PENDUGAAN
DAMPAK LINGKUNGAN
Dikoleksi oleh:
Soemarno
Pslp-pdklp-ppsub, Malang 2012
LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
Sumber: http://afand.abatasa.com/post/detail/2405/lingkungan-hidup-kerusakan-lingkungan-pengertian-kerusakan-
linkungan-dan-pelestarian-.htm ….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
Sumber: http://afand.abatasa.com/post/detail/2405/lingkungan-hidup-kerusakan-lingkungan-pengertian-kerusakan-
linkungan-dan-pelestarian-.htm ….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
Unsur hayati (biotik), yaitu unsur lingkungan hidup yang terdiri dari makhluk
hidup, seperti manusia, hewan, tumbuh-tumbuhan, dan jasad renik. Jika kalian
berada di kebun sekolah, maka lingkungan hayatinya didominasi oleh
tumbuhan. Tetapi jika berada di dalam kelas, maka lingkungan hayati yang
dominan adalah teman-teman atau sesama manusia.
Sumber: http://afand.abatasa.com/post/detail/2405/lingkungan-hidup-kerusakan-lingkungan-pengertian-kerusakan-
linkungan-dan-pelestarian-.htm….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
Unsur-unsur lingkungan hidup dapat dibedakan menjadi tiga, yaitu:
Sumber: http://afand.abatasa.com/post/detail/2405/lingkungan-hidup-kerusakan-lingkungan-pengertian-kerusakan-linkungan-dan-pelestarian-
.htm….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
KERUSAKAN LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
Bentuk kerusakan lingkungan hidup dapat dibedakan menjadi dua jenis, yaitu:
Bahaya yang ditimbulkan oleh letusan gunung berapi antara lain berupa:
1. Hujan abu vulkanik, menyebabkan gangguan pernafasan.
2. Lava panas, merusak, dan mematikan apa pun yang dilalui.
3. Awan panas, dapat mematikan makhluk hidup yang dilalui.
4. Gas yang mengandung racun.
5. Material padat (batuan, kerikil, pasir), dapat menimpa perumahan, dan lain-lain.
Sumber: http://afand.abatasa.com/post/detail/2405/lingkungan-hidup-kerusakan-lingkungan-pengertian-kerusakan-linkungan-dan-pelestarian-
KERUSAKAN LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
b. Gempa bumi
Gempa bumi adalah getaran kulit bumi yang bisa disebabkan karena beberapa
hal, di antaranya kegiatan magma (aktivitas gunung berapi), terjadinya tanah
turun, maupun karena gerakan lempeng di dasar samudra. Manusia dapat
mengukur berapa intensitas gempa, namun manusia sama sekali tidak dapat
memprediksikan kapan terjadinya gempa.
Oleh karena itu, bahaya yang ditimbulkan oleh gempa lebih dahsyat
dibandingkan dengan letusan gunung berapi. Pada saat gempa berlangsung
terjadi beberapa peristiwa sebagai akibat langsung maupun tidak langsung, di
antaranya:
Bahaya angin topan dapat diprediksi melalui foto satelit yang menggambarkan keadaan
atmosfer bumi, termasuk gambar terbentuknya angin topan, arah, dan kecepatannya.
Serangan angin topan (putting-beliung) dapat menimbulkan kerusakan lingkungan hidup
dalam bentuk:
1. Merobohkan bangunan.
2. Rusaknya areal pertanian dan perkebunan.
3. Membahayakan penerbangan.
4. Menimbulkan ombak besar yang dapat menenggelamkan kapal.
Sumber: http://afand.abatasa.com/post/detail/2405/lingkungan-hidup-kerusakan-lingkungan-pengertian-kerusakan-linkungan-dan-pelestarian-
.htm ….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
KERUSAKAN LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
Badai adalah cuaca yang ekstrem, dapat berupa hujan es dan badai salju
hingga badai pasir dan debu.
Badai disebut juga siklon-tropis, berasal dari samudera yang suhunya hangat.
Badai bergerak di atas laut mengikuti arah angin dengan kecepatan sekitar 20
km/jam.
Badai bukan angin-ribut biasa. Kekuatan anginnya dapat mencabut pohon besar
dari akarnya, meruntuhkan jembatan, dan menerbangkan atap bangunan
dengan mudah. Tiga hal yang paling berbahaya dari badai adalah sambaran
petir, banjir bandang, dan angin kencang. Terdapat berbagai macam badai,
seperti badai hujan, badai guntur, dan badai salju.
Badai paling merusak adalah badai topan (hurricane, yang dikenal sebagai
angin siklon (cyclone) di Samudera Hindia atau topan (typhoon) di Samudera
Pasifik.
Sumber: http://afand.abatasa.com/post/detail/2405/lingkungan-hidup-kerusakan-lingkungan-pengertian-kerusakan-linkungan-dan-pelestarian-
.htm ….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
KERUSAKAN LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
2. Kerusakan Lingkungan Hidup karena Faktor Manusia
Manusia sebagai penguasa lingkungan hidup di bumi berperan besar dalam menentukan kelestarian lingkungan
hidup. Manusia sebagai makhluk ciptaan Tuhan yang berakal budi mampu merubah wajah dunia dari pola
kehidupan sederhana sampai ke bentuk kehidupan modern seperti sekarang ini. Namun sayang, seringkali apa
yang dilakukan manusia tidak diimbangi dengan pemikiran akan masa depan kehidupan generasi berikutnya.
Banyak kemajuan yang diraih oleh manusia membawa dampak buruk terhadap kelangsungan lingkungan hidup.
Beberapa bentuk kerusakan lingkungan hidup karena faktor manusia, antara lain:
1. Terjadinya pencemaran (pencemaran udara, air, tanah, dan suara) sebagai dampak adanya kawasan industri.
2. Terjadinya banjir, sebagai dampak buruknya drainase atau sistem pembuangan air dan kesalahan dalam
menjaga daerah aliran sungai dan dampak pengrusakan hutan.
3. Terjadinya tanah longsor, sebagai dampak langsung dari rusaknya hutan.
Beberapa ulah manusia yang baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung membawa dampak pada kerusakan
lingkungan hidup antara lain:
1. Penebangan hutan secara liar (penggundulan hutan).
2. Perburuan liar.
3. Merusak hutan bakau.
4. Penimbunan rawa-rawa untuk pemukiman.
5. Pembuangan sampah di sembarang tempat.
6. Bangunan liar di daerah aliran sungai (DAS).
7. Pemanfaatan sumberdaya alam secara berlebihan di luar batas.
KERUSAKAN LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
2. Kerusakan Lingkungan Hidup karena Faktor Manusia
Manusia sebagai penguasa lingkungan hidup di bumi berperan besar dalam menentukan kelestarian lingkungan
hidup. Manusia sebagai makhluk ciptaan Tuhan yang berakal budi mampu merubah wajah dunia dari pola
kehidupan sederhana sampai ke bentuk kehidupan modern seperti sekarang ini. Namun sayang, seringkali apa
yang dilakukan manusia tidak diimbangi dengan pemikiran akan masa depan kehidupan generasi berikutnya.
Banyak kemajuan yang diraih oleh manusia membawa dampak buruk terhadap kelangsungan lingkungan hidup.
Beberapa bentuk kerusakan lingkungan hidup karena faktor manusia, antara lain:
1. Terjadinya pencemaran (pencemaran udara, air, tanah, dan suara) sebagai dampak adanya kawasan industri.
2. Terjadinya banjir, sebagai dampak buruknya drainase atau sistem pembuangan air dan kesalahan dalam
menjaga daerah aliran sungai dan dampak pengrusakan hutan.
3. Terjadinya tanah longsor, sebagai dampak langsung dari rusaknya hutan.
Beberapa ulah manusia yang baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung membawa dampak pada kerusakan
lingkungan hidup antara lain:
1. Penebangan hutan secara liar (penggundulan hutan).
2. Perburuan liar.
3. Merusak hutan bakau.
4. Penimbunan rawa-rawa untuk pemukiman.
5. Pembuangan sampah di sembarang tempat.
6. Bangunan liar di daerah aliran sungai (DAS).
7. Pemanfaatan sumberdaya alam secara berlebihan di luar batas.
PENCEMARAN UDARA
….. kehadiran satu atau lebih kontaminan di atmosfir dengan kuantitas dan
durasi yg menyebabkan gangguan kesehatan thd manusia, kerusakan thd
tumbuhan, menyebabkan penyakit thd hewan, kerusakan thd material atau
menyebabkan ketidaknyamanan thd kehidupan/material dan mengganggu
thd kegiatan keseharian.
These effects can result in increased medication use, increased doctor or emergency room visits,
more hospital admissions and premature death. The human health effects of poor air quality are far
reaching, but principally affect the body's respiratory system and the cardiovascular system.
Individual reactions to air pollutants depend on the type of pollutant a person is exposed to, the
degree of exposure, the individual's health status and genetics.
The most common sources of air pollution include particulate matter, ozone, nitrogen
dioxide, and sulfur dioxide. Both indoor and outdoor air pollution have caused
approximately 3.3 million deaths worldwide. Children aged less than five years that live
in developing countries are the most vulnerable population in terms of total deaths
attributable to indoor and outdoor air pollution
Sumber: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_pollution
AIR QUALITY
Air quality is defined as a measure of the condition of air relative to the
requirements of one or more biotic species or to any human need or purpose.
Air quality indices (AQI) are numbers used by government agencies to characterize the quality of
the air at a given location.
As the AQI increases, an increasingly large percentage of the population is likely to experience
increasingly severe adverse health effects.
To compute the AQI requires an air pollutant concentration from a monitor or model.
The function used to convert from air pollutant concentration to AQI varies by pollutant, and is
different in different countries. Air quality index values are divided into ranges, and each range is
assigned a descriptor and a color code. Standardized public health advisories are associated with
each AQI range. An agency might also encourage members of the public to take public
transportation or work from home when AQI levels are high.
The AQI can worsen (go up) due to lack of dilution of air emissions by fresh air.
Stagnant air, often caused by an anticyclone or temperature inversion, or other lack of
winds lets air pollution remain in a local area, leading to haze.
The Air Quality Health Index or (AQHI) is a scale designed to help understand
the impact of air quality on health. It is a health protection tool used to make
decisions to reduce short-term exposure to air pollution by adjusting activity
levels during increased levels of air pollution.
The Air Quality Health Index also provides advice on how to improve air quality by
proposing behavioral change to reduce the environmental footprint. This index pays
particular attention to people who are sensitive to air pollution. It provides them with
advice on how to protect their health during air quality levels associated with low,
moderate, high and very high health risks.
The Air Quality Health Index provides a number from 1 to 10+ to indicate the
level of health risk associated with local air quality. On occasion, when the
amount of air pollution is abnormally high, the number may exceed 10. The
AQHI provides a local air quality current value as well as a local air quality
maximums forecast for today, tonight, and tomorrow, and provides associated
health advice.
Risk: Low (1-3) Moderate (4-6) High (7-10) Very high (above 10)
Sumber: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_Quality_Index ….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
AIR QUALITY HEALTH INDEX (AQHI) - CANADA
Air Quality
Health Risk Health Messages
Health Index
At Risk population *General Population
Enjoy your usual outdoor
Low 1-3 Ideal air quality for outdoor activities
activities.
The Air Pollution Index (API) levels for Hong Kong are related to the measured
concentrations of ambient respirable suspended particulate (RSP), sulfur
dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO), ozone (O3) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2)
over a 24-hour period based on the potential health effects of air pollutants.
An API level at or below 100 means that the pollutant levels are in the
satisfactory range over 24 hour period and pose no acute or immediate health
effects. However, air pollution consistently at "High" levels (API of 51 to 100) in
a year may mean that the annual Hong Kong "Air Quality Objectives" for
protecting long-term health effects could be violated. Therefore, chronic health
effects may be observed if one is persistently exposed to an API of 51 to 100 for
a long time.
"Very High" levels (API in excess of 100) means that levels of one or more
pollutant(s) is/are in the unhealthy range.
The API level is based on the level of 5 atmospheric pollutants, namely sulfur
dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), suspended particulates (PM10), carbon
monoxide (CO), and ozone (O3) measured at the monitoring stations throughout
each city.
An individual score is assigned to the level of each pollutant and the final API is the
highest of those 5 scores. The pollutants can be measured quite differently. SO 2,
NO2 and PM10 concentration are measured as average per day. CO and O3 are more
harmful and are measured as average per hour. The final API value is calculated per
day.
The scale for each pollutant is non-linear, as is the final API score. Thus an API of
100 does not mean twice the pollution of API at 50, nor does it mean twice as
harmful. While an API of 50 from day 1 to 182 and API of 100 from day 183 to 365
does provide an annual average of 75, it does not mean the pollution is acceptable
even if the benchmark of 100 is deemed safe. This is because the benchmark is a 24
hour target. The annual average must match against the annual target. It is entirely
possible to have safe air every day of the year but still fail the annual pollution
benchmark.
0 to 50 Good Green
51 to 100 Moderate Yellow
101 to 150 Unhealthy for Sensitive Orange
Groups
151 to 200 Unhealthy Red
201 to 300 Very Unhealthy Purple
Tahap 2: Tahap 5:
Deskripsi kondisi Penilaian dampak
lingkungan udara penting
yg ada
Tahap 3: Tahap 6:
Informasi peraturan Identifikasi dan
perundangan dan penentuan
pedoman meng tindakan mitigasi
kualitas udara
PERATURAN PERUNDANGAN
• PP RI No 41 Th 1999 Ttg Pengendalian pencemaran udara
• KEPMENLH No KEP-13/MENLH/3/1995 Ttg Baku mutu emisi sumber tidak bergerak
• PERMENLH No 07 Th 2007 Ttg Baku mutu emisi sumber tidak bergerak bagi ketel uap
• PERMENLH No 05 Th 2006 Ttg Ambang batas emisi gs buang kendaraan bermotor lama
• SK Gubernur Propinsi DKI Jakarta No 670/2000/Tanggal 28 Maret 2000 Ttg Penetapan baku mutu emisi
sumber tidak bergerak di Propinsi DKI Jakarta
Dengan dasar ciri dinamika sistem lingkungan yang bersifat "site specific”, maka jenis dan
besaran dampak yang ditimbulkan oleh pengembangan permukiman terpadu diperkirakan
akan berbeda dari satu ekosistem ke ekosistem lainnya.
Oleh karena itu, apabila dampak yang ditimbulkan tersebut tidak diantisipasi dan dikelola
secara optimal dikhawatirkan hal ini akan menjadi unsur pembangunan sosial ekonomi yang
mengabaikan kemampuan sistem alam (ekosistem).
