(Y) (Ton)
2014 1 2.299 -10 -22.990 100
2 2.186 -9 -19.674 81
3 3.326 -8 -26.608 64
4 11.146 -7 -78.022 49
2015 1 2.832 -6 -16.992 36
2 2.790 -5 -13.950 25
3 2.806 -4 -11.224 16
4 11.410 -3 -34.230 9
2016 1 1.920 -2 -3.840 4
2 2.091 -1 -2.091 1
3 3.312 1 3.312 1
4 9.507 2 19.014 4
2017 1 2.645 3 7.935 9
2 2.999 4 11.996 16
3 3.126 5 15.630 25
4 11.734 6 70.404 36
2018 1 2.577 7 18.039 49
2 2.598 8 20.784 64
3 2.861 9 25.749 81
4 10.867 10 109.670 100
Jumlah 91.906 0 71.912 770
a=
∑ Y = 91.906 =4.595,3
n 20
b=
∑ XY = 71.912 =93,392
∑ x 2 770
Jadi, Persamaan peramalan dalam bentuk :
Y = a+bx
Y = 4.595.3 + 93,392 X
Y = 5.622,612
Y = 4.595,3 + 1.120,704
Y = 5.716,004
Sirsak
Produksi
Tahun Kuartal X Xy X2
(Y) (Ton)
a=
∑ Y = 297.382 =14.869,1
n 20
b=
∑ XY = 97.398 =127,789
∑ x 2 770
Jadi, Persamaan peramalan dalam bentuk :
Y = a+bx
Y = 14.869,1 + 127.789 ( X)
Y = 14.869,1 + 127.789 ( X)
Y = 14.869,1 + 1.405,679
Y = 16.274,779
Y = 14.869,1 + 1.533,468
Y = 16.402,568