YOGI BERRA
TYPES OF STRATEGIC PLANNING
SCENARIO BUILDING
• STORY WHICH IS BASED ON THE ANALYSIS AND UNDERSTANDING OF CURRENT
AND HISTORIC TRENDS AND EVENTS.
• IT INCLUDES A CONSISTENT DESCRIPTION OF POSSIBLE FUTURE SITUATIONS.
• CANNOT BE CONSIDERED AS A SPECIFIC FORECAST OF THE FUTURE.
• GOAL: TO RAISE AWARENESS OF UNCERTAINTIES, RISKS AND CONSTRAINTS
WHICH COULD BE ENCOUNTERED IN THE FUTURE.
CONTINGENCY PLAN FOR FLOOD
ASSUMPTION
1. TYPHOON AND HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE AND PROLONGED WATER FLOODING AT
AFFECTED AREAS.
2.CONTINUOUS RAIN WILL TRIGGER THE RIVER TO OVERFLOWN AND FLASH FLOOD
WILL THREATENED BARANGAYS ALONG THE RIVER BANK.
3.HASTY RESCUE AND EVACUATION OPERATION WILL BE CONDUCTED WITH
DIFFICULTIES DUE TO THE VERY LIMITED RESOURCES AND HESITANT OF VAST
MAJORITY TO FORCE EVACUATION.
4.LOOTING INCIDENT AND FLOOD SHORTAGE WILL BE EXPERIENCED.
SCENARIO GENERATION
ACTIVITIES BAD WORSE WORST
1. DESCRIPTION OF EVENT 10 - 12 feet high Overflowing of the *Breaching of the setback
water depth setback levee damaging levee
other barangays *All roads and bridges
were
damaged and
unpassable
*School buildings, RHU etc.
were damaged
*Shutting down of all
power and
water supplies
ACTIVITIES BAD WORSE WORST
Effects to population: All families living along the + San Jose, San Juan + Concepcion, Sto. Nino +
(No. of families/ person river banks: San Pedro, San = 7374 + 17,344= San Agustin
affected) Miguel, San Nicolas, Sta. 24,691 = 11042 + 24,691= 35,733
Cruz (17,344)
Effects to human lives
a. Missing None None None
b. Endured 3 9 12
c. Dead None 1 1
Effects to property
a. Houses 36 55 58
b. Agri, livestock, fisheries All agricultural crops All stalls including the Totally paralyzed
c. livelihood were damaged (1,325 marketplace were
hectares) fishponds displaced
overflowed (35
hectares) vegetables
(15 hectares) 200
piglets, fattener 40,
breeder 2
ACTIVITIES BAD WORSE WORST
Effects to infrastructures and • Houses along the dike All houses including that 7 barangays, school
facilities (lifelines) were submerge into of San Juan and san Jose buildings were
water were submerge into damaged as well as the
• Lack of electricity and water as well as stores, RHU and all
water on 4 barangays stalls houses
and the marketplace
Response Capability/Capacity • Assistance from LGU Assistance from Provincial Assistance from
(food and medicines) and Regional level (food, national, NGO’s
medicines and (food, medicines,
evacuation) rescue, evacuation,
water and sanitation)
Population Displacement Event: Flood
Origin # of # of Destination
Population persons to GYM School Relatives Church
be affected