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Measuring and Evaluating the

Performance of Banks

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-2

Key Topics

Stock Values and Profitability Ratios


Measuring Credit, Liquidity, and Other Risks
Measuring Operating Efficiency
Performance of Competing Financial Firms
Size and Location Effects

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-3

Value of the Banks Stock

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-4

Value of a Banks Stock Rises When:

Expected Dividends Increase


Risk of the Bank Falls
Market Interest Rates Decrease
Combination of Expected Dividend Increase and Risk
Decline

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-5

Value of Banks Stock if Earnings Growth is


Constant

D1
P0
r-g
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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-6

Key Profitability Ratios in Banking


Net Income
Return on Equity Capital (ROE) =
Total Equity Capital

Net Income
Return on Assets (ROA) =
Total Assets
(Interest income
- Interest expense) Net Interest Income
Net Interest Margin

Total Assets
Total Assets
Noninterest revenue
- PLLL
- Noninterest expenses Net Noninterest Income
Net Noninterest Margin

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Total Assets
Total Assets
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-7

Key Profitability Ratios in Banking (cont.)


Total Operating Revenues Total Operating Expenses
Net Bank Operating Margin
Total Assets
Net Income After Taxes
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Common Equity Shares Outstanding
Total Interest Income
Earnings Spread = Total Earning Assets

__ Total Interest Expense


Total Interest Bearing Liability

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-8

Breaking Down ROE

R O E = N e t In c o m e / T o ta l E q u ity C a p ita l
ROA =
N e t In c o m e /T o ta l A s s e ts

E q u ity M u ltip lie r =


T o ta l A s s e ts /E q u ity C a p ita l

N e t P ro fit M a rg in =
A s s e t U tiliz a tio n =
x
N e t In c o m e /T o ta l O p e ra tin g R e v e n u e T o ta l O p e ra tin g R e v e n u e /T o ta l A s s e ts
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-9

ROE Depends On:


Equity Multiplier=Total assets/Total equity capital
Leverage or Financing Policies: the choice of sources
of funds (debt or equity)
Net Profit Margin=Net income/Total operating revenue
Effectiveness of Expense Management (cost control)
Asset Utilization=Total operating revenue/Total assets
Portfolio Management Policies (the mix and yield on
assets)
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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-10

Determinants of
ROE in a
Financial Firm

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-11

Components of ROE

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-12

A Variation on ROE
Net Income
Pre-Tax Net Operating Income
ROE =

Pre-Tax Net Operating Income


Total Operating Revenue

Total Operating Revenue


Total Assets

Total Assets
Total Equity Capital

ROE = Tax Management Efficiency


Expense Control Efficiency
Asset Management Efficiency
Funds Management Efficiency
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

CAMELS Analysis

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-14

Breakdown of ROA

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-15

Rapid Fire
What are the principal components of ROE, and what
does each of the these components measure?
Suppose a bank has an ROA of 0.80% and an equity
multiplier of 12x. What is its ROE? Suppose this
banks ROA falls to 0.60%. What size equity
multiplier must it have to hold its ROE unchanged?
What are the most important components of ROA and
what aspects of a financial institutions performance
do they reflect?
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-16

Bank Risks
Credit Risk
Liquidity Risk
Market Risk
Interest Rate Risk
Operational Risk

Legal and
Compliance Risk
Reputation Risk
Strategic Risk
Capital Risk

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-17

Credit Risk
The Probability that Some of the
Financial Firms Assets Will Decline in
Value and Perhaps Become Worthless

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Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-18

Credit Risk Measures

Nonperforming Loans/Total Loans


Net Charge-Offs/Total Loans
Provision for Loan Losses/Total Loans
Provision for Loan Losses/Equity Capital
Allowance for Loan Losses/Total Loans
Allowance for Loan Losses/Equity Capital
Nonperforming Loans/Equity Capital

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-19

Liquidity Risk
Probability the Financial Firm Will Not
Have Sufficient Cash and Borrowing
Capacity to Meet Deposit Withdrawals
and Other Cash Needs

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-20

Liquidity Risk Measures


Purchased Funds/Total Assets
Net Loans/Total Assets
Cash and Due from Banks/Total Assets
Cash and Government Securities/Total
Assets

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-21

Market Risk: Comprises Price Risk and


Interest Rate Risk

Probability of the Market Value of the


Financial Firms
Investment Portfolio
Declining in Value Due to a Change in Interest
Rates

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-22

Market Risk Measures

Book-Value of Assets/ Market Value of Assets


Book-Value of Equity/ Market Value of Equity
Book-Value of Bonds/Market Value of Bonds
Market Value of Preferred Stock and Common Stock

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-23

Interest Rate Risk

The Danger that Shifting Interest Rates


May Adversely Affect a Banks Net Income,
the Value of its Assets or Equity

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-24

Interest Rate Risk Measures


Interest Sensitive Assets/Interest Sensitive
Liabilities
Uninsured Deposits/Total Deposits

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Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-25

Off-Balance-Sheet Risk
The Volatility in Income and Market Value of Bank
Equity that May Arise from Unanticipated Losses due
to OBS Activities (activities that do not have a
balance sheet reporting impact until a transaction is
affected)

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Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-26

Operational Risk
Uncertainty Regarding a Financial Firms
Earnings Due to Failures in Computer
Systems, Errors, Misconduct by Employees,
Floods, Lightening Strikes and Similar Events
or Risk of Loss Due to Unexpected Operating
Expenses

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-27

Legal and Compliance Risk


Risk of Earnings Resulting from Actions Taken by the
Legal System. This can Include Unenforceable
Contracts, Lawsuits or Adverse Judgments.
Compliance Risk Includes Violations of Rules and
Regulations

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Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-28

Reputation Risk
This is Risk Due to Negative Publicity that can
Dissuade Customers from Using the Services of the
Financial Firm. It is the Risk Associated with Public
Opinion.

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-29

Capital Risk
Probability of the Value of the Banks Assets
Declining Below the Level of its Total
Liabilities. The Probability of the Banks
Long Run Survival

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2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-30

Capital Risk Measures


Stock Price/Earnings Per Share
Equity Capital/Total Assets
Purchased Funds/Total Liabilities
Equity Capital/Risk Assets

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-31

Other Goals in Banking


Total Operating Expenses
Operating Efficiency Ratio =
Total Operating Revenues

Net Operating Income


Employee Productivity Ratio =
Number of Full Time-Equivalent Employees

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

6-32

Performance Indicators-Issue of Size Bias

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,
Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e All Rights Reserved.

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