6-2
Session objectives
The general definition of life cycle is that, the lifetime of equipment from
the begging of its introduction to the market until its declination.
During life cycle cost estimation different perspective of life cycle are
considered. These perspectives can be categorized into three;
Marketing Perspective,
Production Perspective And
Customer Perspective.
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The life of equipment mathematical in three ways; physical life, profit life,
and Economic life.
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Physical life which can also be referred as service life is the phase in
which the equipment is performing the intended purpose.
Repair and maintenance actions provided during its life time
determine the duration of the physical or service life of
equipment's.
Profit life is the most wish for phase of the equipment life, since at this
stage the equipment will generate a profit which is the growth and
maturity phase of the marketing perspective
Economic life as the life of the equipment, in which the ownership cost
decreases while the operating cost increases, this shows that the
equipment is costing more to operate than to own which is a declining
phase.
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One of the tools that are used to determine the economic life of
equipment is life cycle costing.
Petroleum and Life cycle costing (LCC) is the systematic consideration of the
Natural Gas difference between costs and revenues associated with the
Industries-Life acquisition and ownership of alternative options required to fulfil
Cycle Costing EN an asset need.
ISO 15663 1&2
IEC-60300-3-3: Life cycle costing (LCC) is the process of economic analysis to
International assess the life cycle cost of a product over its life cycle or a
Electro-technical portion thereof.
Commission
6-11
Life cycle costing is increasingly being used in the industrial sector around
the world to make various types of decisions that directly or indirectly
concern engineering equipment and systems. There could be many reasons
for this upward trend, such as
Competition;
Increasing operation and maintenance costs;
Budget limitations;
Expensive products or systems (e.g., military systems, space systems,
and aircraft);
Rising inflation; and
Increasing awareness of cost effectiveness among product,
equipment, and system users.
6-12
Over the years, various advantages and disadvantages of life cycle costing have
been identified by various professionals. Some of the important advantages of life
cycle costing are shown in Figure.
Useful to A useful tool for
reduce the making In contrast, some of the main
total cost decisions associated
with equipment disadvantages of life cycle costing include
Useful to replacement, that it
control planning, and is time consuming;
programs budgeting
is costly;
has doubtful data accuracy;
Useful in An excellent tool for
comparing making a selection is a trying task when attempting to
the cost of among obtain data for analysis.
competing the competing
projects contractors/manufac
turers
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Introduction
LCC includes every cost that is appropriate and appropriateness changes with
each specific case which is tailored to fit the situation. LCC follows a process as
shown in Figure 1. The steps are:
Step 1-Identify what has to be analyzed and the time period for the project life
study along with the appropriate financial criteria.
Step 2-Focus on the technical features by way of the economic consequences
to look for alternative solutions.
Step 3-Develop the cost details by year considering memory joggers for cost
structures.
Step 4-Select the appropriate cost model, simple discrete, simple with some
variability for repairs and
replacements, complex with random variations, etc. required by project
complexity.
Step 5-Acquire the cost details.
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Step 6-Assemble the yearly cost profiles.
Step 7-For key issues prepare breakeven
charts to simplify the details into
time and money.
Step 8-Sort the big cost items into a Pareto
distribution to reconsider further
study.
Step 9-Test alternatives for high cost items
such as what happens if
maintenance cost is 10% than
planned, etc.
Step 10-Study uncertainty/risk of errors or
/alternatives for high cost items as
a sanity check and provide
feedback to the LCC studies in
iterative fashion
Step 11-Select the preferred course of
action and plan to defend the
decisions with graphics
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The basic tree for LCC starts with a very simple tree based on the costs for
acquisition and the costs for sustaining the acquisition during its life
Frequently the cost of sustaining equipment is 2 to 20 times the acquisition cost. The
first obvious cost (hardware acquisition) is usually the smallest amount of cash that will
be spent during the life of the acquisition and most sustaining expenses are not obvious.
