University of Sydney
30 November2015
(C) K. Kumar 2015
Successful
Entrepreneurship
Customer
Needs
Personal
Satisfaction
Economic
Feasibility
Successful Entrepreneurship
(Stevenson and Spence, 2007)
Venture Formula
Idea = anything + you
Opportunity = idea + action
Action = f(Interaction) on Money, Product,
Partners
Viable Venture = Opportunity +
Commitment
(C) K. Kumar 2015
Principles of Effectuation*
Patchwork quilt
versus jigsaw puzzle
Affordable loss
versus expected return
Bird-in-hand
versus opportunity cost analysis; or competitive
analyses
Lemonade
versus avoiding contingencies, but leveraging them
Pilot-in-the-plane
Non-predictive control
What is learnable in
entrepreneurship?
Study the Expert
Entrepreneurs helped identify 5 principles
Pilot in
Bird
Affordable
Lemonade
Crazy-Quilt
in Hand
thePrinciple
Loss
Plane
Principle
Principle
Principle
Control
--Leverage
-Form
Start
- Set
vs
partnerships
with
PredictionIf
affordable
contingencies
your means.
Form
loss
you partnerships
Embrace
Evaluate
can
Don't
control
wait
surprises
for
with
the
perfect
opportunities
that
people
arise
and
opportunity.
from
organizations
based
uncertain
Start
on whether
situations,
willing
takingtothe
action,
topredict
make
downside
remaining
based
awhat
realis
on
flexible
commitment
acceptable,
what
rather
you have
rather
to
than
jointly
readily
tethered
than
creating
on
the
to
something,
you
dont
need
the
future
would
look
like.
the future--product,
available:
attractiveness
existing
goals.
who of
you
the
are,
firm,
predicted
what
market--with
you
upside.
know,you.
andDon't
who you
worry
know.
so much about
competitive analyses and strategic planning.
(C) K. Kumar 2015
Causal vs Effectual
View of future
Future can be reliably predicted
Future cannot be reliably predicted
because of uncertainty
Causal vs Effectual
Where to start
With given goals and readily available
means
Subject to resource constraints (WWW)
Causal vs Effectual
Causal vs Effectual
Causal vs Effectual
Causal vs Effectual
Causal vs Effectual
Underlying logic
To the extent we can predict the future
we can control it
To the extent we can control the future
we need not predict it
Uncertain
Situation
Managerial
Question
1. Where to
start?
Set a goal
Assess your
means
Have you
made an
inventory of
your means?
2. Basis for
action
Should
Can
Have you
played around
with
possibilities?
3. Attitude
towards risk,
return and
resources
Calculate
expected
return
Set
affordable
loss
Have you
come to grips
with worst
case scenario
Uncertain
Situation
Managerial
Question
4. Attitude
toward
others
Perform
competitive
analysis
Form
partnerships
5. Attitude
toward the
unexpecte
d
Avoid
surprises
Leverage
surprises
6. Attitude
towards
future
Predictive
Effectual
Is your
environment stable
enough so that you
can rely on past
data to formulate
future actions?
How will you know
? Measure?
References
References
Sarasvathy, S (2009). What makes
entrepreneurs entrepreneurial?
University of Virginia Note (UVA-ENT0065)
Slides Courtesy- Saras Sarasvathy,
Suresh Bhagavatula and B.S.
Sachidananda