Model
RAVI
Introduction - MPT
The modern portfolio theory was developed in early 1950s by
Nobel Prize Winner Harry Markowitz in which he made a simple
premise that almost all investors invest in multiple securities
rather than in a single security, to get the benefits from
investing in a portfolio consisting of different securities.
In this theory, he tried to show that the variance of the rates of
return is a meaningful measure of portfolio risk under a
reasonable set of assumptions and also derived a formula for
computing the variance of a portfolio. His work emphasizes the
importance of diversification of investments to reduce the risk
of a portfolio and also shows how to diversify such risk
effectively.
Limitations of MPT
One of the most significant limitations of Markowitzs
model is the increased complexity of computation that
the model faces as the number of securities in the
portfolio grows. To determine the variance of the
portfolio, the covariance between each possible pair of
securities must be computed, which is represented in a
covariance matrix.
If there are n securities in a portfolio, the Markowitzs
model requires n average (or expected) returns, n
variance terms
ri = i + irm + ei
The term irm represents the stock's return due to the movement of
the market modified by the stock's beta (i), while ei represents the
unsystematic risk of the security due to firm-specific factors.
Macroeconomic events, such as interest rates or the cost of labor,
causes the systematic risk that affects the returns of all stocks,
and the firm-specific events are the unexpected microeconomic
events that affect the returns of specific firms, such as the death of
key people or the lowering of the firm's credit rating, that would
affect the firm, but would have a negligible effect on the economy.
The unsystematic risk due to firm-specific factors of a portfolio can be
reduced to zero by diversification.