Contoh baku mutu ambien
PP No 41 Thn 1999
No Parameter Waktu pengukuran Baku mutu
Kajian dampak kumulatif merupakan pengembangan lebih lanjut dari metodologi kajian AMDAL. Kajian AMDAL,
secara tradisonal, lebih terfokus pada dampak langsung yang terjadi akibat adanya suatu kegiatan (AMDAL skala
proyek). Para pengambil keputusan lebih mempertimbangkan dampak yang bersifat langsung, ini karena dampak
tersebut bersifat lebih pasti dan lebih mudah dipahami. Sementara itu kajian dampak kumulatif mempunyai batasan
ruang dan waktu yang lebih luas, seperti kemungkinan terjadinya hujan asam, perubahan iklim, pemanasan global,
kelestarian keanekaragaman hayati dan dampak terhadap pembangunan yang berkelanjutan.
CEARC (1986) mengidentifikasi kelemahan AMDAL yang terlalu fokus pada kajian dampak skala proyek, adalah :
1. Mengabaikan efek penambahan (additif effects) akibat adanya pembangunan yang berulang-ulang pada satu
ekosistem yang sama;
2. Tidak mengkaji secara mendalam dampak dari suatu kegiatan yang dapat mendorong berkembangnya
kegiatan-kegiatan lain disekitarnya;
3. Mengabaikan perubahan kemampuan sistem ekologis dalam menetralisir tingkat pencemaran dan kerusakan
lingkungan yang semakin intensif;
4. Tidak memberikan dorongan untuk mencapai tujuan pengelolaan lingkungan yang lebih komprehensif yang
melindungi kepentingan masyarakat luas.
Contoh baku mutu emisi sumber tidak bergerak
PERMENLH No 07 Th 2007
No Parameter Baku mutu Catatan:
1. Nitrogen Oksida ditentukan
sebagai NO2
1 Partikulat 230 mg/m3
2 Sulfur dioksida (SO2) 750 mg/m3 2. Volume gas dalam keadaan
3 Nitrogen Oksida (N)2) 825 ng/m3 standar (25oC dan tekanan 1
4 Opasitas 20 % atm
3. Konsentrasi partikulat
dikoreksi sebesar 6 % Oksigen
4. Opasitas digunakan sbg
indikator praktis pemantauan
dan dikembangkan utk
memperoleh hub korelatif dg
pengamatan total partikel
Contoh baku mutu emisi sumber tidak bergerak
PERMENLH No 07 Th 2007
Dampak kumulatif adalah dampak-dampak terhadap lingkungan yang
disebabkan oleh penambahan dampak (incremental impact) dari suatu kegiatan
jika ditambahkan dampak yang terjadi akibat kegiatan lain dimasa lalu, saat ini
dan dampak yang diperkirakan dapat terjadi dimasa mendatang.
Dampak kumulatif dapat terjadi dari dampak-dampak yang secara individual
bersifat tidak penting namun jika terjadi pada kerangka waktu dan tempat yang
sama dapat berubah menjadi dampak penting.
Dampak bersifat countervailing jika dampak akhir lebih kecil dari penambahan
dampak secara individual, sedangkan dampak bersifat sinergis jika dampak
kumulatif lebih besar dari penjumlahan dari kontribusi dampak-dampak secara
individual.
Faktor emisi
N. Irving Sax (1974)*
Faktor emisi gas dari proses pembakaran batubara (lb/ton batubara yg dibakar)
Pencemar Pembangkit Industrial Rumah tangga
listrik dan komersial
Pada kondisi tertentu sulfur oksida (SOx) dan nitrogen oksida (NOx) hasil
pembakaran bahan bakar fosil akan bereksi dengan molekul-molekul uap air di
atmosfir menjadi asam sulfat (H2SO4) dan asam nitrat (HNO3) yang selanjutnya
turun ke permukaan bumi bersama air hujan yang dikenal hujan asam.
Hujan asam telah menimbulkan masalah besar di daratan Eropa, Amerika Serikat
dan di Negara Asia termasuk Indonesia. Dampak negatif dari hujan asam selain
rusaknya bangunan dan berkaratnya benda-benda yang terbuat dari logam, juga
terjadinya kerusakan lingkungan terutama mengasakan (acidification) danau dan
sungai. Ribuan danau airnya telah bersifat asam sehingga tidak ada lagi kehidupan
akuatik, dikenal dengan “danau mati”.
C = P/(h x w x ū) + b [M/L3] w
h = mixing height, m
dimana w = lebar box, m
C=Konsentrasi, µg/m3 ū = kecepatan rata angin, m/dt
P=Berat penc yg diemisikan ke troposfir,
µg/dt
b=Konsentrasi latar belakang, µg/m3
Sumber:
Contoh soal model Kotak
Diketahui
h = 300 m
w = 400 m
ū = 10 km/jam
b = 0.3 µg/m3
Penyelesaian
ū = 10 km/jam = 10000 m/jam = 2.78 m/dt
Faktor emisi = 46.5 g/mil = 46500000 µg/mil = 28899938 µg/km
P = Emisi CO = 40 km/jam x 28899938 µg/km = 1155997520µg/jam = 321110 µg/dt
C = Konsentrasi ambien CO = (P/(hxwxū))+b = (321110/(300x400x2.78)) + 0.3 µg/m3 =
0.96 + 0.3 µg/m3 = 1.26 µg/m3
PENETAPAN ZONA
A1
B1 A2
A3
C1
An
D1
E1
b, ū
Keterangan:
Batas kota
A1,….An Nomor grid
Isohyet SO2 dlm 24 jam
A1
B1 A2
A3
C1
An
D1
365
350
E1
300
250
CATALYTIC CONVERTER
Catalytic converters are still
(colloquially, "cat" or "catcon") most commonly used on
is an exhaust emission control device which converts toxic chemicals automobile exhaust systems,
in the exhaust of an internal combustion engine into less toxic but are also used on generator
substances. Inside a catalytic converter, a catalyst stimulates a sets, forklifts, mining
chemical reaction in which noxious byproducts of combustion are equipment, trucks, buses,
converted to less toxic substances by way of catalysed chemical locomotives, motorcycles,
airplanes and other engine
reactions.
fitted devices. They are also
used on some wood stoves to
The specific reactions vary with the type of catalyst installed. Most control emissions.
present-day vehicles that run on gasoline are fitted with a "three way"
converter, so named because it converts the three main pollutants in This is usually in response to
automobile exhaust: an oxidising reaction converts carbon monoxide government regulation, either
(CO) and unburned hydrocarbons (HC), and a reduction reaction through direct environmental
regulation or through health
converts oxides of nitrogen (NOx) to produce carbon dioxide (CO2),
and safety regulations.
nitrogen (N2), and water (H2O).
Two-way Converter
A two-way (or "oxidation") catalytic converter has two simultaneous tasks:
Oxidation of carbon monoxide to carbon dioxide:
2CO + O2 → 2CO2
Oxidation of hydrocarbons (unburnt and partially burnt fuel) to carbon dioxide and water:
This type of catalytic converter is widely used on diesel engines to reduce hydrocarbon and carbon monoxide
emissions. They were also used on gasoline engines in American- and Canadian-market automobiles until 1981.
Because of their inability to control oxides of nitrogen, they were superseded by three-way converters.
These three reactions occur most efficiently when the catalytic converter receives exhaust from an engine running
slightly above the stoichiometric point. This point is between 14.6 and 14.8 parts air to 1 part fuel, by weight, for
gasoline.
The ratio for Autogas (or liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)), natural gas and ethanol fuels is each slightly different,
requiring modified fuel system settings when using those fuels. In general, engines fitted with 3-way catalytic
converters are equipped with a computerized closed-loop feedback fuel injection system using one or more
oxygen sensors, though early in the deployment of three-way converters, carburetors equipped for feedback
mixture control were used.
Three-way catalysts are effective when the engine is operated within a narrow band of air-fuel ratios near stoichiometry, such that the
exhaust gas oscillates between rich (excess fuel) and lean (excess oxygen) conditions. However, conversion efficiency falls very
rapidly when the engine is operated outside of that band of air-fuel ratios. Under lean engine operation, there is excess oxygen and
the reduction of NOx is not favored. Under rich conditions, the excess fuel consumes all of the available oxygen prior to the catalyst,
thus only stored oxygen is available for the oxidation function. Closed-loop control systems are necessary because of the conflicting
requirements for effective NOx reduction and HC oxidation. The control system must prevent the NOx reduction catalyst from
becoming fully oxidized, yet replenish the oxygen storage material to maintain its function as an oxidation catalyst.
Sumber: http://industri18endangsupriyatna.blog.mercubuana.ac.id/2011/11/30/dampak-kerusakan-lingkungan-akibat-kegiatan-penambangan-
pasir-di-daerah-kawasan-gunung-merapi/ ….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
PELESTARIAN LINGKUNGAN DALAM PEMBANGUNAN
BERKELANJUTAN
Udara merupakan unsur vital bagi kehidupan, karena setiap organisme bernapas memerlukan
udara. Kalian mengetahui bahwa dalam udara terkandung beranekaragam gas, salah satunya
oksigen.
Udara yang kotor karena debu atau pun asap sisa pembakaran menyebabkan kadar oksigen
berkurang. Keadaan ini sangat membahayakan bagi kelangsungan hidup setiap organisme. Maka
perlu diupayakan kiat-kiat untuk menjaga kesegaran udara lingkungan agar tetap bersih, segar, dan
sehat.
Upaya yang dapat dilakukan untuk menjaga agar udara tetap bersih dan sehat antara lain:
1. Menggalakkan penanaman pohon atau pun tanaman hias di sekitar kita. Tanaman dapat menyerap gas-gas
yang membahayakan bagi manusia. Tanaman mampu memproduksi oksigen melalui proses fotosintesis.
Rusaknya hutan menyebabkan jutaan tanaman lenyap sehingga produksi oksigen bagi atmosfer jauh
berkurang, di samping itu tumbuhan juga mengeluarkan uap air, sehingga kelembapan udara akan tetap
terjaga.
2. Mengupayakan pengurangan emisi atau pembuangan gas sisa pembakaran, baik pembakaran hutan maupun
pembakaran mesin Asap yang keluar dari knalpot kendaraan dan cerobong asap merupakan penyumbang
terbesar kotornya udara di perkotaan dan kawasan industri. Salah satu upaya pengurangan emisi gas
berbahaya ke udara adalah dengan menggunakan bahan industri yang aman bagi lingkungan, serta
pemasangan filter pada cerobong asap pabrik.
3. Mengurangi atau bahkan menghindari pemakaian gas kimia yang dapat merusak lapisan ozon di atmosfer Gas
freon yang digunakan untuk pendingin pada AC maupun kulkas serta dipergunakan di berbagai produk
kosmetika, adalah gas yang dapat bersenyawa dengan gas ozon, sehingga mengakibatkan lapisan ozon
menyusut. Lapisan ozon adalah lapisan di atmosfer yang berperan sebagai filter bagi bumi, karena mampu
memantulkan kembali sinar ultraviolet ke luar angkasa yang dipancarkan oleh matahari. Sinar ultraviolet yang
UPAYA PELESTARIAN LINGKUNGAN HIDUP
c. Pelestarian hutan
Eksploitasi hutan yang terus menerus berlangsung sejak dahulu hingga kini tanpa diimbangi
dengan penanaman kembali, menyebabkan kawasan hutan menjadi rusak. Pembalakan liar yang
dilakukan manusia merupakan salah satu penyebab utama terjadinya kerusakan hutan.
Padahal hutan merupakan penopang kelestarian kehidupan di bumi, sebab hutan bukan hanya
menyediakan bahan pangan maupun bahan produksi, melainkan juga penghasil oksigen, penahan
lapisan tanah, dan menyimpan cadangan air.
Oleh karena itu, kelestarian flora dan fauna merupakan hal yang mutlak
diperhatikan demi kelangsungan hidup manusia.
A. Segi biofisik
1. Illegal logging (Penebangan liar)
Terjadinya penebangan liar dalam suatu kawasan hutan semakin memicu
terjadinya kereusakan hutan dan menurunnya/berubah fungsi hutan,
walaupun penebangan liar telah dilarang selama bertahun-tahun oleh
pemerintah setempat dan pihak militer, namun sekarang ini terdapat bahaya
besar yang mengancam dengan merajalelanya pandangan “bebas bagi siapa
saja” termasuk penduduk untuk menebang kayu sebanyak-banyaknya.
2. Kebakaran hutan
Kebakaran hutan yang terjadi di Indonesia ini, karena keteledoran dari
masyarakat itu sendiri yang tidak memperhatikan/tidak memperdulikan
seperti membuang puntung rokok ke hutan dan lain-lain.
4. Program pembangunan
Program pembangunan yang mendayagunakan lahan hutan seperti sawah,
transmigrasi (pemukiman), perkebunan, dan lain-lain sehingga hutan menjadi
berubah fungsi dan akan berakibat buruk bagi lingkungan.
B. Segi Manajemen
1. Kebijakan pemerintah yang tidak memihak kepada lingkungan misalnya, dalam penyusunan tata
ruang, yang seharusnya suatu lahan itu adalah kawasan hutan, menjadi kawasan pertanian,
pemukimam dan lain-lain.
2. Perencanaan pembangunan yang kurang memperhatikan kelestarian hutan seperti
pembangunan rumah dari batu merah, dimana pabrik batu merah berdiri di sekitar kawasan
hutan, dimana pabrik itu menggunakan bahan bakar kayu yang diambil dari hutan sehingga
masyarakat beramai-ramai menggunduli hutan untuk memenuhi kebutuhan pasokan kayu bakar
dari pabrik batu merah.
3. Persepsi dan pemahaman masyarakat yang tidak tepat terhadap sumber daya hutan, dimana
masyarakat lebih dominan menanam tanaman pertanian dari pada tanaman kehutanan karena
waktu yang dibutuh kan oleh tanaman pertanian lebih cepat menghasilkan daripada tanaman
kehutanan.
4. Ekosistem adalah suatu sistem dimana terdapat hubungan timbal balik antara organisme dan
lingkungannya (biotik dan abiotik) serta terdapat pula pertukaran/arus energi dan materi diantara
organisme dengan lingkungan tersebut. Ekosistem terbagi dua yaitu : ekosistem alami yaitu
hutan alam dan sungai, sedangkan ekosistem buatan antara lain waduk, lahan pertanian,
pemukiman dan lain-lain. Ekosistem alami mempunyai kemantapan yang tinggi dibanding
ekosistem buatan. Ciri-ciri dari ekosistem yaitu terjadinya hubungan ekologi dan sistem yang
ada atau hubungan timbal balik antara manusia dengan lingkungan dan membentuk suatu
kesatuan.
1. Hutan
Perkiraan tidak resmi dari bank dunia menyatakan bahwa setiap tahunnya Indonesia kehilangan 1,5
juta Ha hutan selama 12 tahun terakhir dan apabila ini dibiarkan maka akan terjadi
ketidakstabilan/ketidakseimbangan lingkungan yang akan berdampak buruk bagi kehidupan manusia.
