1. INTRODUCTION
Growth in Real GDP Averaged at 6% per Year during 1980-2005 India is in an enviable position among developing countries Fear of competition is receding confidence among Indian industries in their ability to compete in the world market. Success of IT is spilling over to manufacturing Indias standing as an economic power in the South Asian region and the world has risen None of this would have happened but for systemic reforms initiated in 1991 Origins of reforms
INTRODUCTION (continued)
Break from the Hindu rate of grown of 3.75% per year from 1950-80 Piece-meal and hesitant reforms of 1980s accompanied by fiscal profligacy and debt accumulation generated unsustainable growth Macroeconomic crisis of 1991 Approach to IMF and the World Bank
INTRODUCTION (continued):
Systemic reforms Initiated Reforms not reversed as they were after the 1966 crisis Collapse of the Soviet Union Chinas rapid growth after 1978
Peak rate of 7.8% in 1996-97 Since then fluctuations in the range of 4% 8.5% Adjustment for monsoons and business cycle
Improvements in reach and depth of banking sector, its balance sheet, capital structure, net profits and NPAs. New financial products introduced Government Security Market has experienced increases in market size, lower yields and longer maturities Monetary Policy more independent and based on indirect instruments Turnover in foreign exchange markets increased Despite achievements problems remain Risk Assessment mechanisms not up to standard Not ready for Basel-II Public ownership a major problem Success in reforming of equity markets Creation of SEBI, National Stock Exchange Transactions costs fall and markets are integrated nationally
4. CONCLUSION:
Reform process stalled Plethora of committees and commissions to study issues studied several times earlier Actions cannot be delayed in several areas Further opening of the economy to external competition Have to move away from protectionism Attract larger inflows of FDI including in manufacturing Push for further liberalization of trade in goods and services in the Doha Round
CONCLUSION (Contd):
Financial sector reforms including further divestment Set up a date certain for capital account convertibility Fiscal consolidation Tax and Expenditure reforms Rethinking Fiscal Federalism Privitization National Investment Fund