22
Normal Distribution
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2
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1
0
0.00
-5 5
Definition 0.22
1 𝑥−𝜇 2
1 −
𝑓 𝑥 = 𝑒 2 𝜎 ~N(𝝁, 𝝈𝟐 ) where -∞< 𝑥, μ < ∞, 𝜎 > 0
𝜎 2𝜋
Standard Normal Distribution:
A Normal distribution whose mean is 0 and variance is 1.
𝑍2
1 − 𝒙−𝝁
𝑓 𝑧 = 𝑒 2 ~N(𝟎,𝟏) , where -∞< 𝑧 < ∞ and 𝒁=
2𝜋 𝝈
Note :
Mean and Variance of Normal distribution is :𝝁 and 𝝈𝟐
Standard deviation of Normal distribution is : 𝝈
Mean and Variance of Standard Normal distribution is: 0 & 1
0.22
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Characteristics of Normal distributions: 2
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1
0.00
0 -5 5
P(μ-2σ<X<μ+2σ) = .9544
P(μ-3σ<X<μ+3σ) = .9973 ∞- 0 ∞
STATISTICAL TABLE –NORMAL DISTRIBUTION (0r) Z Test
STATISTICAL TABLE –NORMAL DISTRIBUTION (0r) Z Test
Example
The average seasonal rainfall in a place is 16 inches with a
0.22
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standard deviation of 4 inches. What is the probability 2
that in a year the rainfall in that place will be between 20 .
and 24 inches? 1
0.00
0 -5 5
Answer:
Given mean (𝝁)=16 inches and Standard deviation (𝝈)= 4 inches
𝒙−𝝁 𝒙−𝟏𝟔
The Normal Variate 𝒁= , 𝒁=
𝝈 𝟒0.22
To find P(20≤x≤24) :
𝟐𝟎−𝟏𝟔 𝟐𝟒−𝟏𝟔
P( <𝐙< ) = P(1< 𝑍 <2)
𝟒 𝟒
= .4772 – 0.3413
= 0.1359 0.00
-5 5
10 2
Example
The weekly wages of 1000 workmen are normally 0.22
.
distributed around a mean of Rs.70 with a standard 2
deviation of Rs.5. Estimate the number of workers whose .
weekly wages will be (i) More than Rs.72 (ii) Less than 1
0.00
Answer:
Given mean (𝝁)=70 inches and Standard deviation (𝝈)= 5 inches
𝒙−𝝁 𝒙−𝟕𝟎
The Normal Variate 𝒁 = , 𝒁=
𝝈 𝟓
(i) To find P(More than Rs.72): P (X>72)
𝑷(𝑿 > 𝟕𝟐) = 𝑷 𝒁 > 𝟎. 𝟒 = 𝟎. 𝟓 − 𝑷(𝟎 < 𝒁 < 𝟎. 𝟒) = 0.5 – 0.1554 = 0.3446
Out of 1000 workmen, the number of workers whose wages are greater
than 72 is = 1000 * 𝑷(𝑿 > 𝟕𝟐) = 344.6 ≃ 345
(ii) To find P(Less than Rs.69): P (X<69)
𝑷(𝑿 < 𝟔𝟗)= 𝑷(𝒁 < −𝟎. 𝟐) = 𝟎. 𝟓 − 𝑷 𝟎 < 𝒁 < 𝟎. 𝟐 = 0.5 -0.0793 = 0.4207
Out of 1000 workmen, the number of workers whose wages are less than
69 is = 1000 * 𝑷(𝑿 < 𝟔𝟗) = 420.7 ≃ 421
(ii) To find P(69<X<72):
𝑷(𝟔𝟗 < 𝑿 < 𝟕𝟐)= 𝑷(−𝟎. 𝟐 < 𝒁 < 𝟎. 𝟒) = 0.0793+0.1554 = 0.2347
Out of 1000 workmen, the number of workers whose wages are lies between
Rs.69 and Rs.72 is = 1000 * 𝑷(𝟔𝟗 < 𝑿 < 𝟕𝟐)= 234.7 ≃ 235
Using Spread Sheets to Compute
Normal Distributions 0.22
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2
Format of Normal distribution in Excel: .
1
0.00
0
=NORM.DIST (x, mean, SD, False)
-5 5
A B C
Mean SD
1 2000 500
2 3 Sigma Values Probability
3 Probability f (x )
4 3 3000 =NORM.DIST(B4,B$1,C$1,FALSE)
5 2.9 3500 =NORM.DIST(B5,B$1,C$1,FALSE)
6 2.8 4000 =NORM.DIST(B6,B$1,C$1,FALSE)
7 2.7 4500 =NORM.DIST(B7,B$1,C$1,FALSE)
8 2.6 5000 =NORM.DIST(B8,B$1,C$1,FALSE)
9 2.5 5500 =NORM.DIST(B9,B$1,C$1,FALSE)
Normal Distribution 0.22
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2
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1
0.00
Normal Distributions 0 -5 5
0.0009
0.0008
0.0007
0.0006
PROBABILITY OF X
0.0005
0.0004
0.0003
0.0002
0.0001
0
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
X
0.22
Sigma = = Deviation .