2. Pencemaran
Pencemaran sekarang menjadi marak di Indonesia, dimana limbah-limbah pabrik dibuang begitu saja
tanpa memperhatikan dampak yang terjadi pada lingkungan.
3. Kemiskinan
Hal ini akan memicu kerusakan lingkungan semakin besar karena setiap orang akan berbuat apa saja
demi sesuap nasi walaupun yang dilakukan ini adalah merusak lingkungan.
Forest degradation means any negative changes in a forest that damage its productivity; any time a forest is made
worse by:
1. overexploitation (any time it is used too much by farmers or tourists),
2. logging (deforestation),
3. logging camps and
4. logging roads built through the forest.
5. air pollution,
6. fires,
7. insects and
8. vegetation diseases.
9. firewood scavenging
10.animal foraging
11.pasturing
12.industrialisation (factories)
13.urbanisation
Sumber:(buildings)
http://wiki.answers.com/Q/What_is_forest_degradation ….. Diunduh 26/4/2012
Sometimes the term Forest Degradation does NOT include cutting down trees, which is then referred to as
DAMPAK PENCEMARAN AIR
1. Apa itu pencemaran air?
Pencemaran air adalah suatu perubahan keadaan di suatu tempat penampungan air seperti danau, sungai,
lautan dan air tanah akibat aktivitas manusia.Danau, sungai, lautan dan air tanah adalah bagian penting dalam
siklus kehidupan manusia dan merupakan salah satu bagian dari siklus hidrologi. Selain mengalirkan air juga
mengalirkan sedimen dan polutan. Berbagai macam fungsinya sangat membantu kehidupan manusia.
Kemanfaatan terbesar danau, sungi, lautan dan air tanah adalah untuk irigasi pertanian, bahan baku air minum,
sebagai saluran pembuangan air hujan dan air limbah, bahkan sebenarnya berpotensi sebagai objek wisata.
Dalam PP No 20/1990 tentang Pengendalian Pencemaran Air, pencemaran air di definisikan sebagai :
“Pencemaran air adalah masuknya atau dimasukkannya makhluk hidup, zat, energi, dan atau komponen lain ke
dalam air oleh kegiatan manusia sehingga kualitas dari air tersebut turun hingga batas tertentu yang
menyebabkan air tidak berguna lagi sesuai dengan peruntukannya.(Pasal 1, angka 2).
Pencemaran air terjadi pada sumber-sumber air seperti danau, sungai, laut dan air tanah yang disebabkan oleh
aktivitas manusia. Air dikatakan tercemar jika tidak dapat digunakan sesuai dengan fungsinya. Walaupun
fenomena alam, seperti gunung meletus, pertumbuhan ganggang, gulma yang sangat cepat, badai dan gempa
bumi merupakan penyebab utama perubahan kualitas air, namun fenomena tersebut tidak dapat disalahkan
sebagai penyebab pencemaran air.
Pencemaran ini dapat disebabkan oleh limbah industri, perumahan, pertanian, rumah tangga, industri, dan
penangkapan ikan dengan menggunakan racun. Polutan industri antara lain polutan organik (limbah cair), polutan
anorganik (padatan, logam berat), sisa bahan bakar, tumpaham minyak tanah dan oli merupakan sumber utama
pencemaran air, terutama air tanah. Disamping itu penggundulan hutan, baik untuk pembukaan lahan pertanian,
perumahan dan konstruksi bangunan lainnya mengakibatkan pencemaran air tanah.
Limbah rumah tangga seperti sampah organik (sisa-sisa makanan), sampah anorganik (plastik, gelas, kaleng)
serta bahan kimia (detergen, batu batere) juga berperan besar dalam pencemaran air, baik air di permukaan
maupun air tanah. Polutan dalam air mencakup unsur-unsur kimia, pathogen/bakteri dan perubahan sifat Fisika
dan kimia dari air. Banyak unsur-unsur kimia merupakan racun yang mencemari air. Patogen/bakteri
mengakibatkan pencemaran air sehingga menimbulkan penyakit pada manusia dan binatang. Adapuan sifat fisika
dan kimia air meliputi derajat keasaman, konduktivitas listrik, suhu dan pertilisasi permukaan air. Di negara-
negara berkembang, seperti Indonesia, pencemaran air (air permukaan dan air tanah) merupakan penyebab
utama gangguan kesehatan manusia/penyakit.
Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa di seluruh dunia, lebih dari 14.000 orang meninggal dunia setiap hari akibat
penyakit yang ditimbulkan oleh pencemaran air. Secara umum, sumber-sumber pencemaran air adalah sebagai
berikut :
1. Limbah industri (bahan kimia baik cair ataupun padatan, sisa-sisa bahan bakar, tumpahan minyak dan oli,
kebocoran pipa-pipa minyak tanah yang ditimbun dalam tanah)
2. Pengungangan lahan hijau/hutan akibat perumahan, bangunan
3. Limbah pertanian (pembakaran lahan, pestisida)
4. Limbah pengolahan kayu
5. Penggunakan bom oleh nelayan dalam mencari ikan di laut
6. Rumah tangga (limbah cair, seperti sisa mandi, MCK, sampah padatan seperti plastik, gelas, kaleng, batu
batere, sampah cair seperti detergen dan sampah organik, seperti sisa-sisa makanan dan sayuran).
Berdasarkan defisini dari pencemaran air, dapat diketahui bahwa penyebab pencemaran air dapat berupa
masuknya makhluk hidup, zat, energi ataupun komponen lain sehingga kualias air menurun dan air pun tercemar.
Banyak penyebab pencemaran air, tetapi secara umum dapat dikategorikan menjadi 2 (dua) yaitu sumber
kontaminan langsung dan dan tidak langsung.Sumber langsung meliputi efluen yang keluar industri, TPA sampah,
rumah tangga dan sebagainya.Sumber tak langsung adalah kontaminan yang memasuki badan air dari tanah, air
tanah atau atmosfir berupa hujan.Pada dasarnya sumber pencemaran air berasal dari industri, rumah tangga
(pemukiman) dan pertanian.Tanah dan air mengandung sisa dari aktifitas pertanian seperti pupuk dan
pestisida.Kontaminan dari atmosfir juga berasal dari aktifitas manusia yaitu pencemaran udara yang
menghasilkan hujan asam.
Selain itu pencemaran air dapat disebabkan oleh berbagai hal dan memiliki karakteristik yang berbeda-beda,
seperti :
Meningkatnya kandungan nutrien dapat mengarah pada eutrofikasi.
Sampah organik seperti air comberan (sewage) menyebabkan peningkatan kebutuhan oksigen pada air yang
menerimanya yang mengarah pada berkurangnya oksigen yang dapat berdampak parah terhadap seluruh
ekosistem.
Aktivitas industri membuang berbagai macam polutan ke dalam air limbahnya seperti logam
berat, toksin organik, minyak, nutrien dan padatan.
Air limbah tersebut memiliki efek thermal, terutama yang dikeluarkan oleh pembangkit listrik,
yang dapat juga mengurangi oksigen dalam air.
Seperti limbah pabrik yg mengalir ke sungai seperti di Sungai Citarum, Sungai Brantas,
Bengawan Solo, dan lainnya.
DAMPAK PENCEMARAN AIR
Komponen pencemaran air
Zaman sekarang ini manusia telah mengenal banyak sekali jenis-jenis zat kimia.Dan hampir 100.000 zat kimia
digunakan secara komersil.Sebagian besar sisa zat kimia tersebut dibuang ke badan air atau air tanah.Seperti
pestisida yang digunakan di pertanian, industri atau rumah tangga, deterjen yang digunakan di rumah tangga,
atau PCBs yang biasa digunakan dalam alat-alat elektronik.
1. Limbah Padat
Bahan buangan padat adalah bahan buangan yang berbentuk padat, baik yang kasar maupun yang halus,
misalnya sampah. Buangan tersebut bila dibuang ke air menjadi pencemaran dan akan menimbulkan pelarutan,
pengendapan ataupun pembentukan koloidal.
3. Limbah Anorganik
1. Fosfat. Fosfat berasal dari penggunaan pupuk buatan yang berlebihan dan deterjen.
2. Nitrat dan Nitrit. Kedua senyawa ini berasal dari penggunaan pupuk buatan yang berlebihan dan proses
pembusukan materi organic.
3. Poliklorin Bifenil (PCB). Senyawa ini berasal dari pemanfaatan bahan-bahan pelumas, plastik dan alat listrik.
4. Residu Pestisida Organiklorin. Residu ini berasal dari penyemprotan pestisida pada tanaman untuk
membunuh serangga.
5. Minyak dan Hidrokarbon. Minyak dan hidrokarbon dapat berasal dari kebocoran pada roda dan kapal
pengangkut minyak.
6. Radio Nuklida. Radio nuklida atau unsur radioaktif berasal dari kebocoran tangki penyimpanan limbah
radioaktif.
7. Logam-logam Berat. Logam berat berasal dari industri bahan kimia, penambangan dan bensin.
8. Limbah Pertanian. Limbah pertanian berasal dari kotoran hewan dan tempat penyimpanan makanan ternak.
9. Kotoran manusia. Kotoran manusia berasal dari saluran pembuangan tinja manusia.
Dengan semakin banyaknya zat organik yang dibuang ke lingkungan perairan, maka
perairan tersebut akan semakin tercemar yang biasanya ditandai dengan bau yang
menyengat disamping tumpukan yang dapat mengurangi estetika lingkungan.
Masalah limbah minyak atau lemak juga dapat mengurangi estetika lingkungan.
Untuk mencegah agar tidak terjadi pencemaran air, dalam aktivitas kita dalam memenuhi kebutuhan hidup
hendaknya tidak menambah terjadinya bahan pencemar antara lain tidak membuang sampah rumah tangga,
sampah rumah sakit, sampah/limbah industri secara sembarangan, tidak membuang ke dalam air sungai, danau
ataupun ke dalam selokan. Tidak menggunakan pupuk dan pestisida secara berlebihan, karena sisa pupuk dan
pestisida akan mencemari air di lingkungan tanah pertanian. Tidak menggunakan deterjen fosfat, karena senyawa
fosfat merupakan makanan bagi tanaman air seperti enceng gondok yang dapat menyebabkan terjadinya
pencemaran air.
Pencemaran air yang terjadi secara alami adalah adanya jumlah logam-logam berat yang masuk dan
menumpuk dalam tubuh manusia, logam berat ini dapat meracuni organ tubuh melalui pencernaan
karena tubuh memakan tumbuh-tumbuhan yang mengandung logam berat meskipun diperlukan
dalam jumlah kecil.
Penumpukan logam-logam berat ini terjadi dalam tumbuh-tumbuhan karena terkontaminasi oleh
limbah industri.
Untuk menanggulangi agar tidak terjadi penumpukan logam-logam berat, maka limbah industri
hendaknya dilakukan pengolahan sebelum dibuang ke lingkungan.
PENANGGULANGAN TERJADINYA PENCEMARAN AIR
Proses pencegahan terjadinya pencemaran lebih baik daripada proses penanggulangan terhadap pencemaran
yang telah terjadi.
Usaha-usaha tersebut dapat dilakukan, diantaranya melalui menjaga air tanah agar tetap bersih misalnya:
1. Menempatkan daerah industri atau pabrik jauh dari daerah perumahan atau pemukiman
2. Pembuangan limbah industri diatur sehingga tidak mencermari lingkungan atau ekosistem
3. Pengawasan terhadap penggunaan jenis–jenis pestisida dan zat–zat kimia lain yang dapat
menimbulkan pencemaran
4. Memperluas gerakan penghijauan
5. Tindakan tegas terhadap perilaku pencemaran lingkungan
6. Memberikan kesadaran terhadap masyaratkat tentang arti lingkungan hidup sehingga manusia lebih
lebih mencintai lingkungan hidupnya
7. Melakukan intensifikasi pertanian
Banyak orang mengatakan ” lebih baik mecegah dari pada mengatasi”, hal ini berlaku pula pada banjir genangan
di bawah ini ada sejumlah langkah yang dapat kita lakukan untuk mencegah banjir genangan :
1. Dalam merencanakan jalan – jalan lingkungan baik itu program pemerintah maupun swadaya masyarakat
sebaiknya memilih material jalan yang menyerap air misalnya, penggunaan bahan dari paving blok (blok –
blok adukan beton yang disusun dengan rongga – rongga resapan air disela–selanya. Hal yang tidak kalah
pentingnya adalah penataan saluran / drainase lingkungan pembuatannyapun harus bersamaan dengan
pembuatan jalan tersebut.
2. Apabila di halaman pekarangan rumah kita masih terdapat ruang – ruang terbuka, buatlah sumur–sumur
resapan air hujan sebanyak–banyaknya.
Fungsi sumur resapan air ini untuk mempercepat air meresap kedalam tanah. Dengan membuat sumur resapan air hujan tersebut,
sebenarnya kita dapat memperoleh manfaat Persediaan air bersih dalam tanah disekitar rumah kita yang cukup baik dan banyak
serta tanah bekas galian sumur dapat dipergunakan untuk menimbun lahan–lahan yang rendah atau meninggikan lantai rumah.
Apabila air hujan tidak tertampung dalam sebuah selokan – selokan rumah/talang – talang rumah, air dapat dialirkan kesumur –
sumur resapan. Janganlah membuang sampah atau mengeluarkan air limbah rumah tangga (air bekas mandi, cucian dan
sebagainya) kedalam sumur resapan air hujan karena bisa mencemarkan kandungan air tanah.
. Sedikit sekali penelitian yang mengungkapkan hubungan pengembangan kapasitas pembangkit dengan
persoalan lingkungan hidup terutama yang menyangkut buangan emisi gas pencemar yang menyebabkan
pemanasan global dan hujan asam.
Studi ini berkaitan dengan pendekatan alternatif untuk menetapkan kombinasi optimal jenis pembangkit untuk
rencana pengembangan pembangkit listrik sistem Jawa Bali dalam kerangka analisis keputusan multikriteria.
Secara konvensional proses optimalisai "energy mix problem" hanya dikaji sebagai problem keputusan berobjektif
tunggal yaitu sebagai "least cost optimisation".
Dalam studi ini, model optimasi dikembangkan dengan memperhatikan objektif majemuk yaitu aspek lingkungan
dan ekonomis. Bentuk model keputusan berupa pendekatan multiobjektif yang diselesaikan dengan methoda
deviasi. Dua fungsi objektif yang dipertimbangkan dalam pengembangan model yaitu optimasi efisiensi finansial
yang diukur dari minimalisasi biaya total dan minimalisasi emisi gas polutant akibat pembakaran dan
pemanfaatan energi untuk produksi tenaga listrik.
