The Firm's Balance Sheet __________________________________________________________ Cash A/P A/R Other Current Inventory Liabilities _________________ _____________________ Total Current Assets Total Current Liabilities Fixed Assets: Plant & Equipment Capital: Debt Preferred Stock Common Equity --Retained Earnings --Common Stock _____________________ Total Liabilities & Equity Savers/ Investors
Securities
Firms Income Statement Revenue -Expenses -Taxes Net Income Retained Earnings? Dividends?
The stock market disciplines the firm by causing the stock price to decline. In response, the firm can:
Change strategies. The Board of Directors can replace the managers ( this is called internal governance). The firm can be merged/taken over (this is called the market for corporate control). Declare bankruptcy.
In the Theory of Finance, the appropriate goal of the firm is to maximize the value of shareholder wealth. Shareholders commit part of their wealth to the firm when they buy the firms common stock. Equivalent ways of stating this goal are:
To maximize the market value of the firm. To maximize the stock price of the firm.
(1 + k)1
(1 + k)2
(1 + k)3
(1 + k)
t=1
(1 + k)t
This equation says that value (i.e., the stock price) depends on:
The stream of dividends. Risk, reflected in the discount rate, k. The timing of the dividends.
Note that value depends on all future dividends and not only on next quarter's dividends. Where do dividends come from?
Dividends = (Earnings) Earnings = (Revenue, Expenses, Interest Exp.,Other) Revenue = (Business Decisions, Strategy)
Agency Problems and Costs. Investors (principals) provide funds, but managers (agents) formulate and implement strategies and tactics: the problem of separation of ownership and control. The goal is to maximize shareholder wealth, but investors cannot be sure that managers will act in shareholders best interests. Managers might:
Shirk their duties. Use corporate resources to pay for perquisites. Shift funds into higher risk projects than the stockholders desire.
New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 11 __________________________________________ Observability, asymmetric information, & moral hazard:
Investors cannot observe everything managers do. Managers have more information about the firm.
Investors monitor the firm, and the firm incurs monitoring costs.
Investor relations staffs, annual reports, SEC and other regulatory reports consume resources.
If managers actions cannot be observed directly, then periodic disclosure must be made:
Disclosure: information sets become more symmetric. Are bank loan officers' salaries a monitoring cost?
Agency problems can be solved if the interests of managers and investors are aligned, if both managers and investors have the same incentives. Agency theory suggests if managers are bonded to the firm, managers would behave in the shareholders' best interests.
This entails bonding costs. For example, stock options or stock purchase programs (like at 85% of the market price) transform managers into owner/managers. But managers are buying into the firm at below-market prices. The bonding cost is the loss of wealth suffered by other shareholders when the stock is sold cheap.
These costs cause shareholder wealth to be less than if managers didn't pose a moral hazard.
We live in an imperfect world. A perfect world of symmetric information no moral hazards is not attainable.
A closer look at financial contracting. Bonds are loan contracts, and common stocks have legal ties to the firm via the firm's charter.
Bonds are fixed income securities that have finite lives: bonds have a fixed maturity date, pay a set amount of interest each period, and borrowings must be repaid. Stocks are variable income securities that have infinite lives. Dividends are not guaranteed and stock never maturesas long as the firm is alive. Stocks can be repurchased by the firm, but that is different: stock can be retired but it does not mature. Stocks represent an equity, or ownership, interest in the firm.
Preferred Fixed, periodic dividend Stock No maturity date Div. must be declared
Consider a 10% , 1-year bond or a 10%, 5-year bond; both have a maturity value of $1,000. Currently, bond interest rates are 10%, but rates may vary between 8% and 12% over the next few months. How do changing interest rates affect bond values?
Interest = .10 x $1,000 = $100 per year
B. 5-Year Bond Present value of: Interest Maturity value Price of bond $ 399.27 680.58 $1,079.85 $ 379.07 620.93 $1.000.00 $ 360.48 567.42 $ 927.90
Define k as the Market Rate of Interest. The example shows that that k and a bonds price are inversely related:
Bond prices goes up as k goes down. Bond prices goes down as k goes up.
