November 2013
No
Rincian
1 Batubara
2 Minyak Nabati
3 Tekstil dan Produk Tekstil
4 Alat Listrik, Ukur dan Fotografi
5 Karet Olahan
6 Barang dari Logam Tidak Mulia
7 Makanan Olahan
8 Kertas dan Barang dari Kertas
9 Produk Kimia
10 Kayu Olahan
Pangsa
16,6
12,1
8,8
7,4
6,4
5,7
3,5
2,5
2,3
2,3
Komoditi
Deflasi
Daging Ayam Ras
Bawang Merah
Telur Ayam Ras
Tomat
Kentang
Wortel
Cabe Rawit
Inflasi
Cabe Merah
Jeruk
Mie Instan
Beras
Kelapa
%,mtm
Oktober 2013
Kontribusi (%, mtm)
7.17
13.02
4.75
18.79
3.58
6.48
3.30
0.12
0.11
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.01
0.01
39.85
3.03
2.48
0.20
3.63
0.18
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
Sumber : BPS
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 10
60.00
9.0
8.0
7.0
40.00
6.0
5.0
20.00
4.0
0.00
3.0
2.0
-20.00
1.0
-40.00
01-Jan-08
01-Mar-08
01-May-08
01-Jul-08
01-Sep-08
01-Nov-08
01-Jan-09
01-Mar-09
01-May-09
01-Jul-09
01-Sep-09
01-Nov-09
01-Jan-10
01-Mar-10
01-May-10
01-Jul-10
01-Sep-10
01-Nov-10
01-Jan-11
01-Mar-11
01-May-11
01-Jul-11
01-Sep-11
01-Nov-11
01-Jan-12
01-Mar-12
01-May-12
01-Jul-12
01-Sep-12
01-Nov-12
01-Jan-13
01-Mar-13
01-May-13
01-Jul-13
01-Sep-13
0.0
*) Indeks komposit harga global dengan weigted average (berdasar prosentase impor dan bobot di IHK) dari komoditas pangan
(CPO, gandum, gula, jagung dan kedelai) , minyak dunia (WTI), emas, kapas, dan besi.
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 11
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 12
7.5
7.0
rBI Rate
rPUAB O/N
Rp T
120
rDF O/N
6.5
100
6.0
rPUAB : 5.70%
4.5
130
90
60
bps
150
110
80
5.5
5.0
170
2-4 Hari
1 Minggu
2 Minggu
1 Bulan
70
50
40
30
4.0
20
3.5
Jan-12 Apr-12
10
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13 Apr-13
Jul-13
-10
Jan-13
Oct-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
2012
Oct-13
2013
Jul
Agt
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Ags
Sep
BI Rate
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.25
Penjaminan Deposito
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.75
6.25
6.25
7.00
5.39
5.42
5.40
5.49
5.42
5.58
5.49
5.43
5.51
5.42
5.53
5.60
5.90
6.19
6.73*
11.78
11.73
11.70
11.68
11.61
11.49
11.49
11.45
11.44
11.44
11.46
11.41
11.66
11.63
11.79
11.42
11.35
11.36
11.29
11.24
11.27
11.29
11.27
11.24
11.21
11.17
11.14
11.29
11.37
11.49
13.92
13.69
13.67
13.60
13.53
13.58
13.40
13.22
13.28
13.22
13.20
13.14
13.06
13.05
13.03
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 13
15
12.14
13
8
7
6
5
11
3
2
6.73
Sb Kredit
BI rate
Jul-13
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-10
Sb Dep 1 bln
Jan-11
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-06
Spread-rhs
Jan-07
Jul-05
Jan-06
0
Jan-05
Sb LPS
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 14
Lainnya
Jasa Sosial
Jasa Dunia Usaha
Pengangkutan
Perdagangan
Konstruksi
2012
Indikator
Utama
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2013
Sep
Okt
Nov
Des
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Juni
