Egypt has always been, and continues to be, the leading source of culture
and entertainment in the Arab world.
Applications Services
Regulations
Policies
Policy & Regulation: Catalyst for, or Constraint upon Growth?
A Review of Technological Change
Transmission, Switching and Memory: laser and
spectrum, microprocessor, digital storage
Impacts on network architectures: less switching,
more transport, caching nearer the user
Impacts on Functionality: portability, functional
integration, communicability
Erosion of natural monopoly
End user empowerment
Erosion of Intellectual Property Protection
Change in Technology brings change in
Economics
Falling cost levels
Changes in Relative Costs: Switching, Transmission,
Storage
Spectrum Abundance replaces Spectrum Scarcity
Signal transport is free at the margin
Content becomes relatively scarce; network capacity
becomes relatively abundant
Intellectual Property protection eroded
Mass markets become fragmented
Competition replaces monopoly
Change in Economics brings change in
Markets
Sole providers yield to competition
Mass markets yield to segmentation
Features and functions more important than
price
Cost of churn increases focus on retention
Customer service becomes competitive
differentiator
The Dimension of Convergence
Technology
Markets
Law Applications
Convergence at a Glance
So what is convergence?
In a nutshell, it is the ability to provide a range of services
(voice, data, and broadcasting) over a single network (‘triple
play’).
Examples:
Voice over IP, which makes very low and flat rate calling
plans possible.
Television over IP, which provides much more flexible
access
Radio over IP, which enable users to listen in real time or on
demand
Convergence is being applied to many fields; commerce,
education, health, publishing, and manufacturing, etc.
Convergence at a Glance (cont.)
It has changed many aspects of our everyday life: the way we
communicate, the way we access content and entertainment,
the way we make our purchases, even our own mobility.
A phone is no longer used for merely exchanging
conversations, but also for watching movies, listening to
MP3s or even watching and listening to the finals of the
World Cup, live.
The NTRA has been active in convergence:
Cooperation between MCIT and RTU (Radio and Television
Union)
VoIP
BGAN
Finance/ Regional Disaster Management
Banking Development
Media & Cultural Sectors
Travel & Tourism Manufacturing
Applications
Content Interactivity
Broadcast (Instant & Delayed)
Electronic Services
Media Voice
(Pay TV, VAS, Internet)
Film Data
Multimedia, etc.
Libraries Sound
(Public, User group, Private)
Software Graphics
etc Video
Telecommunication
Facilities Network
(Information Superhighway)
INFORMATION INFRASTRUCTURE
Steps Toward ICT Convergence
Digitalization of the network
Mobility
Next Generation Internet (Broadband)
Media integration (Internet Protocol)
E-commerce (QoS)
Restructuring of industries
Reshaping Policy and Regulation
The ‘Converged’ Telecom Scene
Since its introduction, convergence has had a profound impact on the
telecommuncation field and media sector, dramatically changing its
infrastructure, services and overall environment.
Infrastructure:
- digitalized
Competition:
diversity of service providers and offers
low and affordable prices
wide range of complementary services
Innovation:
new services
new business models
new devices
content creation industry to support demand
local loop unbundling
The ‘Converged’ Telecom Scene
(cont.)
Examples:
Gradual shift to VoIP and VOB (Voice over Broadband);
now almost 15% of voice traffic is through VoIP.
CATV (cable TV) systems are now offering video on
demand, broadband access and voice telephony.
Consequently, CATV operators are now competing with
telecom operators.
The current trend in several parts of the world is for service
providers to offer triple play service bundles in inclusive
packages (ex. monthly)
There is a steady growth in 3G networks and wireless
broadband services
Regulatory convergence ?
Signatories of the GATS Agreement and the
Reference Paper have agreed to a more-or-less
common policy of liberalization of traditional
wireline and wireless telecom.
The GATS agreement has no recognition of
convergence.
Most countries have separate regulators for
telecommunications, broadcasting and cable TV,
financial services, software and applications
The Impact of Convergence on
Regulation
Convergence is reshaping regulation and policy and raising
several implications:
Convergence is leading to a rise in the number of wireless
services, which in turn raises the need for spectrum
management reform.