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Model I
The equipment or system life cycle cost is divided into two
main parts: recurring cost and nonrecurring cost.
Mode II
If the equipment or system life cycle cost is divided into three
main parts: procurement cost, initial logistic cost, and recurring cost,
the system or equipment life cycle cost is expressed by:
where
LCC is item or system life cycle cost.
C1 is acquisition or procurement cost.
C2 is initial logistic cost.
C3 is recurring cost.
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Model III
If the system life cycle cost is divided into five main parts: research and
development cost, the cost of associated systems, investment cost,
termination cost, and operating and support cost, the
system life cycle cost is expressed by:
Model IV
The life cycle cost can be
expressed by:
Mode V
Over the years, many methods have been developed to estimate costs
which are useful for application in the area of life cycle costing.
Cost Estimation Method I
Example :An electric utility spent $900 million to construct a 1,000 megawatt
(MW) nuclear power generating station. In order to satisfy the increasing demand
for electricity, the company is planning to construct a 2,000 MW nuclear power
generating station. Calculate the cost of the new station, if the value of the cost-
capacity factor is 0.6. By substituting the given data values into the above
Equation, we get
2000 0.6
= 900 =$1,364.15 Million
1000
TPC=(n)(DEC)
where
TPC is the total estimate for plant cost.
n is the Lang factor, whose value depends on the nature of the plant.
DEC is delivered equipment cost.
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where
OH is number of operating man-hours.
The values of a are 23 (for a batch
l is tons of product.
operation with maximum labor), 10
K is total number of process steps. (for a well-instrumented continuous
P is capacity expressed in tons per day process operation), and 17 (for an
operation with average labor
requirements).
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4= (500)(50,000)/I
By rearranging Equation (4.33), we obtain
I =$6 25 million
Thus, the fixed capital investment for the factory is $6.25 million.
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Example
A company using machining equipment to manufacture a certain type
of engineering part is contemplating replacing it with a better version.
Four different pieces of machining equipment, manufactured by four
different manufacturers, are being considered for its replacement;
their data are presented in the Table below
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The expected cost, Cfa, of failure per year of machining equipment A is given by
Cfa = (2000)(0.08)
= $160
where Cfa is the machining equipment A annual expected failure cost.
The present value, PVaf, of machining equipment A life cycle failure cost is
expressed by
where
PVaf is present value of machining equipment A life cycle failure cost.
i is annual interest rate.
k is machining equipments expected useful life in years.
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The present value, PVao , of machining equipment A life cycle operating cost is
given by
where
PVao is present value of machining equipment A life cycle operating cost.
Coa is machining equipment A annual operating cost.
where PVbf is present value of machining equipment B life cycle failure cost.
$1,288. 01
40
the present value, PVbo, of machining equipment B life cycle operating cost is
expressed by
=$51,520.61
where
PVbo is present value of machining equipment B life cycle operating cost.
Cob is machining equipment B annual operating cost.
LCCb=$322 808 62
41
where PVcf is present value of machining equipment C life cycle failure cost.
PVcf= $1324,81
the present value, PVco, of machining equipment C life cycle operating cost is expressed
by
where
PVco is present value of machining equipment C life cycle operating cost.
Coc is machining equipment C annual operating cost.
42
where
LCCc is machining equipment C life cycle cost.
PCc is machining equipment C procurement cost.
LCCc=$339 165 37
43
where PVdf is present value of machining equipment D life cycle failure cost.
PVdf = $294 40
44
The present value, PVdo, of machining equipment D life cycle operating cost is
given by
where
PVdo is present value of machining equipment D life cycle operating cost.
Cod is machining equipment D annual operating cost.
