com
• Competency #1
• Identify and analyze risk factors during an infectious
disease outbreak
• Competency #2
• Design an infectious disease management plan
• Competency #3
• Evaluate the effectiveness of One Health actions in
infectious disease management
• Competency #4
• Design a new, or evaluate an existing disease
surveillance and monitoring system
Fundamental Concepts for Infectious
Disease Management
Host
Agent
• Bacteria Leptospira
interrogans
• Viruses
• Parasites
• Fungi
• Prions en.wikipedia.org
en.wikipedia.org
INFECTIOUS AGENTS
Clostridium botulinum
• Contact
• Direct
• Indirect
• Airborne * Aerosolized Particles
• Droplet
• Airborne
• Vector Borne
• Vehicle
* Aerosolized Particles from coughing or sneezing <5 microns in size containing influenza virus can
be inhaled at alveolar level of lungs
DIRECT CONTACT TRANSMISSION
healthline.com
CONTAMINATED FOOD AND WATER
en.wikipedia.org
RESERVOIR HOSTS & TRANSMISSION
www.cdc.gov
www.tse-tse.com
www.list25.com
BIOLOGICAL VECTORS - ANIMALS
RISK FACTORS AND INFECTIOUS
DISEASES
Source: www.balidiscovery.com
RABIES CASE SCENARIO
• How serious is the rabies outbreak?
• What are the most significant risk factors in the
rabies outbreak?
• Who is responsible for monitoring risk factors?
• What is a major concern in a rabies outbreak
situation?
• What would you do to mitigate risk factors for rabies
during an outbreak?
• What is your group’s plan of action?
Creating a Conceptual Model to
Visualize Risk Factors and Control
Points
INFECTIOUS DISEASE MANAGEMENT,
ONE HEALTH COURSE
ONE HEALTH CONCEPT
PREVENTIVE STRATEGIES
• Primary prevention
• Secondary prevention
• Tertiary prevention
PRIMARY PREVENTION OF
INFECTIOUS DISEASE
• Seek to prevent new cases of infection from occurring
by interrupting the transmission of pathogens to
susceptible human hosts, or increasing their resistance
to infection
• Vaccination
VACCINATION
• Leptospirosis
• Streptococcus suis infection
• Rabies
• Dengue
DISEASE CASE SUMMARY:
LEPTOSPIROSIS
Leptospirosis is a zoonotic waterborne infection caused by the bacteria
Leptospira that can affect the liver, kidneys, and central nervous system.
Humans can be exposed through contact with water, vegetation or soil
contaminated by the urine of infected animals. Possible animal reservoirs
include livestock, dogs, rodents, and wild animals. Leptospires enter the
body through contact with the skin and mucous membranes and,
occasionally, via drinking water or inhalation. Person-to-person
transmission is rare. Occurrence of leptospirosis in humans depends on a
complex set of interactions between ecological and social factors.
Leptospirosis is present worldwide, but more common in tropical and sub-
tropical regions where abundant precipitation, regular flooding and high
temperatures enhance the distribution and survival of leptospires.
Additional information available in the One Health Compendium.
DISEASE CASE SUMMARY:
STREPTOCOCCUS SUIS
• Streptococcus suis is an important bacterial cause of zoonotic disease
in both swine (pigs) and humans in many areas of the world. The
organism may be isolated from healthy pig carriers, but reported
infections in pigs due to Streptococcus suis include arthritis, meningitis,
pneumonia, septicaemia, endocarditis, abortions and abscesses.
Humans at higher risk for infection include persons in direct contact with
infected pigs or raw pig-products, including farmers and abattoir
workers, and those with pre-existing illness or immunodeficiency.
Human infection is thought to occur through cuts or abrasions on the
skin, handling infected pig material, or possibly inhalation or
ingestion. In humans, infection due to
Streptococcus suis may cause meningitis, endocarditis, pneumonia,
septic arthritis, and/or toxic shock–like syndrome.