Model street canyon Johnson et al dan Hassan dan Crowther telah diaplikasikan untuk memprediksi
kadar karbon monoksida (CO) yang berasal dari emisi gas buang kendaraan bermotor di jalan
Tunjungan Surabaya.
Estimasi parameter dan validasi model dilakukan dengan menyesuai-kan model terhadap data pengukuran CO di
lapangan, kondisi meteorologi (kecepatan dan arah angin dominan) dan emisi sumber garis yang dihitung dari
volume lalu-lintas (komposisi dan kecepatan rata-rata kendaraan bermotor). Kedua model tidak dapat diterapkan
secara langsung kecuali dengan memasukkan faktor stabilitas atmosfir sehingga memberikan prediksi kada-r CO
yang lebih mendekati pengukuran lapangan.
Estimasi parameter dan validasi model Johnson et al dengan k=0,02 menghasilkan prediksi CO yang lebih
mendekati pengukuran lapangan pada hari Rabu 03/10/2001(E=66,50%, r=0,63, Sb=8,02 pada leeward side,
E=51,79%; r=0,75 dan Sb=5,10 pada windward side).
Model Hassan dan Crowther dengan kl=0,003, k2=0,3 dan k3=110 menghasilkan prediksi CO yang lebih
mendekati pengukuran lapangan pada hari Rabu 10/10/2001 (E=33,68%; r=0,64 dan Sb=2,08)
Pencemaran udara oleh kendaraan bermotor di DKI Jakarta telah melampaui batas standar dalam SK Gub.
1041/2000.
Penelitian dilakukan di Jalan MH. Thamrin DKI Jakarta dengan mengambil 3 (tiga) lokasi yang dianggap dapat
mewakili populasi. Pengambilan data primer meliputi jumlah dan jenis kendaraan, konsentrasi polutan serta
penyebaran kuesioner pada masyarakat. Metode statistic chi square, t-test dam anova digunakan untuk
mengolah dan menganalisis data.
Hasil penelitian ternyata tidak ada perbedaan jumlah dan jenis kendaraan secara proporsional
pada ketiga lokasi.
Korelasi yang signifikan terjadi antara variabel polutan (PM10, CO, SO2, dan NO), jumlah
kendaraan dan jenis penyakit yang dominan yang pernah diderita oleh masyarakat.
Variabel polutan yang dominan adalah PM10 (t-Test 58.60 dan P-Value 0.000), variabel jenis
penyakit yang dominan yang pernah diderita oleh masyarakat adalah sesak nafas (t-Test 51.50
dan P-Value 0.000) dan variabel jenis kendaraan yang dominan adalah minibus (t-Test 59,37 dan
P-Value 0.000).
Tingkat bahaya resiko di jalan MH. Thamrin DKI Jakarta dapat dikategorikan sebagai High Risk
(nilai dari analisa semi kuantitatif 496 dan aspek lingkungan signifikan 386.557)
Pencemaran udara merupakan keberadaan zat-zat yang mestinya bukan bagian dari komposisi atmosfer. Salah
satu faktor penyebab meningkatnya pencemaran udara adalah semakin meningkatnya populasi penduduk di
suatu tempat, terutama di kota-kota besar.
Berdasarkan estimasi, jumlah CO dari sumber buatan diperkirakan mendekati 60 juta ton per tahun. Separuh dari
jumlah ini berasal dari kendaraan bermotor yang menggunakan bahan bakar bensin dan sepertiganya berasal
dari sumber tidak bergerak seperti pembakaran batubara dan minyak dari industri dan pembakaran sampah
domestik. Didalam laporan WHO (1992) dinyatakan paling tidak 90% dari CO di udara perkotaan berasal dari
emisi kendaraan bermotor.
Pada penelitian ini penurunan gas pencemar CO dilakukan dengan memanfaatkan tanaman. Penelitian dilakukan
pada variasi jenis tanaman Lidah Mertua (Sansevieria sp.) dan Kembang Sepatu (Hibiscus rosa-sinensis).
Sedangkan variasi tinggi tanaman yang dilakukan adalah 50 cm dan 100 cm. Gas pencemar yang dipaparkan
terhadap tanaman uji merupakan pencemar buatan yang diperoleh melalui pemanasan Natrium Format ditambah
dengan Asam Sulfat pekat. Pengukuran kandungan gas CO dalam reaktor menggunakan tabung impinger
dengan metode spektrofotometri. Tanaman yang dipilih adalah jenis tanaman yang memiliki persentase
penyisihan terbesar dalam penurunan konsentrasi gas CO.
Pada penelitian ini diperoleh data primer dan sekunder, dimana data primer diperoleh dari survey. Data sekunder
berupa jumlah rumah tangga yang ada di rusun, apartemen, ruko, R1, R2 dan R3 di Surabaya sesuai dengan
data dari dinas terkait. Faktor emisi CO2 yang diperoleh dari IPCC (2006), dan dari penelitian sebelumnya.
Perhitungan seluruh energi yang dikonsumsi dan menghasilkan emisi CO2 Perhitungan emisi CO disebut carbon
footprint menggunakan persamaan LEAP.
Hasil analisa diperoleh emisi CO yang dihasilkan dari bahan bakar rumah tangga dan
penggunaan listrik di tingkat permukiman primer yang dihasilkan dari kegiatan
permukiman di Surabaya tahun 2010 adalah 1.938.617 tonCO2/tahun, sedangkan emisi
CO2 sekunder yang dihasilkan adalah 10.379.926,60 tonCO2/tahun, dan untuk total
emisi CO2 adalah 12.318.543,6 tonCO2/tahun.
Emisi CO2 primer yang dihasilkan dari kegiatan permukiman di Surabaya berdasarkan
jenis perumahan tahun 2011 adalah 272.287,7 tonCO2/tahun, sedangkan emisi CO2
sekunder yang dihasilkan adalah 2.106.577 tonCO2/tahun, dan untuk total emisi CO2
adalah 2.378.865,16 tonCO2/tahun.
Dalam mewujudkan tujuan Pembangunan Lingkungan Hidup khususnya kualitas lingkungan udara
di kota Surabaya .
Pemerintah kota Surabaya dalam hal ini Dinas Lingkungan Hidup kota Surabaya mempunyai
peranan yang sangat penting disamping peranan swasta dan masyarakat.
Dengan menggunakan metode AHP ( Analytical Hierarchy Process ) maka dapat di tentukan
prioritas program kegiatan untuk menanggulangi pencemaran udara di kota Surabaya.
Surabaya sebagai kota metropolitan, memiliki tingkat pergerakan internal dan eksternal penduduk yang tinggi
dengan transportasi umum massal yang kurang memadai, menyebabkan terjadinya penggunaan moda
transportasi pribadi yang tinggi dan berpotensi menimbulkan dampak terhadap masyarakat. Koridor Jalan Ahmad
Yani dan Wonokromo adalah jalan arteri yang menjadi salah satu jalan terpadat di Surabaya.
Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengkaji prediksi pola penyebaran CO yang berasal dari kegiatan transportasi
dengan melihat perbedaan tren penyebaran CO pada tahun 2009 dan 2010, dalam dua musim yaitu musim hujan
dan musim kemarau. Penyebaran CO disimulasikan dengan menggunakan model Caline4 sebagai model yang
sesuai dalam memprediksi penyebaran CO yang bersifat line source. Pada penelitian ini, model Caline4
digunakan untuk menetapkan konsentrasi CO pada masing-masing titip reseptor. Nilai dari titik reseptor
disimulasikan untuk mendapatkan isopleth yang mampu menggambarkan pola konsentrasi penyebaran CO.
Setelah diketahui isopleth penyebaran CO, kemudian dilakukan kajian secara spasial dengan melihat tingkat
kepadatan penduduk, pola penggunaan lahan, dan tingkat konsentrasi penyebaran CO. Kajian secara spasial
menggunakan batas administatif kecamatan yang terdiri dari Kecamatan Gayungan, Kecamatan Wonocolo, dan
Kecamatan Wonokromo sebagai batasan sistem pemerintahan terkecil.
Hasil penelitian adalah prediksi penyebaran CO kawasan terdampak pada koridor Jalan Ahmad Yani
dan Wonokromo yang memiliki tingkat konsentrasi CO dalam skala tinggi, sedang, dan rendah.
Semakin tinggi tingkat konsentrasi CO menunjukkan bahwa kawasan tersebut merupakan kawasan
dengan prioritas penanganan utama. Dari penyebaran CO secara spasial, kemudian ditentukan konsep
penanganan pada sumber dampak dan kawasan terdampak.
Konsep penanganan yang direkomendasikan pada sumber dampak berupa penyediaan Sistem
Angkutan Umum Massal dan pada kawasan terdampak berupa konsep yang memperhatikan penataan
fisik bangunan dan ketersediaan RTH di wilayah studi.
Program-program mitigasi pencemaran udara di Kota Surabaya belum diketahui efektivitas pelaksanaannya
dalam menurunkan kadar CO2 karena belum ada penelitian tentang pengaruh perilaku masyarakat terhadap
program mitigasi pencemaran udara.
Oleh karena itu, perlu dilakukan penelitian ini yang bertujuan untuk menentukan pengaruh perilaku masyarakat
terhadap program mitigasi pencemaran udara, menghitung efektifitas program mitigasi terhadap kadar CO2
secara total serta mengkaji upaya mitigasi yang paling banyak dan efektif dilakukan oleh masyarakat.
Penelitian ini dilakukan berdasarkan survey kuesioner pada 100 responden yang terbagi atas 31 kecamatan di
Surabaya. Program-program mitigasi yang diteliti adalah: konversi LPG (Liquid Petroleum Gas), konversi biosolar,
car free day, Pengujian emisi dan Perawatan kendaaraan bermotor secara berkala (sistem P dan P), komposting
serta pengurangan pemakaian plastik. Analisa yang dilakukan menggunakan metode analisis korelasi.
Salah satu sumber dari pencemaran udara adalah partikulat. Partikulat ini berdiameter kurang dari sepuluh mikron (PM10). Kawasan
di Surabaya yang potensial konsentrasi partikulatnya tinggi (PM10) adalah di sekitar RSU Dr. Soetomo. Hal ini karena RSU Dr.
Soetomo memiliki insinerator yang tidak dilengkapi dengan alat pengendali udara dan kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo merupakan
kawasan dengan aktivitas transportasi yang tinggi. Pencemaran partikulat yang melebihi standar baku mutu udara ambien dapat
membahayakan kesehatan.
Tujuan penelitian ini memetakan konsentrasi partikulat di kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo dan menganalisis pengaruh dari aktivitas
transportasi dan aktivitas insinerator.
Penelitian dilakukan dengan melakukan sampling udara ambien serta pengambilan beberapa data primer pada 30 titik sampling di
kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo Surabaya. Alat yang digunakan yaitu HVS (High Volume Sampler) dan Haz Dust. Penelitian ini dilakukan
di dalam kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo dan di luar kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo dengan pengambilan sampel pada waktu pagi, sore dan
malam hari. Parameter yang diukur adalah PM10 dan hasil analisis akan dipetakan menggunakan Surfer 8. Padatnya aktivitas
kendaraan bermotor di kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo menyebabkan tingginya konsentrasi PM10 pada beberapa titik sampling
sehingga melebihi baku mutu udara. Konsentrasi PM10 tertinggi pada pagi hari di Jalan Airlangga dimana tingkat konsentrasi PM10
mencapai angka 211,363 μg/m3 dengan total jumlah kendaraan mencapai 4929 kendaraan. Pada sore hari konsentrasi PM10
tertinggi terdapat di Jalan Karang Menjangan dimana tingkat konsentrasi partikulat mencapai angka 325,458 μg/m3 dengan total
jumlah kendaraan mencapai 1177 kendaraan.
Hasil penelitian di dalam kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo menunjukkan kondisi udara ambien yang bersih. Hal ini
ditunjukkan dengan konsentrasi partikulat yang kecil yaitu di bawah standar baku mutu udara ambien. Selain
berdasarkan hasil pengukuran di wilayah studi juga dilakukan perhitungan menurut Hukum Gauss dari cerobong
insinerator RSU Dr. Soetomo.
Berdasarkan Hukum Gauss di beberapa lokasi sampling ada yang melebihi standar baku mutu udara ambien dan
berbeda dengan hasil pengukuran langsung.
Hal ini terjadi karena di kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo terdapat barier yaitu pohon-pohon angsana dan taman yang
dapat menyerap PM10 serta adanya bangunan yang dapat membelokkan arah angin. Kondisi ini mempengaruhi
penyebaran partikulat di dalam kawasan RSU Dr. Soetomo Surabaya.
Transportasi merupakan salah satu penyumbang terbesar dalam penghasil emisi pencemar. Salah satunya
adalah SO2. SO2 ini dihasilkan oleh kendaraan bermotor dari campuran bahan bakar yang dapat menyebabkan
penyakit jika terendap dalam tubuh manusia. Penelitian dilakukan di Jl. Gayungsari Barat yaitu di kawasan
Surabaya Selatan dengan jumlah kendaraan bermotor cukup tinggi.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat apakah model DFLS ini bisa diaplikasikan dalam penghitungan emisi
khususnya SO2. Tahap pertama yaitu melakukan counting kendaraan bermotor di jalan tersebut. Lalu dihitung
beban emisi dengan mengalikan jumlah kendaraan tersebut dengan faktor emisi dari Suhadi. Selanjutnya dapat
dihitung konsentrasi pencemar SO2 dengan memperhatikan arah angin, kecepatan angin, dan juga intensitas
matahari. Hal ini diperoleh dari BLH sehingga didapat nilai parameter dari Pasquil. Sehingga dapat dihitung
konsentrasi SO2 dan memproyeksikan 10 tahun ke depan.
Hasil analisis studi awal menunjukkan bahwa hari Rabu, Jum'at, Sabtu dan Minggu adalah hari yang signifikan
dalam menunjukkan tingginya konsentrasi CO. Jam yang signifikan dalam menunjukkan tinggi rendahnya
konsentrasi CO adalah jam 10.00-11.00, 15.00-16.00 dan 19.00-20.00.
Hasil pemeriksaan contoh udara : konsentrasi CO pada hari Rabu dan Jum'at, pada jam 10.00-11.00 minimal 0
ppm, maksimal 16,9 ppm ; jam 15.00 -16.00 minimal 16,9 ppm, maksimal 38,49 ppm dan pada jam 19.00-20.00
minimal 3,82 ppm, maksimal 44,41 ppm . Untuk hari Sabtu dan Minggu konsentrasi CO pada jam 10.00 - J 1.00
minimal 1,22 ppm, maksimal 43,55 ppm, pada jam 15.00 -16.00 minimal 4,32 ppm maksimal 102,5 ppm.