Juli
Agt
Sep
Total Aset
(T Rp)
4,009.4
4,028.8
4,103.5
4,262.6
4,211.0
4,237.1
4,313.8
4,367.8
4,418.7
4,461.8
4,510.3
4,581.1
4,737.3
DPK
(T Rp)
3,130.5
2,631.0
3,225.2
2,707.9
3,204.5
2,688.1
3,207.3
2,718.7
3,243.1
2,768.4
3,299.4
2,824.2
3,349.7
2,887.5
3,392.9
3,440.2
3,526.2
(T Rp)
3,070.6
2,585.4
3,374.4
Kredit *
3,050.0
2,555.9
2,959.1
3,021.1
3,067.4
3,147.2
89.3
LDR*
(%)
83.8
84.2
84.0
84.0
83.9
84.8
85.4
85.6
86.2
87.7
89.0
89.2
NPLs Gross*
(%)
2.1
2.2
2.0
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.9
2.0
1.9
CAR
(%)
17.4
17.3
17.4
17.4
19.2
19.2
18.9
18.6
18.4
18.0
18.0
17.9
18.0
NIM
ROA
* tanpa channeling
(%)
(%)
5.5
3.1
5.5
3.1
5.5
3.1
5.5
3.1
5.5
3.1
5.3
2.9
5.4
3.0
5.4
2.9
5.4
3.0
5.4
3.0
5.5
3.0
5.5
3.0
5.5
3.0
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 15
25
%, yoy
14
20
12
15
10
10
M2
M1
M0
BI Rate (RHS)
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 16
6000
11
5000
10
World
EM ASIA
US (Dow Jones)
Japan (Nikkei)
England (FTSE)
India (SENSEX)
Hong Kong (Hang Seng)
Shanghai (SHCOMP)
Strait Times (STI)
Kuala Lumpur (KLCI)
Philippine
Thailand (SET)
Vietnam
Indonesia (IHSG)
4000
3000
7
2000
1000
JCI
BI RATE
4
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
3,9%
3,8%
2,8%
-0,9%
4,2%
9,2%
1,5%
-1,5%
1,4%
2,2%
6,4%
4,3%
1,0%
4,5%
-4%
Property
0%
4%
8%
12%
4,9%
Agriculture
0,3%
Trade
1,6%
Consumption
2,2%
Misc. Industry
2,0%
Basic Industry
9,7%
Finance
6,9%
Mining
4,5%
Infrastructure
4,8%
IHSG
Monthly Changes
4,5%
-3%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.000
20
15
5.000
10
4.000
3.000
-5
2.000
-10
-15
1.000
IHSG
-20
-25
1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 17
10 %
bps
30
8
-30
7
-60
6
-90
5
4
-120
1
10
15
20
30
Tenor
20,0
Rp T
% 10,0
Short Term
Mid Term
Long Term
'yield SBN'
15,0
9,0
10,0
7,5
7,3
5,2
5,0
5,8 5,3
5,7
5,5
4,1
4,1
3,7
2,8
2,0
1,4
1,4
8,0
4,4 4,6
3,5
7,0
0,6
0,0
(1,9)
(5,0)
(1,6)
(2,9)
(2,9)
(2,0)
(3,9)
(1,8)(2,1)(1,7)
(2,8)
6,0
(5,6)
(5,8)
(8,6)
(10,0)
(7,7)
(8,9)
5,0
(11,0)
4,0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
August
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Juni
Juli
Agustus
Sept
Okt
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Juni
Juli
Agustus
September
Oktober
(15,0)
2011
2012
2013
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 18
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 19
SEKTOR KEUANGAN
Okt
4.80
5.58
5.76
4.32
4,317
Jan
4.84
5.49
5.89
4.30
4,454
Feb
4.86
5.43
5.92
4.28
4,796
Mar
4.87
5.51
5.64
4.28
4,941
Apr
4.89
5.42
5.73
4.28
5,034
Mei
5.02
5.53
5.68
4.27
5,069
Juni
5.28
5.60
5.72
4.46
4,819
Juli
5.52
5.90
5.99
4.93
4,610
Agt
5.86
6.19
6.16
5.32
4,195
Sep
Oct
4,511
648,106
647,979
704,843
664,007
655,486
664,935
667,122
681,508
691,678
750,446
713,448
715,662
774,983
801,403
841,721
787,916
786,606
810,112
832,273
822,930
858,557
879,986
855,783
864,637
326,119
327,069
361,967
326,885
321,541
331,226
324,393
334,087
347,204
383,932
359,417
357,001
448,864
474,334
