Y = f(x1,x2,x3,
,xk)
Why Minimize Inventory?
Minimizing Inventory:
Increases flexibility in asset management
Makes it easier to control
Reduces the need for space
Makes it easier to count
Reduces aged inventory
Y = f(x1,x2,x3,,xk)
The Project Plan: examine the factors that drive inventory levels
on various items and appropriately reduce the level of individual
street light items
Materials Ordered
Materials Delivered
Materials Stored
Materials Depleted
Cause
Cause and effect and
matrix: Effect Matrix
Rating of
Importance to 10 8 6 4
Customer
in v e s tm e n t le v e l
e ffe c tiv e
re s p o n s iv e n e s s
m in im iz e to ta l
(m a in te n a n c e ,
c o n s tru c tio n ,
p u rc h a s e s
a e s th e tic s
lig h ts o u t)
in v e n to ry
p le a s in g
c os t
Process Step Process Inputs Total
needs budget
1 5 10 5 10 195
determined availability
materials time, order to
2 10 5 10 0 190
delivered delivery
materials
materials requested by
3 10 5 5 5 185
depleted maintenance
crews
materials
materials requested by
4 5 10 5 1 159
depleted construction
contractors
needs past usage
5 10 5 1 0 145
determined considerations
needs staff inventory
6 10 5 1 0 145
determined experience
Important Factors: demand, lead time, order interval, level of safety stock
How Can Our Processes Fail?
How can our process fail?
As ranked with FMEA, failures can result if:
$900,000
$800,000
$700,000
$600,000
$500,000 budget
$400,000 expenditure
$300,000
$200,000
$100,000
$0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
*Note that recorded usage does not total the amount expended
Has All the Data Been Captured?
Has all data been captured?
All recorded historical usage was collected
Work orders
Re-lamping lists
Proactive maintenance files
Capital project files
Calculated by dividing the average inventory level ($) into the annual
inventory usage ($)
Accuracy Benefits
Enhance Customer Service
Reduce Stock Outs
Production is not jeopardized
Inventory Accuracy
Past: Historically, a physical inventory count was conducted once per
year. Accuracy statistics were not maintained, and the existing stock
record was over-written with updated counts.
Effective 2004, implemented Cycle Counting
0.4 UCL=0.3992
Proportion
0.3
_
0.2 P=0.1860
0.1
0.0 LCL=0
UCL=0.4271
0.4
0.3
Proportion
_
P=0.2353
0.2
0.1
LCL=0.0435
0.0
0.30
Proportion
_
0.25 P=0.245
0.20
0.15 LCL=0.1531
dec03 dec04
Sample
5% allowable tolerance
Tests performed with unequal sample sizes
Show Me the Money!
3 yrs of expense, 165 item numbers
100
150
80
Percent
100 60
Count
40
50
20
0 0
Most of the project effort and analysis will be directed at the 22 items comprising 80% of the
expenditures. These top 22 items are designated as class A items.
Ranked listing of high expense items
(class A) Jan 01-Sept 03
33 month expense item # description % total cost cumulative %
$206,919.72 14-120 100w HPS Town & Country fixture 21.41% 21.41%
$85,283.37 14-105 150w cobrahead fixture 8.82% 30.23%
$77,538.34 16-200 30' embedded aluminum pole 8.02% 38.25%
$49,688.52 13-503 100w HPS bulb 5.14% 43.39%
$47,504.40 16-400 16' black metal pole 4.91% 48.31%
$42,803.20 14-151 100w alley fixture 4.43% 52.74%
$40,236.56 17-205 #6 3 conductor uf 600v tray cable 4.16% 56.90%
$31,433.04 13-504 150w HPS bulb 3.25% 60.15%
$27,884.22 16-209 30' aluminum bolt down pole 2.88% 63.04%
$19,740.00 16-210 35' aluminum pole single bracket 2.04% 65.08%
$16,926.90 18-116 1 1/2" pe tubing 1.75% 66.83%
$16,213.00 14-122 250w HPS Town & Country fixture 1.68% 68.51%
$15,702.57 16-100 35' wood pole 1.62% 70.13%
$12,751.83 14-203 250w HPS power door 1.32% 71.45%
$12,324.00 14-106 250w cobrahead fixture 1.28% 72.73%
$12,060.00 16-410 Fort Wayne standard post 1.25% 73.98%
$12,056.65 14-131 100w PMA fixture 1.25% 75.22%
$11,711.10 16-291 transformer base, small 1.21% 76.43%
$11,546.00 14-205 750w power door 1.19% 77.63%
