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Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries

(OAPEC)

INTERGAS
Nice, France, 28-29 November 2016

Eng/Wael A.Moati
Gas Industries Expert
Contents

Title
1
Natural Gas in the Arab Countries: Key Figures

Title
2
Natural Gas Role in Achieving Sustainable
Development in Different Sectoral Areas
Main
Points Title
3
Natural Gas Trade (Exports and Imports)

Title
4
Prospects of Natural Gas Industry
(Short and Medium Terms)

Page  2 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
World’s Total Proven Gas Reserves, end of 2015

Europe/Eurasia
Middle East 70 tcm
North America 79.2 tcm
13.1 tcm

Africa
S.America 14.4 tcm
7.6 tcm
Asia Pacific
Arab Countries 15.4 tcm

54 tcm
World’s Total Proven
Gas Reserves
199.7 tcm

Source :OAPEC, Cedigaz, BP

Page  3 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in the Arab Countries
Distribution of Gas Reserves in 2015

Source :OAPEC

Page  4 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in the Arab Countries
Gas Production/Consumption Growth Rates

The highest growth rate


worldwide
Development of Natural Gas Production & Consumption
600 542
Gas Production CAGR
500 (2005-2015)

400 360
15.5% of world’s total gas production
384
bcm

300

200 244 The 2nd highest growth rate


worldwide
100

Gas Consumption CAGR


0
(2005-2015)

Net Production Consumption 11% of world’s total gas consumption

Source :OAPEC

Page  5 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in the Arab Countries
Comparison with Other Groups

Source :OAPEC, Cedigaz

Despite gas reserves in the Arab region are relatively large compared with other
regions, its production share is only 15.5% of the world’s total gas production.
This paves the way for attracting more investments in developing gas reserves.

Page  6 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in Achieving Sustainable Development
Gas Share in the Energy Mix in 2015

Primary Energy Mix in Arab Countries Gas Consumption per Sector


in 2005 (inner) and 2015 (outer)
0.7% Petrochemical Residential
1.2%
10.4% 2.4%

1.2%1.1% Others
0.7%

47.6% Industrial
50.1% Sector
2005 48.1%
25.4%
49.9% 9.5 MM BOE/d

Energy
Natural Gas Sector Electricity
Sector
Oil 11.8%
49.2%
2015 Coal
13.5 MM BOE/d
Renewables

Source :OAPEC

Gas Electricity
in Primary Energy mix of total gas consumption

Page  7 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in Achieving Sustainable Development
 Gas Flaring Reduction
World's Total Oil + NGLs Production with Flaring
100
Index 5.0
90 4.5
80 4.0
70 3.5
60 3.0

scm/bbl
MMbbls/d
50 2.5
40 2.0
30 1.5
20 1.0
10 0.5
0 0.0
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

% of the Flaring Index


world scm/bbl
In 2015, Arab Countries produced 32% of the total Indices
world’s oil &NGLs production while constituted
21% of the global gas flaring volume!  World Average : 4.0
Arab Countries : 2.6 !
Iraq standalone : 9.9
Kuwait Iraq Qatar Algeria scm of bbl of oil
flared gas produced

Page  8 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in Achieving Sustainable Development
 Gas Flaring Reduction: Successful Projects

Kuwait Oil Comany: Gas Flaring as % of Total


Kuwait Oil
Gas Production Company
Flared gas % of total gas production

18%
17.18%
16%
14%
12%
10%  Gas flared amounted to 1.31% of
8%
the total gas production in
6%
4% 2015/2016.
2% 1.31%
 Total incurred investments: $3.6
0%
billion.
 Planned investments : $4.1 billion.
 KOC is a strategic member in the
Source :KOC GGFR initiative.