Hasil analisis statistik menunjukkan bahwa tingginya konsentrasi CO dipengaruhi oleh jam pengamatan dan
ketinggian lantai yang berbeda. Strategi pengendaliannya adalah perlu pemasangan local exhaust, perlu
penambahan udara bersih, perlu pengaturan lalu lintas di tempat parkir dan mengefektifkan serta memperhatikan
program kerja yang ada di Fire Safety Office.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pola penyebaran polutan konservatif dan kualitas air air di pesisir Timur
Sidoarjo jika air lumpur dialirkan melalui saluran pembuangan (pipa) ke laut.
Pemodelan ini menggunakan software SMS (Surface Water Modelling System) dengan modul RMA 2 untuk
memodelkan arus dan modul RMA 4 untuk memodelkan polutan. Pemodelan polutan dibuat 3 model dengan
posisi pembuangan air lumpur (pipa) yang berbeda. Parameter polutan yang dipakai yaitu polutan konservatif
dengan mengambil logam Pb dan Hg. Polutan lainnya yang dimodelkan yaitu minyak. Untuk mengetahui tingkat
pencemaran hasil pemodelan polutan tersebut akan dibandingkan dengan baku mutu air laut menurut Kepmen
LH No.51 Tahun 2004. Berdasarkan hasil pemodelan, pola penyebaran polutan menunjukkan kenaikan
konsentrasi secara logaritmik dengan model 3 (posisi pipa di tengah perairan) sebagai model dengan penyebaran
konsentrasi terkecil pada setiap jam.
Hasil analisa kualitas air di Pesisir Timur Sidoarjo ternyata berada di luar ambang batas untuk parameter logam
Pb (tercemar logam Pb) minimum di jam ke 30 pada model 2 (posisi pipa di 3 titik pada muara Sungai Porong)
dan maksimum di jam ke 57 pada model 3 (posisi pipa di tengah perairan), dan di luar ambang batas untuk
parameter logam Hg (tercemar logam Hg) minimum di jam ke 240 pada model 2 dan maksimum di jam ke 1968
pada model 3 jika pembuangan air lumpur dilakukan secara kontinu dengan debit 10 m3/s.
Badan sungai yang telah dimasuki oleh polutan cair akan membentuk suatu pola penyebaran.
Pola penyebaran tersebut dapat diketahui dengan menggunakan Model Hidrodinamika Penyebaran Polutan di
Sungai (HP2S). Model HP2S diperoleh dengan mengembangkan suatu persamaan yang diperoleh dari
persamaan kontinuitas dan persamaan momentum. Kemudian persamaan yang diperoleh diselesaikan dengan
menggunakan metode numerik, yaitu metode Leap Frog, karena metode ini mudah dan perumusannya exsplisit.
Oleh karena exsplisit ini maka perlu dicari stabilitas, konsistensi & konvergensi dari metode ini.
Metode ini dikatakan stabil jika bilangan courant-nya kurang dari satu, yaitu dapat dipenuhi apabila perbandingan
antara piasan waktu dan jarak adalah kurang dari satu perkecepatan. Demikian juga dengan konsistensi dan
konvergensinya bahwa model tersebut terbukti konsisten dan memiliki penyelesaian yang selalu konvergen.
Kemudian penyelesaian dan persamaan diatas diselesaikan dengan perhitungan menggunakan Matlab.
Hasil analisa laboratorium menunjukkan keempat sungai tersebut mengalami pencemaran bahan organik BOD
dan logam berat Cu (PP Kota Surabaya No. 3 tahun 2004). Di perairan pantai terjadi pencemaran logam berat
Cu. Konsentrasi BOD di perairan pantai masih di bawah baku mutu KepMen LH No. 51 tahun 2004. Sedangkan
logam berat Pb tidak ditemui di sungai maupun di perairan pantai.
Daya dukung lingkungan Pantai Kenjeran dianalisa dengan menggunakan software SMS. Hasil running
menunjukkan bahwa untuk polutan BOD masih belum dapat digunakan sebagai acuan dalam penentuan daya
dukung. Untuk polutan Cu dengan variasi beban pencemaran yang paling rendah, menunjukkan di atas baku
mutu air laut. Sedangkan untuk polutan Pb dengan variasi beban pencemaran yang paling rendah, menunjukkan
di bawah baku mutu air laut.
Alternatif pengendalian pencemaran pantai dan laut dapat dilakukan melalui instrumen ekologi, teknologi,
ekonomi, sosial-budaya dan pendidikan, dan hukum dan ditindak lanjuti dengan monitoring.
Quantitative ecology is the application of advanced mathematical and statistical tools to any number of problems
in the field of ecology. It is a small but growing subfield in ecology, reflecting the demand among practicing
ecologists to interpret ever larger and more complex data sets using quantitative reasoning.
Quantitative ecologists might apply some combination of deterministic or stochastic mathematical models to
theoretical questions or they might use sophisticated methods in applied statistics for experimental design and
hypothesis testing.
Typical problems in quantitative ecology include estimating the dynamics and status of wild populations, modeling
the impacts of anthropogenic or climatic change on ecological communities, and predicting the spread of invasive
species or disease outbreaks.
A mathematical model is a description of a system using mathematical concepts and language. The process of
developing a mathematical model is termed mathematical modelling.
Mathematical models are used not only in the natural sciences (such as physics, biology, earth science,
meteorology) and engineering disciplines (e.g. computer science, artificial intelligence), but also in the social
sciences (such as economics, psychology, sociology and political science); physicists, engineers, statisticians,
operations research analysts and economists use mathematical models most extensively. A model may help to
explain a system and to study the effects of different components, and to make predictions about behaviour.
Mathematical models can take many forms, including but not limited to dynamical systems, statistical models,
differential equations, or game theoretic models.
These and other types of models can overlap, with a given model involving a variety of abstract structures. In
general, mathematical models may include logical models, as far as logic is taken as a part of mathematics.
In many cases, the quality of a scientific field depends on how well the
mathematical models developed on the theoretical side agree with results
of repeatable experiments.
Lack of agreement between theoretical mathematical models and
experimental measurements often leads to important advances as better
theories are developed.
Many everyday activities carried out without a thought are uses of mathematical models. A geographical map
projection of a region of the earth onto a small, plane surface is a model which can be used for many purposes
such as planning travel.
Another simple activity is predicting the position of a vehicle from its initial position, direction and speed of travel,
using the equation that distance travelled is the product of time and speed.
This is known as dead reckoning when used more formally. Mathematical modelling in this way does not
necessarily require formal mathematics; animals have been shown to use dead reckoning.
Model of a particle in a potential-field. In this model we consider a particle as being a point of mass
which describes a trajectory in space which is modeled by a function giving its coordinates in space
as a function of time.
The potential field is given by a function V : R3 → R and the trajectory is a solution of the differential
equation.
Note this model assumes the particle is a point mass, which is certainly known to be false in many
cases in which we use this model; for example, as a model of planetary motion.
In this model we assume a consumer faces a choice of n commodities labeled 1,2,...,n each with a market price
p1, p2,..., pn.
The consumer is assumed to have a cardinal utility function U (cardinal in the sense that it assigns numerical
values to utilities), depending on the amounts of commodities x1, x2,..., xn consumed. The model further assumes
that the consumer has a budget M which is used to purchase a vector x1, x2,..., xn in such a way as to maximize
U(x1, x2,..., xn). The problem of rational behavior in this model then becomes an optimization problem, that is:
subject to:
This model has been used in general equilibrium theory, particularly to show existence and Pareto efficiency of
economic equilibria. However, the fact that this particular formulation assigns numerical values to levels of
satisfaction is the source of criticism (and even ridicule). However, it is not an essential ingredient of the theory
and again this is an idealization.
A population is all the organisms that both belong to the same group or species and live in the same
geographical area. In ecology the population of a certain species in a certain area is estimated using the Lincoln
Index. The area that is used to define a sexual population is such that inter-breeding is possible between any pair
within the area and more probable than cross-breeding with individuals from other areas. Normally breeding is
substantially more common within the area than across the border.
In sociology, population refers to a collection of human beings. Demography is a social science which entails the
statistical study of human populations. This article refers mainly to human population.
Population growth is the change in a population over time, and can be quantified as the change in the number of
individuals of any species in a population using "per unit time" for measurement. In biology, the term population
growth is likely to refer to any known organism, but this article deals mostly with the application of the term to
human populations in demography.
In demography, population growth is used informally for the more specific term population growth rate (see
below), and is often used to refer specifically to the growth of the human population of the world.
The most common way to express population growth is as a percentage, not as a rate. The change
in population over a unit time period is expressed as a percentage of the population at the
beginning of the time period. That is:
For small time periods and growth rates, the added population is the growth rate multiplied by the time period.
A positive growth ratio (or rate) indicates that the population is increasing, while a negative growth ratio indicates the
population is decreasing. A growth ratio of zero indicates that there were the same number of people at the two times
-- net difference between births, deaths a growth rate may be zero even when there are significant changes in the
birth rates, death rates, immigration rates, and age distribution between the two times. Equivalently, percent death
rate = the average number of deaths in a year for every 100 people in the total population.
If the length of the time is taken smaller and smaller, the PGR approaches the logarithmic derivative of the population
function P. If the population as a function of time is exponential, say P(t) = Ceat, the logarithmic derivative is a. Thus,
the PGR approximates the exponent a for populations with exponential growth.
A related measure is the net reproduction rate. In the absence of migration, a net reproduction rate of more than one
indicates that the population of women is increasing, while a net reproduction rate less than one (sub-replacement
fertility) indicates that the population of women is decreasing.
PERTUMBUHAN EKSPONENSIAL
Exponential growth (including exponential decay when the growth rate is negative)
occurs when the growth rate of the value of a mathematical function is proportional to
the function's current value. In the case of a discrete domain of definition with equal
intervals it is also called geometric growth or geometric decay (the function values
form a geometric progression).
The formula for exponential growth of a variable x at the (positive or negative) growth
rate r, as time t goes on in discrete intervals (that is, at integer times 0, 1, 2, 3, ...), is:
Xt = X0 (1+r)t
where is the value of x at time 0. For example, with a growth rate of r = 5% = 0.05, going
from any integer value of time to the next integer causes x at the second time to be 1.05
times (i.e., 5% larger than) what it was at the previous time.
The exponential growth model is also known as the Malthusian growth model.
Human population, if the number of births and deaths per person per year were to remain at current
levels (but also see logistic growth). For example, according to the United States Census Bureau,
over the last 100 years (1910 to 2010), the population of the United States of America is
exponentially increasing at an average rate of one and a half percent a year (1.5%). This means
that the doubling time
Sumber: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_growth….. Diunduh 19/4/2012
FUNGSI LOGISTIK
A logistic function or logistic curve is a common sigmoid curve, given its name in 1844 or 1845 by Pierre François
Verhulst who studied it in relation to population growth. A Generalized logistic curve can model the "S-shaped" behaviour
(abbreviated S-curve) of growth of some population P. The initial stage of growth is approximately exponential; then, as
saturation begins, the growth slows, and at maturity, growth stops.
P(t) = 1 / (1 + e-t)
where the variable P might be considered to denote a population, where e is Euler's number and the variable t
might be thought of as time. For values of t in the range of real numbers from −∞ to +∞, the S-curve shown is
obtained. In practice, due to the nature of the exponential function e−t, it is sufficient to compute t over a small
range of real numbers such as [−6, +6].
Regresi logistik juga digunakan secara luas pada bidang kedokteran dan ilmu sosial, maupun
pemasaran seperti prediksi kecenderungan pelanggan untuk membeli suatu produk atau berhenti
berlangganan.
The logistic function is the solution of the simple first-order non-linear differential equation:
where P is a variable with respect to time t and with boundary condition P(0) = 1/2. This equation is the continuous version
of the logistic map.
The qualitative behavior is easily understood in terms of the phase line: the derivative is 0 at P = 0 or 1 and the derivative is
positive for P between 0 and 1, and negative for P above 1 or less than 0 (though negative populations do not generally
accord with a physical model). This yields an unstable equilibrium at 0, and a stable equilibrium at 1, and thus for any value
of P greater than 0 and less than 1, P grows to 1.
Choosing the constant of integration ec = 1 gives the other well-known form of the definition of the logistic curve:
More quantitatively, as can be seen from the analytical solution, the logistic curve shows early exponential growth for
negative t, which slows to linear growth of slope 1/4 near t = 0, then approaches y = 1 with an exponentially decaying gap.
The logistic function is the inverse of the natural logit function and so can be used to convert the logarithm of odds into a
probability; the conversion from the log-likelihood ratio of two alternatives also takes the form of a logistic curve.
The logistic sigmoid function is related to the hyperbolic tangent, A.p. by:
ECOLOGY POPULATION GROWTH
. A typical application of the logistic equation is a common model of population growth, originally due to Pierre-François Verhulst in
1838, where the rate of reproduction is proportional to both the existing population and the amount of available resources, all else
being equal. The Verhulst equation was published after Verhulst had read Thomas Malthus' An Essay on the Principle of Population.
Verhulst derived his logistic equation to describe the self-limiting growth of a biological population. The equation is also sometimes
called the Verhulst-Pearl equation following its rediscovery in 1920. Alfred J. Lotka derived the equation again in 1925, calling it the
law of population growth.
Letting P represent population size (N is often used in ecology instead) and t represent time, this model is formalized by the
differential equation:
where the constant r defines the growth rate and K is the carrying capacity.
In the equation, the early, unimpeded growth rate is modeled by the first term +rP. The value of the rate r represents the proportional
increase of the population P in one unit of time. Later, as the population grows, the second term, which multiplied out is −rP2/K,
becomes larger than the first as some members of the population P interfere with each other by competing for some critical resource,
such as food or living space. This antagonistic effect is called the bottleneck, and is modeled by the value of the parameter K. The
competition diminishes the combined growth rate, until the value of P ceases to grow (this is called maturity of the population).
Dividing both sides of the equation by K gives
Where:
Which is to say that K is the limiting value of P: the highest value that the population can reach given infinite time (or come close to
Sumber:
reaching in finite time). It is important to stress ….. Diunduh
that the carrying 19/4/2012reached independently of the initial value
capacity is asymptotically
GOMPERTZ FUNCTION
A Gompertz curve or Gompertz function, named after Benjamin Gompertz, is a sigmoid function. It is a type of
mathematical model for a time series, where growth is slowest at the start and end of a time period. The right-
hand or future value asymptote of the function is approached much more gradually by the curve than the left-hand
or lower valued asymptote, in contrast to the logistic function in which both asymptotes are approached by the
curve symmetrically.
Formula:
where
a is the upper asymptote, since
b, c are negative numbers
b sets the x displacement
c sets the growth rate (x scaling)
e is Euler's Number (e = 2.71828...)