$10,873.50 14-107 400w HPS fixture with photo cell 1.12% 78.75%
$10,831.59 16-213 35' bronze painted aluminum pole 1.12% 79.87%
$9,088.00 14-500 300v photo cell 0.94% 80.82%
Poles Jan
Poles used: Used: Jan
2001 2001-Sept
Sept 2003 2003
$ ranking % of 33 33 month 33 month quantity
33 33 month month usage usage on hand
months expense description expense maintenance capital 10-1-03
3 $77,538.34 30' embedded aluminum pole 8.02% 132 94 152
5 $47,504.40 16' black metal pole 4.91% 43 425 444
9 $27,884.22 30' aluminum bolt down pole 2.88% 33 45 13
10 $19,740.00 35' aluminum pole single bracket 2.04% 28 19 18
13 $15,702.57 35' wood pole 1.62% 45 72 77
16 $12,060.00 Fort Wayne standard post 1.25% 10 8 27
18 $11,711.10 transformer base, small 1.21% 9 43 6
21 $10,831.59 35' bronze painted aluminum pole 1.12% 21 0 29
23 $8,531.00 30' big top pole 0.88% 20 0 11
24 $8,246.00 Broadway post 0.85% 7 0 5
29 $5,964.00 35' aluminium pole double bracket 0.62% 12 0 18
39 $4,213.82 20' aluminum bolt down (Tower Heights) 0.44% 13 0 13
41 $3,858.00 S Calhoun pole 0.40% 3 0 7
47 $2,588.75 12' aluminum bolt down 0.27% 19 0 7
52 $1,922.20 22' fiberglass embedded 0.20% 14 0 56
56 $1,445.00 50' aluminum 2-piece 0.15% 1 0 2
61 $1,247.34 8' arm 4'upsweep wood pole 0.13% 6 0 19
74 $836.00 35' alum box fixture 0.09% 2 0 48
75 $776.00 24' alum bolt down 0.08% 2 0 5
76 $720.00 casing for FW standard 0.07% 8 0 0
82 $613.00 T base large 0.06% 1 0 6
98 $305.37 16' fiberglass silver 0.03% 3 0 27
100 $286.60 40' wood pole 0.03% 1 0 6
$0.00 35' alum big top 0.00% 0 0 3
Fixturesused:
Fixtures Used: Jan
Jan 2001-Sept
2001 2003
Sept 2003
$ ranking % of 33 33 month 33 month quantity
33 33 month month usage usage on hand
months expense description expense maintenance capital 10-1-03
1 $206,919.72 100w HPS Town & Country fixture 21.41% 988 425 240
2 $85,283.37 150w cobrahead fixture 8.82% 633 240 119
6 $42,803.20 100w alley fixture 4.43% 593 15 108
12 $16,213.00 250w HPS T/C (discontinue) 1.68% 25 0 2
15 $12,324.00 250w cobrahead fixture 1.28% 59 20 96
17 $12,056.65 100w PMA fixture 1.25% 67 0 3
20 $10,873.50 400w HPS fixture with photo cell 1.12% 36 30 84
26 $7,573.53 400w HPS box fixture 0.78% 37 0 23
34 $5,202.00 400w HPS cutoff fixture 0.54% 15 19 11
51 $1,938.00 150w cutoff 0.20% 19 0 17
55 $1,677.95 250w T/C 0.17% 5 0 24
64 $1,135.40 100w HPS downtown fixture 0.12% 2 0 5
66 $1,048.00 250 W MH fixture S Calhoun 0.11% 2 0 4
67 $1,021.93 250w cutoff fixture 0.11% 7 0 27
71 $980.00 150w HPS wallmount fixture 0.10% 7 0 11
77 $710.22 250w HPS box fixture 0.07% 3 0 18
78 $695.00 bollards for mall 0.07% 1 0 3
84 $574.00 150w HPS downtown fixture 0.06% 1 0 10
93 $380.00 150w HPS ornamental fixture 0.04% 1 0 12
115 $108.89 special fixture type 5 t/c 0.01% 1 0 0
$0.00 250w Hadco W Central 0.00% 0 0 0
$0.00 250w wall mount 0.00% 0 0 9
$0.00 175w MH Allen Co fixture 0.00% 0 0 1
$0.00 welcome marker fixtures 0.00% 0 0 7
BulbsBulbs
used: Used: Jan 2001-Sept
Jan 2001 Sept 2003 2003
$ ranking % of 33 33 month 33 month quantity
33 33 month month usage usage on hand
months expense description expense maintenance capital 10-1-03
4 $49,688.52 100w HPS bulb 5.14% 5012 333 2173
8 $31,433.04 150w HPS bulb 3.25% 3516 0 2028
27 $6,687.12 250w HPS bulb 0.69% 748 0 1378
37 $4,925.94 400w HPS lamp 0.51% 551 0 645
63 $1,185.45 250w MH 0.12% 103 0 137
69 $1,000.58 175w MH 0.10% 94 0 8
73 $864.82 750w HPS lamp 0.09% 22 0 22
81 $614.79 1000w HPS lamp 0.06% 23 0 27
91 $411.60 400w MH 0.04% 42 0 36
102 $268.78 189w Edison base 0.03% 129 0 80
122 $88.40 69w Edison bulb 0.01% 121 0 67
126 $75.00 special bulb 310 0.01% 1 0 18
143 $32.05 150w MH lamp 0.00% 4 0 31
$0.00 1000w MH lamp 0.00% 0 0 11
$0.00 70w MH lamp 0.00% 0 0 13
$0.00 100w MH lamp 0.00% 0 0 24
In early October 2003, 48 250w bulbs and 48 400w bulbs were ordered!
