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Agenda
1. Introduction
2. Revenue Components
3. Regulatory Asset Base (RAB)
4. Asset Valuation
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1. Introduction
Price Control Regulatory Tasks
Decision on
regulatory regime
Setting revenue
requirements /
cost determination
Setting annual
efficiency target
Tariff design
Calculation of
regulatory asset base
Calculation of
allowed rate of return
Webinar 8 - Pricing
30.11.2009
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Tariff structures,
cost allocation
1. Introduction
Price Control Models
Rate-of-Return regulation
Prices / revenues based on operating costs plus fair return
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1. Introduction
Price Control Revenue Requirements
Capital cost
Regulators have to recognize the importance to regulated service providers of recovering sufficient levels of
costs. Failure to include adequate costs as part of the revenue requirements may discourage investments
and deteriorate quality of supply. However, it is important that the regulated service provider does not incur
excessive or unnecessary costs in providing services.
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1. Introduction
Price Control Revenue Requirements
Revenue Requirements = Opex + Depreciation + (RAB Rate of Return)
Revenue Requirements
Capital costs
Opex
Operation and
Maintenance
Network Losses
Return on
Assets
Depreciation
Regulatory
Asset Base
(RAB)
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Rate of Return
2. Revenue Components
Operating Expenditures (OPEX)
OPEX usually split into:
Controllable OPEX (costs the company can influence and decide upon) or
Non-controllable OPEX (costs beyond the control of the company)
Only controllable OPEX exposed to efficiency analysis
The split between controllable and not controllable costs depends on legal and regulatory
framework, technical standards and norms
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2. Revenue Components
Depreciation
Systematic allocation of the investment cost to purchase an asset (capex) over the period
in which the asset provides benefits to the regulated company (asset life)
There might be differences between depreciation for regulatory, financial accounting and
tax purposes
Depreciation can be calculated by using various asset valuation methods (see next slides)
Typical depreciation methods are:
Straight-line method which allocates equal amounts of depreciation to each accounting
period of the asset life
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2. Revenue Components
Depreciation
Initial asset
value
depreciation
straight-line method
10 years
Initial asset
value
declining-balance method
20 years
time
depreciation
10 years
20 years
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time
2. Revenue Components
Return on Assets Regulatory Asset Base (RAB)
The Regulatory Asset Base (RAB) comprises the assets used to provide the regulated
services
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2. Revenue Components
Return on Assets Rate of Return
The rate of return describes the return the regulated company is permitted to earn (also
known as the opportunity cost of investor capital)
The CAPM takes into account that investors need to be compensated for the time value of
money represented by the risk-free rate and risk premium (beta) measured by the
correlation between the returns of the regulated company and market returns
What is included in the costs of capital and how it can be calculated is addressed in detail
in webinar 5
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Depreciation
Capital
Contribution
Regulatory
Asset
Base
Working
Capital
Construction
Works in
Progress
RAB roll forward
/ revenue re-setting
+ Investments
Depreciation
Asset Disposal
+/- Change of Working
Capital
+/-Change of Capital
Contribution
New
Investments
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Extension investments: investments needed for meeting the change of load and
generation patterns in the future
Exceptional investments: investment resulting from new legal obligations for example
(e.g. if new labour safety rules require safety measures in substations or high voltage
pylons, this probably leads to investments)
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ex-ante
Assessment of adequacy and efficiency of
companys proposed investment program for the
carried out
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whether the investment in the project is so significant that its exclusion could impair
financing
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4. Asset Valuation
Different Approaches
Asset Valuation
Methods
Value based
Cost based
Historic
cost
Optimised
Indexed
Replacement
replacement
historic cost
cost
cost
Market
value
DCF
value
Deprival
value
Asset valuation must be considered with regard to functional adequacy and market value of
regulated assets
Different methods involve varying degrees of effort to calculate, give significantly different estimates
of the regulatory asset base (RAB), and also differ in their pricing and investment signals
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4. Asset Valuation
Historic Cost
Values assets at original purchase price (including any relevant set-up and financing costs)
Advantages:
Administratively efficient, can be easily audited because the data should be available
from financial statements
May lead to unstable prices (e.g. prices may rise when new, more expensive assets
replace existing assets)
Data may be inadequate (especially for assets that have been acquired a long time
ago)
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4. Asset Valuation
Indexed Historic Cost
Historic asset values are adjusted upwards for the effect of inflation
Value of the RAB is adjusted (increased or decreased) to reflect changes in the underlying
inflation index
Debate as to whether the index chosen should reflect price changes in the particular
industry under examination, or price changes in the economy as a whole
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4. Asset Valuation
Replacement Cost
Calculates the cost of replacing an asset with another asset (not necessarily the same) that
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4. Asset Valuation
Optimised Replacement Cost
Values RAB on the basis of replacement cost of optimised assets, which most efficiently
reproduce the capacity and service levels of existing assets
Advantages:
Eliminates inefficiencies in the existing assets
Disadvantages:
Relatively complex to implement, requires considerable input in terms of manpower and
financial costs
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4. Asset Valuation
Market Value
Values RAB on the basis of the price that would be obtained from selling the assets in a
competitive market
Advantages:
Disadvantages:
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4. Asset Valuation
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) Value
Values RAB on the basis of the discounted cash flows of the regulated company
Predicts the cash flows that the company is expected to generate, and then discounts them
back to present values using the appropriate risk-adjusted discount rate
Disadvantages:
Requires assumptions and forecasting to estimate future cash flows
Circularity problem arises because the future cash flows will determine the value of the
RAB, however the future cash flows depend on the value of the RAB
(RAB - > Return on assets -> Revenue -> Cash Flow)
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4. Asset Valuation
Deprival Value (1)
The deprival value of an asset can be defined as the lower level of its:
Replacement cost (if it can be replaced) and
Recoverable value
The recoverable value of an asset can be defined as the higher level of:
The value that the company could receive for selling the assets (value in exchange)
The value that the company could create by using the asset within the business (value
in use determined by the future cash flows)
If the recoverable amount exceeds the replacement cost, and the company was then
deprived of the asset, it would buy another to replace it if possible.
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4. Asset Valuation
Deprival Value (2)
The replacement cost sets a maximum on the loss that the company would suffer through
the deprival
Where the recoverable value is less than replacement cost, replacement of the asset would
not be justified
Advantages:
Discourages inefficient investment
Provides information on the economic value of the RAB
Disadvantages:
Complexity
Requires assumptions and forecasting to estimate future cash flows
Circularity problem arises because the future cash flows will determine the value of the
RAB, however the future cash flows depend on the value of the RAB
(RAB - > Return on assets -> Revenue -> Cash Flow)
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End of Webinar 4
Dr. Konstantin Petrov
Managing Consultant
Mobil +49 173 515 1946
E-mail: konstantin.petrov@kema.com
KEMA Consulting GmbH
Kurt-Schumacher-Str. 8, 53113 Bonn
Tel. +49 (228) 44 690 00
Fax +49 (228) 44 690 99
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