Prepared by
Tanya Willis
Saint Marys University 2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 1
After studying this chapter, you should be able to:
LO1 Calculate the net present value of an investment.
LO2 Calculate the internal rate of return of a project and know what to look
out for when using the internal rate of return rule.
LO3 Explain why the payback and discounted payback rules dont always
make shareholders better off.
LO4 Use the net present value rule to analyze three common problems that
involve competing projects: (a) when to postpone an investment
expenditure, (b) how to choose between projects with unequal lives, and (c)
when to replace equipment.
LO5 Calculate the profitability index and use it to choose between projects
when funds are limited.
Suppose, you are given the opportunity to buy a building today for
$350,000 and a guarantee of being able to sell it next year for $400,000.
Should you take it?
0 1
r%
-$350,000 $400,00
0
LO1
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 3
What discount rate do we use to value this stream of cash flows?
What else could we have done with the $350,000?
What other opportunity are we giving up by investing in the
building?
What if the interest rate on the risk-free T-bill is 7%?
0 1
7%
-$350,000 $400,000
$400,000/(1+0.07) = $373,832
NPV = $23,832
LO1
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 4
NPV = PV of cash flows minus initial investment.
Expected rate of return given up by investing in a project is
the opportunity cost of capital.
C1 C2 Ct
NPV C0 ...
(1 r ) (1 r )
1 2
(1 r ) t
Where:
Ct = Cash flow at time t
r = Opportunity cost of capital
LO1
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 5
Risk and Present Value
The discount rate used to discount a set of cash flows must match the
risk of the cash flows.
NPV =PV C0
= [$400,000/(1+.12)] - $350,000
= $357,143 - $350,000 = $7,143
LO1
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 6
Valuing long lived projects:
LO1
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 7
Example: A company is considering the purchase of a piece of production
equipment to increase volume. The equipment has a cost of $500,000
and will produce annual cash flows over the next 3 years of $150,000 in
year 1, $200,000 in year 2, and $250,000 in year 3. If the required return
on investment is 10%, should the company purchase the equipment?
C1 C2 Ct
NPV C0 ...
(1 r )1 (1 r ) 2 (1 r ) t
LO1
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 8
The Cash Flow Worksheet aids in calculating the internal rate of return (IRR) and net present value
(NPV).
Step 1: Always begin by clearing the Cash Flow worksheet. To do so:
Press [CF] to turn the CF worksheet on.
Press [2nd] CLR Work Quit
Step 2: Press [CF]. The display should show: CF0= 0.00000.
Step 3: Type the numeric amount of the cash flow for time period 'zero'. Then press [+\-] to change
this amount to a cash outflow. The [+\-] key is a toggle key. Press [Enter].
Step 4: Press the down arrow key to display C01. Type in the cash amount for period 1, then press
[Enter]. Press the down arrow key to display F01. Press [Enter] to accept the default amount of
1.00000.
Step 5: Press the down arrow key to display C02. Type in the cash amount for period 2, then press
[Enter]. Press the down arrow key to display F02. Press the down arrow key again to accept F02,
and to move to the next field which will display as C03.
Step 6: Type in the cash amount for each subsequent period in the same manner. Once all cash
flows are inputted, use the up and down arrow keys to scroll through the Cash Flow worksheet to
verify your input.
Either one of the following steps, or both may be performed, depending on if you want to calculate
NPV, IRR, or both.
Step 7: To compute IRR: Press [IRR] then [Cpt]. After a few seconds, the display should show the IRR
percentage.
Step 8: To compute NPV: Press [NPV] to display I = 0.0000. Enter the required rate of return in
decimal format 'as-if' there is a percentage sign following. (e.g., 7.45) Press [Enter]. Press the down
arrow key, then press [Cpt] to display the dollar amount of the NPV.
LO1 Source: http://www.unf.edu/~dtanner/dtch/dt_ch15.htm
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 8
Using the NPV Rule to Choose Among Projects
LO1
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 9
Other criteria are sometimes used by firms when evaluating
investment opportunities.
LO2, LO3
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 10
Payback
Payback is the time period it takes for the cash flows
generated by the project to cover the initial investment in
the project. If the payback period is less than a specified
cutoff point, the project should be accepted.
