VAN =
t=1
Bt - Ct
(1+i)^t
Io
Donde:
Bt :
Ct :
: Tasa de descuento
Io : Inversin inicial
n
VAN
10,000
4,700
3,850
2,350
1,850
114 .02
0
1
2
3
4
(1 0.14) (1 0.14) (1 0.14) (1 0.14) (1 0.14)
5,000
4,000
2,500
2,000
10,703.55
(1 0.14)1 (1 0.14) 2 (1 0.14) 3 (1 0.14) 4
VAC (
10,000
300
150
150
150
) 10,589
(1 0.14) 0 (1 0.14)1 (1 0.12) 2 (1 0.14) 3 (1 0.14) 4
B / C 1.01
H O JA D E R E S U L T A D OS
F L U J O D E C O S T O S Y B E N E F IC IO S D E L A AL T E R N AT IV A 1
C OST OS
A O
C OST O DE
M A RGINA L DE
INV ERSION
OPERA C .Y
BENEFIC IOS
FL UJ O NET O
SOC IA L
M A NT EN.
( 1 )
( 2)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
3 5 8 .1 7 2
0
2 7 .9 4 5
2 7 .9 4 5
2 7 .9 4 5
2 7 .9 4 5
V AN S O C IAL
T IR S O C IAL
AL T . I
AL T . I
( 3)
-2 .5 9 8
-2 .4 1 1
-2 .2 9 6
-2 .0 6 1
-2 .0 6 1
-1 .9 4 1
-1 .8 1 9
-1 .6 9 8
-1 .5 7 4
-1 .4 4 8
-1 .3 2 1
-1 .1 9 3
-1 .0 6 2
-9 3 1
-7 9 9
-6 6 4
-5 2 7
-3 8 9
-2 4 9
-1 0 9
( 4)
( 5 )
1 2 8 .4 0 9
1 5 0 .4 7 9
1 6 3 .9 7 8
1 7 7 .6 9 1
1 9 1 .6 1 9
2 0 5 .7 6 1
2 2 0 .1 1 7
2 3 4 .4 7 3
2 4 9 .0 4 4
2 6 3 .8 2 9
2 7 8 .8 2 8
2 9 3 .8 2 7
3 0 9 .2 5 4
3 2 4 .6 8 2
3 4 0 .3 2 4
3 5 6 .1 8 0
3 7 2 .2 5 0
3 8 8 .5 3 5
4 0 5 .0 3 4
4 2 1 .5 3 3
-3 5 8 .1 7 2
1 3 1 .0 0 7
1 5 2 .8 9 0
1 6 6 .2 7 4
1 7 9 .7 5 3
1 6 5 .7 3 5
2 0 7 .7 0 2
2 2 1 .9 3 7
2 3 6 .1 7 1
2 5 0 .6 1 8
2 3 7 .3 3 2
2 8 0 .1 4 8
2 9 5 .0 2 0
3 1 0 .3 1 7
3 2 5 .6 1 3
3 1 3 .1 7 7
3 5 6 .8 4 4
3 7 2 .7 7 8
3 8 8 .9 2 4
4 0 5 .2 8 3
3 9 3 .6 9 7
1 .0 4 9 .3 0 3 s o le s
46%
C OST O DE
INV ERSION
( 1 )
( 2)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
240,753
0
72,900
72,900
72,900
72,900
V AN S O C IAL
T IR S O C IAL
ALT.2
ALT. 2
C OST OS
M A RGINA L DE
BENEFIC IOS
OPERA C .Y M A NT EN.
( 3)
8,904
9,474
9,823
10,178
10,538
10,904
11,275
11,646
12,023
12,405
12,793
13,181
13,580
13,979
14,384
14,794
15,209
15,630
16,057
16,484
SOC IA L
( 4)
( 5 )
128,409
150,479
163,978
177,691
191,619
205,761
220,117
234,473
249,044
263,829
278,828
293,827
309,254
324,682
340,324
356,180
372,250
388,535
405,034
421,533
-240,753
119,505
141,004
154,154
167,513
108,181
194,857
208,842
222,827
237,021
178,523
266,034
280,645
295,674
310,703
253,040
341,386
357,041
372,905
388,977
332,149
1 ,0 3 5 ,6 2 3 s o le s
59%
FL UJO NET O
d e
E v a l u a c i n
d e
p a r a
l a
S e l e c c i n
A l t e r n a t i v a s
A lt e r n a tiv a s
In d ic a d o r d e
R e n t a b ilid a d
V a lo r A c t u a l N e t o
1 .0 4 9 .3 0 3
1 .0 3 5 .6 2 3
4 6 %
5 9 %
S o c ia l
( V A N S ) ( s o le s )
T a s a
In t e r n a
S o c i a l ( T IR )
d e
R e to r n o
Indicador de Rentabilidad
Valor Actual Neto
Evaluacin Social sinSocial (VANS) al 14%
Incremento del monto (soles)
Tasa Interna de
de la Inversin
Retorno Social (TIR)
Valor Actual Neto
Sensibilidad de la
Social (VANS) al 14%
Evaluacin Social:
(soles)
Tasa
Interna de
Incremento del monto
Retorno Social (TIR)
de
de la
la Inversin
Inversin en
en 15%
Alternativas
1
2
1,049,3031,035,623
46%
59%
991,377 988,554
41%
52%