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Dividend Theories
There are three theories regarding the preference of
investors (to dividends or capital gain):
1. Dividend Irrelevance Theory
Merton Miller and Franco Modigliani (M&M) say
dividend policy has no effect on firm value because
o The value of the firm depends only on the income
produced by its assets, instead of how this income is
split between dividends and retained earnings.
Further, M&M argued that dividend policy of a firm is
irrelevant as shareholders can construct their own
dividend policy –Homemade dividend.
This theory ignores the impact of taxes and transaction
costs.
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2. Bird-in-the-Hand Theory
Investors are more certain about current income,
dividends, than future income, capital gain.
Therefore, high payout ratio maximizes stock price
than low payout ratio, according to Gordon and
Lintner.
M&M called it “bird-in-the-hand fallacy” arguing
that the riskiness of the firm to shareholders
emanate from the riskiness of operating cash
flows from the firm’s assets instead of how these
cash flows are distributed.
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Investment Opportunities
Poor Average Good
Capital budget 80 140 300
Net income (NI) 120 120 120
Required equity (0.6 × CB) 48 84 180
Div. paid (NI – Required Eq.) 72 36 -60
Div. payout ratio (Div./NI) 60% 30% 0%
What can be said about the impact of residual
dividend model on payout ratio?
What can you say if the above figures are
forecasted values for the coming three years?
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2. “New Stock” plan:
– Involves issuing new shares of stock to participating
shareholders directly by the firm.
– Often issued at a discount since there is no intermediary
and no service fees to be incurred.
– It is a source of new paid-up capital.
• In both kinds of plans shareholders must pay dividend
tax.
The key lesson learned from DRIPs:
• A study of shareholders’ participation rate in DRIPs
makes it an important source of feedback to
management in understanding the preference of
shareholders and accordingly to adjust the firm’s payout
ratio.
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1. Stock Dividends:
Issuing new share of stocks to shareholders
in lieu of cash dividend.
Causes some accounting costs.
Useful to effect a gradual year after year
reduction in stock price per share.
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2. Stock Split
Involve replacing old stocks by a relatively large
number of new shares stock, e.g. two-for-one split
means issuing two new shares of stock for each
share of stock held by an investor.
Does not cause accounting cost.
Very effective to realize a significant reduction in
stock price per share after a sharp price run- up.
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Stock Repurchases
Are means of buying back a firm’s own shares of
stock, thereby decreasing shares outstanding,
increasing EPS, and, often, increasing the stock
price.
It allows to substitute capital gain for dividends.
Stock repurchase may be made to:
1. Distribute a firm’s extra cash by buying back shares
outstanding in lieu of cash dividend
2. Quickly adjust a firm’s capital structure that is over
weighted with equity
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Advantages of Repurchases:
1) Repurchase announcements viewed as a
positive signal.
2) Repurchase gives shareholders flexibility in their
decision (they can choose to sell or not to sell).
3) A repurchase help reduce the supply of stocks
and boost the price per share.
4) It is a very good means to distribute a
temporarily available cash flow and avoids the
negative signaling effect of future dividend cuts.
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Disadvantages of Repurchases:
1) Dividend payments might benefit stock prices
than capital gains because cash dividends are
generally considered to be dependable, but
repurchases are not.
2) Shareholders’ lack of information about the
intent of management and the firm’s future
prospect, if any, may result in suspicion and legal
battle between management and shareholders.
3) If the firm pays too high price for repurchased
stock, existing shareholders will be harmed.
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End of Chapter 1
Thank You
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