Page  9 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in Achieving Sustainable Development
Electricity Sector in the Arab Countries
Gas accounted for ~ 63% of the total
electricity produced in 2014, while Oil
accounted for 32%, compared to 48%
and 44% respectively in 1990.
Diesel
7GW

Renewables
12.5 GW

CCGT
Turbines
62 GW

Gas
77 GW

Steam
Turbines
86 GW

CO2 emissions (g)


Source :OAPEC 724 per kilowatt hour of 641
electricity produced
Page  10 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)
Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in Achieving Sustainable Development
Residential Sector in the Arab Countries
Fuels % Algeria & Egypt:
in residential sector consumption The earliest programs in the region
Oil
products 100%
Gas 0.4% 0.1%
80% 39.9%

57.5% 22.7% 60% 77.7% Algeria


40%  Started in early 1960’s
59.7%
20%  Gas access rate 52%
0.5% 22.2%
 7 million households
0% by 2022
19.3% Wastes/ 1990 2014
Biofuels Oil products Gas Biofuels/Wastes

Oil Gas
products
100%
13.8% 12.9%
80% 1.6%
18.4%
6.7% Egypt
64.5% 60%
84.6%  Started in early 1980’s
40%
68.7%  1 unit connected/ minute
20%  7.6 milion unit till 2015
28.8% Wastes/  Target: 30 million
Biofuels 0%
households .
1990 2014
Source :OAPEC Oil products Gas Biofuels/Wastes

Page  11 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas in Achieving Sustainable Development
Transportation Sector in the Arab Countries
Electricity
0.1% Gas
0.8%

Oil Total
Products 132 mtoe
99.1%

1 2 3 4
1. In Egypt, 223,500 vehicles
were converted by mid of
2016, ~ 5% of the local
transport fleet.
2. Algeria ‘s total CNG fleet
reached 215 vehicles in
2015.
3. UAE’s program started in
2008,and it is progressing Egypt
Algeria
well. UAE Qatar
4.Qatar started a test phase in
2012

Page  12 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas Trade
Export Pipelines to Europe and Intra-trade Pipelines

4 From Algeria and Libya to Europe 63.5


Pipelines (Italy & Spain) Bcm/y

Start Cap.,
Dest. Pipeline Route
up Bcm/y
Enrico- Algeria-
1983 33.5
Mattei Tunisia-Italy
P.Duran Algeria-
1996 11
Europe Farell Morocco-Spain
Medgaz Algeria-Spain 2011 8
Green
Libya-Italy 2004 11
Stream

2 Intra-trade Pipelines (Arab gas and 43


Pipelines Dolphin gas) Bcm/y

Egypt-Jordon-
Arab Gas 2003 10
Intra- Syria
trade Dolphin Qatar-Abu
2007 33
gas Dhabi- Oman

Page  13 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas Trade
LNG Capacity, million tons per annum (MTPA)

Global LNG capacity reached 308


million tons per annum in 2015. 308
LNG capacity in Arab countries reached MTPA
140.7 million tons per annum in 2015 167.3
which represents 46% of the global MTPA
capacity.
Global
capacity
Algeria Libya UAE Qatar Oman Egypt Yemen
1964 1971 1977 1996 2000 2004 2009
Rest of the
140.7 world
MTPA 54%

Arab
28.6 1 5.8 77 10.4 12.2 6.7 countries
MTPA MTPA MTPA MTPA MTPA MTPA MTPA 46%

Page  14 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas Trade
Development of Natural Gas Exports from Arab Countries

CAGR of Gas Exports From


2005 to 2012
With total volume of 215 bcm, 20% of the global trade in 2012

Share of Gas Exports by


Pipelines & LNG tankers in
2015

of the Global Gas Trade in


2015

Page  15 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas Trade
LNG Exports from Arab Countries in 2015

Yemen
1% Algeria
12%
UAE
Distribution of 5%
LNG Exports Oman Markets
Qatar per country 7%
75%

Arab
Countries
43%

Distribution of LNG
Rest of exports per region
Atlantic
16%

Pacific
Basin
41%

Page  16 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Natural Gas Trade
Development of Gas Imports by Pipelines and FSRUs
Development of Natural Gas Imports in the FSRUs in the Arab Region
Arab Countries
40 2009
35 2015
30
25 FSRU
24
FSRU 7.8 bcm/y
bcm

20
22 23 24 5.2 bcm/y
15 24 23
24
10
12
5 5 5 5
4 1 3 3
0 Jordan
2005 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Kuwait
Pipelines imports LNG imports
Egypt
UAE