LO3
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 11
Example: A company has the following three investment opportunities.
The company accepts all projects with a 2 year or less payback period and
uses a 10% discount rate.
Project C0 C1 C2 C3
A -2,000 +1,000 +1,000 +10,000
B -2,000 +1,000 +1,000 -
C -2,000 - +2,000 -
LO3
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 12
Project C0 C1 C2 C3 Payback NPV @ 10%
A -2,000 +1,000 +1,000 +10,000 2 $7,249
B -2,000 +1,000 +1,000 - 2 -$264
C -2,000 - +2,000 - 2 -$347
Although all the projects have a payback period of 2 years and are
therefore acceptable, the use of NPV shows us that only the first
project will create value for the shareholders. Therefore, only
Project A should be chosen.
LO3
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 13
Discounted Payback Period
Discounted payback is the time period it takes for the discounted
cash flows generated by the project to cover the initial
investment in the project. The acceptance rule is still the same
the discounted payback should be less than a pre-set cutoff
point.
Although better than payback, it still ignores all cash flows after
an arbitrary cutoff date.
LO3
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 14
Example: A company has the following cash flows. If the cut-off is
2 years, should the project be accepted?
LO3
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 15
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR is the discount rate at which the NPV of the project
equals zero.
A project is acceptable if the IRR is more than the cost of
capital of the project.
Recall the NPV example we used earlier, where the NPV was
$23,832 at a discount rate of 7% and $7,143 at a rate of
12%.
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 16
IRR Calculation: If we solve for the r in the equation below, we
will find the IRR.
C1
NPV C0
(1 r )1
400,000
0 350,000
(1 r )1
r .142857 14.3%
Another way of finding IRR is using the NPV profile. By finding out
where the profile crosses the X axis, we can find out the IRR.
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 17
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 18
For a multi-period case, we can solve the IRR either by trial and
error or by a financial calculator.
Example: You can purchase a building for $350,000. The
investment will generate $16,000 in cash flows (i.e. rent) during
the first three years. At the end of three years you will sell the
building for $450,000. What is the IRR on this investment?
We can picture the project in the following way:
3
0 1 2
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 19
In this case, what we are trying to do is to solve the following
equation:
16,000 16,000 466,000
0 350,000
(1 IRR ) 1
(1 IRR ) 2
(1 IRR ) 3
IRR = 12.96%
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 20
Borrowing vs. Lending:
Lets say project J involves lending $100 at 50% interest. Project K
involves borrowing $100 at 50% interest. Which one will you
choose?
According to the IRR rule, both projects have a 50% rate of return and
are thus equally desirable.
However, you lend in Project J, and earn 50%; you borrow in Project
K, and pay 50%.
Pick the project where you earn more than the opportunity cost of
capital.
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 21
Mutually Exclusive Projects Timing of Cash Flows:
Calculate the IRR and NPV for the following projects:
Cash flows in $000s
Project H has a higher IRR but is not the best choice at a discount rate of 7%
as NPV is higher for Project I.
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 22
The decision depends on the discount rate used. If we plot the NPV
of each project as a function of the discount rate, the two profiles
cross at an interest rate of 12.26%.
At discount rates above 12.26%, project H with its rapid cash inflow
would provide a higher NPV.
At discount rates below 12.26%, project I, with more total cash
flow but received later, would provide a higher NPV.
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 23
Mutually Exclusive projects Size of Project
A small project may have a high IRR but a low NPV.
A large project may have a low IRR but a high NPV.
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 24
Multiple Rates of Return:
Projects with cash flows that change direction more than once,
will have more than one discount rate at which the NPV will be
zero. That means, there are multiple IRRs for projects with non-
conventional cash flows.
The IRR rule would not work in this case; NPV works!
LO2
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 25
Choosing between competing projects can be tricky. We will
look at three important but challenging problems:
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 26
Sometimes you have the ability to defer an investment and select a
time that is more ideal at which to make the investment decision.
The decision rule is to choose the investment date that results in
the highest NPV today.
