Introduction
This presentation represents an attempt to travel through time and see the future. The future will consist of many things were interested in seeing how Information Technology will evolve over the next ten years or so. There are no guarantees with prediction and often times predictions become self-fulfilling if we want something bad enough we might make it happen sooner (and the opposite may apply as well).
Web Servers are predict the future is are The main reason weone thing, Nuclear Reactors because it a bit more dangerous there are systems which represents the only effective mechanism to help absolutely must not FAIL. prepare for it.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
Key developments often occur at Nexus points where trends merge together or when a critical realization is made
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
Prediction Categories
This presentation will separate our predictions across three key categories: 1. Prediction of Major IT Trends 2. Prediction of Future IT Practices 3. Prediction of IT Impacts on Everyday Life The Trends category will attempt to capture key overarching developments or directions for IT. With Practices we will examine what tomorrows Web Servers doing. IT workers will beare one thing, Nuclear Reactors are And lastly, well examine impacts on everyday life.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
a bit more dangerous there are systems which absolutely must not FAIL.
Whether we like it or not, weve become a generation of IT Geeks Internet Gaming, Facebook, Digital HD Television, Internet Telephony, iPads, Smartphones Even Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are a bit more dangerous there are systemswithout IT is imagining a lifestyle which absolutely must not FAIL. now becoming difficult.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
Predictions: IT Trends
Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are a bit more dangerous there are systems which absolutely must not FAIL.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
10
Sometimes the destination is obvious the result of a logical progression; other times we take unexpected turns. Prediction must account for the human factor.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
11
12
13
Everything in Nature which appears to be solid & static is in fact flexible and dynamic
Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are a bit more dangerous there are systems which absolutely must not FAIL.
14
Infrastructure Consolidation
This is perhaps our easiest prediction because this trend has already been underway for more than five years. Infrastructure Consolidation includes process integration, regional data center consolidation, application & data management consolidation, security coordination and facility management elements. Centralization & Redistribution comes in cycles though. 2021 will represent the end of the current consolidation trend and the beginning of the next de-centralization Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are trend. Decentralization will return as data, applications a bit more dangerous there are systems which & hardware become more dynamic and less complex absolutely must not FAIL. to manage.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
15
Capability Consolidation
This is another trend that has been underway for the past decade (through such solution approaches as ERP). Capability Consolidation will reach its zenith around 2021. Combined software / service (SAAS) will become more successful, less costly to implement. This will mark the beginning of a new round of differentiating capability. Now that someare the of Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors a bit more dangerous there are systems which basics have been mastered new capabilities will absolutely must not FAIL. begin to enter mainstream IT.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
16
Consolidation & Standardization occurred with modern industrialization before the advent of IT since then it continues to be reinvented on a regular basis.
Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are a bit more dangerous there are systems which absolutely must not FAIL.
17
18
19
Why worry about evil supercomputers Webwhen there are so many unpleasant Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are a bitpeople we could worry about instead ? more dangerous there are systems which
absolutely must not FAIL.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
20
Semantic Intelligence
Many people have heard of the Semantic Web, many others saw a computer defeat Jeopardys all time champions this year there is a connection. While Watson, the IBM supercomputer who made headlines on Jeopardy wasnt built entirely around Semantic Web standards, it was built around the premise that Semantic Reasoning is perhaps the most important tool we have in helping to sift through massive amounts of data rapidly.
Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are Semantic Intelligence represents the systematic a bit exploitation more dangerous there standards as well as of both semantic are systems which absolutely must not FAIL. core semantic computing principles / techniques.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
21
Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are a bit more dangerous there are systems which absolutely must not FAIL.
22
Collaborative Intelligence
The second most valuable tool we will have is each other. We are at the brink of what will eventually come to be known as Collaborative Intelligence or Cognition. In some ways we are already experiencing this in a delayed sense through open source software and collective commons. The real power though of Collaborative Cognition will be the power are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are thought to harness expertise and Web Servers a bit more dangerous there are in near-real across communities of practicesystems which time absolutely must not FAIL. and eventually real-time.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
23
Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are a bit more dangerous there are systems which absolutely must not FAIL.
24
Predictions: IT Practice
Web Servers are one thing, Nuclear Reactors are a bit more dangerous there are systems which absolutely must not FAIL.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
25
What is IT Practice ?
IT Practice is similar to other practices (like Accounting or Law or Medicine) in that it involves a similar set of activities built atop a core foundation of skills, knowledge and capabilities. IT Practice is different though in that there is a built in expectation for dynamic change at the fundamental level. While Doctors, Lawyers and Accountants are fundamentally the same asNuclear were 100 years they Reactors are Web Servers are one thing, bit more dangerous there are systems which ago ITaexperts didnt exist yet. Since then the absolutely must not FAIL. field has redefined itself many times
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
26
IT Practice will always have new goals, targets and approaches. The key is solving todays challenges so we can move to tomorrows
27
What is an IT Practice ?
Just as within Law or Medicine there are specialized sub-disciplines so to in IT are focused practice areas. Today those practices include; Enterprise Resource Planning Consulting, Management Consulting, Data Modeling & Development, Application Development, Infrastructure Deployment, Business Intelligence / Analytics and so on. There are more than a dozen practice areas with dozens of industry variations.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
Knowledge is made up of many building blocks, over the next 10 years an ever-growing portion of the human race will be contributing new blocks
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
37
Knowledge Democratization
This is another example of an existing trend which will reach something close to its full potential by 2021. Knowledge Democratization is the notion that development, interpretation and dissemination of Knowledge will be managed by an ever growing number of people (mainly through collaborative toolsets and later using Semantic and Collaborative Intelligence). Anyone can be an expert if they apply themselves to a subject this Knowledge Democracy will foster creativity, fairness and innovation.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
38
Conclusion
In many ways 2021 will seem a lot like today. For IT practitioners many of the technologies or approaches currently being used will still be around many will have evolved and a few will disappear. The real difference ten years from now will be the ease with which we begin to manage large data sets and to combine applications, processes and data from different areas to solve tasks in a more unified fashion. This will come not because we design all possible variations into systems, but because we begin designing more adaptive systems.
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
39
40
Defining Reality
Reality is a shared conceptual perspective of the world around us. As we contribute new ideas to that perspective reality changes
Copyright 2011, Semantech Inc.
41
42