CAGR of Gas imports


from 2005 to 2015

Share of Gas Imports 2015 2010


2015 2015
(Pipelines & LNG ) in
2015 FSRU FSRU
8.2 bcm/y 4.9 bcm/y
FSRU FSRU
7.8 bcm/y 5.2 bcm/y
FSRUs in Kuwait, Dubai,
Egypt and Jordan
*FSRU: floating storage and re-gasification unit

Page  17 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Prospects of Natural Gas Industry
 Production Development Projects
KSA
2 mega projects, 40 bcm/y

Egypt
2 mega projects, 40 bcm/y

Algeria
Production
Development 8 projects, 37 bcm/y
Projects Qatar
1 project (Barzan), end of 2016
UAE
1 project (Bab), end of 2020
Oman
1 project (Khazzan), 2017
Kuwait
1 project (Jurassic), 2021
Tunisia
Source :OAPEC
1 project (Nawara), 2017

The ongoing and planned development projects in some Arab countries in the period
(2016-2021) with total capacity of ±180 bcm/y

To support production decline from mature fields To meet the rapidly growing demand

Page  18 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Prospects of Natural Gas Industry
Gas Import Projects

Despite being a major oil and gas supplier to the world, the Arab region is set to be
emerging market for natural gas exports (LNG+ Pipelines) due to growing demand
that exceeds domestic supply in many countries

Egypt Iraq Jordan Lebanon Bahrain Oman UAE Kuwait Morocco

Gas Import
Projects Gas Gas LNG Gas LNG LNG
3rd LNG LNG LNG
Pipeline pipeline Terminal Pipeline terminal terminal
terminal terminal terminal
to import to import (Floating ) to import (Fixed) at (Fixed) at
(floating) (FSU) (Fixed) at
gas from gas from gas from Al Jorf
Ras Al
Iran Tamar Iran Fujairah Asfar
Azor
field

5.2 bcm/y 8.8 bcm/y 0.1 bcm/y 5.2 bcm/y 4.1 bcm/y 10 bcm/y 12.3 bcm/y 15.5 bcm/y 7 bcm/y

2017
2016 2017
2016 2017
2016 2018
2017 2018
2017 2018
2017 2018 2021
2020 2025

Total Additional Import


6 LNG Capacity
3 Pipelines
Projects Receiving
Terminals

Page  19 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Prospects of Natural Gas Industry
LNG Receiving Terminals (Onshore+ FSU/FSRU)
2025 2021
2017 By 2020/2021

7 bcm/y
FSRU
5.2 bcm/y
FSRU
5.2 bcm/y
FSRU
7.8 bcm/y
15.5 bcm/y
B Re-gasification
Capacity
~82 bcm

Lebanon

30%
Egypt

UAE

70%

2017 2018
FSRU FSRU
8.2 bcm/y 4.9 bcm/y
FSRU FSRU FSU 2018
5.2 bcm/y 5.2 bcm/y

FSRU
4.1 bcm/y
A Liquefaction
Capacity
~192 bcm

7.8 bcm/y 12.3 bcm/y

Page  20 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Conclusions

The Arab region holds 27% of the world’s total proven gas reserves, represents
15.5% and 11% of the world’s total gas production and consumption respectively.

Primary energy mix in the Arab countries is dominated by fossil fuels (50% oil,
48% gas , 1.2% Coal )

There are many sectoral areas in which natural gas effectively contributes to
sustainable development objectives.

In 2015, Arab Countries produced 32% of the total word’s oil &NGLs production
while flared 21% of the global gas flaring volume.

Arab Countries supply LNG markets by ~45% of their needs, while Qatar alone
represents 75% of total LNG exports from Arab Countries.

Arab region is set to be emerging market for natural gas exports (LNG+ Pipelines)
due to growing demand that exceeds domestic supply in many countries.

Page  21 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016
Questions?

12
11 1

10 2

9 3

8 4
7 5
6

Eng.Wael A.Moati
Gas Industries Expert,
OAPEC
Whamed_eng@oapecorg.org

Page  22 International Gas Summit (INTERGAS)


Nice, France, November 28-29, 2016

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