AND RUBBER
COMPANY
(NASDAQ: GT)
Analysts
Bi (Brian) Ge
Amey Dargude
Mihir Londhe
Rahul Gohil
Shruti Shah
Presented On 25th February 2016
Agenda
Introduction
Business Overview
Industry Overview
Macroeconomic Factors
Financial Analysis
Valuation
Technical Analysis
Recommendation
Current Holding
Products GOODYEAR'S 2015 ANNUAL TIRE UNIT SALES - REPLACEMENT & OE (Tire Units)
Revenue by Region (in % of total revenue)
Tires
69%
Automobile
Trucks
Buses
Aircraft 31%
Motorcycle
Earthmoving and
47%
mining equipment
Farm implements 12%
Industrial equipment
10%
Tread Rubber and other
treading material 31%
Chemical Products
Automotive repair Replacement tire units
OE tire units
services
North America Europe, Middle East and Africa
North America
18 manufacturing
EMEA
facilities in US and 17 manufacturing
Canada facilities in 9 countries
Supplies tires to Supplies tires to vehicle
manufacturers of manufacturers
automobiles, throughout the region
motorcycles, trucks
and aircraft
Asia Pacific
8 manufacturing
Latin America
6 manufacturing facilities in 6 countries
Sells primarily Goodyear
facilities in 5 Around 50 Manufacturing Facilities in 22 brand tires across the
countries countries
Manufactures and region
Two R&D facilities and technical centers Sells Dunlop brand in
sells automobile and
Eight tire proving grounds Australia and New
truck tires Approximately 1,200 retail outlets Zealand
Building a new one Around 60 tire retreading facilities, and 170
Goodyear Official Website
Management View
Strong R&D
High Leverage ratio
Manufacturing capabilities
Exposure to markets with
Strong market presence
weakening growth
Broad product portfolio
S W
O T
New products & services Stringent regulations
Business expansion Intense competition both
activities in global markets in price and quality
Buoyant demand for Unfavorable currency
automobiles exchange impact
IBISWorld Database
Macroeconomic Overview: Demand
6% 3%
Passenger
9% Replacemnt Tires
7% Other
Passenger Original
21% 34% Bridgestone
Equipment Tires
Corporation 15%
Light Truck
The Goodyear Tire &
Replacement
16% Rubber company 67%
22% Medium and Heavy
Michelin
Truck Replacement
Cooper Tire & Tires
Rubber company
Other
IBISWorld Database
Industry Overview
Porters Five Forces
Original Equipment (High)
Very few powerful competitors Threat of Substitutes Highly concentrated market
Low cost competition from Asian Low switching cost for buyers
companies 4
High market grown Replacement market (Low)
High levels of product High service level & short delivery
differentiation time
2 Small size buyers & not
Industry Rivalry concentrated
Buyer's Bargaining Power
`
0 Large capital requirements
High sunk cost
Low concentration of Strong brand name
major suppliers Economies of scale &
Volatility in prices of updated
major raw materials
technology
IBISWorld Database
Financial Analysis: Ratios
Financial Analysis: DuPont Analysis and Greenblatt ratios
Financial Projections
Discount Rate
Valuations: DCF
Valuations: Comparable
Bloomberg
Technical Analysis
Yahoo Finance
Recommendation
Key Issues
DCF Comparable
Valuation Valuation
$21. 44 $26.79 Economic Instability
Slower growth in
major market
Current High Debt level
price $29.42 Reducing revenues
for past 5 years
Appreciating Dollar
Q&A