Information available from the WHO Factsheet: http://www.who.int/foodsafety/micro/strepsuis/en/
DISEASE CASE SUMMARY:
RABIES
Rabies is an important preventable zoonotic disease caused by the rabies
virus. The disease is endemic in many countries, affects both domestic
and wild mammals, and is transmitted to humans through contact with
infectious material, usually saliva, via bites or scratches by a rabid animal.
Rabies is present on all continents with the exception of Antarctica, but
more than 95% of human deaths occur in Asia and Africa, most often
following contact with dogs, other canines/carnivores, or bats with rabies
infection. Once symptoms of the disease develop, rabies is nearly always
fatal; WHO estimates rabies causes 60,000 human deaths per year. The
high mortality highlights the importance of the global canine rabies
elimination strategy based on dog vaccination. Rabies is 100%
preventable, so humans exposed to rabid animals should receive proper
wound care and post-exposure prophylaxis including rabies vaccine.
Additional information available in the WHO Fact Sheet: http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs099/en/
DISEASE CASE SUMMARY:
DENGUE
Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral infection found in tropical and sub-
tropical regions around the world. Dengue virus (DENV) exists in four
serotypes (DENV 1, 2, 3 and 4). Dengue fever has become a major
international public health concern. Severe Dengue (previously known as
Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever) was first recognized in the 1950s during
epidemics in the Philippines and Thailand. Today, severe dengue affects
many Asian and Latin American countries and is leading cause of
morbidity, hospitalization and death among children. Control strategies
have focused mainly on vector control, and enhanced disease
surveillance. No vaccine has yet been shown to be effective against all
four DENV serotypes. DENV transmission in forest monkey occurs, but
human infection is sufficient to maintain transmission cycles in cities,
particularly in crowded urban areas where mosquito vectors breed in
uncovered water storage containers, flower vases, metal cans, or in
discarded glass bottles, plastic containers or auto tires containing water.
Information available from the WHO Factsheet: http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs117/en/index.html
African Proverb
SUMMARY
Source: D. Travis and B. Wilcox. 2012. MODULE VIII: EMERGING ZOONOTIC DISEASE RISK. EZD
Short Course, April 2012, Hanoi
RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL
Hazard Pathway
WHAT HOW
Assumptions
Release
Exposure Model Rating scale
Consequences Uncertainty
Risk Characterization
RISK ASSESSMENT PROCESS
• Problem Formulation
• Hazard Identification
• Exposure Assessment
• Dose/Response
• Risk Characterization
• Risk Management
PROBLEM FORMULATION
Pathogenicity Potential
Agent class for spread
Air borne
Direct contact
Infectivity (ID50)
Vector borne
Reservoir Cross contamination
Virulence (LD50)
Host susceptibility
RISK MANAGEMENT
Audience:
• Management
• Government
• Public
RISK ASSESSMENT: QMRA WIKI
Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment (QMRA) Wiki
Collect Community-Based Data to
Support Infectious Disease
Investigations or Risk Assessments
INFECTIOUS DISEASE MANAGEMENT,
ONE HEALTH COURSE
FIELD TRIP
• Advantages
• Evaluate the issue the context of a community
• Help in understanding the broader impact of the issue
• Some types of data are collected regularly and are
publicly available
FIELD TRIP
• Disadvantages
• Data may be difficult or time-consuming to locate
• May be limited to qualitative data
• Data are limited to what has already been collected
previously and may not be relevant
FIELD TRIP ASSIGNMENT
• Public awareness:
• Informing
• Sensitizing
• Drawing attention of community to a particular
issue through awareness materials
AUDIENCES
• Children/Teenagers/Adults
