ATTACKS OF
NOVEMBER 28,
2002
JONATHAN FIGHEL
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. FACTS
2. ACTORS INVOLVED
3. MOTIVATION
4. STRONG AND WEAK ARGUMENTS
FACTS
November 28, 2002
Two coordinated attacks:
1. Paradise Hotel
Land-based
suicide
operation
Innovative:
Aviation attack
Multidimensional synchronized operation (surface
3 types of operational planning
missiles)
Sea-borne dhows
for infiltration and
scape
April
2002
Short list
AprilAugust
2002
Meetings in
Mogadishu for
indoctrination
and weapons
training
August
2002
Team
relocated to
Mombassa
Paradise
Hotel
Two
groups
Aircraft
assault
Fired 2 shoulder-mounted
anti-aircraft missiles from
Mombassa International
Airport runaway
but
marked a turning
point in future alQaeda operational
threats
September 2009
PARADISE HOTEL
ISRAELI PLANE
Fumo Muhammad
Fumo
Harun Abdisheikh
Bamusa
8 LOCAL COLLABORATORS
FAZUL
ABDULLAH
Representative of
AQ
Preparation
phase
Before the
attack
Personal
commitment and
bonds: motivational
factors
Surveillance data
and operational
instructions
PARADISE HOTEL
ISRAELI PLANE
Fumo Muhammad
Fumo
Harun Abdisheikh
Bamusa
Saleh Ali
Nabhan
Abdul Malik
8 LOCAL COLLABORATORS
KNOWLEDGE
HUB
MOTIVATION: AQ
OPERATIONAL
FINGERPRINTS
Strategic decision of AQs
leadership during 2001 and before
9/11
Jewish and
Israeli targets
AQ
le
ad
er
shi
p
Top-AQ
regional
leader (Fazul
Abdullah)
TOP DOWN
al-Qaedaled
operation
AQ senior
operatives
Mombassa attacks
2002
Local collaborators
MOTIVATION: SELECTION OF
TARGETS
Legitimatio
n of the
attack
AQ post9/11
evolving
estrategy
Economic
instability
soft targets with
high potential for
economic
disruption
Suicide attacks
Mass casualties
Direct
confrontation with
Israel
MOTIVATION: AL-QAEDA
CLAIMS RESPONSIBILITY
False statement by Army of Palestine
December 2, 2002 AQ claims responsibility
More attacks
Holy places occupation
Jewish-Crusader
Alliance
Muslim interests, Palestinian
cause
Operatives as agents of
the Muslim umma
against the Jews and
Crusaders
STRONG ARGUMENT #1
Before the Mombassa attack, Israel and the international
iltelligence community were unaware of al-Qaedas
strategic decision to attack Israeli/Jewish targes,
which was made in early 2001 and before the 9/11
attacks.
p. 416 The Israeli Reaction
STRONG ARGUMENT #1
Confession by KSM
18. I was responsible for surveying and financing for the destruction of
the Israeli embassy in India, Azerbaijan, the Philippines, and Australia.
19. I was responsible for surveying and financing for the destruction of an
Israeli El-Al Airlines flight on Thailand soil departing from Bangkok
Airport.
20. I was responsible for sending several Mujahedeen into Israel to conduct
surveillance to hit several strategic targets deep in Israel.
21. I was responsible for the bombing of the hotel in Mombasa that is
frequented by Jewish travelers via El-Al airlines.
22. I was responsible for launching a Russian-made SA-7 surface-to-air
missile on El-Al or other Jewish airliner departing from Mombasa.
STRONG ARGUMENT #2
AQs return to Kenya, where the organization had already
carried out a terrorist attack, stemmed from its assessment of
the weakness of the local security forces[] Kenya, given its lax
security, was also convenient as a staging point for the operation
because of the presence of a local, supportive, radical Islamic
infrastructure.
STRONG ARGUMENT #2
KENIAN PARADOX
Kenya is the most stable, most effective, and most
democratic government in the Horn of Africa, BUT, has
also experienced the most terrorist attacks against
Western targets and has been the most useful
operational base for al-Qaeda
Target-rich environment:
Functioning sovereign government
Weak governance in critical areas
Disaffected minority Muslim
population
WEAK ARGUMENT #1
Fazul Abdullah al-Qaedas mastermind- is still at
large.
p. 423, The escape
11 June
2011
WEAK ARGUMENT #2
Of course the attack [launch of missiles against the
Arkia plane] could also have failed because of operator
ineptitude or inexperience.
p. 424, The attack
The Mombasa attack was planned and executed as a topdown AQ-led operation developed by a core of senior
professionals and experienced operatives who had been
involved in past terror attacks. (p. 426, AQ operational fingerprints)
The attackers, mostly local Kenyan collaborators, were
already involved in the 1998 US embassy bombing in Nairobi,
motivated by AQ ideology, and had professional terrorist
operational experience.
(p. 426, AQ operational fingerprints)
WEAK ARGUMENT #2
ISSA OSMAN ISSA
Al Qaeda leaders play significant role in Shabaab, Bil Roggio. 1 August 2010