2
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1
0.00
0 -5 5
-3
-7
-6
-5
-4
-2
-1
7
1
2
3
6
0
4
between + / - 1 68.27 %
.
2
Spends 15~25% of Spends 5% of sales .
sales dollars on cost of dollars on cost of 1
failure failure
0.00
0 -5 5
.
APPLICATION OF NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS: 2
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1
0.00
0 -5 5
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APPLICATION OF NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS: 2
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1
0.00
0
Business Field – Prices of Commodity,
-5 5
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the following (i) P(2𝟔 < 𝐗 <40) (ii) P(𝐗 >45) 2
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1
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Answer:
Given mean (𝝁)=30 and Standard deviation (𝝈)= 5
𝒙−𝝁 𝒙−𝟑𝟎
The Normal Variate 𝒁= , 𝒁=
𝝈 𝟓
(i) To find P(X>45) :
𝟒𝟓−𝟑𝟎
P(X>45) ⇒ P(Z> 𝟓 )
P(Z>0.3) = 0.5 – 0.4987 = 0.0013
P(2𝟔 < 𝐗 <40) = P(-0.8 < 𝑍 <2) = P(0< 𝑍 <0.8) +P(0 < 𝑍 <2)
= 0.2881+0.4772 = 0.7653
Example
A Normal distribution has mean 𝝁=20 and standard
0.22
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deviation 𝝈=10 . Find the value of P(15≤x ≤40). 2
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1
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0 -5 5
Answer:
Given mean (𝝁)=20 and Standard deviation (𝝈)= 10
𝒙−𝝁 𝒙−𝟐𝟎
The Normal Variate 𝒁= , 𝒁=
𝝈 𝟏𝟎
To find P(15≤x≤40) :
𝟏𝟓−𝟐𝟎 𝟒𝟎−𝟐𝟎
P( <𝐙< ) = P(-0.5 < 𝑍 <2)
𝟏𝟎 𝟏𝟎
= 0.6687
Example
A manufacturer produces air mail envelopes whose weight
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is normal with mean 1.950 gm and standard deviation is 2
0.025 gm. The envelopes are sold in lots of 1000. How .
many envelopes in a lot may be heavier than 2 grams? 1
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Answer:
Given mean (𝝁)=1.950 gm and Standard deviation (𝝈)= 0.025 gm
𝒙−𝝁 𝒙−𝟏.𝟗𝟓
The Normal Variate 𝒁= , 𝒁=
𝝈 𝟎.𝟎𝟐𝟓
To find P(X>2):
= 0.5 – 0.4772
= 0.0228
.
life of a particular make, was normally distributed with an 2
average life of 2040 hours and standard deviation of 60 .
hrs. Estimate the number of bulbs likely to burn for (i) 1
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More than 2150 hrs (ii) Less than 1950 hrs (iii) more
0 -5 5
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and 8% are over 64. Find the mean and the standard 2
deviation. .
1
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0 -5 5
Answer:
0.22
𝟒𝟓−μ
Z= =-0.5⇒ -0.5 σ+ μ = 45 ----- 1
σ
The Value of Z corresponding to the area 0.42
0.42 is 1.4 nearly. 𝑷(𝑿 > 𝟔𝟒) 0.19
𝟔𝟒−μ
Z= =1.4⇒ 1.4 σ+ μ = 64 --------- 2 0.31 0.08
σ 0.00
-5 5
From equation 1 & 2 , we get 𝝁 = 50 and 𝝈 =10
Example
In a distribution exactly normal, 7% of the items are
0.22
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under 35 and 89% are under 63. What are the mean and 2
the standard deviation of the distribution? .
1
0.00
0 -5 5
Answer:
0.22
𝟑𝟓−μ
Z= =-1.47 ⇒ -1.47σ+ μ = 35 ----- 1
σ
The Value of Z corresponding to the area 0.39
0.39 is 1.23 nearly. 𝑷(𝑿 < 𝟔𝟑) 0.43
𝟔𝟑−μ
Z= =1.23⇒ 1.23 σ+ μ = 63 --------- 2 0.07 0.11
σ 0.00
-5 5
From equation 1 & 2 , we get 𝝁 = 50.288 and 𝝈 =10.36