Premise
A $ today is not equal in value to a $
tomorrow or a $ yesterday (incomparable).
Time and $ value both are bidimensional.
Value of money changes through time (T)
by a factor which represents rate of
interest (r).
If we estimate a composite value of Cash
Flows (C) at a common point in time for all
Cs which actually occurred at different
points in time, those Cs values can be
compared.
Future Value
In the one-period case, the formula for FV
can be written as:
FV = C0(1 + r)
Where C0 is cash flow today (time zero), and
r is the appropriate interest rate.
Present Value
If you were to be promised $10,000 due in one
year when interest rates are 5-percent, your
investment would be in todays dollars worth
$ 10 ,000
$ 9 ,523 . 81
1 .05
The amount that a borrower would need to set
aside today to be able to meet the promised
payment of $10,000 in one year is called the
Present Value (PV).
Note that $10,000 = $9,523.81(1.05).
Present Value
In the one-period case, the formula for PV
can be written as:
C1
PV
1 r
Where C1 is cash flow at date 1, and
r is the appropriate interest rate.
Future Value
Suppose a stock currently pays a
dividend of $1.10, which is expected to
grow at 40% per year for the next five
years.
What will the dividend be in five years?
FV = C0(1 + r)T
$5.92 = $1.10(1.40)5
$ 1 . 1 0 (1 . 4 0 ) 3
$ 1 . 1 0 (1 . 4 0 ) 2
$ 1 . 1 0 (1 . 4 0 )
$ 1 . 10
0
$ 1 .5 4 $ 2 . 1 6 $ 3 .0 2 $ 4 . 2 3 $ 5 . 9 2
1
PV
0
$20,000
1
$ 20 ,000
$ 9 ,943 .53
5
(1 .15 )
F V C 0 (1 r )
$ 1 0 , 0 0 0 $ 5 , 0 0 0 (1 . 1 0 )
$ 10 ,000
(1 .10 )
2
$ 5,000
T
ln( 1 . 1 0 ) T ln( 2 )
ln( 2 )
0 .6931
T
7 .27 years
ln( 1 .10 ) 0 .0953
About 21.15%.
F V C 0 (1 r )
$ 50 ,000
(1 r )
10
$ 5,000
12
r 10
1 12
$ 5 0 , 0 0 0 $ 5 , 0 0 0 (1 r )
(1 r ) 1 0 1 1 2
1 1 .2 1 1 5 1 .2 1 1 5
12
200
400
600
800
178.57
318.88
427.07
508.41
1,432.93
Compounding Periods
Compounding an investment m times a
year for T years provides for future value of
wealth:
m T
r
FV C 0 1
m
Compounding Periods
If you invest $50 for 3 years at 12%
compounded semi-annually, your
investment will grow to
.12
FV $ 50 1
2 3
$ 50 (1 .06 ) $ 70 .93
6
$ 5 0 (1 E A R ) $ 7 0 . 9 3
3
Continuous Compounding
The general formula for the future value of an
investment compounded continuously over
many periods can be written as:
FV = C0erT
Where
C0 is cash flow at date 0,
r is the stated annual interest rate,
T is the number of years, and
Simplifications
Perpetuity
A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever
Growing perpetuity
A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate
forever
Annuity
A stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a fixed
number of periods
Growing annuity
A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate
for a fixed number of periods
Perpetuity
A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever
C
C
C
PV
2
3
(1 r ) (1 r )
(1 r )
C
PV
r
Perpetuity: Example
What is the value of a British consol that
promises to pay 15 every year for
ever?
The interest rate is 10-percent.
15
15
15
15
PV
150
.10
Growing Perpetuity
A growing stream of cash flows that lasts forever
C(1+g)
C (1+g)2
C
C (1 g ) C (1 g )
PV
2
3
(1 r )
(1 r )
(1 r )
2
C
PV
rg
$1.30
0
$1.30(1.05)
2
$ 1 . 30
PV
$ 26 . 00
.10 .05
$1.30 (1.05)2
Annuity
A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed
maturity
C
C
C
C
0
C
C
C
C
PV
2
3
T
(1 r ) (1 r )
(1 r )
(1 r )
C
PV
r
1
1 (1 r ) T
Annuity: Example
What is the present value of a four-year annuity of
$100 per year that makes its first payment two years from
today if the discount rate is 9%?
4
PV1
t 1
$297.22
$ 100
$ 100
$ 100
$ 100
$ 100
$ 323 . 97
t
1
2
3
4
(1 . 09 )
(1 . 09 ) (1 . 09 )
(1 . 09 ) (1 . 09 )
$323.97
$100
$ 327 . 97
PV
$ 297 .22
0
1 . 09
$100
$100
$100
Growing Annuity
A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed
maturity
C
C(1+g) C (1+g)2
C(1+g)T-1
0
C
C (1 g )
C (1 g )
PV
2
T
(1 r )
(1 r )
(1 r )
T
1 g
C
PV
1
r g (1 r )
T 1
$ 8 , 5 0 0 (1 . 0 7 ) 2
$ 8 , 5 0 0 (1 . 0 7 ) 4
$ 8 , 5 0 0 (1 . 0 7 )
$ 8 , 5 0 0 (1 . 0 7 ) 3
$ 8 , 5 0 0 $9,095 $ 9 , 7 3 1 . 6 5 $ 1 0 , 4 1 2 . 8 7 $ 1 1,1 4 1 . 7 7
0
1
$34,706.26
What would be the Future and the Present value of Cash Flows
occurring at the beginning of the period as detailed above?