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TUGAS VERIFIKASI DATA FORECAST GFS MENGGUNAKAN DATA SYNOP

STASIUN MAJENE SULAWESI BARAT PADA TANGGAL 11 JUNI 2017


(00.00UTC) 12 JUNI 2017 (12.00UTC)

NAMA : REZZA PRIMADI


KELAS : METEOROLOGI 6B
NPT : 11.13.0049

SEKOLAH TINGGI METEOROLOGI KLIMATOLOGI DAN GEOFISIKA


JAKARTA
INFORMASI

Stasiun yang digunakan untuk tugas : Stasiun Meteorologi Majene (Sulawesi Barat)
Nomor WMO Stasiun : 97120
Titik koordinat Stasiun Majene : Lon 119 0' 0" E , Lat 2 30' 0" S
Data yang digunakan adalah data sinoptik yang didapat dari Ogimet dan data GFS yang didapat
dari web http://monsoondata.org:9090/dods/gfs0p25/gfs.2017061000
DATA SANDI SYNOPTIK TANGGAL 11 JUNI 2017
(00.00UTC-21.00UTC)
SM 11/06/2017 00:00
AAXX 11004
97120 42962 70504 10272 20242 30084 40119 52018 80871 333 20265 56000 59003==
SI 11/06/2017 03:00
AAXX 11034
97120 41962 71003 10284 20240 30085 40120 50001 76062 80871 333 56000==
SM 11/06/2017 06:00
AAXX 11064
97120 41962 71103 10284 20249 30063 40098 57022 72162 80271 333 56000==
SI11/06/2017 09:00
AAXX 11094
97120 41961 73202 10270 20243 30065 40100 53002 76062 80271 333 56000==
SM 11/06/2017 12:00
AAXX 11124
97120 41958 70000 10262 20250 30082 40117 52017 72162 80271 333 10289 56000 58008==
SI 11/06/2017 15:00
AAXX 11154
97120 41959 70603 10257 20249 30087 40122 52005 70262 80871 333 56000==
SM 11/06/2017 18:00
AAXX 11184
97120 41960 70603 10255 20241 30076 40111 57011 70362 80231 333 56000==
SI 11/06/2017 21:00
AAXX 11214
97120 42960 60000 10248 20238 30072 40107 55004 80231 333 56000==
DATA SANDI SYNOPTIK TANGGAL 12 JUNI 2017
(00.00UTC-21.00UTC)
SM 12/06/2017 00:00
AAXX 12004
97120 41962 40604 10278 20246 30090 40125 52018 70162 80231 333 20247 56000 58006==
SI 12/06/2017 03:00
AAXX 12034
97120 42962 61006 10294 20245 30084 40120 58005 80831 333 56000==
SM 12/06/2017 06:00
AAXX 12064
97120 41961 61003 10290 20253 30062 40097 57023 72162 80871 333 56000==
SI 12/06/2017 09:00
AAXX 12094
97120 41961 70000 10280 20251 30064 40099 52002 72162 80871 333 56000==
SM 12/06/2017 12:00
AAXX 12124
97120 41959 70000 10270 20252 30085 40120 52021 70262 80231 333 10299 56000 58003=
ARTI SANDI PAST & PRESENT WEATHER DI GRUP 7
SANDI SYNOP
Present Weather 17 -- thunderstorm but no precipitation falling at station
00 -- clear skies 18 -- squalls within sight but no precipitation falling at station
01 -- clouds dissolving 19 -- funnel clouds within sight
02 -- state of sky unchanged Precipitation within past hour but not at observation time
03 -- clouds developing 20 -- drizzle
Haze, smoke, dust or sand 21 -- rain
04 -- visibility reduced by smoke 22 -- snow
05 -- haze 23 -- rain and snow
06 -- widespread dust in suspension not raised by wind 24 -- freezing rain
07 -- dust or sand raised by wind 25 -- rain showers
08 -- well developed dust or sand whirls 26 -- snow showers
09 -- dust or sand storm within sight but not at station 27 -- hail showers
Non-precipitation events 28 -- fog
10 -- mist 29 thunderstorms
11 -- patches of shallow fog Duststorm, sandstorm, drifting or blowing snow
12 -- continuous shallow fog 30 -- slight to moderate duststorm, decreasing in intensity
13 -- lightning visible, no thunder heard 31 -- slight to moderate duststorm, no change
14 -- precipitation within sight but not hitting ground 32 -- slight to moderate duststorm, increasing in intensity
15 -- distant precipitation but not falling at station 33 -- severe duststorm, decreasing in intensity
16 -- nearby precipitation but not falling at station
ARTI SANDI PAST & PRESENT WEATHER DI GRUP 7
SANDI SYNOP
34 -- severe duststorm, no change 53 -- continuous moderate drizzle 72 -- intermittent moderate snow
35 -- severe duststorm, increasing in intensity 54 -- intermittent heavy drizzle 73 -- continuous moderate snow
36 -- slight to moderate drifting snow, below eye level 55 -- continuous heavy drizzle 74 -- intermittent heavy snow
37 -- heavy drifting snow, below eye level 56 -- light freezing drizzle 75 -- continuous heavy snow
38 -- slight to moderate drifting snow, above eye level 57 -- moderate to heavy freezing drizzle 76 -- diamond dust
39 -- heavy drifting snow, above eye level 58 -- light drizzle and rain 77 -- snow grains
Fog or ice fog 59 -- moderate to heavy drizzle and rain 78 -- snow crystals
40 -- Fog at a distance Rain 79 -- ice pellets
41 -- patches of fog 60 -- intermittent light rain Showers
42 -- fog, sky visible, thinning 61 -- continuous light rain 80 -- light rain showers
43 -- fog, sky not visible, thinning 62 -- intermittent moderate rain 81 -- moderate to heavy rain showers
44 -- fog, sky visible, no change 63 -- continuous moderate rain 82 -- violent rain showers
45 -- fog, sky not visible, no change 64 -- intermittent heavy rain 83 -- light rain and snow showers
46 -- fog, sky visible, becoming thicker 65 -- continuous heavy rain 84 -- moderate to heavy rain and snow
47 -- fog, sky not visible, becoming thicker 66 -- light freezing rain showers
48 -- fog, depositing rime, sky visible 67 -- moderate to heavy freezing rain 85 -- light snow showers
49 -- fog, depositing rime, sky not visible 68 -- light rain and snow 86 -- moderate to heavy snow showers
Drizzle 69 -- moderate to heavy rain and snow 87 -- light snow/ice pellet showers
50 -- intermittent light drizzle Snow 88 -- moderate to heavy snow/ice pellet
51 -- continuous light drizzle 70 -- intermittent light snow
52 -- intermittent moderate drizzle 71 -- continuous light snow
ARTI SANDI PAST & PRESENT WEATHER DI GRUP 7
SANDI SYNOP

