Investment Decisions
AFTERSCHOOL
DEVELOPING CHANGE MAKERS
CENTRE FOR SOCIAL ENTREPRENEURSHIP
PGPSE PROGRAMME
Worlds Most Comprehensive programmes in social
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OPEN FOR ALL FREE FOR ALL
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AFTERSCHOOL
Centre for social entrepreneurship
Bikaner M: 9414430763
tkjainbkn@yahoo.co.in
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Huge investments
Long time frame
Irreversibility
Complex decisions
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Types of decision?
Mutually exclusive projects (whether
project A or project B).
Replacement project ( should we replace
our old machine with new machine?)
Accept / Reject Decisions (should we
accept / reject a proposal).
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Traditional methods
These methods dont take into account
time value of money and therefore they
are not considered to be appropriate
methods now a days. However, they are
easier, quick and help in decision making.
Methods are :
A. Payback period method
B. Accounting Rate of Return
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DCF methods . ..
DCF = discounted cash flows
These are modern methods and they take
into account time value of money. They
are much superior to traditional methods.
The methods are :
A. NPV (Net present value)
C. Profitability Index
B. IRR (internal rate of return)
D. Discounted Payback.
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Returns:
1st year: Rs. 20000
2nd Year : Rs. 40000
3rd year : Rs. 50000
4th year: Rs. 90000
5th year: Rs. 30000
6th year: disposal of machines Rs. 4000
What is the payback period? =4 years.
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Solution
Alternate solution:
Let us find present value of cash inflows at
different rates and the rate at which the cash
inflows are equal to $ 10 million will be the
answer. The rate is 18.42% per annum)
(2 lakh) / (1.1842)^1 + (4 lakh) / (1.1842)^2 +
(4 lakh) / (1.1842)^3 + (6 lakh) / (1.1842)^4 =
10 lakhs
Thus Internal rate of return is 18.42% answer.
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What is leveraging?
When a firm uses fixed cost sources of
funds, it is called leveraging. Higher the
ratio of debt in total funds, higher the
leveraging.
Unleveraged firm is that which has no
debt.
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Solution
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Goti International
No Debt
$20000 in assets
40% tax
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Ramesh Continental
$10000 debt at 12%
$20000 in assets
40% tax
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Suppose income is
2000$
EAT = 1200
3000 is EBIT
EAT = 1800
EBIT is 4000
EAT = 2400
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Suppose income is
2000$ - int.1200
EAT = 480
3000 is EBIT - 1200
EAT = 1080
EBIT is 4000 - 1200
EAT = 1680
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Analysis
BEP = EBIT / Total
assets.
2000/20000
=.1
ROE=
PAT/NETWORTH
=1200/20000=.06
DSCR / ICR
=EBIT / INT
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APPLYING PROBABILITY
Suppose probability of EBIT of
2000,3000,4000 is .25, .5 and .25.
Thus we have to find expected BEP, ROE
and DSCR / ICR for the two firms.
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EXPECTED VALUES OF
BEP,ROE,DSCR
Goti
BEP =.25*.1 +.5*.15
+.25*.2 = .15
ROE=.25*.06 +.5*.09
+.25*.12 = .09
DSCR= NO LOAN
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Ramesh
BEP =.25*.1 +.5*.15
+.25*.2 = .15
ROE=.25*.048
+.5*.108+.25*.168 = .
108
DSCR=.25*.0167
+.5*.025+.25*.033
=.024
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Solution
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installed Capacity
4000 units
75%
Selling Price
30 per unit
Variable Cost
15 per unit
Fixed Cost:
Under Situation I
15000
Under Situation-il
20000
Financial Plan
A
B
Equity 10,000
15,000
5,000
Total 20,000
20,000
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Sales : 3000*30 =
90000
Contribution
90000-45000=45000
EBIT = 90000(45000+20000)
=25000
Operating
leverage=1.8
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EBIT / (Ebit-interest)
EBIT =30000
30000/28000 = 1.07
Combined leverage
=1.5*1.07=1.605
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EBIT =25000
25000/24000 = 1.04
Combined leverage
=1.8*1.04=1.87
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Question on NI approach
Rupa Companys EBIT is Rs. 5,00,000.
The company has 10% 20 lakh
debentures. The equity capitalization rate
i.e. Ke is 16%.
You are required to calculate:
(i) Market value of equity and value of firm
(ii) Overall cost of capital
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Solution
Market value of the firm = Value of equity (
market value) + value of debt.