Why? Because we need them!
Purchase Decisions Made On Usage
Differences in usage values and dollars spent each month could mean
that not all material usage was recorded or more inventory is being
purchased than is being used.
$180,000 material usage
invoices paid
$160,000
$140,000
$120,000
$100,000
$80,000
$60,000
$40,000
$20,000
$0
60000
30000
Regression
20000
95% CI
10000
$12.00
G. E.
$10.00
PHILIPS
cost/lifespan analysis,
$8.00
SYLVANIA former procedures
$6.00
would have directed us
$4.00
to purchase Phillips
$2.00
$-
bulbs
ORIGINAL COST
1 YR
2 YR
4 YR
3 YR
4 Uses of Materials
Maintenance Repair to Damaged Facilities
Re-lamping Activities Based on Light-Out Lists
Proactive Replacement of Aged Facilities and/or Bulbs
Capital Construction Project
Capital projects are known prior to construction. By meeting
minimum requirements, capital materials can be ordered on a
project by project basis. On appropriate projects, capital
needs will now be segregated from other material needs.
80
+1SL=72.5
Quantity used
60
+1SL=49.4
_
X=44.4
40
X=29.9
20
-1SL=16.3
0
4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36
Observation, per month
100 HPS Town & Country Fixture
(Continued) Should all data be
Test for Equal Variances for 14-120nc
used to estimate
monthly demand?
est StDevs=26.62 F-Test
< oct 1 '03 Test Statistic 1.43
Difference in
factor
P-Value 0.801
est StDevs=22.23 Levene's Test means
> oct 1 Test Statistic 0.18
P-Value 0.671
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Difference in
95% Bonferroni Confidence Intervals for StDevs
medians
> oct 1
Deviations
0 20 40 60 80 100 Inconclusive to
14-120nc
not under estimate,
use data since Oct
1, 2003
150w Cobra Head Fixture
8.82% of material expense
14-105: 150w cobra head fixture
< oct 1 '03 > oct 1
60
1 +1SL=56.83
50
_
X=44.2
40
Quantity used
30 -1SL=31.57
X=19.18
20
10
0
4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36
Observation, per month
150w Cobra Head Fixture
(Continued) Large difference
in means
Test for Equal Variances for 14-105nc
F-Test
est StDevs= 9.22 Test Statistic 1.00
Large difference
< oct 1 '03 P-Value
Levene's Test
0.849
in medians
factor
Conclusion
< oct 1 '03 Including data
prior to Oct 03
factor
> oct 1
might result in
under estimation
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 of usage
14-105nc
100w Alley Fixture
Demand Analysis Lots of Variability
40
30 +1SL=29.83
X=18.42
Quantity used
20
_
X=15.2
10
0 -1SL=0.57
4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36
Observation, per month
100w alley fixture (continued) 100w Alley Fixture
(Continued) Similar Means
Test for Equal Variances for 14-151
F-Test Similar Medians
est StDevs = 9.78 Test Statistic 0.44
< oct 1 '03 P-Value 0.166
Levene's Test Similar Standard
factor
> oct 1
P-Value 0.934 Deviations
10 20 30 40 50 Conclusion
95% Bonferroni Confidence Intervals for StDevs
Including data
back to Jan 01
< oct 1 '03 should not result
in under
factor
> oct 1
estimated demand
0 10 20 30 40
14-151
This methodology was used to analyze demand for all class A and class B items
lead time Lead Time
Lead Time - Time Expired From Order
Initiation to Receipt of Goods
Mean 10.296
StDev 7.222
V ariance 52.161
Skewness 1.44571
Kurtosis 2.68320
N 81
Minimum 1.000
1st Q uartile 6.000
0 10 20 30 40 Median 7.000
3rd Q uartile 16.000
Maximum 41.000
95% Confidence I nterval for Mean
8.699 11.893
95% Confidence I nterval for Median
95% Confidence I ntervals 7.000 8.000
95% Confidence I nterval for StDev
Mean
6.256 8.545
Median
7 8 9 10 11 12
items
different
There is
between
lead time
too much
variation in
Conclusion:
Mean of days
0
10
20
30
14-120 40
14-500
14-502
14-505
14-520
14-557
14-700
14-701
