Group Members:
Habiba Ahsan Muhammad Ali Ijaz Sidra Shahid Zain Noor
Agenda
Introduction Motivation Regional threats and its types Terrorism its types and causes Factors boosting terrorism Imapct of terrorism on Pakistans economy
Decline in Foreign Investments
Sidra Shahid
Internal Displaced People (IDP) Increase in Unemployment Stock exchange Suffered Decline Rise in Smuggling Agriculture Manufacturing Tourism Sports Other Economic dimensions
Zain Noor
Conclusion
Introduction
Threat:
1. An expression of an intention to inflict pain, injury, evil, or punishment.
2. An indication of future danger or harm. 3. One that is regarded as a possible danger; a menace. (The American heritage dictionary of security law version 8)
Regional threat:
Any kind of expression of an intention to inflict pain, injury, evil or punishment that is concentrated in a particular region in order to achieve political, religious or ideological objectives is known as the regional threat.
Domestic pressure:
Pressure exerted upon the masses of a particular region as a result of a threat in order to create commotion and tension. => according to Ishrat Hussain regional threat and domestic pressure is directly proportional to each other. Ishrat Hussain , SIPA Journal of International Affairs (vol. 63)
Terrorism
Inflation
Energy Crises
Inflation, energy crises and all other regional threats are due to terrorism. (Ishrat Hussain)
Terrorism:
The calculated use of violence or threat of violence to inculcate fear; intended to force or threaten government or societies in pursuit of goals that are generally political, religious or ideological. Joint publication 3-07.2, joint tactics, techniques, and procedures for antiterrorism.
Terrorism perpetrated by the citizens of a country against their fellow citizens. Includes acts against citizens of a second country when they are in the host country, and not the principal or intended target.
Types of terrorism
Terrorism
Domestic terrorism
International terrorism
Economic terrorism
Causes of terrorism:
Causes of terrorism
Pakistan as a developing country faced serious problems since its inception and some of them sow their dragon teeth in the soil of Pakistan to give birth to terrorism, such as;
Poverty
Growing poverty affects the whole nation to cause terrorism. Population of Pakistan is 168.23 million by 2009, out of this 35-50% of population lives below the poverty line. In rural areas people do not have to eat two times a day that encourages them to adopt illicit alternatives to meet their basic needs.
Continued..
Injustice and Venality
Corruption and injustice started rising since 1947 and did not stop, still rising above the maturity. Pakistan stays at 42nd position in the worlds providing justice and establishing sound departments. Injustice irks the society in scores to go for alternatives. On the other hand, Organization like Tehrik-i-Taliban (TTP) and Al-Qaeda offered prompt justice by imposing their written Islamic Shariah gained popularity and become cause of supporting terrorists. Ineffective and Improper government institutes in FATA and NWFP fuel the fire to grab the nation under its lap. It is a same repeated mistake done by the government which became cause of separation of East Pakistan.
Soaring Unemployment
Unemployment and ineffective quota system does not meet both ends. Lack of employment encouraged Kalashnikov culture in affected areas and people divert their support from government to Taliban Unemployment Rate (% of Labor Force) for Pakistan in year 2010 is 6.195 % (IMF staff latest actual data)
Lack of education
The major factor behind terrorism in Pakistan is declining standard of education and its implementation. In Pakistan there are only 51 universities mostly erected in urban areas. In NWFP and FATA there was no proper setup of primary education to develop base of education and negate the evil thinking of act of terrorism. Government proved to fail by keeping balance between Islamic teachings and state education. Due to the presence of few elements in government or authorizes motivated the madressah without evaluation that becomes road towards terrorism. Former president, Pervaiz Musharraf inked in his book In the line of fire that; The period of Zia and Soviet invasion in Afghanistan was the inception of Taliban in Pakistan.
its followers
CSS forum
Decline in Foreign Investments Internal Displaced People (IDP) Increase in Unemployment Stock exchange Suffered Decline Rise in Smuggling Agriculture Manufacturing Tourism Sports Other Economic dimensions
FDI Inflows
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows (in Million Dollars) 6000 4000 2000 0
Economywatch.com
Increase in unemployment
It is related to the decrease in investment in public development in the areas being used for war on terror. A major victim is the frontier province. With the increase in cost of war on terror, the development projects all over the country have slowed down, due to which unemployment level has increased.
Rate of unemployment
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Rate of unemployment
Economywatch.com
IDPs
2000000 1500000 1000000 500000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Pakistan Internal displacement trend 2001-10
The above data clearly shows the rising numbers of IDPs within Pakistan. The numbers reached about 1.75 million in the year 2010.
KSE-30 Index
18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Index points
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Karachi stock exchange 2010
Rise in Smuggling
Due to cross border terrorism, smuggling has increased. It has resulted in:
Reduction in legal imports. Reduction in revenues from duties and levies by the government. Thousands of industrial units have been rendered sick, due to the availability of smuggled goods in open markets. Reduction in tax revenue for the government.
AGRICULTURE
Districts of Swat, Buner, Shangla and Lower Dir and Malakand Agency Nearly 48 %of Pakistans total fruit is produced by the NWFP, with Swat district being a major contributor - National Agricultural Research Centre (NARC) Swat has 98,100 hectares arable land, while 408,175 hectares remain uncultivable
CSS FORUM
Loss to agriculture alone amounts to Rs. 35 billion. 55 to 70 % of the total fruit produce has gone waste (2007) Share of agriculture in the gross domestic product (GDP) has been constantly falling. It accounted for 25.9 %of GDP in 1999-2000 Economic Survey of Pakistan Gradually its share shrank to 21.3 %in 20072008 but improved slightly to 21.8 % in 20082009.
MANUFACTURING
The manufacturing sector is witnessing the lowest-ever share of 18.2 % in the GDP over the last five years Mining & Quarry sector grew by only 1.3 % in 2008-2009, as compared to 4.4 % in the year before - target of 5.0 % The contribution of this sector to the GDP has remained low at around 2.5 %
SPORTS
PCB suffered a loss of 51.22 million dollars TOURISM Tourism industry suffered a loss of 44 million dollars. TABLE TRENDS
PAKISTANDEFENSE.COM
Economic Dimension
Effect on Economic Growth Negative Exports Negative Sectored Distribution Shift from Tradable to Non-tradable Consumption Negative Investment - Negative due to budgetary restrictions and increased uncertainty
Budget Deficit - Positive Distribution of government spending Positive Civic entitlements Partial Compensation Human Costs Positive Development costs Positive
Economy is struggling
Recommendations
Employment opportunities:
Free and fair quota for all provinces
Provide justice:
Law should be equal for every one
Recommendations
Proper government setup:
Learn lesson from separation of East Pakistan
Freedom and fear are at war Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists George w. Bush (September 20, 2001)
Q U E S T I O N S ? ?