Value of equity = [EBIT Interest (1-ts)]/K
(there is an assumption that there are no
taxes in all the theories of capital
structure)
=500000 200000 = 300000
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Solution
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Solution
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Analysis
Goti
Debt = 100000
EAI = 20000-7000
=13000 (we assume no
taxes)
Equity
=13000/.115
=113043
Total value
=2,13,043
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Ramesh
EBIT = 20000
Equity = 20000/.1
=200000
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Arbitrage process
you may invest in Goti
International
Suppose we invest
10000, we get = 1150
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Solution
Sarika Consultants
EBIT = 1.5 million
Tax = 5 Lakhs
EAT = 1 million
Cost of equity
10/13 *100 = 77%
Value = 13 lakhs
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Pankaj Consultants
EBIT = 1.5 million
Interest = 77000
EAIBT= 14,23,000
Tax= 4,74,333
EAT = 9,48,666
Cost of equity =
948666/600000*100
=158%
Value of firm 13 laks
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Sarika Consultants
EBIT = 1.5 million
Tax = 5 Lakhs
EAT = 1 million
Value of equity
=10,00,000/.2
=50,00,000
Total value of the firm is
also 50 lakhs
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Pankaj Consultants
EBIT = 1.5 million
Interest = 77000
EAIBT= 14,23,000
Tax= 4,74,333
EAT = 9,48,666
Value of equity
=948666/.2 =47,43,330
Total value of the firm
=54,43,330 answer.
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Sarika Consultants
EBIT = 1.5 million
Tax = 5 Lakhs
EAT = 1 million
Value of the firm
=10 lakhs / .2
= 50 lakhs
Value of equity = 50
lakhs
Cost of equity = 20%
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Pankaj Consultants
EBIT = 1.5 million
Interest = 77000
EAIBT= 14,23,000
Tax= 4,74,333
EAT = 9,48,666
Value of the firm
1500000/.2 = 7500000
Value of equity =
6800000
Cost of equity
13.94%
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Operating leverage
= % change in EBIT / % change in sales
Actually it measures the impact of fixed
cost (as aginst variable cost).
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Financial leverage
% change in EPS / % change in EBIT
Actually it measures the impact of interest
and other such fixed charge securities on
EPS.
EPS = earning per share.
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Alternate formulaes
Operating leverage
= Contribution / EBIT
Financial leverage
= EBIT / (EBIT interest)
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Formula
[(EBIT I1) (1-t)]/ E1 = [(EBIT I2) (1-t)]/
E2
E1 = equity in 1st alternative (no debt or
minimum debt)
E2 = equity in 2nd alternative (no debt or
max. debt)
I1 and I2 represent interest payable in the
2 alternatives respectively.
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Solution
(a) raising additional equity how much
equity required?
One share will give you 10 + 15 = 25
Capital required = 50 lakhs.
50/25 = 2 lakh shares. (we already have
10 lakh shares)
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Solution
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Analysis
From the above analysis, it is clear that
EPS is higher in the case when we are
raising debt. (therefore this option is better
and the firm should go for raising debt).
We also have to look at the overall market
capitalisation and overall value of the firm.
Suppose, PE ratio of the industry is 20,
the value of the firm is as under:
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Solution
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Debt
Use of debt will reduce
the PE ratio to some
extent as Beta will
increase. However, let us
calculate using 20 as PE
ratio:
20*6.44 = 128.8 *10
lakhs + 16 lakhs
=1304 lakhs
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1.
2.
3.
4.
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MM approach
It is similar to NOI approch
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Traditional approach
It says that with the use of debt, the
overall cost of capital comes down upto
some extent and thereafer the overall cost
of capital increases. Thus there is an ideal
point, upto which the overall cost of capital
will decrease with the help of increase in
debt, beyond which the use of debt is
detrimental to the company.
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ABOUT AFTERSCHOOL
Afterschoool conducts three year integrated PGPSE (after
class 12th along with IAS / CA / CS) and 18 month
PGPSE (Post Graduate Programme in Social
Entrepreneurship) along with preparation for CS / CFP /
CFA /CMA / FRM. This course is also available online
also. It also conducts workshops on social
entrepreneurship in schools and colleges all over India
start social entrepreneurship club in your institution today
with the help from afterschoool and help us in developing
society.
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Flexible Specialisations:
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Salient features:
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No publicity and low profile course
For those who want to achieve success in life not just a
degree
Flexible you may stay for a month and continue the rest of
the education by distance mode. / you may attend weekend
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Scholarships for those from poor economic background
Latest and constantly changing curriculum keeping pace
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Placement for those who are interested
Admissions open throughout the year
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Components
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Pedagogy
Case analysis,
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Quiz, seminars, workshops, games,
Visits to entrepreneurs and industrial visits
PreGotitations, Latest audio-visuals
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Periodic self assessment
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India)
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Branches
AFTERSCHOOL will shortly open its
branches in important cities in India
including Delhi, Kota, Mumbai, Gurgaon
and other important cities.
Afterschooolians will be responsible for
managing and developing these branches
and for promoting social entrepreneurs.
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Case Studies
We want to write case studies on social
entrepreneurs, first generation
entrepreneurs, ethical entrepreneurs.
Please help us in this process. Help us to
be in touch with entrepreneurs, so that we
may develop entrepreneurs.
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social entrepreneurship for better
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