Management
Weeks 10-13
Overview
Lectures 1-4
Technology audit
Introduction to assignment 1
Lectures 5-9
Acquisition of technologies
Introduction to assignment 2
Lectures 10-13
Assignment 1 viva week 10
Scenario Planning,
Technology Intelligence
Assignment 2 due teaching week 15
Patent
analysis
Portfolio
analysis
Acquisition
Exploitation
Road
mapping
Identificatio
n
Protection
Selection
*
*
Stage gate
Learning
S-Curve
*
*
Value
analysis
*
*
*
*
Learning
Investment is ok
Why?
Types of Exploitation
Business to Customer (B2C)
Business to Business (B2B)
Business to other ( public body, charity,
Not for profit etc)
Exercise
Explore the networks mentioned. How do
they differ?
Pick an online B2B website
Join the website
Search for technology-related groups
Join a relevant discussion group / forum
Exploitation continued
How do people find your technologies?
Technology Intelligence
20
Exploitation continued
How do you ensure you keep abreast of
what customers want / need?
Brokering
The activities of a third party bringing together the
inventor with the exploiter
Example = Innovation Relay Centre (IRC)
http://www.south-norfolk.gov.uk/business/1499.asp
http://www.theknowledgenetwork.co.uk/directorydetails.a
sp?no=148
See overview of IRC network in supplementary reading
Example = Enterprise Europe
See: http://www.enterprise-europenetwork.ec.europa.eu/index_en.htm
Other private brokers exist
Recommended reading
Case 6 _Lipitor: The Worlds Best-selling
Drug (2008), Pages 400-404, Afua (2009)
How did the regulatory environment and
the companys lack of access to marketing
channels impact its decision to externally
exploit its new drug?
Scenario planning
Scenarios are internally consistent
descriptions of alternative possible futures,
based upon different assumptions and
interpretations of the driving forces of
change.
Ringland, G., (2006), Scenario Planning, second edition, John Wiley & Sons,
Chichester.
Forecasting
3 main types of forecasting
Direct forecasting
Correlative forecasting
Structural forecasting
Direct forecasting
Involves expert opinion (e.g. Delphi
survey, nominal group approaches)
Nature-time series analysis
Trend extrapolation
Growth curves
Life Cycle substitution
Correlative forecasting
Scenarios
Lead-lag indicators
Cross impact studies
Technical progress studies
Functions analogies
Structural forecasting
Causal models
Regression analysis
Relevance trees
Mission flow diagrams
Morphology simulation models
Deterministic stochastic gaming
Scenario planning
Marketers expressing the future: Scenario planning for
marketing action by Pattinson, Hugh M.; Sood, Suresh
C.. Futures, May 2010, Vol. 42 Issue: Number 4 p417426,
Strategic Planning of Future Products with Product
Scenarios, by Grienitz, V., ; Blume, V., International
Journal of Innovation and Technology Management,
September 2010, Vol. 7 Issue: Number 3 p237-246, 10p
Renewable energy technology portfolio planning with
scenario analysis: A case study for Taiwan by Chen, TserYieth; Yu, Oliver S.; Hsu, George Jyh-yih; Hsu, FangMing; Sung, Wei-Nown. Energy Policy, August 2009
Exploitation and
Standardization
Tushman-Rosenkopf Technology
Life Cycle Model
Uncertainty, complexity and stage of evolution
dictate the degree to which a firm can influence
an industry standard
Technological discontinuity (disruptive
innovation) leads to an era of ferment
(uncertainty) leads to a dominant design leads to
an era of incremental change
This model suggest that technological progress
depends on factors other than those internal to
the technology.