Tugas 3 Esdm Ii (Rahmatil Husni C1a020050)
Tugas 3 Esdm Ii (Rahmatil Husni C1a020050)
TPAK MENURUT
PENDIDIKAN
PEDIDIKAN 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) 69.1% 71.8% 68.0% 69.4% 68.5%
Sekolah Menengah Pertama
58.4% 58.7% 58.5% 60.7% 61.3%
(SMP)
Proporsi
Gol. Umur 2017 2018 2019 2020
15-19 4.32 4.34 4.36 4.69
20-24 11.56 11.11 10.68 9.92
25-29 10.48 10.39 10.31 10.29
30-34 9.12 9.53 9.92 10.50
35-39 10.26 10.45 10.64 10.84
40-44 11.18 11.15 11.13 10.88
45-49 10.81 10.83 10.85 10.85
50-54 10.41 10.25 10.11 9.70
55-59 8.93 8.71 8.50 8.17
60+ 12.93 13.22 13.50 14.17
Total 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
proporsi
PEDIDIKAN 2017 2018 2019 2020
≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) 47.76 36.38 45.30 43.69
Sekolah Menengah Pertama
(SMP) 23.11 26.99 23.39 23.08
Sekolah Menengah Atas
(SMA)/Sekolah Menengah
Kejuruan (SMK)
22.11 27.96 24.03 25.67
Perguruan Tinggi 7.02 8.67 7.29 7.56
Jumlah 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
proporsi
PEDIDIKAN 2017 2018 2019 2020
≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) 47.77 37.77 44.91 43.67
Sekolah Menengah Pertama
(SMP) 19.53 22.92 19.95 20.17
Sekolah Menengah Atas
(SMA)/Sekolah Menengah
Kejuruan (SMK)
23.97 29.01 26.16 27.08
Perguruan Tinggi 8.74 10.29 8.98 9.08
Jumlah 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Growth
2021 Gol. Umur 2018 2019 2020 2021
10.08 15-19 -0.005 -0.005 0.000 -0.010
9.73 20-24 -0.017 -0.017 -0.035 0.000
9.35 25-29 0.009 0.009 0.022 -0.004
9.37 30-34 0.053 0.051 0.116 -0.018
9.34 35-39 0.028 0.028 0.052 0.001
9.08 40-44 0.006 0.006 0.008 0.004
8.94 45-49 0.013 0.012 0.020 0.005
8.28 50-54 -0.004 -0.004 -0.024 0.016
7.40 55-59 -0.003 -0.003 -0.025 0.020
18.42 60+ 0.035 0.034 0.030 0.035
100.00 Total 0.116 0.110 0.164 0.049
Growth
2021 Gol. Umur 2018 2019 2020 2021
4.40 15-19 0.025 0.024 0.105 -0.052
9.86 20-24 -0.020 -0.020 -0.046 0.005
10.14 25-29 0.011 0.011 0.025 -0.002
10.67 30-34 0.066 0.062 0.086 0.028
11.00 35-39 0.040 0.038 0.046 0.026
11.08 40-44 0.017 0.017 0.004 0.030
10.89 45-49 0.022 0.022 0.026 0.015
9.83 50-54 0.005 0.005 -0.014 0.025
8.10 55-59 -0.005 -0.005 -0.013 0.003
14.02 60+ 0.043 0.041 0.078 0.001
100.00 Total 0.205 0.195 0.296 0.079
Growth
Gol. Umur 2018 2019 2020 2021
15-19 0.030 0.029 0.105 -0.043
20-24 -0.003 -0.003 -0.011 0.005
25-29 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.002
30-34 0.012 0.011 -0.027 0.046
35-39 0.011 0.010 -0.006 0.025
40-44 0.012 0.011 -0.004 0.026
45-49 0.009 0.009 0.007 0.011
50-54 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.008
55-59 -0.002 -0.002 0.013 -0.017
60+ 0.007 0.007 0.046 -0.033
Total 0.088 0.084 0.135 0.032
Growth
2021 PEDIDIKAN 2018 2019 2020 2021
42.77 ≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) -0.346 0.481 -0.021 -0.012
Sekolah Menengah Pertama
22.69 (SMP) 0.003 0.030 0.002 -0.008
Sekolah Menengah Atas
(SMA)/Sekolah Menengah
Kejuruan (SMK)
26.69 0.086 0.022 0.085 0.049
7.85 Perguruan Tinggi 0.061 -0.001 0.053 0.048
100.00 Jumlah -0.196 0.532 0.118 0.077
Growth
2021 PEDIDIKAN 2018 2019 2020 2021
42.08 ≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) -0.321 0.403 -0.001 -0.025
Sekolah Menengah Pertama
19.98 (SMP) 0.008 0.028 0.038 0.002
Sekolah Menengah Atas
(SMA)/Sekolah Menengah
Kejuruan (SMK)
28.48 0.040 0.064 0.063 0.063
9.46 Perguruan Tinggi 0.012 0.029 0.038 0.054
100.00 Jumlah -0.261 0.525 0.138 0.094
Growth
PEDIDIKAN 2018 2019 2020 2021
≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) 0.038 -0.052 0.020 -0.013
