Series of Streamflow

Prediction using
IHACRES RainfallStreamflow Modelling in
Marikina River Basin

Peter Paul K. Ambas

Department of Civil Engineering
College of Engineering and Agro-Industrial
Technology
University of the Philippines Los Baos

Introduction

A river basin is a hydrologic system that

contains various ecosystem and tributaries.
It is the portion of land drained by a river and
its tributaries. It encompasses all the land
surface dissected and drained by many
streams and creeks that flow downhill into one
another.
One of the river basins is the Marikina River
Basin

Flooding

Flood is a natural phenomenon that occurs

when the volume of water flowing in a system
exceeds its total water holding capacity.
It is caused by several phenomena such as;
prolonged rain with considerable intensity,
dam or dike break, river blockages, storm
surges, abnormally high tides and tidal waves
or tsunamis.

Problem

The frequency of occurrence of floods and the

intensity of damages and losses of lives
resulting from it made it known all over the
world that flood is a great threat to humanity.
This study addresses these problems by
predicting series of streamflow of the Marikina
river basin to help prevent flash floods in the
affected area using IHACRES software

Objectives

Generally, this study aims to predict series of

streamflow of the Marikina River Basin using
minimal input data in IHACRES.
Specifically, it aims to:
calculate effective rainfall from total rainfall and
temperature data
convert the effective rainfall to total streamflow
reconstruct daily streamflow series from rainfall and
temperature input data
interpret the daily streamflow series to predict the
the streamflow of the river

Scope and
Limitations

This study is limited to the prediction of series

of streamflow in the Marikina River Basin. It is
also limited to the use of daily rainfall and
temperature data as the minimal input for
IHACRES. The daily rainfall and temperature
data will be used to calculate the effective
rainfall and total streamflow of the Marikina
river basin.

Significance of the
Study

This study aims to address the need of

streamflow modeling for forecasting and
monitoring of the streamflow in the Marikina river
basin most especially when it is rainy season.
It serves as a basis for monitoring the rapid rise
of water level in the river basin.
This study also shows the relationship of rainfall
data and temperature data to yield the effective
rainfall.

Methodology

Identify the necessary data to be used in

IHACRES software

Identify the necessary data to be

used in IHACRES software

The study uses the following data:

Rainfall Intensity-Duration Analysis Data of
Science Garden, Angono Rizal and NAIA
Stations
Daily and Monthly Rainfall values of Tanay,
Science Garden and NAIA Stations
Daily and Monthly Values of Mean
Temperature of Tanay, Science Garden and
NAIA Stations

Methodology

Identify the necessary data to be used in

IHACRES software
Use the IHACRES software to calculate the
effective rainfall using the parameters
Convert the effective rainfall to total streamflow
using IHACRES
Using the total streamflow, reconstruct the daily
streamflow series
Present the daily streamflow series of the
Marikina river basin

References

Elsevier. (2008). Jordan recurrent neural

network versus IHACRES in modeling daily
streamflows. Journal of Hydrology, 362(3-4),
291-307. Retrieved from
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article
/pii/S0022169408004599
Badilla, R. (2008). Flood modeling in PasigMarikina river basin. Retrieved from
https://www.itc.nl/library/papers_2008/msc/wre
m/badilla.pdf

Thank you for

listening!