(Capital Investment)
Should we
build this
plant?
DEPRESIASI
Dana
yang
tertanam
tahun
Shiddiq N Rahardjo Capital Budgeting 8
KATEGORI CAPITAL
BUDGETING
• Investasi baru
• Investasi penggantian
• Investasi penambahan kapasitas
Tahun ke: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Investasi AT 10,000 0
Modal Kerja (MK) 1,500 4,075 4,279 4,493 4,717 3,039 0
Perubahan MK 1,500 2,575 204 214 224 - 1,678 - 3,039
Pendapatan 15,000 15,750 16,538 17,364 18,233
Biaya 10,000 10,500 11,025 11,576 12,155
Depresiasi AT 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Laba sbl Pajak 3,000 3,250 3,513 3,788 4,078
Pajak (35%) 1,050 1,138 1,230 1,326 1,427
Laba stlh pajak 1,950 2,113 2,283 2,462 2,651
Shiddiq N Rahardjo Capital Budgeting 21
CASH FLOW BLOOPER
• Cash flow = invetasi AT, investasi MK dan operasional
Payback Period
Accounting Rate of Return
Net Present Value
Profitability Index
Internal Rate of Return
• PENDEKATAN PROBABILITAS
– (dibahas lebih dalam pada topik “risk and
return”)
• PENDEKATAN DECISION TREE
Langkah:
• Tentukan Probabilitas keuntungan yg akan
diperoleh.
• Hitung Expected Value
• Hitung Simpangan Baku (Standar deviasi)
• Hitung Coefficient of Variation
A = cashflow
= $1,517
Proyek Sukses
No Invest NPV = $0
Test
Gagal
Invest NPV = -$3,611