Pvdo= $ 58 880 69
Thus, the life cycle cost of machining equipment D is expressed by
LCCd==PCd +PVdf +PVdo
LCCd=$409,175.09
45
Session objectives
Introduction
Replacement Analysis
The replacement of assets often represents economic opportunity for the firm. We
compare the two alternatives:
The asset that we own: The Defender
Eg, an old machine
The Asset that we might buy to replace it: The Challenger
Eg, new machine
Ownership (Capital)
+
Definition: Economic service life is the
remaining useful life of an asset that Operating
results in the minimum annual
cost
equivalent cost.
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The period of time that minimizes the net annual cost (NAC) for the
investment (when it primarily consists of costs)
or
The period of time that maximizes the net annual worth (NAW) for the
investment (when it consists of costs and revenues)
Capital cost have two components: Initial investment (I) and the salvage
value (S) at the time of disposal.
The initial investment for the challenger is its purchase price. For the
defender, we should treat the opportunity cost as its initial investment.
Use N to represent the length of time in years the asset will be kept; I is
the initial investment, and SN is the salvage value at the end of the
ownership period of N years.
The operating costs of an asset include operating and maintenance (O&M)
costs, labor costs, material costs and energy consumption costs.
NAC
OC (i)
CR(i)
n*
52
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As operating equipment ages, the usual pattern is for its capital costs
to decline while its operating costs rise.
Time Operating Salvage NAC The Economic Life Minimizes the NAC
Cost Value Find NAC(1), NAC(2),, NAC(10). The economic
0 15000 life is the life that minimizes NAC.
1 500 12273 5927
In this case the economic life = 6 years.
2 700 9818 566
9
3 980 7636 546
2
4 1372 5727 5307
5 1921 4091 5207
6 2689 2727 5162
7 3765 1636 5178
8 5271 818 525
6
9 7379 273 540
4
10 10331 0 5627
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Example 2
A machine has an initial cost of $10 000. Being a special-purpose
custom-built unit, it can only be resold as scrap at $500, no matter
what its age. The machine has a 10-year service life. The annual
operating costs are $2000 for each of the first two years, with an
increase of $600 per year thereafter. The MARR is 10%. When is
the optimum time to retire the machine?
The cost curve for this type of problem is the net EUAC, evaluated at
the MARR, as a function of time.
The net EUAC will be made up of two components: the capital
recovery cost,
6-57
Replacement Economics
Example 3
It is 2016. Should you buy a new car to replace the old wreck? Your minimum
acceptable rate of return is 12%.
Beware
Don't use any defender characteristics to compute the challenger
investment, costs, or salvage. Don't use any challenger characteristics to
compute the defender investment, costs, or salvage
The Defender The Challenger
Investment: PD = $200. Investment: PC = $8,250
Operating Cost: Operating Cost:
AD(n) = $800 + $400 (n-1) AC(n) = $100, $100, $100, $300, $300, $300, ...
Salvage Value: SD(n) = $200 Salvage Value: SC(n) = $8,250 $750n
NACD(n) NACC(n)
= PD(A/P, i, n) + $800 + = PC(A/P, i, n) + 100 SC(n)(A/F, i, n)
$400(A/G, i, n) 200(A/F, i, n) for n = 1, 2, 3
NACC(n)
= PC(A/P, i, n) + 300 200(P/A, i, 3) (A/P,i, n)
SC(n)(A/F, i, n)
for n = 4,,10
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Defender Challenger
Age A(n) S(n) NAC Age, A(n) S(n) NAC Notes
,n n All parameters of the
0 200 0 8250 defender and challenger are
1 800 200 824 1 100 7500 1840 independent.
2 1200 200 1013 2 100 6750 1798 Use economic lives in the
3 1600 200 1194 3 100 6000 1757 analysis.
The economic life of the
4 300 5250 1760 defender is often one year.
Which do we select? 5 300 4500 1747 The economic life of the
Defender cost for one challenger is often its useful
more year: $824 6 300 3750 1728
Challenger cost per life.
7 300 300 1705 Choose the winner on the
year: $1632
8 300 2250 1681 basis of minimum NAC or
maximum NAW
9 300 1500 1657
Example 5
Reference