Sekolah Menengah Pertama
(SMP) 0.005 -0.003 0.037 0.009
Sekolah Menengah Atas
(SMA)/Sekolah Menengah
Kejuruan (SMK)
-0.042 0.042 -0.020 0.014
Perguruan Tinggi -0.046 0.030 -0.014 0.006
Jumlah -0.045 0.017 0.023 0.016
Proyeksi sekenario 1
rata-rata Gol. Umur 2022 2023 2024 2025
-0.005 15-19 2,734,501 2,721,008 2,707,581 2,694,221
-0.017 20-24 2,605,854 2,560,405 2,515,748 2,471,869
0.009 25-29 2,570,936 2,593,578 2,616,419 2,639,462
0.051 30-34 2,683,410 2,819,458 2,962,404 3,112,597
0.027 35-39 2,615,210 2,686,916 2,760,587 2,836,278
0.006 40-44 2,489,349 2,503,557 2,517,846 2,532,217
0.012 45-49 2,467,910 2,498,497 2,529,462 2,560,811
-0.004 50-54 2,247,298 2,239,073 2,230,879 2,222,715
-0.003 55-59 2,011,996 2,006,462 2,000,943 1,995,440
0.034 60+ 5,188,247 5,362,250 5,542,090 5,727,961
0.110 Total 27,614,710 27,991,204 28,383,960 28,793,572
Proyeksi skenario 1
rata-rata Gol. Umur 2022 % 2023 %
0.026 15-19 855,643 4% 877,517 4%
-0.020 20-24 1,832,942 9% 1,796,149 9%
0.011 25-29 1,945,367 10% 1,967,137 10%
0.061 30-34 2,146,447 11% 2,276,530 12%
0.038 35-39 2,164,850 11% 2,246,107 11%
0.017 40-44 2,136,408 11% 2,172,938 11%
0.021 45-49 2,109,621 11% 2,154,620 11%
0.005 50-54 1,873,110 10% 1,882,576 10%
-0.005 55-59 1,528,800 8% 1,521,265 8%
0.041 60+ 2,766,802 14% 2,879,076 15%
0.194 Total 19,359,989 100% 19,773,915 100%
Proyeksi skenario 1
rata-rata Gol. Umur 2022 2023 2024 2025
0.030 15-19 31.3% 32.2% 33.2% 34.2%
-0.003 20-24 70.3% 70.1% 69.9% 69.8%
0.002 25-29 75.7% 75.8% 76.0% 76.2%
0.011 30-34 80.1% 80.9% 81.8% 82.7%
0.010 35-39 82.8% 83.6% 84.5% 85.3%
0.011 40-44 85.8% 86.8% 87.8% 88.8%
0.009 45-49 85.5% 86.2% 87.0% 87.8%
0.009 50-54 83.3% 84.1% 84.8% 85.6%
-0.002 55-59 76.0% 75.8% 75.7% 75.5%
0.007 60+ 53.3% 53.7% 54.1% 54.4%
0.084 Total 75.5% 81.8% 88.7% 96.2%
Proyeksi sekenario 1
rata-rata PEDIDIKAN 2022 2023 2024 2025
0.025 ≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) 11,952,083 12,255,008 12,565,611 12,884,087
Sekolah Menengah
0.007 Pertama (SMP) 6,226,183 6,268,397 6,310,896 6,353,684
Sekolah Menengah Atas
(SMA)/Sekolah
Menengah Kejuruan
0.060 (SMK) 7,711,498 8,176,008 8,668,498 9,190,654
0.040 Perguruan Tinggi 2,225,972 2,315,790 2,409,233 2,506,445
0.133 Jumlah 28,115,735 29,015,203 29,954,239 30,934,871
Proyeksi sekenario 1
rata-rata PEDIDIKAN 2022 2023 2024 2025
0.014 ≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) 8,090,893 8,203,332 8,317,334 8,432,920
Sekolah Menengah
0.019 Pertama (SMP) 3,860,275 3,933,170 4,007,442 4,083,116
Sekolah Menengah Atas
(SMA)/Sekolah
Menengah Kejuruan
0.058 (SMK) 5,712,034 6,041,405 6,389,768 6,758,218
0.034 Perguruan Tinggi 1,854,853 1,917,079 1,981,392 2,047,863
0.124 Jumlah 19,518,055 20,094,986 20,695,935 21,322,117
Proyeksi sekenario 1
rata-rata PEDIDIKAN 2022 2023 2024 2025
-0.002 ≤ Sekolah Dasar (SD) 68.3% 68.2% 68.1% 68.0%
Sekolah Menengah
0.012 Pertama (SMP) 62.0% 62.8% 63.5% 64.3%
Sekolah Menengah Atas
(SMA)/Sekolah
Menengah Kejuruan
-0.002 (SMK) 74.1% 74.0% 73.9% 73.8%
-0.006 Perguruan Tinggi 83.4% 82.9% 82.4% 81.9%
0.003 Jumlah 69.77% 69.96% 70.15% 70.34%
2026
2,680,927
2,428,757
2,662,708
3,270,405
2,914,044
2,546,670
2,592,549
2,214,581
1,989,951
5,920,066
29,220,658
2026
35.3% 33%
69.6% 70%
76.4% 76%
83.5% 82%
86.2% 84%
89.8% 88%
88.5% 87%
86.3% 85%
75.4% 76%
54.8% 54%
104.4%
2026
13,210,634
6,396,762
9,744,263
2,607,581
31,959,240
2026
8,550,112
4,160,219
7,147,915
2,116,564
21,974,809
2026
67.9%
65.1%
73.6%
81.4%
70.54%