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Chapter3

Introduction to Economic Growth

Macroeconomics Chapter

Economic Growth
and Standard of Living

Macroeconomics Chapter

World Distribution of Real GDP

World Distribution of Per Capita


income in 2000
World Distribution of Per Capita
Income in 1960
Growth Rate in Per capita Income
1960-2000.
Income Inequality.

Macroeconomics Chapter

Macroeconomics Chapter

Macroeconomics Chapter

Macroeconomics Chapter

Macroeconomics Chapter

Macroeconomics Chapter

Long Term Economic Growth in OECD Countries

Macroeconomics Chapter

Productivity Slowdown

The decline in the growth rate of


real GDP per person from 3.1% per
year for 19601980 to 1.8% per
year for 19802000 is sometimes
called the productivity slowdown.

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10

Growth Questions

What factors caused some countries to


grow fast and others to grow slow over
periods such as 1960 to 2000?

In particular, why did the East Asian


countries do so much better than the subSaharan African countries?

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Growth Questions

How did countries such as the United


States and other OECD members sustain
growth rates of real GDP per person of
around 2% per year for a century or
more?

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Growth Questions

What can policymakers do to increase


growth rates of real GDP per person?

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Production Function
Y = A F(K, L)
A

Technology Level

Capital Stock machines and


buildings used by business.

Labor Force number of workers

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Macroeconomics Chapter

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Production Functions

MPL Marginal Product of Labor


Diminishing

Marginal Product of labor

MPK Marginal Product of Capital


Diminishing

Marginal Product of Capital

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Constant Returns to Scale

Constant Returns to Scale


Double

K and L and Y will also double

Therefore, if we multiply K and L by


the quantity 1/L we also multiply Y
by 1/L to get

Y/L = A F(K/L, L/L)


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Per Worker Production Function

y=f(k)
y

output per worker


k capital per worker

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An example:
Cobb-Douglas Production Function
Y AK L1
Y
K
y
k
L
L
AK L1
y
AK L Ak
L
dY
MPK
AK 1 L1 AK L1 / K Y / K
dK
MPK K / Y

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Contributions to GDP Growth

Y/Y = A/A + (K/K) + (L/L)

The growth rate of real GDP, Y/Y, equals


the growth rate of technology, A/A, plus
the contributions from the growth of
capital, (K/K), and labor, (L/L).

Solow residual

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Contributions to GDP Growth

+=1
Share of capital income () + share of labor income () = 1

Y/Y = A/A + (K/K) + (L/L)


0 < < 1
0 < < 1

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Solow Growth Model

Model ignores:
Government

No taxes, public expenditures, debt, or


money

International

Trade

No trade in goods or financial assets

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Solow Growth Model

Labor force, L = ( labor force/


population) population
Labor-force

participation rate
Assume labor force participation rate is
constant.
Labor force growth rate is the
population growth rate

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Solow Growth Model

Growth rate in population


We

assume that population grows at a


constant rate, denoted by n, where n is
a positive number (n > 0).

L/L = n

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Solow Growth Model

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Solow Growth Model

Assume A/A = 0

Y/Y= (K/K) + (1)(L/L)

The growth rate of real GDP is a


weighted average of the growth
rates of capital and labor.

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Solow Growth Model

From the per worker production


function
y/y

= Y/Y L/L

k/k

= K/K L/L

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Solow Growth Model


Y/Y= (K/K) + (1)(L/L)

Y/Y= (K/K) (L/ L) + L/ L

Y/Y L/L = (K/K L/L)

y/y = (k/k)

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Solow Growth Model

Each household divides up its real income


in a fixed proportion s to saving and 1 s
to consumption ( C ).
Capital depreciate at the same constant
rate
K is the amount of capital that depreciates
each year

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Solow Growth Model

Real saving = s (Y K)

Real saving = (saving rate) (real


income)

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Solow Growth Model

YK=C+s(Y K)
Real income = consumption + real saving

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Solow Growth Model

Y=C+I
Real GDP = consumption + gross
investment
YK = C + (IK)
Real NDP = consumption + net
investment

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Solow Growth Model

C+s(YK) = C+IK

or

s(YK) = IK
Real saving = net investment

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Solow Growth Model

K = IK

Change in capital stock = gross investment


depreciation,
or
Change in capital stock = net investment

K = s(YK)
Change in capital stock = real saving

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Solow Growth Model

Divide both sides by K

K/K = sY/K s

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Solow Growth Model

k/k = K/K L/L

k/k = s (Y/K) s n

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Solow Growth Model

Y/K =(Y/L) / (K/L)

Y/K = y/k

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Solow Growth Model

k/k = s(y/k) s n
y/y = (k/k)
y/y = [ s(y/k) s n]

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Solow Growth Model

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Solow Growth Model

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Solow Growth Model

steady state.
When

k = k, k/k equals zero.


k/k = 0, k stays fixed at the value k.

y* = f(k*)

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Solow Growth Model

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Solow Growth Model

In the steady state, k/k equals zero.


s(y*/k*) s n= 0

s(y* k*) = nk*

Steady-state saving per worker = steadystate capital provided for each new worker

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