Important Terms
a 6
a If E1 occurs, then E2 cannot occur
a E1 and E2 have no common elements
E2 A person cannot
E1
be married and
Married remain single at
Single the same time.
m
k
0 P(ei) 1
P(e i ) º 1
For any event ei i º1
where:
k = Number of elementary events
in the sample space
ei = ith elementary event
ÿ i
i
P( E ) º 1 Î P(E) E
Or, (E) ( E ) º
ÿ i
Ŷ
6
6
Don¶t count common
elements twice!
ÿi
6
! "
Don¶t count
the two red
$ aces twice!
%
6# %6
!
& ! ! !"
%6
ÿ
i i
a If E1 and E2 are mutually exclusive, then
So
6
m
P(E1 and E 2 )
P(E1 | E 2 ) º
P(E 2 )
w ere P(E 2 )
m
i
$ &$ %6
$ ' ' '(
&$ ' ' ')
%6 '! ' '*
(E 2 | E1 ) º (E 2 ) where (E1 ) 0
ÿ
6 )*'" *' *'
$6
!-*'
6 !*'" *' *'!*
,6
*'"
6 *'" *') *'!
6 )*' *' *'
*' $6
!-*'
6 !*' *'*'*
)6 !*' *') *'*
G
P(Ei )P(B| Ei )
P(Ei | B) º
P(E1)P(B| E1) a P(E2 )P(B| E2 ) a Õ a P(Ek )P(B| Ek )
a where:
Ei = ith event of interest of the k possible events
B = new event that might impact P(Ei)
Events E1 to Ek are mutually exclusive and collectively
exhaustive
G
i
Sum = .36
G
i
2
Sum = .36