Note that the bond with the longer maturity (the 5yr bond) has greater price volatility for the same changes in the interest rate.
The 5-yr bond has a higher price at 8% and a lower price at 12% than the 1-yr bond.
Project evaluation techniques. Developing new products or services are essential if a firm is to continue growing. Capital budgeting involves:
Long-term investment opportunities as projects. Conducting a cost/benefit analysis for each project. Accepting projects when benefits exceed the costs. Picking good projects allows the firm to grow and to increase its stock price.
NPV =
NPV =
This gives rise to the following set of decision rules that are used in capital budgeting:
Criterion Accept NPV O IRR MCC Reject
NPV IRR
IRR is the Internal Rate of Return and is defined as the discount rate that makes NPV = 0.
Who gets the NPV > 0 and how does it achieve the goal of the firm?
Common shareholders, the residual claimants. Bondholders and preferred shareholders get what they expect, and common shareholders get what is left over. The larger the residual, the more wealth common shareholders receive (think of the positive NPV that Intel creates with each new generation of microprocessors.) If managers select all of the projects with NPV > 0, this is the best that shareholders can hope for and the stock price will be maximized. Negative NPVs would make the stock price go down.
Informational efficiency: This important concept is the idea that having accurate information is crucial to making good investment decisions. Financial markets are informationally efficient if security prices fully reflect all information and react immediately to impound new information.
For example, if the financial markets are efficient, then Intels stock price reflects all information about Intel. Any new information about Intel will make its stock price go up or down immediately.
One implication is that it is hard to "beat the market" in an efficient market. The greatest rewards exist for those who have the best information; there is much competition for information.
The "big players" who have the most resources gain information first and grab the available profits first. You and I, who are far from Wall Street and who spend little on information, find it difficult to beat the market. Getting information first, or immediately, is very costly and it is difficult to beat the market and to cover the costs of obtaining information.
Nevertheless, information efficiency is an important concept, and financial markets are pretty efficient in my opinion.
Competitive markets are key: as information becomes available, investors revise their decisions to buy or sell a stock or bond, so there must be markets in which they can actually buy or sell. Economics and finance profs love markets: supply and demand come together and individuals are free to make buy or sell decisions that are in their best own interests. As information arrives, it becomes reflected in prices, so price changes signal good news (prices up) or bad news (prices down).
The strong form does not hold: there is value to insider information
The semi-strong form has been found to hold pretty well, but not completely
A basic principle of Finance: more risk should be rewarded with a higher return. In the Theory of Finance, taking risk is a good thing since it creates new wealth (new products, new technologies, etc.) Thus, there should be rewards for bearing risk.
Risk-free Rate: kf
Risk premium
Time value of money ______________________________________________________________Risk Treasury Bonds Corporate Bonds Common Stock New Ventures, Options, Futures, and other Derivatives
A life-cycle view of the growth of a technologydriven firm. Corporate Finance textbooks typically concentrate on firms that have gone beyond the start-up stage and are publicly-traded.
Publicly-traded firms have developed products and services that generate earnings from the assets in place. Start-ups have no assets in place, and maybe are based on no more than a product or service concept. The value of a publicly-traded firm is based on assets in place, a start-ups value is based on its growth options.
__________________________________________________________________ Time
R&D (Seed & start-up) Early growth (First stage start-up) Rapid growth (Late stage start-up) Maturity Decline (---- Publicly-traded ----)
Expansion
Second Stage. Working capital financing provided; likely to have no profits. Third Stage. Financing for plant expansion, marketing, and working capital. Bridge Stage. Financing for firm expected to go public in 6-12 months; often repaid from IPO proceeds.
Disclosure: through business plans, and and direct examination by investors --markets are less "informationally efficient
Not what VCs invest in; bank loans probably available, but financing still a big problem Financial markets generally available
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