Graphs of Gompertz curves, showing the effect of varying one of a,b,c while keeping the others constant : Varying a
Logistic regression is a generalized linear model, specifically a type of binomial regression. It is often compared
with probit regression, the other main type of binomial regression, which transforms the probability using the
probit function (the quantile function of the normal distribution) rather than the logit function. Both functions have
a similar shape, and both serve to transform the limited range of a probability, restricted to the range , into the full
range , which makes the transformed value more suitable for fitting using a linear function. The effect of both
functions is to transform the middle of the probability range (near 50%) more or less linearly, while stretching out
the extremes (near 0% or 100%) exponentially.
The logistic function, with z on the horizontal axis and ƒ(z) on the vertical axis
A graph of the function is shown in figure 1. The input is z and the output is ƒ(z). The logistic function is useful because
it can take as an input any value from negative infinity to positive infinity, whereas the output is confined to values
between 0 and 1. The variable z represents the exposure to some set of independent variables, while ƒ(z) represents
the probability of a particular outcome, given that set of explanatory variables. The variable z is a measure of the total
contribution of all the independent variables used in the model and is known as the logit.
where is called the "intercept" and , , , and so on, are called the "regression coefficients" of , , respectively.
The intercept is the value of z when the value of all independent variables are zero (e.g. the value of z in someone with
no risk factors).
Each of the regression coefficients describes the size of the contribution of that risk factor.
A positive regression coefficient means that the explanatory variable increases the probability of the outcome, while a
negative regression coefficient means that the variable decreases the probability of that outcome; a large regression
coefficient means that the risk factor strongly influences the probability of that outcome, while a near-zero regression
coefficient means that that risk factor has little influence on the probability of that outcome.
Logistic regression is a useful way of describing the relationship between one or more independent variables (e.g., age,
sex, etc.) and a binary response variable, expressed as a probability, that has only two values, such as having cancer
("has cancer" or "doesn't have cancer") .
The Cause & Effect (CE) diagram, also sometimes called the ‘fishbone’ diagram, is a tool for discovering all the
possible causes for a particular effect. The effect being examined is normally some troublesome aspect of product
or service quality, such as 'a machined part not to specification', 'delivery times varying too widely', 'excessive
number of bugs in software under development', and so on, but the effect may also relate to internal processes
such as 'high rate of team failures'.
The major purpose of the CE Diagram is to act as a first step in problem solving by generating a comprehensive
list of possible causes. It can lead to immediate identification of major causes and point to the potential remedial
actions or, failing this, it may indicate the best potential areas for further exploration and analysis. At a minimum,
preparing a CE Diagram will lead to greater understanding of the problem.
The CE Diagram was invented by Professor Kaoru Ishikawa of Tokyo University, a highly regarded Japanese
expert in quality management. He first used it in 1943 to help explain to a group of engineers at Kawasaki Steel
Works how a complex set of factors could be related to help understand a problem. CE Diagrams have since
become a standard tool of analysis in Japan and in the West in conjunction with other analytical and problem-
solving tools and techniques.
CE Diagrams are also often called Ishikawa Diagrams, after their inventor,
or Fishbone Diagrams because the diagram itself can look like the
skeleton of a fish.
For example, you may just have completed an investigation of all the reasons recorded for goods being returned
by customers and found that the highest incidence relates to incorrect goods being sent. A CE Diagram can be
constructed to explore the possible causes for this.
The purpose of the case study (the River Cam in eastern England) is that it illustrates a certain viewpoint on the
modeling process. The modeling process can be separated into the following :
This type of CE
Diagram is often easier
to construct and
understand because
those involved are
already familiar with
each of the production
steps identified.
What it is:
Graphically illustrates the relationship
between a given outcome and all the
factors that influence this outcome.
Sometimes called an Ishikawa or
“fishbone" diagram, it helps show the
relationship of the parts (and subparts)
to the whole by:
• Determining the factors that cause a
positive or negative outcome (or
effect)
• Focusing on a specific issue without
resorting to complaints and irrelevant
discussion
• Determining the root causes of a given
effect
• Identifying areas where there is a lack of
data
. Cause and Effect Analysis One of the pig farm selected in Nakhon Pathom Province of Thailand can be
mapped out in the process of farming (Figure 1) . To determine the causes of bad odor, the sources of odor in the
farm had to be investigated by a walk through survey and by interviewing the farmers. After analyzing the data,
the cause and effect diagrams were shown (Figure 2) in four major categories.
Material
Type of food which caused the odor in the farm or effected to a digestive system of the pig which changed the volume
and characteristic of defecated waste. Unlimited number of pigs in each pigsty made overcrowded and raised the
problem of waste load.
Equipment
Poor ventilation and air quality inside pig buildings could effect the way to eliminate the odor level and to health. No
slope and unsmooth surface in the pigsty made difficult to remove or scrape the manure to the treatment plant.
Procedure
Feeding frequency and technique could effect the excess amount of waste load. High water usage in cleaning and
APPLICATION OF POLLUTION PREVENTION
To cope with the odor problem, the farmer chose biogas production technology to prevent the pollution which will
be described as follows: There are two buildings in the farm, one for 100 sows and another one for 150 piglets.
The building for sow is designed with entire slotted floor. Beneath the floor there is a concrete slab floor with a
sloping gutter, along the two sides of the floor serving as the collecting device for the waste as it is scraped or
washed form the floor. The building for piglet is a solid concrete slab floor unit in which 100% is under the roof
constructed of wood. There are also sloping gutters along two sides of the floor.
All manure and waste from the two buildings are scraped and washed every 2 days. The waste empties into the
gutters running to the 30 m of fixed dome Thai-German biogas plant. The plant is approximately 50 meters away
from the farm and household.
Biogas production technology is anaerobic bacteria decomposition of animal manures conducted to yield
approximately 60% methane. The study showed that one kilogram of pig manure can produce 100 liters of
methane gas per day
The gas can be directly burnt as a fuel for a variety of purposes of household activities and farming, for example,
cooking, brooding the litter, fueling of internal combustion engines to generate electricity for pumping and lighting.
In addition, liquid effluent and well-digested sludge generally do not have the offensive odor of decomposing
sludge. They can be used as fertilizers for 1,600 m, 1,600 m and 400 m of growing land of Chinese celery, collard
and Chinese convolvulus, respectively.
The cost for constructing 30 m of the plant can be calculated and identified in three items, as follow: Construction
material costBaht 34,265.0 Labor costBaht 31,955.0 Gas pipeline & equipment costBaht 2,541.0 Total
costBaht 68,761.0
The benefits possibly achieved beyond biogas production can be identified into two ways.
The key question is determining "sufficient complexity" of the model to meet the stated goal for model application.
Broadly speaking, complexity is interpreted as the number of state variables and the goal is the response of the
ecological system--e.g., phytoplankton growth--to a change in nutrient input loadlngs.
In order to confer a quantitative value to "sufficient complexity", the concept of ecological buffer capacity is
introduced.
We can intuitively relate such a concept to the stated goal of the modeling exercise, and formally ecological buffer
capacity can be expressed and computed in terms of the exergy of the ecological system. More precisely, exergy,
the mechanical energy equivalent of distance from thermodynamic equilibrium, is found to be correlated with
ecological buffer capacity.
The contribution of each state variable to the total exergy is calculated from given field observations and selection
may be made between those variables that make a significant contribution and those that do not. For example,
from this kind of analysis of a eutrophication model one concludes that sediment is significant but the division of
zooplankton into two classes is not significant.
Notice here, however, that the analyst is once again involved in a subjective judgment on the required level of
model complexity: he must make a decision on what is and what is not significant.
Water pollution can be controlled in the multiple ways. It is best controlled by the dilution of water. The
pollutants must be treated chemically and must be converted into the non toxic substances. The low level of
radioactive wastes in the water is removed by the oxidation of ponds. There are certain chemicals which act on
the organic insecticide and are used in the pesticide.
There are different techniques which are very helpful in the process of thermal pollution and involve the cooling,
evaporation, water cooling; cooling can be wet or dry. Their main aim is to keep the water cool in rivers and
streams. The shallow ponds must be used to store the domestic and industrial wastes. One must avoid the
large ponds. The waste has a presence of sunlight and organic nutrients which may lead to the larger growth of
bacteria which act on the waste matter. The reclaimed polluted water can be used in making fertilizers as it is
rich in phosphorous, potassium and nitrogen. It can also be used for the irrigation and factories purposes.
The proper sewage treatment plans play a crucial role in the reclaimed polluted water. There must be a law
which ensures that the industries must treat the waste before the water is discharged into the rivers and seas.
The polluted water can be treated by the use of a plant known as water hyacinth which is also referred as
kaloli. It deals with the biological and chemical waste. The heavy metals are also removed by it.
Incinerating waste also causes problems, because plastics tend to produce toxic substances, such as dioxins,
when they are burnt. Gases from incineration may cause air pollution and contribute to acid rain, while the ash
from incinerators may contain heavy metals and other toxins. Because of these problems there are active
campaigns against waste incineration. Greenpeace actively worked on these issues and some information,
including a map of UK waste incinerators, can be found by searching the Greenpeace website for waste
incineration. However, burning waste can generate energy and there are operational schemes.
The Renewable Energy Association website provides more information including a map of biomass and
energy from waste projects.
Throwing away things wastes resources. It wastes the raw materials and energy used in making the items
and it wastes money.
Reducing waste means less environmental impact, less resources and energy used and saves money.
• The term non-point source encompasses a large range of sources such as:
– when rain or snow moves through the ground and picks up pollutants as it moves towards a major body of
water
– the runoff of fertilizers from farm animals and crop land
– air pollutants getting washed or deposited to earth
– storm water drainage from lawns, parking lots, and streets
• When the floodwater recede, deposits of silt are left behind, creating a nutrient-rich soil.
PeNDUDUK menempati lembah sungai karena beberapa alasan :
1. Tanahnya subur
2. Cukup air untuk irigasi
3. Lahan datar cocok untuk pertanian
4. Menggunakan aliran sungai untuk transportasi
Akan tetapi, setiap tahun banjir (“bencana alam”) mengakibatkan kematian banyak orang & kerugian material
berjuta dolar.
Kegiatan manusia telah mengakibatkan peningkatan frekuensi banjir yg secara dramatis meningkatkan kematian dan
PENCEMARAN UDARA
Since 1996, the National Environmental Research Institute (NERI), Denmark, has developed a
comprehensive and unique integrated air pollution model system, THOR. The model system includes several
meteorological and air pollution models capable of operating for different applications and different scales.
The system is capable of accurate and high resolution three-days forecasting of weather and air pollution from
regional scale over urban background scale and down to individual street canyons in cities - on both sides of
the streets. Coupling models over different scales makes it possible to account for contributions from local,
near-local as well as remote emission sources in order to describe the air quality at a specific location - e.g. in
a street canyon or in a park. The system is used in connection with the urban and background monitoring
programs in Denmark. Furthermore, the system can be used to forecast air pollution from accidental releases
as e.g. power plants, industrial sites and natural or human made fires.
The main purposes of the THOR system are forecasting, nowcasting, emission reduction scenarios,
retrospective analyses and air pollution assessments and management. The system can be used for
information and warning of the public in cases of high air pollution levels and for policy management (e.g. by
emission reduction or traffic scenarios) of many different chemical compounds.
The system can be applied operationally for any location all over the world. The system consists of several
different air pollution models - all developed at NERI during the last decades. A schematic diagram of the
different modules and the data flow chart of the THOR system is shown in the figure below. The model system
consists of a coupling of several models, briefly described in the following.
Applications
Present capabilities of the THOR system include all aspects within forecasting, nowcasting, supplement to
monitoring programs, scenarios, retrospective analyses, assessment and management of air pollution.
The figures below show the precipitation and surface pressure on November 12th, 2002
for Europe and Denmark.
The output from the urban background model is used as input to the Operational Street Pollution Model, OSPM,
producing the air pollution concentrations at street level at both sides of the streets in cities. The model calculates
air concentrations of NO, NO2, NOx, O3, CO and benzene in the street canyon at both sides of the street.
Particles will be included in the model in the near future. The OSPM has been successfully tested under specific
European field campaigns in a variety of different climatic and air quality conditions in, e.g., Copenhagen,
Gothenburg, Helsinki, Oslo, Brussels, Berlin, Hanover, and Milano. It has also been tested and applied in Beijing,
China, under a cooperation agreement with Tsinghua University.
• One of the main causes of air pollution is the release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, this happens because of Deforestation
and fossil fuel burning
• Sulfur dioxide is another air polluter and is released into the atmosphere by the burning of sulfur containing compounds of fossil
fuels. Sulfur oxides are very dangerous to humans at a high concentration. Sulfur in the atmosphere is responsible for acid rain
Sulphur oxides (SOx) - especially sulfur dioxide, a chemical compound with the formula SO2. SO2 is produced
by volcanoes and in various industrial processes. Since coal and petroleum often contain sulfur compounds,
their combustion generates sulfur dioxide.
Further oxidation of SO2, usually in the presence of a catalyst such as NO2, forms H2SO4, and thus acid rain.
This is one of the causes for concern over the environmental impact of the use of these fuels as power
sources.
Carbon dioxide (CO2) - a colourless, odorless, non-toxic greenhouse gas also associated with
ocean acidification, emitted from sources such as combustion, cement production, and
respiration. It is otherwise recycled in the atmosphere in the carbon cycle.
Volatile organic compounds - VOCs are an important outdoor air pollutant. In this field they are often
divided into the separate categories of methane (CH4) and non-methane (NMVOCs). Methane is an
extremely efficient greenhouse gas which contributes to enhanced global warming. Other hydrocarbon
VOCs are also significant greenhouse gases via their role in creating ozone and in prolonging the life
of methane in the atmosphere, although the effect varies depending on local air quality. Within the
NMVOCs, the aromatic compounds benzene, toluene and xylene are suspected carcinogens and may
lead to leukemia through prolonged exposure. 1,3-butadiene is another dangerous compound which is
often associated with industrial uses.
Environmental impacts
As previously discussed, CFCs were phased out via the Montreal Protocol due to their part in ozone depletion.
However, the atmospheric impacts of CFCs are not limited to its role as an active ozone reducer. This
anthropogenic compound is also a greenhouse gas, with a much higher potential to enhance the greenhouse
effect than CO2.
Infrared bands trap heat from escaping earth's atmosphere. In the case of CFCs, the strongest of these bands
are located at the spectral region – referred to as an atmospheric window due to the relative transparency of the
atmosphere within this region.
The strength of CFC bands and the unique susceptibility of the atmosphere, at which the compound absorbs and
emits radiation, are two factors that contribute to CFC's "super" greenhouse effect.
