INTRODUCTION
The Black-Scholes option pricing model (BSOPM) has been
one of the most important developments in finance in the last
50 years
Has provided a good understanding of what options should
sell for
Has made options more attractive to individual and
institutional investors
The model
Development and assumptions of the model
Determinants of the option premium
Assumptions of the Black-Scholes model
Intuition into the Black-Scholes model
THE MODEL
C SN (d1 ) Ke RT N (d 2 )
where
2
S
T
ln
R
2
K
d1
T
and
d 2 d1 T
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Striking price
Time until expiration
Stock price
Volatility
Dividends
Risk-free interest rate
STRIKING PRICE
The lower the striking price for a given stock, the more the
option should be worth
Because a call option lets you buy at a predetermined
striking price
STOCK PRICE
The higher the stock price, the more a given call option is
worth
A call option holder benefits from a rise in the stock price
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VOLATILITY
The greater the price volatility, the more the option is worth
The volatility estimate sigma cannot be directly observed
and must be estimated
Volatility plays a major role in determining time value
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DIVIDENDS
A company that pays a large dividend will have a smaller
option premium than a company with a lower dividend,
everything else being equal
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2
S
T
ln
R d
2
K
*
d1
T
and
d 2* d1* T
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NO TRANSACTION COSTS
There are no commissions and bid-ask spreads
Not true
Causes slightly different actual option prices for different
market participants
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C SN (d1 )
Cash Inflow
Ke
RT
N (d 2 )
Cash Outflow
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Assume S= $50,
u= 10% and d= (-3%)
Su=$55
Su=S(1+u)
S=$50
S
Sd=S(1+d)
Sd=$48.5
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Cu= Max{SuX,0}
C
Cd= Max{SdX,0}
Assume X= $50,
T= 1 year (expiration)
Cu= $5
= Max{5550,0}
Cd= $0
= Max{48.550,0}
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Assume r= 6%
$1.06
(1+r)
$1
1
(1+r)
$1.06
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REPLICATING PORTFOLIO
At time t=0, we can create a portfolio of N shares of the stock and an
investment of B dollars in the risk-free bond. The payoff of the
portfolio will replicate the t=1 payoffs of the call option:
N$55 + B$1.06 = $5
N$48.5 + B$1.06 = $0
Obviously, this portfolio should also have the same price as the call
option at t=0:
N$50 + B$1 = C
We get N=0.7692, B=(-35.1959) and the call option price is C=$3.2656.
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A DIFFERENT REPLICATION
The price of $1 in the up
state:
$1
qd
qu
$0
$1
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Pu= Max{XSu,0}
P
Pd= Max{XSd,0}
Assume X= $50,
T= 1 year (expiration)
Pu= $0
= Max{5055,0}
Pd= $1.5
= Max{5048.5,0}
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Su=$5
5
Sud=Sdu=$53.35
Sd=$48.
5
Sdd=$47.05
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$1.1236
$1.06
$1.1236
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Cu
C
Cd
Cuu=Max{60.550,0}=$10.5
Cud=Max{53.3550,0}=$3.35
Cdd=Max{47.0550,0}=$0
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C
Cd
Cdd=$0
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P
Pd
Pu = 0.6531*$0 + 0.2903*$0 = $0
Pdd=$2.95
5
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PAm
Pd
Pdd=$2.95
5
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P
Pd
Pdd=$2.95
5
Pu = Max{ 0.6531*0 + 0.2903*0 , 50-55 } = $0
Pd = Max{ 0.6531*0 + 0.2903*2.955 , 50-48.5 } = 50-48.5
=$1.5
P
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Variable
S stock price
Increase
Decrease
X exercise price
Decrease
Increase
Increase
T time to expiration
Increase
Increase
Decrease
Increase
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