periode t data xt st f xt-f (xt-f)^2 (xt-f)/xt

1 5
2 7
3 6 6
4 4 5.67 6.00 2.00 4.00 0.50
5 5 5.00 5.67 0.67 0.44 0.13
6 6 5.00 5.00 1.00 1.00 0.17
7 8 6.33 5.00 3.00 9.00 0.38
8 7 7.00 6.33 0.67 0.44 0.10
9 8 7.67 7.00 1.00 1.00 0.13
10 7 7.33 7.67 0.67 0.44 0.10
11 7.33
12 7.33 mad msd mape
13 7.33 1.29 2.33 0.21
21.29 dalam persen
periode t data xt st f xt-f (xt-f)^2 (xt-f)/2
1 5
2 7
3 6
4 4 5.5
5 5 5.5 5.5 0.50 0.25 0.10
6 6 5.25 5.5 0.50 0.25 0.08
7 8 5.75 5.25 2.75 7.56 0.34
8 7 6.5 5.75 1.25 1.56 0.18
9 8 7.25 6.5 1.50 2.25 0.19
10 7 7.5 7.25 0.25 0.06 0.04
11
12 mad msd mappe
13 1.13 1.99 0.15
15.48 dalam persen
dalam persen
t xt s1t s2t At Bt Ft
1 12.50
2 11.80
3 12.85 12.38
4 13.95 12.87
5 13.30 13.37 12.87 13.86 0.49
6 13.95 13.73 13.32 14.14 0.41 14.36
7 15.00 14.08 13.73 14.44 0.36 14.56
8 16.20 15.05 14.29 15.81 0.76 14.79
9 16.10 15.77 14.97 16.57 0.80 16.57
10 17.37
11 18.17
12 18.97
19.77

m=4
Permintaan
Periode Barang (xt) s1t s2t At Bt Ft

1 120
2 125
3 129
4 124 124.5
5 130 127
6 140 130.75
7 128 130.5 128.1875 132.8125 2.3125
8 125 130.75 129.75 131.75 1 135.125
9 135 132 131 133 1 132.75
10 145 133.25 131.625 134.875 1.625 134
11 140 136.25 133.0625 139.4375 3.1875 136.5
12 130 137.5 134.75 140.25 2.75 142.625
13 145 140 136.75 143.25 3.25 143
14 150 141.25 138.75 143.75 2.5 146.5
15 160 146.25 141.25 151.25 5 146.25
16 150 151.25 144.6875 157.8125 6.5625 156.25
17 155 153.75 148.125 159.375 5.625 164.375
18 160 156.25 151.875 160.625 4.375 165
19 165 157.5 154.6875 160.3125 2.8125 165
20 160 160 156.875 163.125 3.125 163.125
21 166.25
22 169.375
23 172.5
24 175.625
25 178.75