• General / specific audiences
• Government sectors
MESSAGES
Source: ericaglasier.com
EXAMPLE OF PUBLIC AWARENESS
MATERIAL
Source: unicef.org
ASSIGNMENT
• S = strategic
• M = measurable
• A = adaptable
• R = responsive
• T = targeted
OBJECTIVES OF “SMART” DISEASE
SURVEILLANCE
Communication Supervision
Resource
Training
Promotion
PURPOSE OF EVALUATING PUBLIC
HEALTH SURVEILLANCE SYSTEMS
• Simplicity • Accuracy
• Flexibility • Positive predictive value
• Acceptability • Representativeness
• Sensitivity • Sustainability
• Specificity • Timeliness
SIMPLICITY: DEFINITION
• Accurate
• Consistent
• Complete
• Timely
FACTORS INFLUENCING
ACCEPTABILITY
• The public health importance of the health-related
event
• Acknowledgment by the system of individual
contributions
• Dissemination of aggregate data back to reporting
sources and interested parties
FACTORS INFLUENCING
ACCEPTABILITY
Source: wikipedia.com
REPRESENTATIVENESS: DEFINITION
• Representativeness is assessed by
comparing the characteristics of reported
events to all such actual events
• Representativeness can be examined
through special studies that seek to identify
a sample of all cases
• One aspect to consider is what proportion of
all districts or provinces actually report the
disease
TIMELINESS: DEFINITION
Social effects:
• Educational institutions are closed. Widespread panic begins
because supplies of antiviral drugs are severely limited and a
suitable vaccine is not yet available. One week later, there are
reports that the H5N1 virus has been isolated from airline
passengers with respiratory symptoms arriving from affected
countries.
H5N1 SCENARIO (CONTINUED)
Other continents affected:
• A few weeks later, the first local outbreaks are reported from
other continents. Rates of absenteeism in schools and businesses
begin to rise. Phones at health departments ring constantly. The
spread of the new virus continues to be the major news item in
print and electronic media. Citizens start to clamor for vaccines,
but they are still not available. Antiviral drugs cannot be
obtained. Police departments, local utility companies and mass
transit authorities experience significant personnel shortages that
result in severe disruption of routine services. Soon, hospitals and
outpatient clinics are critically short-staffed as doctors, nurses
and other healthcare workers themselves become ill or are
afraid to come to work.
H5N1 SCENARIO (CONTINUED)
Roles
• Villagers of Village 1 and 2
• Healthcare workers
• WHO team
• Laboratory workers
• Government officials
• Transportation security administrator
WHAT DO YOU THINK?
• Define epidemiology
• List the critical one-word questions central to
the practice of epidemiology (e.g., Why?,
Where?, How?)
• Give examples of useful applications of
epidemiology
• Explain what is meant by the epidemiologic
triad and web of causation
• List the core human public health and
veterinary public health functions
Epidemiology
Epi = “upon”
Identify and
Evaluate efficacy of investigate Estimate individual
treatments outbreaks or risks of disease
epidemics
Develop, prioritize,
Health policy
and evaluate
development,
human & veterinary
disease prevention
public health
& control measures
programs
EXAMPLES – RECENT HUMAN AND VETERINARY
ZOONOSES/EID EPIDEMIOLOGY STUDIES
Divine wrath
Germ theory
Multifactorial
EPIDEMIOLOGIC TRIANGLE/TRIAD
Policy
The Epidemiologist The MD/DVM/Nurse
Activism
Scientific Clinical
Image source D Tybor, Tufts University
VETERINARY PUBLIC HEALTH
CORE DOMAINS
Zoonoses Health education and
extension
Food protection
Production and control
of biological products
and medical devices
Laboratory animal health
Diagnostic laboratories
Biomedical research
Monitoring &
Study risks
surveillance for Identify and control
associated with
diseases and disease epidemics
exposures
exposures
KEY ELEMENTS IN EPIDEMIOLOGY
Environment
• Toxins, pollutants, disease reservoirs and vectors
• Initiated in 1967
• Last naturally