Convergence entails revisiting current licensing regimes and
favors regimes that are technologically neutral.
Convergence might lead to the broadening of certain market
definitions, with the result that several narrowly defined
markets are replaced by a single more broadly defined
market.
Convergence may pose a threat on the industry if it induces
mergers of large scale operators and drives out small local
operators.
The Impact of Convergence on
Regulation (cont.)
Access to communication channels and access to content
New issues of competition and monopoly
Privacy, security, IPR
A transition from monopoly/oligopoly direction to
maximizing participation via open access
Target is not technological neutrality, but maximum
development of all technology & services advantages
Maximum opportunities for competing firms to achieve
public interest goals
Maximum stimulation to market development through both
private and public participation
“Convergence” is really about
“Competition”
Voice over IP: bypassing the PSTN undermines
tariffs, international settlements structures; cross-
subsidies.
Mobile networks are competing with fixed networks
especially in developing countries.
Cable-HFC and Satellite are displacing Broadcast
networks.
Competing technologies (Fixed lines, Wireless,
Cable, Broadcast) offer overlaping, competing
services.
Unresolved Network Market Issues
Public Resource Infrastructures for Telecom
Networks - Rights of Way, Spectrum, Numbers,
Names
Interconnection
Termination Number Monopolies
Access Limitations in the Face of Positive
Externalities
Leverage Opportunities for Monopoly Nodes in the
Network
Achieving Faster Infrastructure Network
Development
Significance of Network Unbundling
for Convergence
Industry Sectors - Equipment, Operator
Networks, Services
Fixed and Mobile
Basic Network Layers
*Content
*Communication Services
*Network Protocols, OSS & Management
*Equipment & Facility Capability
How Must Regulation Change?
Investment, Investment, Investment
Regulation is too focused on short term abuse of dominance.
More of a problem in developed markets, but stifles
investment in developing markets.
In the long term, dominance will only be eliminated by the
emergence of competing networks.
Competition requires investment.
Investment responds to Price, Cost and Profit expectations.
Price, Cost and Profit signals come from regulatory policy.
Incorrect signals encourage both overinvestment (i.e. long
distance) and underinvestment (i.e. local networks).
Overinvestment causes lost capital (ask Global Crossing,
Level 3); underinvestment causes lost opportunities (ask the
95% of the world who have no telephone.)
The Convergence Roadmap
For any country to successfully integrate convergence into its communication
and media sector, it must develop the following convergence pillars:
Technical:
1) Digitalized Infrastructure ( Broadband , Wireless and
mobile technologies , High-speed backbone networks )
2) Digitalized Media Content ( DRM , DAM )
Regulatory:
- Conducive Market Conditions (supply, demand, competition)
- Technological Neutrality
- Intellectual Property Rights and GATS agreement
Business: ( Encourage investment , More service providers , Diverse
services; options , and Digital content creators )
Convergence Challenges
Political and Legal
Law restrictions
National security considerations
Politically acceptable
Business
Must find feasible business models:
Revenue: from customers and advertisers
Evidence of demand is still very unclear
Which firms have the expertise to make profits in these areas? (telecom co.
vs. content providers)
Social
Socially acceptable content
Literacy (traditional and ICT literacy)
Convergence Challenges (cont.)
Economy
Income levels:
low GDP per capita
misdistributions of wealth within countries
Spending capacity:
Are people willing to spend on entertainment? And if so, how much?
Infrastructure
which networks are best and cheapest?
availability of electricity
availability of computers
availability of telecommunications networks
availability of investment
Issues for Debate
Convergence is raising a wide array of regulatory and
legislative issues that should be addressed by both policy
makers and regulators
The need to :
- encourage investment
- lower market entry barriers
Policy should:
- ensure competitive markets
- encourage the provision of better and cheaper services
- be responsive to market changes; updated upon need
Need to avoid regulatory arbitrage and gamesmanship
Reducing the digital divide: Universal Service
Issues for Debate (cont.)
Is the trend of institutional convergence (the
example of Ofcom) really the best way to
address Convergence?
Are current telecom or ICT regulators
competent to regulate “content”?
Can content regulation be avoided?
What is the most effective role for national
telecom regulators?
Thank You