17-112
17-113
17-114
17-116
17-118
17-120
17-122
17-123
17-300
17-301
17-306
17-309
lead time analysis
17-331
17-332
17-333
item
17-340
17-399
17-503
17-505
17-506
18-103
18-112
18-113
18-114
18-201
18-202
18-203
18-205
18-210
Lead Time on Graybar Items
18-706
18-707
19-603
20-221
20-222
20-242
Main Effects Plot: lead time (in days) for Graybar, by item number
20-244
20-246
Lead Time Analysis must be done at the item level not the vendor level
Lead Time Analysis
Order Interval
Order Interval- Frequency of Placing Orders for Each part
Trade-off between the level of inventory quantities carried per item and
the frequency of ordering the item.
If ordering often, can order less quantities per order. But there are
overhead and administrative costs for
initiating order, processing requisition, purchase order
contacting the vendor and placing the order
receiving the goods, re-stocking the shelves
processing the payable
Pareto analysis used to establish order frequencies. Class A items are few
but are 80% of the dollars in inventory. Class C items are numerous, but
only a small part of total inventory value.
This results in an inventory that is larger than would be necessary otherwise, for
items that are relatively expensive.
Recall the Cause & Effect Matrix the process output cost effective purchases
was ranked at 8 out of 10 in importance to the customer.
Order Interval
GE Supply Fixtures & Power Doors
Order Requirements: Lots of 25
Orders less than the per fixture price increases by 10%, or on
average, $9 more per item.
For the cause & effect matrix, process outcomes were ranked
by the Division Director
minimizing total inventory carried ranked at 10 (high)
responsiveness to calls, light outs ranked at 6 (medium)
Street lights are not a critical service, so a service level of 1
will be used to establish inventory re-ordering points and
optimal inventory levels.
Inventory Level/Order Triggering Formulas
Kanban System
Establish inventory levels and calculate reorder points for each
carried stock item.
In 2004,
materials for
all bid
projects
supplied
from 1st project
inventory. bid each
lower optimal changed project project bid specs require For 2005, review 1 construction
eliminate need inventory level, bidding specs material acquisition by no materials examine project bid project for season until
optimizing for capital reduced demand (contractor to successful contractor for from specifications for inclusion of compliance procedures
inventory project for stocked supply 100% of bid street light inventory for materials as pay items in with are
levels inventory inventory materials) projects bid projects project bids objectives embedded
comparison of
optimal order the cost of order
interval processing to
optimizing determine established for the cost of
inventory order intervals, each inventory carrying
levels item by item item inventory not yet established not yet determined
Control
Control Plan Summary(Continued)
Plan Summary (cont)
Process Specification (LSL, %R&R Sample Sample
Process Process Step Output Input Cpk /Date Measurement Technique
USL, Target) P/T Size Frequency
To date,
$400,000
of funds
released
can be
redirected
towards
better use
Inventory Levels, March 2005
700000
1
1
Inventory values, $
600000
500000
1 1
_
+1SL=410481
400000 X=399026
-1SL=387570
300000
jun'03 6 9 12 jun'04 18 21 mar'05
Methodology is Working
Methodology is Working!
I Chart: St Light inventory monthly values, all items
2003 2004 2005 2006
800000
700000
Individual Value ($)
600000
1
1
1
500000
1
400000 1
11 1
300000 1
11
1 _
+1SL=251156
X=244336
-1SL=237516
200000 1
jul nov mar jul nov mar jul nov mar jul nov
Observation
$1,341,000 of
Accumulated Savings