occurring case in 1977
• Eradicated in 1980
• Laboratory stocks
remain in US and
Russia
MEASLES OUTBREAK
INDIANA, USA 2011
EPIDEMIOLOGY AND RISK ANALYSIS
ONE HEALTH COURSE MODULE
BACKGROUND ON MEASLES
• Acute viral infection, usually of
children, causing fever,
conjunctivitis, cough and rash
• Severe illness may include
pneumonia, encephalitis
• Higher mortality: infants & children,
pregnant women, malnourished
• Spreads via respiratory droplets
Measles virion (particle)
CDC/ Cynthia Goldsmith • Highly contagious
• Not endemic in the US due to high
vaccination coverage rates &
effective vaccine
THE BEGINNING
• 15 human cases
confirmed in hospitals
• 4 deaths among the
confirmed cases
• 27% fatality rate (high)
• Cases were often
farmers
LEPTOSPIROSIS OUTBREAK
INVESTIGATION
Survey of local residents
• Farmers noticed increasing rat
populations
• Weather conditions increasingly
wet with unusual amount of rain
• Rat populations around farms had
expanded as animals took
shelter from flooded areas
• High rat density led to
contamination of standing water
with infected urine
LEPTOSPIROSIS OUTBREAK
PUBLIC HEALTH RESPONSE
• avoid rodents
• Trapping • Signs can be
• avoid standing
vague
water • Poisoning
(other risks!) • Seek medical
attention for
• Protect fever
Public drinking water
awareness Early
Rat population
campaigns identification
control around
of cases
farms & houses
©B Suh
http://pacificsource.files.wordpress.com
/2013/02/child-sick-fever-jpg.jpg
SUMMARY
Individual,
Exposure
place and
assessment
time
Investigative Data
field work and
epidemiologic analysis
studies techniques
REFERENCES AND RESOURCES
• Scientific literature
• Academic references, textbooks
• Country-specific manuals and
epidemiology websites
• WHO, OIE, FAO, CDC and other
websites, references, experts
WHAT DO PUBLIC HEALTH
LABORATORIES DO?
Disease
Reference and Environmental
prevention, Integrated data
specialized health and
control, and management
testing protection
surveillance
Laboratory Emergency
Policy
Food safety improvement preparedness
development
and regulation and response
Partnerships
Public health Training and
and
research education
communication
DEFINITION OF SURVEILLANCE
Questionnaires, surveys,
interviews
Surveillance systems
www.malteser-international.org/
SURVEILLANCE DATA CAN…
• Determine geographic
distribution
• Facilitate planning
SURVEILLANCE DATA GRAPHS
SURVEILLANCE DATA MAP, LAOS
QUESTIONNAIRE AND INTERVIEW
DATA
Outbreak investigations
www.herald-citizen.com/
Rapid assessments
www.actionagainsthunger.org
QUESTIONNAIRES & INTERVIEWS:
CONTACT TRACING AND CASE FOLLOW-UP
Features
• FREE!
• Relational database
• On screen data entry form
• Survey creation
• Data analysis
• Data graphing
• Data mapping
EPIDEMIOLOGIC SOFTWARE
IS USED TO…
• Surveillance systems
Store • Outbreak investigations
databases • Medical records
of the
Epidemiologist?
Make decisions
Interpret data
•Determine if an
epidemic is in •Identify or correct
progress mistakes
•Recommend •Interpret statistical
control measures and laboratory
tests
EXAMPLE: TB EXPOSURE
INVESTIGATION
Background
• Captive elephants at a sanctuary in Thailand
developed chronic disease with wasting and
respiratory signs – determined to be tuberculosis
Several unknowns
• Etiology of the disease –
which Mycobacterium?
• Method of transmission?
• Involvement of humans in transmission?
DATA-BASED DECISIONS
Interviews:
• Elephant care takers
• Family members
Results:
• One of the elephant care takers had a family member
with tuberculosis and had contracted the disease
• The elephant was likely infected from contact with the
human
FURTHER INVESTIGATION AND
QUESTIONS
Further questions
• Do other elephants in the facility have tuberculosis?
• How should the elephant handlers be tested for risk to
elephants?
• How can spread be prevented to more elephants and
humans?
• Could the laboratory design a method to identify the
actual pathogen from a live elephant?