Another such factor is the low concentration of the compound. Because CO2 is close to saturation with high
concentrations, it takes more of the substance to enhance the greenhouse effect. Conversely, the low
concentration of CFCs allow their effects to increase linearly with mass
Wildfire prevention refers to the preemptive methods of reducing the risk of fires as well as lessening its
severity and spread. Effective prevention techniques allow supervising agencies to manage air quality,
maintain ecological balances, protect resources, and to limit the effects of future uncontrolled fires.
A new and ecologically evolutionary practice, termed "Hydro-Pyrogeography", promises and claims to
bound wildfire from passing through any such wildland-urban interface anywhere on earth that the
practice is put into place, and thereby diminishing, even eliminating the above-referred oppositions and
concerns to traditional fuel management techniques.
The seven sources of CO2 from fossil fuel combustion are (with percentage contributions for 2000–2004):
Cement production 3%
As a result of human
activities lead to increased
concentrations of carbon
dioxide (CO2) and other
gases in the atmosphere.
Hujan asam diartikan sebagai segala macam hujan dengan pH di bawah 5,6. Hujan secara alami bersifat
asam (pH sedikit di bawah 6) karena karbondioksida (CO2) di udara yang larut dengan air hujan memiliki
bentuk sebagai asam lemah. Jenis asam dalam hujan ini sangat bermanfaat karena membantu melarutkan
mineral dalam tanah yang dibutuhkan oleh tumbuhan dan binatang.
Hujan asam disebabkan oleh belerang yang merupakan pengotor dalam bahan bakar fosil serta nitrogen di
udara yang bereaksi dengan oksigen membentuk sulfur dioksida dan nitrogen oksida. Zat-zat ini berdifusi ke
atmosfer dan bereaksi dengan air untuk membentuk asam sulfat dan asam nitrat yang mudah larut sehingga
jatuh bersama air hujan.
Air hujan yang masam tersebut akan meningkatkan kadar keasaman tanah dan air permukaan yang terbukti
berbahaya bagi kehidupan ikan dan tanaman. Usaha untuk mengatasi hal ini saat ini sedang gencar
dilaksanakan.
Masalah hujan asam tidak hanya meningkat sejalan dengan pertumbuhan populasi dan industri
tetapi telah berkembang menjadi lebih luas. Penggunaan cerobong asap yang tinggi untuk
mengurangi polusi lokal berkontribusi dalam penyebaran hujan asam, karena emisi gas yang
dikeluarkannya akan masuk ke sirkulasi udara regional yang memiliki jangkauan lebih luas.
Sering sekali, hujan asam terjadi di daerah yang jauh dari lokasi sumbernya, di mana daerah
pegunungan cenderung memperoleh lebih banyak karena tingginya curah hujan di sini.
Asbut, istilah adaptasi dari bahasa Inggris smog (smoke and fog), adalah kasus pencemaran udara berat
yang bisa terjadi berhari-hari hingga hitungan bulan.
Di bawah keadaan cuaca yang menghalang sirkulasi udara, asbut bisa menutupi suatu kawasan dalam waktu
yang lama, seperti kasus di London, Los Angeles, Athena, Beijing, Hong Kong atau Ruhr Area dan terus
menumpuk hingga berakibat membahayakan.
Asbut Fotokimia
Disebabkan oleh beberapa jenis hasil pembakaran bahan kimia yang dikatalisasi oleh kehadiran cahaya matahari.
Asbut ini mengandung: hasil oksidasi nitrogen, misalnya nitrogen dioksida, ozon troposferik, VOCs (volatile organic
compounds), dan peroxyacyl nitrat (PAN).
VOC's adalah hasil penguapan dari bahan bakar minyak, cat, solven, pestisida dan bahan kimia lain. Sementara
oksida nitrogen banyak dihasilkan oleh proses pembakaran dalam bahan bakar fosil seperti mesin mobil,
pembangkit listrik, dan truk.
Asbut fotokimia biasanya terjadi di daerah-daerah industri atau kota padat mobil yang menghasilkan emisi berat
dan terkonsentrasi. Tetapi asbut fotokimia tidak hanya menjadi masalah di kota-kota industri, sebab bisa menyebar
ke daerah non industri.
Asbut Klasik
Merupakan asbut yang terjadi di London setelah terjadinya revolusi industri yang menghasilkan pencemaran besar-
besaran dari pembakaran batu bara. Pembakaran ini menghasilkan campuran asap dan sulfur dioksida.
Gunung berapi yang juga menyebabkan berlimpahnya sulfur dioksida di udara, menghasilkan asbut gunung berapi,
atau vog (vulcanic smog, asbut vulkanis).
Sumber: http://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asbut …. Diunduh 21/4/2012
DAMPAK LINGKUNGAN
• Sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, ozone and peroxyacl nitrates (PANs), cause direct damage to leaves of crop plants and trees when
they enter leaf pores (stomates)
• Chronic exposure of leaves and needles to air pollutants can also break down the waxy coating that helps prevent excessive water
loss and damage from diseases, pests, drought and frost
The following strategies can be used to design and manage urban forests to improve air quality :
1. Greater tree cover will result in increased pollution removal;
2. Dense evergreen canopies are better than sparse deciduous canopies for particulate matter removal;
3. The greater the precipitation in a given area, the lower the pollution removal ability of trees for that area (in this case
pollution is removed by precipitation);
4. The less maintenance is required for a tree, the better that tree's contribution is for air pollution removal (use low
maintenance trees and reduce gas or diesel use);
5. Longer-lived trees will provide more pollution removal for a longer period of time;
6. Plant trees in places that will provide summertime cooling for buildings and cars, and solar heating during the winter;
7. Plant trees in highly urbanized areas with pollution problems; trees will remove more pollution in areas with higher pollution
concentrations;
8. Avoid using trees that are not resistant to air pollution.
Land degradation is a broad term that can be applied differently across a wide range of scenarios. There
are four main ways of looking at land degradation and its impact on the environment around it:
1. A temporary or permanent decline in the productive capacity of the land. This can be seen through a
loss of biomass, a loss of actual productivity or in potential productivity, or a loss or change in
vegetative cover and soil nutrients.
2. A decline in the lands “usefulness”: A loss or reduction in the lands capacity to provide resources for
human livelihoods. This can be measured from a baseline of past land use.
3. Loss of biodiversity: A loss of range of species or ecosystem complexity as a decline in the
environmental quality.
4. Shifting ecological risk: increased vulnerability of the environment or people to destruction or crisis.
This is measured through a baseline in the form of pre-existing risk of crisis or destruction.
Environmental impacts of irrigation are the changes in quantity and quality of soil and water as a result of
irrigation and the ensuing effects on natural and social conditions at the tail-end and downstream of the
irrigation scheme. The impacts stem from the changed hydrological condition owing to the installation and
operation of the scheme.
An irrigation scheme often draws water from the river and distributes it over the irrigated area. As a
hydrological result it is found that:
1. the downstream river discharge is reduced
2. the evaporation in the scheme is increased
3. the groundwater recharge in the scheme is increased
4. the level of the water table rises
5. the drainage flow is increased.
Reduced downstream river discharge
The reduced downstream river discharge may cause:
1. reduced downstream flooding
2. disappearance of ecologically and economically important wetlands or flood forests
3. reduced availability of industrial, municipal, household, and drinking water
4. reduced fishing opportunities. Fish populations, the main source of protein and overall life
support systems for many communities, are also being threatened.
Landfill gas is a complex mix of different gases created by the action of microorganisms within a landfill.
Landfill gas production results from chemical reactions and microbes acting upon the waste as the putrescible
materials begins to break down in the landfill. The rate of production is affected by waste composition and
landfill geometry, which in turn influence the bacterial populations within it, chemical make-up, thermal
characteristics, entry of moisture and escape of gas.
Landfill gas is approximately forty to sixty percent methane, with the remainder being mostly carbon dioxide.
Landfill gas also contains varying amounts of nitrogen, oxygen, water vapour,hydrogen sulphide, and other
contaminants. Most of these other contaminants are known as "non-methane organic compounds" or NMOCs.
Some inorganic contaminants (for example mercury) are also known to be present in landfill gas.
There are sometimes also contaminants (for example tritium) found in landfill gas. The non-methane organic
compounds usually make up less than one percent of landfill gas. In 1991, the US EPA identified ninety-four
non-methane organic compounds including toxic chemicals like benzene, toluene, chloroform, vinyl chloride,
and carbon tetrachloride. At least forty one of the non-methane organic compounds are halogenated
compounds (chemicals containing halogens: typically chlorine, fluorine, or bromine).
General options for managing landfill gas are: flaring, boiler (makes heat), internal combustion engine (makes
electricity), gas turbine (makes electricity), fuel cell (makes electricity), convert the methane to methyl alcohol,
clean it enough to pipe it to other industries or into natural gas lines.
A plastic material is any of a wide range of synthetic or semi-synthetic organic solids that are moldable.
Plastics are typically organic polymers of high molecular mass, but they often contain other substances. They
are usually synthetic, most commonly derived from petrochemicals, but many are partially natural.
Almost invariably, organic polymers mainly comprise plastics. The vast majority of these polymers are based
on chains of carbon atoms alone or with oxygen, sulfur, or nitrogen as well. The backbone is that part of the
chain on the main "path" linking a large number of repeat units together. To customize the properties of a
plastic, different molecular groups "hang" from the backbone (usually they are "hung" as part of the monomers
before linking monomers together to form the polymer chain). The structure of these "side chains" influence
the properties of the polymer.
Toxicity
Due to their insolubility in water and relative chemical inertness, pure plastics generally have low toxicity.
Some plastic products contain a variety of additives, some of which can be toxic. For example, plasticizers
like adipates and phthalates are often added to brittle plastics like polyvinyl chloride to make them pliable
enough for use in food packaging, toys, and many other items.
Traces of these compounds can leach out of the product. Owing to concerns over the effects of such
leachates, the European Union has restricted the use of DEHP (di-2-ethylhexyl phthalate)and other phthalates
in some applications. Some compounds leaching from polystyrene food containers have been proposed to
interfere with hormone functions and are suspected human carcinogens
Land pollution is the demolition of Earth's land surfaces often caused by human activities and their misuse of
land resources. It occurs when waste is not disposed properly. Health hazard disposal of urban and industrial
wastes, exploitation of minerals, and improper use of soil by inadequate agricultural practices are a few
factors. Urbanization and industrialization are major causes of land pollution. The Industrial Revolution set a
series of events into motion which destroyed natural habitats and polluted the environment, causing diseases
in both humans and other species of animals.
Canberra has a population of about 300 000 residents and about 400 000 trees planted in publicly managed
areas. These trees have a significant value for the aesthetic and landscape qualities. They also have a
significant value in their potential to reduce energy consumption and ameliorate pollution in the city. This
example study estimated the value of this amelioration may be between US$20–$67 million (or $66–$223/
resident) between 2008 and 2012. Management of this important resource and the establishment or
reestablishment of trees as suburbs grow and change must take these values into account.
There are three principal methods for identifying environmental effects and impacts (Sorensen and Moss, 1973;
Warner and Preston, 1973).
Metode Checklists
Checklists are comprehensive lists of environmental effects and impact indicators designed to stimulate the
analyst to think broadly about possible consequences of contemplated actions. This strength can also be a
weakness, however, because it may lead the analyst to ignore factors that are not on the lists ('tunnel vision’).
Checklists are found in one form or another in nearly all EIA methods. One of the most comprehensive is
published in the United States (AEC, 1973).
Metode Matriks
Matrices typically employ a list of human actions in addition to a list of impact indicators. The two are related in a
matrix which can be used to identify (to a limited extent) cause-and-effect relationships. Published guidelines may
specify these relationships or may simply list the range of possible actions and characteristics in an open matrix,
which is to be completed by the analyst.
Methods for predicting qualitative effects are difficult to find or to validate. In many cases, the prediction consists
of indicating merely whether there will be degradation, no change, or enhancement of environmental quality.
In other cases, qualitative ranking scales (from 1 to 5, 10 or 100) are used.
* This of course can become a weakness of any method.
**Moore et al. (1973) have used flow diagrams in a system for reviewing (as contrasted to preparing) impact
statements.
Because some methods are better or more relevant than others, a listing of recommended methods for solving
specific environmental problems would seem to be desirable. However, a compendium of methods, even with
numerous footnotes and words of caution, is likely to be a snare for the unwary non-specialist. The environment is
never as well behaved as assumed in models, and the assessor is to be discouraged from accepting off-the-shelf
formulae.
Example of a flow-chart used for impact identification (Sorensen, 1971)
METODE INTERPRETASI DAMPAK
Display of Sets of Values of Individual Impact Indicators
One way to avoid the problem of synthesis is to display in a checklist or matrix all the impact indicators. For a relatively small set, and
provided that some thought is given to a sensible grouping of similar kinds of indicators into sub-sets, a qualitative picture of the
aggregate impact may become apparent by the clustering of checkmarks in the diagram.
This approach is used in numerous methods. Because the assessor wishes to be all-inclusive, however, the sets are usually much
too large for visual comprehension. In the Leopold matrix, for example, 17,600 pieces of information are displayed. Such an array
may confuse the decision-maker, particularly if a separate checklist or matrix is prepared for each alternative. Effort may be wasted if
the assessor conscientiously tries to fill in a high proportion of the boxes, and he may be swamped with excessive information if he
succeeds
Various normalization techniques are available to achieve the first objective. In the Battelle system (Dee et al., 1972, 1973a), for
example, environmental quality is scaled from 0 (very bad) to 1 (very good) by the use of 'value functions‘. 'Very bad' and 'very good'
can be defined in various ways. For a qualitative variable such as scenic beauty which has been ranked from 1 to 5 or from 1 to 10
by the assessor, the scales are simply transformed arithmetically to the range from 0 to 1. For quantitative variables such as water or
air quality , 'very bad' could be the maximum permissible concentrations established by law, while 'very good' could be the
background concentrations found at great distances from sources.
METODE INTERPRETASI DAMPAK
Finally, a method of weighting may be required in order to obtain an aggregate index for comparing alternatives.
This is undoubtedly a controversial part of the analysis.
Scheme (a) is a special case of (b), both of which are to be discouraged. Scheme (d) may implicitly include (c). In
either case, the criteria for weighting should be obtained from the decision-maker or from national goals. The
number of weights will often be rather small, as few as two positive and two negative.
The use of weights is not perfect but it helps to quantify value judgements. The chief element of dispute is whether
the task should be done by specialists or laymen. In the former case, the views may not reflect those of the public
directly affected by the action. In the latter case, the non-specialist may not have sufficient factual information for
impact assessment. For example, laymen have no basis for comparing the nutritional value of oranges, apples,
and pears, although they could be asked quite appropriately to rank the flavours.
The system described above also assumes that the numerical values of the individual impact indicators should
indeed be aggregated into a single index. This has proved to be a controversial question. On the one hand,
'Because net environmental impact is expressed as a single value, it is easily compared to other alternatives to
determine the most environmentally sound approach to development of a particular resource‘.
