Scenario planning Preparing an Environmental Threat and
Opportunity Profile (ETOP). Environmental Threat and Opportunity Profile ()! The Environmental factors are quite complex and it may be difficult for strategy managers to classify them into neat categories to interpret them as opportunities and threats. A matrix of comparison is drawn where one item or factor is compared with other items after which the scores arrived at are added and ranked for each factor and total weight age score calculated for prioritizing each of the factors. This is achieved by brainstorming. And finally the strategy manger uses his judgment to place various environmental issues in clear perspective to create the environmental threat and opportunity profile. ETOP analysis (environmental threat and opportunity profile) is the process of gathering information about events and their relationships within an organizations internal and external environments. The basic purpose of environmental scanning is to help management determine the future direction of the organization. Structuring of environmental issues is necessary to make them meaning full for strategy formulation. ETOP Preparation The preparation of ETOP involves dividing the environment into different sectors and then analyzing the impact of each sector on the organization. the impact of each sub factor on the organization is described in the form of a statement. The table 1 provides an example of an ETOP prepared for an established company, which is in the Two Wheeler industry. The main business of the company is in Motor Bike manufacturing for the domestic and exports markets. This example relates to a hypothetical company but the illustration is realistic based n the current Indian business environment. Environmental Threat and Opportunity Profile (ETOP) for a Motor Bike company: Environmental Sectors Impact of each sector
Social () Customer preference for motorbike, which
are fashionable, easy to ride and durable. Political () No significant factor. Economic () Growing affluence among urban consumers; Exports potential high. Regulatory () Two Wheeler industry a thrust area for exports. Market () Industry growth rate is 10 to 12 percent per year, For motorbike growth rate is 40 percent, largely Unsaturated demand. Supplier () Mostly ancillaries and associated companies supply parts and components, REP licenses for imported raw materials available. Technological () Technological up gradation of industry in progress. Import of machinery under OGL ETOP for GE Oil & Gas O&NG industry is divided into three major sectors upstream, midstream and downstream. The upstream sector is a term commonly used to refer to exploration, recovery and production of O&NG. In industry jargon it is simply called Exploration and Production (E&P). The downstream sector is a term commonly used to refer to the refining of crude oil and the selling and distribution of natural gas and products derived from crude oil. The midstream industry processes, stores, markets and transports commodities such as crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids (liquefied natural gas such as ethane, propane and butane) and Sulphur. An organizations internal environment consists of the elements within the organization, including current employees, management, the organizations culture which is defined by operating procedures and employee behavior. Though some elements affect the organization as a whole, others affect only the management. A managers philosophical or leadership style directly impacts employees. Changes in philosophy and leadership style are under the control of the manager. Unlike the external environment of a business, the internal environment can be controlled. The external environment of an organization are those factors outside the company that affect the companys ability to function. Some external elements can be manipulated by company marketing, while others require the organization to make adjustments. Organizations need to monitor the basic components of a firms external environment, and keep a close watch on it at all times. The external environment consists of customers, government, economy and competition. Corporate image, or reputation, describes the manner in which a company, its activities, and its products or services are perceived by outsiders. In a competitive business climate, many businesses actively work to create and communicate a positive image to their customers, shareholders, the financial community, and the general public. A company that bungles or ignores its image is likely to encounter a variety of problems. Opportunities and Threats: External opportunities provide an organization with a means to improve its performance and competitive advantage in a market environment. Some opportunities can be foreseen, such as being able to expand a franchise into a new city. When organizations can think far ahead, they can create some opportunities For GE Oil & Gas the opportunities are: According to figures released by Americas Cambridge Energy Research Associates, India is home to around 64 trillion cubic feet of unexplored gas at various locations. This gas can be extracted, and supplied into houses and production units to trigger countrys growth. Demand for oil and gas in India will keep on increasing due to countrys rising energy needs. Oil and gas majors like Cairn, ONGC and Reliance have lined up plans for huge investments in- order to increase oil and gas production in the country, which has fuelled the growth. GE oil & gas can grow from within by focusing on niche products and markets where its larger rivals arent a factor. GE specializes in growth areas such as drilling equipment and compressors. GE is cash rich company. It aspires to continue to develop technology overlaps between the businesses it has. Narendra Modi government is planning to set up several power plants. It is considering setting up gas based power generation projects in states like- Madhya Pradesh, Odisha and Uttar Pradesh. While it plans to set up thermal power plants in states like Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal, Jharkhand and Bihar which produce coal, this is indeed good news. For GE Oil & Gas the threats are The environmental pressure and market demand that oil companies experience today force them to explore new industries, i.e. renewables. State owned oil and gas companies like ONGC and Oil India limited are market leaders in the country. However, they are facing tough competition in oil exploration and production from private players like Reliance, Essar, Adani, etc. Analysts are doubtful GE Oil & Gas can achieve enough weight without acquisitions to be a major player in the industry. GE Oil & Gas needs to get bigger and develop a clearer strategy if it hopes to keep up with its larger competitors. The Oil & Gas sector need to emphasize on R&D. India is weak in it. Currently, Dehradun based University of Petroleum and Energy Studies is considered as the only private University which offers PHD, post graduate and undergraduate courses in energy and petroleum. This University aims to create professionals who can serve Indias rapidly growing oil and gas Industry.