• (e.g., Mycobacterium tuberculosis vs. M.bovis)
SUMMARY
AND RESOURCE
ONE HEALTH COURSE MODULE
3 KEY APPLICATIONS OF MEDIA
Announcing
Trust Transparency
early
Reduce rumors
Paternalistic attitudes
Simple
Timely
Accurate
Relevant = STARCC
Credible
Consistent
PUBLIC MESSAGES
What can I do
What have you
Are my family to protect
found that may
and I safe? myself and my
affect me?
family?
Who caused
Can you fix it?
this?
WHAT THE MEDIA WILL ASK FIRST
• Do not over-reassure
• Acknowledge that there is a process
in place
• Express wishes
• Give people things to do
• Ask more of people
IF YOU ARE ASKED SENSATIONAL OR
UNRELATED QUESTIONS
Draft: Final:
“To respond to “It is important to
rumors and proactively
inaccuracies to address reports
minimize that will create
concern, misplaced fear or
disruption and unrealistic
stigmatization.” expectations.”
SARS: SINGAPORE’S PRIME MINISTER
VALIDATES FEAR – AND COURAGE
Nigeria Avian Influenza Crisis Management Center, Bulletin 29, early 2007
Are we hungry yet?
http://birdflubook.com/a.php?id=79
THAILAND TELLS PEOPLE WHAT
TO EXPECT
"We are very encouraged that the results from our monitoring of air
quality and drinking water conditions in both New York and near
the Pentagon show that the public in these areas is not being
exposed to excessive levels of asbestos or other harmful
substances… I am glad to reassure the people of New York and
Washington, D.C. that their air is safe to breath and their water is
safe to drink"
“…no evidence
as of this
moment…”
FOR ABOUT TEN MINUTES, CNN
100% SURE
“100% sure”
SUMMARY
The WHO, FAO, OIE and CDC are global resources for
training, support, and surveillance
Descriptive Epidemiology
EPIDEMIOLOGY AND RISK ANALYSIS
ONE HEALTH COURSE MODULE
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
• Who/Which?
• Where?
• When?
• Why?
• How?, and How much?
• Individual (person), place, and time
WHAT IS EPIDEMIOLOGY?
Who?
What? When?
Which?
How
much?
DESCRIPTIVE VS. ANALYTIC
EPIDEMIOLOGY
Probable case:
• Person (or individual) who meets the clinical
description of a “case” and that is
epidemiologically linked to a confirmed case
Confirmed
• A case that meets the clinical description and at
least one of the criteria for laboratory
confirmation
CASE DEFINITION: CYCLOSPORIASIS
• Probable case:
watery diarrhea, with possible loss of appetite, weight loss,
abdominal cramps/bloating, nausea, body aches,
fatigue, vomiting or low-grade fever, and is
epidemiologically linked to a confirmed case.
• Confirmed case:
meets the clinical description and at least one of the
established criteria for laboratory confirmation.
For example, oocysts
found on light
microscopy.
www.cdc.gov
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY
WHAT IS THE PROBLEM?
Santos et al 2000. Testicular tumors in dogs: frequency and age distribution. Arq. Bras. Med. Vet.
Zootec. vol.52 n.1 Belo Horizonte Feb. 2000
TIME DATA
www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5153a1.htm
TIME DATA: PATTERNS OF DISEASE
Time
TIME DATA: PATTERNS OF DISEASE
Time
TIME DATA: PATTERNS OF DISEASE
1400
1200
1000
No of cases
800
600
400
200
0
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Year
TIME DATA: PATTERNS OF DISEASE
Incidence
Incidence
Time Time
Propagating epidemic Bell curve
PLACE (LOCATION) DATA
www.thailande-fr.com
PLACE DATA:
INDIVIDUAL CASES
Spot map of men who
tested positive for HIV at
time of entry into the
Royal Thai Army, Thailand,
November 1991–May
2000.
www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol9no7/02-0653-G1.htm
PLACE DATA: AIRPLANE SEAT