479,755
461,031
465,065
478,886
507,880
488,843
511,353
496,054
496,365
507,636
3,162,746 3,206,165 3,305,744 3,268,845 3,280,478 3,322,586 3,360,987 3,426,359 3,413,437 3,506,574 3,502,420 3,580,340
2,377,122 2,394,355 2,453,602 2,470,101 2,483,011 2,500,342 2,515,813 2,588,094 2,543,285 2,608,175 2,625,946 2,691,309
10,640
10,406
10,420
10,829
10,861
12,132
12,902
15,335
11,594
18,413
20,691
24,394
3,164,504 3,207,967 3,307,577 3,268,845 3,280,478 3,322,586 3,360,987 3,426,359 3,413,437 3,506,574 3,502,420 3,580,340
990,455
989,138
965,442
960,233
937,714
947,362
940,165
935,590
833,821
849,697
879,470
972,111
2,174,049 2,218,829 2,342,135 2,308,612 2,342,764 2,375,225 2,420,822 2,490,768 2,579,616 2,656,876 2,622,950 2,608,229
285,784
313,325
389,827
378,366
361,337
366,902
341,302
322,822
330,871
377,080
340,332
342,381
2,787,802 2,830,066 2,917,452 2,894,235 2,924,875 2,973,874 3,028,028 3,109,337 3,180,790 3,235,593 3,285,901 3,381,898
2)
4.77
5.42
5.81
4.29
4,276
2013
Des
6.96
6.73
6.58
5.89
4,316
2)
4.75
5.49
5.66
4.27
4,350
2012
Nov
14.45
16.54
15.92
17.00
18.11
18.84
-14.69
13.92
20.04
17.20
22.09
17.46
16.96
-29.43
14.89
16.42
17.61
15.54
14.89
14.66
-27.58
11.77
13.15
14.20
12.42
14.50
15.14
-19.24
13.22
15.13
14.79
15.36
15.11
15.45
-30.98
13.46
13.42
15.39
12.10
14.10
14.54
-17.86
11.82
15.45
11.53
18.09
14.82
14.83
-16.49
12.65
9.80
13.34
7.51
14.52
16.19
1.68
10.25
10.15
10.34
10.03
11.87
12.77
-30.20
18.18
14.02
21.74
8.68
14.76
14.86
42.38
8.43
10.79
9.89
11.45
13.35
13.90
70.89
12.02
8.69
9.66
8.02
14.52
16.03
112.91
18.18
8.48
23.19
10.95
22.09
17.53
5.26
23.97
28.07
21.06
14.96
5.84
19.19
11.01
22.39
14.41
2.80
20.05
17.43
21.82
15.02
-0.47
22.66
22.02
21.64
14.01
2.29
19.47
23.49
20.61
14.72
-2.41
23.12
40.38
20.10
14.42
-3.66
23.10
34.48
20.13
11.81
-9.91
21.26
16.37
20.03
14.69
-9.25
25.26
35.13
21.42
13.29
-7.98
22.80
25.40
22.01
14.45
-0.36
21.17
14.55
22.78
0.16
4.61
0.07
4.32
0.54
4.30
1.03
4.57
0.75
5.31
0.63
5.90
-0.10
5.57
-0.03
5.47
1.03
5.90
3.29
8.61
1.12
8.79
-0.35
8.40
0.09
8.32
9,615
12,636
13,053
9,605
13,202
12,479
9,670
12,313
11,715
9,698
12,386
11,608
9,664
11,897
11,619
9,718
12,727
10,969
9,723
12,480
12,792
9,795
13,308
13,200
9,925
11,970
12,127
10,278
12,874
13,327
10,920
10,487
9,450
11,580
12,248
11,811
11,273
-
HARGA
Inflasi bulanan (%, mtm)
Inflasi tahunan (%, yoy)
SEKTOR EKSTERNAL
Rp/USD (akhir periode, nilai tengah)
Ekspor Barang Non migas (f.o.b, juta USD) 4)
Impor Barang Non migas (c & f, juta USD) 4)
INDIKATOR KUARTALAN
Pertumbuhan PDB (%, yoy)
Konsumsi
Investasi (PMTB)
Perubahan Stok
Ekspor
Impor
1) minggu terakhir
2012
Tw.IV
Tw.I
2013
Tw.II
Tw.III
6.1
3.9
7.3
94.6
0.5
6.8
6.0
4.7
5.9
16.5
3.6
-0.1
5.8
4.7
4.7
-0.6
4.8
0.6
5.6
5.9
4.5
-18.7
5.3
3.8
2) rata-rata tertimbang
3) penutupan pada akhir periode
4) closed file
Sumber : Bank Indonesia, kecuali data pasar modal (BAPEPAM), IHK, ekspor/impor dan PDB dari BPS
T i n j a u a n K e b i j a k a n M o n e t e r | 20