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BUILDING YOUR MODEL and

GENERATING YOUR HYPOTHESES

AHMED I. GHONEIM
Saturday, May 05, 2012 Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo University

To Begin With
The most difficult thing in science, , is to shake off accepted views, to observe with ones own eyes, and think with ones own brain George Sarton, The civilization of the Renaissance
Saturday, May 05, 2012 Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo 2

Goals of Science
Analytical Focus X X
Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo 3

Goals
Understanding Prediction

Interaction Outcomes
Saturday, May 05, 2012

EMPIRICISM
EMPIRICISM as one of the old schools of philosophy of science What is EMPIRICISM ? EMPIRICISM and theory building & hypotheses testing !

Saturday, May 05, 2012

Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo

Theory Building Approache(s)


THEORY

Theory (tentative) Propositions Empirical indicators Research hypotheses Research method(s) Observable results

Saturday, May 05, 2012

Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo

The Role of Theory in Applied Research

Saturday, May 05, 2012

Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo

Models
An analytical model is a set of variables and their interrelationships designed to represent, in whole or in part, some real system or process.
Models : verbal , Graphical or Mathematical

In verbal models, the variables and their relationships are stated in prose form. Such models may be mere restatements of the main tenets of a theory.
Saturday, May 05, 2012 Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo 7

Models

(cont.)

Graphical models are visual. They are used to isolate variables and to suggest directions of relationships but are not designed to provide numerical results.
Example:
Awareness

Understanding: Evaluation
Preference
Saturday, May 05, 2012 Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo 8

Models

(cont.)

Saturday, May 05, 2012

Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo

Propositions
What is a proposition? Why? Difference between: propositions & laws of interaction Difference between: propositions & Hypotheses

Saturday, May 05, 2012

Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo

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Hypotheses
Hypotheses, Why? What is a hypothesis ? Hypotheses Formulation What do we test: Propositions or Hypotheses ?
Exercises >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Saturday, May 05, 2012 Ahmed Ghoneim, Prof. of Marketing, Cairo 11

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