/t CVD and SADD assumed at flat 16% and 4% respectively in the calculation of effective duty INR to depreciate at 5% p.a. against the USD Assumptions Costs Projections based on historical reference. Reductions assumed where applicable Interest at 11% p.a. in case of any loan in future Balance Sheet items linked to P&L, Actuals or Levels of previous year as appropriate Projections over a 7-year period with cash flows to perpetuity from the 8 th year at 2% growth rate Valuation
Valuation Book Value Discounted Cash Flows Comparable multiples Market Price Other qualitative factors Intangibles Contingent and hidden liabilities DCF Valuation DCF Valuation Parameters Risk free rate = 8.00% Market rate of return = 14.39% Stock Beta = 1.2 (or 120%) Growth rate to perpetuity = 2.00% Cost of Equity = 15.67% Transaction Details
Shareholding on offer GoI disinvestment in HZL 26% Open offer to be made subsequent to acquisition of GoI stake Minimum 20% Buyers Call Option: 6 months from Closing Date for a period of 1 year - Upto 18.92% GoIs Put Option: 30 months from Closing Date for a period of 1 year Upto GoI stake of 26% Buyers Second Call Option: 5 years from Closing Date All remaining GoI shares Share Purchase Agreement 1. Non-disposal Undertaking of 3 years 2. Lock-in of shares for 3 years 3. Subsequent to successful bid, Open Offer for a minimum of 20% stake mandatory 4. Buyers Call Option - 6 months after closing date upto 18 months (Upto 18.92%). {at higher of Bid Price or Market Value} 5. GoIs Put Option - 30 months after closing date upto 42 months (GOI retaining stake of 26 % to 31%). {at the higher of Bid Price or Market Value} Critical clauses in the Agreements 6. SP Second Call Option 5 years after closing date all remaining shares of GoI {Fair Market Value as determined by independent valuer} 7. Right of First Refusal continues between SP & GoI for 18 months from closing date 8. No Tag-along or Drag-along clause 9. Post Closing adjustment removed. (Existing in BALCO) 10. GoIs right to inspect accounts removed Critical clauses in the Agreements 11. Embargo on further Capitalization for 2 years* 12. Only the items requiring 75% majority are listed as veto rights under the SHA 13. GoI has reserved the right to offer 5% of the Shares to HZL employees directly
* (except with the consent of the GoI) Future Projections
Profitability Projections Rs. mn. 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 LME Price of Zn SHG ($/t) H1 880 H2 765 800 850 900 Tonnage of Pb-Zn 218,000 218,000 218,000 219,000 Net Sales 12,619 11,961 13,511 15,170 Other Income 292 150 150 150 Total Income 12,911 12,111 13,661 15,320 Total Expenditure 11,082 11,439 11,996 12,802 EBITDA 1,829 672 1,665 2,518 Depreciation 687 717 758 771 Interest 28 0 0 0 Other Liabilities 139 0 0 0 VRS Amortised 289 405 405 405 PBT 685 -449 502 1,342 PAT 508 -449 464 825 Profitability Projections Rs. mn. 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 PBDIT / Sales 14.16% 5.55% 12.19% 16.44% PAT / Sales 3.94% -3.71% 3.39% 5.39% EPS (Rs.) 1.20 -1.06 1.10 1.95 Net Cash Accruals (Rs. mn.) 1,484 672 1,627 2,001 RONW 4.36% -3.85% 3.82% 6.37% ROCE 5.58% -3.85% 3.82% 6.37% Balance Sheet Projections Particulars (Rs. mn.) 31.3.2002 31.3.2003 31.3.2004 31.3.2005 Share Capital 4,225 4,225 4,225 4,225 Reserves & Surplus 7,886 7,436 7,900 8,725 Loans 0 0 0 0 Gross Fixed Assets 14,887 15,547 16,207 16,407 Net Fixed Assets 6,395 6,339 6,240 5,669 Current Assets 6,737 6,106 7,134 9,023 Current Liabilities 3,008 2,943 3,004 3,092 D:E Ratio 0 0 0 0 Current Ratio 2.45 2.52 2.36 2.65 Cashflow Projections Particulars (Rs. mn.) 2001-02 2002-03 2004-05 2005-06 Opening Balance 695 5 633 1,557 Sources of Funds Funds from operations 1,829 672 1,665 2,518 Inc. in term loans 0 0 0 0 Dec. in NWC 409 658 0 0 Total 2,238 1,330 1,665 2,518 Use of Funds Inc. in Fixed Assets 440 660 660 200 Inc. in NWC 0 0 144 179 Dec. in term loans 57 0 0 0 VRS Payments 1,445 578 0 0 Other Payments 926 0 39 517 Total 2,868 1,238 843 896 Surplus/(Deficit) (630) 92 822 1,622 Closing Balance 65.00 157.00 979.00 2,601.00 Cost Structures
Full Equity (@ 15.47%) D:E = 1 WACC = 12.94% D:E = 1.5 WACC = 13.26% Fully Levered 11% 1) LME plateau at $900/t 18.07 19.73 20.18 22.69 2) LME plateau at $1000/t 27.41 30.10 30.83 34.91 3) LME constant at $765/t 2.13 2.29 2.33 2.59 4) 1 + VRS for 2118 people 19.78 21.66 22.18 25.02 5) 1 + closure of condemned units 19.05 20.83 21.32 24.02 6) RA Mine + 3 Smelters 21.70 23.72 24.27 27.31 7) RA Mine+Chanderiya&Debari Smelters 20.90 22.84 23.37 26.30 8) RA Mine+Chanderiya&Vizag Smelters 20.75 22.69 23.22 26.15 9) RA Mine + Chanderiya only 20.51 22.44 22.96 25.88 10) LME at $750/t, Rupee dep. @ 3%, import duty 35/25/20/15/10, COP/t to reduce to Rs. 50,000/Rs. 45,000 15.61 17.08 17.48 19.70 Past Financial Analysis
Strategic Perspective Sterlites presence in non-ferrous metals Copper Originally present Aluminium Acquisition of BALCO Gold Prospecting in Armenia Zinc Natural extension of presence in the non-ferrous area Zinc industry less volatile than those of Copper and Aluminium