http://www.thelancet.com/commissions/palliative-care
Disclosures
• Grants & Gifts to University of Miami, Harvard
University and Mexican Health Foundation that
supported the work of the Lancet Commission:
– American Cancer Society, Mayday Fund, JM Foundation, Pfizer
(unrestricted gift), Grunenthal, Novartis, GlaxoSmithKline,
Chinoin, NADRO and GDS
• Financial support to University of Miami. for
Commission launch and follow-up work:
– NCI Center for Global Health/CRDF, Mayday Fund, L&L
Copeland Foundation, Open Society Foundations, US Cancer
Pain Relief Committee, VITAS Healthcare, Roche
• Grants, personal fees, and non-financial support for
work unrelated to the Commission or the topic:
– Roche and Merck/EMD Serono
“From that moment commenced the shrieking fit which lasted for
three days, and was so terrible that it was impossible to hear it
without horror even through two doors.”
Leo Tolstoy, The Death of Ivan Ilyich, 1886
• Chair, co-chair
• 33 commissioners
• 61 co-authors from
over 25 countries
Led by the
University of Miami in
collaboration with
Harvard University
5 Key Messages
1. Alleviation of the burden of serious health-related suffering from life-
threatening or life-limiting conditions and at end-of-life is a global health and
equity imperative.
3. LMICs can improve the welfare of poor people at modest cost by publicly
financing the Essential Package of palliative care and through full integration
into Universal Health Coverage.
Disease modifying
Treatment
Supportive and
paliative care
Bereavement care
Onset of
incurable
cancer
Function
Death
Onset could be
deficits in functional
capacity, speech,
cognition
Low
Time
Prolonged dwindling
Long-term limitation with intermittent serious episodes
Short period of evident decline
Global burden of serious health-related suffering (SHS) - 2015
Health conditions (20): people (decedent and non-decedent) who experienced SHS
Symptoms (15): physical (11) and psychological (4); days with SHS
MSD
Pain
Malignant neoplasm
(except leukemia)
Injury
Cerebrovascular
diseases
Global burden of serious health-related suffering (SHS) - 2015
Health conditions (20): people (decedent and non-decedent) who experienced SHS
25.6 million
35.5 million
61.1 million
Symptoms (15): physical (11) and psychological (4); days with SHS
• Non-decedents:
Years since # of non- Estimated % of # of non-
diagnosis decedents (% of non-decedents in decedents in need
5-year total) need of PC of PC
1 50% 28% 4,564,000
2 25% 20% 1,630,000
3 12.5% 15% 611,250
4 7.5% 10% 244,500
5 5% 5% 81,150
TOTAL 32,600,000 7,130,900
100%
Estimates based on: expert opinion (% need) , literature review, and IARC-
Globocan data.
Global burden of serious health-related
suffering (SHS) in 2015
25.5 millon deaths
• 45% of the 56.2 millon
deaths worldwide
And…
• at least 35.5 million
5.3 million children with SHS
people experienced
• 99% are in LMICs
SHS (non-decedents) • 88% of deaths: avoidable
• LMICs
• 5.5 million decedents in need of PC
• 5 million patients
• ~1.5 billion days Within each country income group:
• 8% in low
•16% in lower middle
• 30% in upper middle
• 42% high
Avoidable Mortality and SHS: LMICs
• Low income countries: 81%
• Children in LMICs:
• Lower-middle-income countries: 69%
88%
• Upper-middle-income countries: 46%
Mr S returned the next month. Yet, common tragedy befell patient and
caregivers in the form of a stock-out of morphine.
• The 50%
poorest: <1%
• The 10%
richest:
almost 90%
Distributed opioid morphine-equivalent
mg/patient & (% of SHS palliative care need)
Russia:
W. Europe: 124 mg (8%)
Canada: 18,316 mg (870%)
68,194 mg (3090%)
China:
314 mg (16%)
USA:
Vietnam
55,704 mg (3150%) 125 mg (9%)
Haiti:
5.3 mg (0.8%) India:
Mexico: Nigeria: 43 mg (4%) Australia:
562 mg (36%) 0.8 mg (0.2%) 40,636 mg
(1890%)
Bolivia: Uganda:
53 mg (11%)
74 mg (6%)
Argentina:
2,374 mg (115%)
Source: Author calculations using INCB (2010-13) and GHE 2015 (www.incb.org,
http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/en/) . See Data Appendix for methods.
Total medical and palliative care unmet need
for opioid analgesics (in DOME)
Benchmark: Western Europe High-Income
Palliative Care need Projected total need Western
Europe High
Income
Countries:
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Iceland
Ireland
Total need: 82 Tons Italy
(Unmet need = 49 Tons) Luxembourg
Malta
Netherlands
Norway
Low Portugal
Income Spain
Lower middle Sweden
regions Switzerland
Upper middle Total need: 581 metric tonnes United Kingdom
High (Unmet need: 548 metric tonnes)
Equipment 31 5 31
Total 219 182 248 119 115 194 796 694 793
% public health expenditure4 8.8 7.3 9.9 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.0 0.8 1.0
• At current
prices: $US600
million
• At best
international
prices: $US145
millones
• For all children with SHS in low income countries:
$US 1,034,000
Outline
1. Need: Serious Health-related Suffering
2. Unmet need: level and equity
3. Intervention: an essential package
4.Strengthening the global
and national health
systems
5. Next steps
Universal Health Coverage
All people must obtain the health services they
require - prevention, promotion, treatment,
rehabilitation and palliative care - without the risk
of impoverishment (WHO)
CARIPALCA
Four streams of work
following report release:
1. Research
2. Advocacy and awareness
3. In-country implementation
4. Global collective action
“A Sea of Suffering”
Dr. Richard Horton, Editor-in-chief of The Lancet
April 14, 2018
Launch Symposium
UM, April 5-6
“The Lancet Commission called on the entire health community, indeed the whole of
society, to take pain and suffering more seriously—and to take collective action to
remedy the access abyss, without question the most disfiguring inequity in health
care today. It’s hard to understand how the medical community has missed what Eric
Krakauer called this “sea of suffering”. But miss it we have, so obsessed have we
been with prolonging survival at almost any cost. Our metrics to monitor health
must bear some responsibility. Life expectancy, years of life lost, years of life lived
with disability, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) have come to dominate the
debate about progress in health. These are powerful measures, to be sure. But the
great innovation of the Lancet Commission was to devise a new metric— severe
health-related suffering—to uncover the epidemic of suffering afflicting
communities worldwide. This discovery—and it is a discovery in the truest scientific
meaning of the term—is equal to the identification of mental health as a global health
priority by measuring DALYs. The story of health in the 21st century has been
entirely rewritten...
Medicine can never be the same again.”
Suffering-Intensity-Adjusted Life-Year (SALY)
Statement of action by
critical mass
gathered at the
launch symposium
that commits
advocates &
researchers and
calls to task
diverse stakeholders
Advocacy Tool-kit and Background Resources
– Lancet Commission Publication:
– thelancet.com/commissions/palliative-care
• Executive Summary and Full report
• Commentaries
• Podcast
– Advocacy Toolkit:
www.miami.edu/lancet --> background
resources
• Data Appendix
• Fact sheets
• Country data sheet
• Video presentation
• Wall map
World Cancer Day (Feb 4)
http://www.thelancet.com/commissions/palliative-care