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Evaluating Consumer Loans

Group 7
Nivesh Arora (081037)
Radhika Gupta (081040)
Rajat Pahwa (081042)
Retail Banking
Mass Market driven
Individual consumers
Services
Saving and checking accounts
Bill paying services
Debit and Credit cards
Additionally push into investment services
Wealth Management
Brokerage account
Private Banking

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Retail Loans

Credit to individual for Non entrepreneurial activities

Used towards consumption


They have to be repaid by borrower out of his/her own
resources.
They do not generate income-generating assets.
There are exceptions like housing loan wherein house
may generate rental income.

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Break Up Of Retail Loans in India

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Why are interest rates so high on consumer loans ?

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Most costly and risky to make per rupee out of the
loanable funds !

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Characteristics of consumer loan
Regarded as profitable credits with sticky interest rates
Household borrowings appear to be relatively interest
inelastic

Priced high
Sufficiently large risk premium is built in loan rates

Cyclically sensitive
Rise in the period of economic expansion
During downturn the consumers become pessimistic ; as
such reduce their borrowings

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If you are lending the money what are the first things
that you will check for ?

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Evaluating a consumer loan
Character and Purpose
Key factors in analyzing any application are character
and ability to pay
Credit bureau – Consumers credit history is checked
Purpose – What the customer plans to do with the money
?
Cosigner may be asked for in case of no credit history or
poor track records

Income levels
Size and stability of income
Prefer the take home pay as a parameter

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Deposit balances
Indirect measure
Daily average deposit balances ( gives an indication of
stability)
Verification of the account from the bank
Right of offset – Call any loan which is in default and
seize any checking or savings deposit

Employment and Residential stability


Duration of employment
Length of residence

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Pyramiding of debt – When an individual draws credit
at one lending institution to pay the other
Piling up of debt relative to income

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Can you now tell what are the positive factors for a
loan officer to lend ?

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Home ownership
Regular and stable income
Telephone
Strong deposit balances
Loan officers also look for inconsistencies in
application form while asking questions

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Loan Evaluation Process

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6 C’s of lending
Subjective Lending
Character
Capacity
Cash
Collateral
Conditions
Control

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Credit scoring model to evaluate
Objective approach
Banks today use such models to evaluate the loan
applications

Based on discriminant model or related techniques

Several variables are picked up from the application form


Used jointly to establish a numerical score or ranking
Decide on critical cut off limit; only beyond this limit the loan
is offered
Cut off limit on past behavior of loans lent
Repeatedly and timely revised Microsoft Office
Excel 97-2003 Worksheet

Credit_scoring_dummy.xls

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Example
Case of Retail Loans.doc

Microsoft Office
Word 97 - 2003 Document

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What is the customers past payment record ?
Is the identity of the customer established ?

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Analyzing application using 6 C’s
Character
Credit rating - No credit history as such other than the
loan from the employer and an insurance policy
Purpose - ok ; higher studies and furnishing
Customer’s income level should increase post the course
Aunt as a guarantor – raises question on why not
someone from immediate family (parents)
Capacity - Ok
Customer of legal age (26 years)
Identity established – DL furnished. As it is customer
and guarantor are existing customers

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Cash
Cash flows.xls
Barely able to meet his expenses Microsoft Office
Excel 97-2003 Worksheet

Collateral
Furniture which is bought
Personal guarantee of aunt
Why not the collateral from the immediate family
Need more information on parental house and telephone
connection at that place

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What according to you should be asked for in
documentation?

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Conditions
Economic slowdown, near revision in salary might not be
much
Defaults in consumer loans have risen in the past few years.
There have been job cuts in the last year or so.

Control
Documentation required
 Permanent address proof
 Salary Slip
 Bank already has the deposit details and identity proof
 Verification of assets of guarantor

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Evaluation using credit scoring
model
Credit_Scoring_model_Rajan_soni.xls

Microsoft Office
Excel 97-2003 Worksheet

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Decision
Deny the loan on present terms asked by the customer
Barely able to meet expenses
EMI & obligations will shoot to 30% of the current take
home income
Guarantor past history only average
No clarity on permanent residence
Contactibility –Not reliable. Assuming Mobile phone
connection is prepaid
Decision.xls
Microsoft Office
Excel 97-2003 Worksheet

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Consolidate and change terms
Alternative
Ask for guarantee of someone from immediate family
and with better credit history
Ask for permanent residence and landline or at least
post paid connection
Consolidate the outstanding loan from the employer
Loan amt of 90,000 to have the part cheque towards the
employer
Change the term from 12 to 24 months
Fore\IVth_semester\MOCB\Evaluation\Alternative term
s.xls

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Education loan evaluation
Go ahead with the education loan if the details asked
for are furnished and the terms are changed:
Change the term to 48 months – Assuming interest rate
at 14% per annum
Debt obligation to net take home comes out to be at 22 -
25% which is still acceptable
Alternative terms.xls

Microsoft Office
Excel 97-2003 Worksheet

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Winning Strategy

The bank that best addresses and anticipates


customers needs, delivers consistently higher
quality service and connects to the customer via
their channel of choice wins

Y.Y.Chin, OCBC Bank

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Thank You !

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