Proponents of this point of view argue that an impact assessment should be in a form suitable for making a
decision, and that decision-making is simplified if the major impacts are collapsed to a single number. Too often in
the past a task force has prepared an impact assessment containing a catalogue of independent environmental
concerns and impacts.
The Battelle Environmental Evaluation System (EES) is a methodology for conducting environmental impact
analysis developed at Battelle Columbus Laboratories by an interdisciplinary research team under contract with
the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. It is based on a hierarchical assessment of environmental quality indicators.
Each category (Level I) is divided into several components, each component (Level II) into several parameters,
and each parameter (Level III) into one or more measurements. The EES identifies a total of four (4) categories,
eighteen (18) components and seventy-eight (78) parameters.
EES assessment of the environmental impacts of water resources development projects is based on
commensurate "environmental impact units" (EIU). Two EIU scores are produced, one 'with' and another 'without'
the proposed project. The difference between the two scores is a measure of the environmental impact. The
scores are based on the magnitude and importance of specific impacts.
Many problems arise in the evaluation of environmental impacts due to new projects; for instance:
1. the determination of the pertinent variables,
2. the choice of methodology to follow,
3. the need to inform the project proponent and regulatory agencies at every step of the evaluation process, and
to present the best assessments possible for a variety of alternatives,
4. the necessity to provide understandable information to the public.
Gaussian Models
Air dispersion modelling is largely dominated by the Gaussian
model established some twenty years ago (Pasquill-Gifford
equations). This model assumes normal distributions of pollutants along the vertical and
horizontal, perpendicular to the direction of wind. It permits assessments of continuous
or instantaneous release of pollutants, with or without a linear reaction rate or decay.
Further developments have consisted of the inclusion of special features which were not
part of the original model:
1. pollutant reflection at the ground and at the inversion lid,
2. introduction of a variety of different sources (point sources, line sources, area
sources, volumic sources, fugitive sources),
3. linear reaction or decay rate, washout by rain, settling of particles, uptake by
vegetation or water,
4. topographic effects,
5. lake or sea breeze,
6. temporal and spatial variation of meteorological conditions.
Sumber: ….. Diunduh 20/4/2012
MODEL MATEMATIK UNTUK PENDUGAAN DAMPAK
MODEL STATISTIKA
Statistical models of air pollution have been developed primarily to provide a
simpler and less data-demanding approach to estimating atmospheric
concentrations, either for the purpose of air quality management (e.g. as
screening models) or for exposure assessment in epidemiological studies.
A range of approaches have been devised, so that statistical models take many
different forms.
Amongst many examples, two of the most widely used in Europe are the Calculation of
Air pollution from Road traffic (CAR) model.
The original CAR model was developed for use as a screening tool for air quality
management in the Netherlands, but a more generic version (CAR-International) was later
devised. This model has been widely tested and compared against other, more
sophisticated appraoches, and have generally been shown to work well when used
within their intended operating conditions (i.e. to assess locally-derived concentrations
of traffic-related air pollutants in relatively simple source-receptor environments). They
are, however, inevitably limited in that they are not designed to deal with non-transport
emissions, and in terms of the sources number of sources and receptors that can easily
be analysed, or their ability to model long-range transfers of pollutants.
Sumber: http://www.integrated-assessment.eu/guidebook/statistical_air_pollution_models ….. Diunduh 20/4/2012
WELCOME TO THE GAINS MODEL
The Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies (GAINS)-
Model provides a consistent framework for the analysis of co-benefits reduction
strategies from air pollution and greenhouse gas sources.
Simultaneously, the GAINS Model considers greenhouse gas emission rates and the associated value per ton of CO2
equivalence. Historic emissions of air pollutants and GHGs are estimated for each country based on information collected
by available international emission inventories and on national information supplied by individual countries. The GAINS
Model assesses emissions on a medium-term time horizon, emission projections are specified in five year intervals through
the year 2030.
Options and costs for controlling emissions are represented by several emission reduction technologies. Atmospheric
dispersion processes are often modeled exogenously and integrated into the GAINS Model framework. Critical load data
and critical level data are often compiled exogenously and incorporated into the GAINS modeling framework.
The model can be operated in the 'scenario analysis' mode, i.e., following the pathways of the emissions from their sources
to their impacts. In this case the model provides estimates of regional costs and environmental benefits of alternative
emission control strategies.
The Model can also operate in the 'optimization mode' which identifies cost-optimal
allocations of emission reductions in order to achieve specified deposition levels,
concentration targets, or GHG emissions ceilings.
The current version of the model can be used for viewing activity levels and emission
control strategies, as well as calculating emissions and control costs for those strategies.
Two main approaches to dilution modelling may be identified: mass balance models
and computational fluid dynamic (CFD) models. The simplest (mass balance)
models apply for a single compartment (i.e. a room where the source, ventilation
and the exposed target occur), steady state conditions and complete mixing. Multi-
zone models are also available to simulate more complex situations, with several
interconnected compartments.
The most advanced (CFD) models deal with dynamic conditions, including changing
or intermittent release and ventilation, multiple interconnected compartments and
displacement ventilation. Indoor air chemistry, sedimentation and absorption
(deposition) of pollutants indoors can also be incorporated into the models.
For general modeling of exposure to contaminants released into the indoor air,
dilution models often lack important terms:
1. Decay, e.g. absorption to room surfaces and furnishings;
2. Removal, e.g. filtration by air cleaning devices;
3. Medium transfer, e.g. sedimentation and absorption from air to dust; and
4. Contact rate/time.
Incomplete mixing is dealt with by a dimensionless empirical correction factor (0 < c < 1.0), in which c = 1.0 would indicate
complete mixing:
C = m/c۰Q
Displacement ventilation is often used in large rooms. This avoids mixing fresh and used indoor air, and instead gently
flows fresh cool air below the used and warmed up room air, pushing it upwards to exhaust vents. In dilution modeling this
is treated simply by giving the empirical correction factor a value higher than 1.0 (c ≥ 1.0).
A source release starting at time t = 0 leads to an indoor concentration (in room of volume V) that asymptotically changes
towards the steady state.
C(t) = m۰e^-(V/Q۰t)^/c۰Q
Stopping the source release at any point of time leads to a similar concentration decay towards zero. Instantaneous
releases are incompatible with complex mixing: in reality, mixing is not instantaneous. Indoor concentrations from
instantaneous releases can therefore be modeled only from the time required for complete mixing (t~cm~). If the source
release and/or ventilation rate can be expressed as mathematical function(s) of time, the most complicated single
compartment model thus becomes:
C(t) = m(t)۰e^-(V/Q(t)۰t)^/c۰Q(t)
The contribution of pollution from outdoor air to indoor exposure can be incorporated simply by adding the outdoor air
concentration, corrected if necessary by an indoor/outdoor removal term.
More complicated cases of dynamic releases and ventilation, multiple interconnected compartments, incorporation of decay
and removal by indoor air chemistry or pollutant deposition on indoor surfaces require increasingly complicated and often
numerical dilution models.
The figure below summarises the main factors and processes affecting indoor concentrations of particulates.
Sumber: http://www.integrated-assessment.eu/guidebook/indoor_air_pollution_models….. Diunduh 20/4/2012
INDOOR AIR POLLUTION MODELS
Expert systems, a branch of artificial intelligence, have been developed to help in screening,scoping, developing
terms of reference (TOR), and conducting preliminary assessments.
These systems usecomprehensive checklists, matrices, and networks in combination with hundreds of impact
rules developed byEIA experts. The global embrace of sustainable development has made the analysis of costs
and benefits anintegral part of EIA.
This has forced the expansion of factors to be considered in traditional cost benefit analysis.The following
chapters describe some of these more specialized approaches and methods that have evolved tomeet the
changing needs of EIA:
1) predictive methods
2) environmental risk assessment
3) economic analysis
4) expert systems .
In fact, many checklists, matrices, and models used in EIA represent decades of experience accumulated
bynumerous experts.
The experts themselves are heavily involved in all aspects of the assessment — they are usedto help identify
the potential for significant impacts, plan data collection and monitoring programs, provide their judgement on
the level of significance for specific impacts, and suggest ways of reducing or preventing impacts
Sumber: http://www.scribd.com/SHUVA_Msc%20IB/d/21248236-Methods-for-Environmental-Impact-Assessment ….. Diunduh 25/4/2012
PEMILIHAN METODE PENDUGAAN DAMPAK
EIA methods range from simple to complex, requiring different kinds of data, different data
formats, andvarying levels of expertise and technological sophistication for their
interpretation.
Broad qualitative information about factors useful in the comparative evaluation of alternative
development actionsis presented. The information is stated in simple terms that are readily
understood by the lay person. No information about the cause-effect relationship between project
actions and environmental components isprovided.
The actual impacts on specific environmental components likely to be affected by the project or
thosethat may require further investigation are not identified. The method merely presents the
pertinent informationwithout resorting to any relative weighting of importance.
This method is very easy to use, but does have a few drawbacks (Lohani and Kan, 1983):
1. it may not encompass all the relevant impacts;
2. because the criteria used to evaluate impacts are not comparable, the relative weights of
variousimpacts cannot be compared;
3. it is inherently inefficient as it requires sizeable effort to identify and assemble an appropriate
panel of experts for each assessment; and
4. it provides minimal guidance for impact analysis while suggesting broad areas of possible
impacts
Sumber: http://www.scribd.com/SHUVA_Msc%20IB/d/21248236-Methods-for-Environmental-Impact-Assessment ….. Diunduh 25/4/2012
CHECKLISTS
Checklists are standard lists of the types of impacts associated
with a particular type of project.
1. Simple Checklist:
a list of environmental parameters with no guidelines on how they are to
bemeasured and interpreted. Table 3-4 illustrates a simple checklist that
identifies the potential impacts of the Huasai-Thale Noi Road Project in
Thailand.
2. Descriptive Checklist:
includes an identification of environmental parameters and guidelines on how
tomeasure data on particular parameters.
3. Scaling Checklist:
similar to a descriptive checklist, but with additional information on
subjectivescaling of the parameters.
Westman (1985) listed some of the problems with checklists when used as an impact
assessment method:
1. they are too general or incomplete;
2. they do not illustrate interactions between effects;
3. the number of categories to be reviewed can be immense, thus distracting from the
most significantimpacts; and
4. the identification of effects is qualitative and subjective.
The construction of roads and motorways implies a variety of environmental impacts on landscape features. Some
of those features are essentially static and impacts on them can be assessed using straight-forward methods.
However, impacts on dynamic landscape features will have to be evaluated in other ways, since the impact itself
will also be of a dynamic nature.
Fundamental to the geomorphological impact of any construction is the way in which hydrology is affected.
Changes imposed upon the landscape by road construction and use will affect mechanisms such as infiltration,
runoff and erosion.
These impacts cannot be assessed directly, due to the complexity of hydrological processes and the way in which
the processes are interrelated, both spatially and temporally. Insights into the hydrological response to
construction ask for the understanding of underlying hydrological mechanisms.
A way to achieve a better understanding of these processes is by modelling them. If spatial and temporal variability
are accounted for in such a model, the behaviour of hydrological mechanisms and their interactions could be
predicted.
Incorporating the presence of infrastructure in such model can lead to a better prediction and assessment of the
effects of road construction.
The development of a procedure for linking this type of models with a spatial database can generate useful
information regarding the assessment of the hydrological response of the environment to alterations imposed by
road construction. Such a procedure should be valid for situations where data availability is sub-optimal (which
will often be the case within the framework of EIA).
Expected effects on hydrology and related processes due to motorway
construction
Noise can have negative impact on health. Hearing damage, annoyance, sleep disturbance, high
blood pressure, poor cardiovascular health is all linked to community noise. Children, people with
existing physical and mental illness and elderly people are most susceptible to community noise.
High level of noise from sources such as busy traffic can adversely affect the health of the people
living near road highways.
It is therefore desirable to model a road traffic noise that predicts well the traffic noise near
highways so that the people living near highways who are highly exposed by everyday traffic noise
can be protected from noise exposure to some extent .
Measurement of noise level ( dB(A) ) by noise analyzer will be conducted on road segment of
Dehradun Haridwar highway for Dehradun city at different locations.
The noise level predicted from the developed model is compared with the measured one .t-test is
then applied and observed highly significant at 5% level and 95% confidence level.
The proposed road traffic noise model can be effectively used as a decision supporting tool for
prediction of road traffic noise in Indian conditions.
Examining the behavior of various factors affecting road traffic noise, people living near highways
can be better prevented from high degree of environmental noise impact.
Sumber: http://www.iitr.ac.in/ISB/uploads/File/ISB/pdf/kamini.pdf ….. Diunduh 25/4/2012
METHODOLOGY
Noise impact criteria for different land uses close to highways established by Federal Highway Administration
(FHA) is given as:
Land Use LdB(A)
Residential 65 dB(A)
Commercial 70 dB(A)
Above this level a statistically significant increase in blood pressure level of the people living near highways since
long and continuously exposed by traffic noise is observed.
Since traffic characteristics and type of vehicle in India differ from those in Western countries, a new model
including traffic flow (vehicle/hour), traffic speed (Km/hour), traffic composition in terms of heavy vehicle (%) were
investigated.
For each type of vehicle, regression analysis of noise level (dB A) on speed was carried out based on Logarithmic
relationship i.e.
L = a log( speed ) + b ;
Where a andb are constants and there values differ for each type of vehicle.
For making sensitivity analysis the values of each factor was changed in order to compute, while other factors
were kept fixed.
Using the Linear Regression Model, the accuracy of estimated Sound Pressure Level L dB(A) to the observed value
(directly collected from the surveys) is examined. Figure 1 shows the result of regression analysis of the noise level L
dB(A) .The coefficient of determination (R2 ) of the 450 line is 0.8733. A simple way of modifying prediction
procedure is only to recalculate the coefficient of equation and the constant term using the survey data. Regression
model of observed L dB(A)with the measured L dB(A) is given as follows:
By substituting this equation into equation (1), the general form of revised equation is:
L =10.2 logQ + 33.66 log (V + 40 + 500/V ) +10.2 log (1+ 5P/V) - 27.302 (3)
Sumber: http://www.openideo.com/open/how-can-we-improve-sanitation-and-better-manage-human-waste-in-low-income-urban-
communities/inspiration/biomass-recovery-increases-air-water-polution-deacreases/….. Diunduh 27/4/2012
Nitrogen Pollution in Buzzards Bay
Sumber: …http://www.buzzardsbay.org/nitrogen-pollution.htm
.. Diunduh 27/4/2012
What are the causes of water pollution? How can we provide enough clean
water?
The diagram
below from an
illustrated
study from
Japan shows the
immediate and
longer term
impact on
sanitation when
an earthquake
damages water
and sewer
systems, causes
building collapse
and disrupts
traffic.