Example:
You can buy a computer system today for $50,000 which will last
4 years from date of installment. Based on the PV of savings it
provides to you ($70,000), the NPV of this investment is $20,000.
However, you know that these systems are dropping in price
every year.
When should you purchase the computer?
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 27
The decision rule for investment timing is to choose the investment
date that results in the highest NPV today.
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 28
Suppose you must choose between buying two machines
with different lives.
Machines D and E are designed differently, but have identical
capacity and do the same job.
Machine D costs $15,000 and lasts 3 years. It costs $4,000 per
year to operate.
Machine E costs $10,000 and lasts 2 years. It costs $6,000 per
year to operate.
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 29
Costs, $000s
Machine C0 C1 C2 C3 PV of costs @ 6%
Machine D 15 4 4 4 25.69
Machine E 10 6 6 - 21.00
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 30
For comparing assets with different lives, we need to compare
their Equivalent Annual Costs (EAC).
The Equivalent Annual Cost is the cost per period with the
same PV as the cost of buying and operating the machine.
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 31
Calculating equivalent annual cost for Machine D
Machine Co C1 C2 C3 PV @ 6%
Machine D 15 4 4 4 $25.69
Equivalent ? ? ? $25.69
Annual Cost
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 32
If mutually exclusive projects have unequal lives, then you
should calculate the equivalent annual cost of the projects.
Picking the lowest EAC allows you to select the project which
will maximize the value of the firm.
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 33
Example:
You are operating an old machine that will last two more years before it
will be worthless.
It costs $12,000 per year to operate.
You can replace it now with a new machine, which costs $25,000 but is
much more efficient ($8,000 per year in operating costs) and will last
for five years.
Should you replace it now or wait a year?
The opportunity cost of capital is 6%.
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 34
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 PV @ 6%
New Machine 25 8 8 8 8 8 58.70
Equivalent 5-year 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.93 58.70
annuity
LO4
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 35
We refer to the limit set on the amount of funds available for
investment as capital rationing. A limit may be set for 2
reasons:
LO5
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 36
Example: A company has an opportunity cost of capital of 10%
and total resources of $20 million. Which projects should the firm
select?
Cash Flows, $ Millions
Project C0 C1 C2 PV @ 10% NPV
L -3 +2.2 +2.42 $4 $1
M -5 +2.2 +4.84 6 1
N -7 +6.6 +4.84 10 3
O -6 +3.3 +6.05 8 2
P -4 +1.1 +4.84 5 1
LO5
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 37
The solution is to pick the projects that give the highest NPV per
dollar of investment.
We do this by calculating the Profitability Index: The ratio of NPV
to initial investment.
The company will select the projects with the highest possible
NPV within the budget.
LO5
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 38
Project PV Investment NPV PI Decision
L $3 $3 $1 1/3=.33 accept
M 5 5 1 1/5=.20 reject
N 7 7 3 3/7=.43 accept
O 6 6 2 2/6=.33 accept
P 4 4 1 1/4=.25 accept
LO5
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 39
Profitability Index will not always be reliable when choosing
between mutually exclusive projects (just like with IRR).
LO5
2016 McGraw-Hill Education Limited Chapter 8 - 40
NPV is the best decision criteria.
It tells you whether an investment will increase the value of
the firm and by how much.
The only exception is when the firm is facing capital
rationing.
Despite the advantages of discounted cash flow methods,
many corporations use payback.
Source: http://www.unf.edu/~dtanner/dtch/dt_ch15.htm
4 years and 100/600 = .17 years 4.17 years or 4 years and 2 months
0% 4000 5000
2% 3071 3558
4% 2201 2225
6% 1384 990
8% 617 154
10% 105 1217
12% 785 2205
14% 1427 3126
16% 2033 3984
18% 2606 4784
20% 3148 5532
2016 McGraw-Hill Education
Limited Chapter 3 - 1
26.NPV. A project requires an initial investment of $10,000, and
over its 5-year life it will generate annual cash revenues of
$5,000 and cash expenses of $2,000. The firm will use straight-
line depreciation, but it does not pay taxes. (LO1)
Reach chapter 9
Questions: 2, 3, 6 and 8