89 -- light hail showers W1&W2


90 -- moderate to heavy hail showers 0 -- cloud covering less than half of sky
Thunderstorms 1 -- cloud covering more than half of sky during part of period and
91 -- thunderstorm in past hour, currently only more than half during part of period
light rain 2 -- cloud covering more thna half of sky
92 -- thunderstorm in past hour, currently only 3 -- sandstorm, duststorm or blowing snow
moderate to heavy rain 4 -- fog, or thick haze
93 -- thunderstorm in past hour, currently only 5 -- drizzle
light snow or rain/snow mix 6 -- rain
94 -- thunderstorm in past hour, currently only 7 -- snow or mixed rain and snow
moderate to heavy snow or rain/snow mix 8 -- showers
95 -- light to moderate thunderstorm 9 -- thunderstorms
96 -- light to moderate thunderstorm with hail
97 -- heavy thunderstorm
98 -- heavy thunderstorm with duststorm
99 -- heavy thunderstorm with hail
TABEL HUJAN MENURUT SANDI SYNOPTIK

TANGGAL 00.00 03.00 (UTC) 06.00 (UTC) 09.00 (UTC) 12.00 (UTC) 15.00 (UTC) 18.00 (UTC) 21.00 (UTC)
(UTC)

11 Juni 2017 - -

12 Juni 2017 - X X X
SCRIPT YANG DIGUNAKAN

'sdfopen http://monsoondata.org:9090/dods/gfs0p25/gfs.2017061000'
'set lon 119'
'set lat -2.25'
'set t 9 21'
'd p'
'printim G:\KAMPUS\Semester6\NumericalPredictionWeather\tugasverifikasi\tugasverifikasi.jpg
white'
HASIL RUNNING SCRIPT DI APLIKASI GRADS
TABEL HUJAN MENURUT DATA GFS

TANGGAL 00.00 03.00 (UTC) 06.00 (UTC) 09.00 (UTC) 12.00 (UTC) 15.00 (UTC) 18.00 (UTC) 21.00 (UTC)
(UTC)

11 Juni 2017 - -

12 Juni 2017 - - X X X
TABEL KONTINGENSI

Observed
YES NO TOTAL
YES 9 0 9
Forecast

NO 1 3 4
TOTAL 10 3 13
NILAI VERIFIKASI

9+3
Nilai Akurasi : = 0.923
13
9+0
Nilai Bias : = 0.9
9+1
9
Nilai Besar Kemungkinan Terjadi : = 0.9
10
0
Nilai False Alarm : =0
9+0
0
Nilai Probability of false detection : =0
3+0
9
Nilai Success Ratio : =1
9+0
9
Nilai Threat Score : = 0.9
9+1+0
KESIMPULAN

Nilai verivifikasi yang didapat setelah perhitungan dari nilai data di


tabel kontingensi penggunaan data Global Forecast System (GFS) untuk
prakiraan cuaca daerah sekitar Stasiun Majene yang diverifikasi
menggunakan data pengamatan yang bernilai Threat Score sangat baik
yaitu kisaran (0.9)
REFERENSI

http://weather.gladstonefamily.net/site/97120
http://monsoondata.org:9090/dods/gfs0p25/gfs.2017061000
TERIMAKASIH