Pemodelan Dan Simulasi
Pemodelan Dan Simulasi
KONSEP
PEMODELAN SISTEM
Andi Meisya
Sartika Dewi
Syahrul Susanto
Bab 1 :PEMODELAN SISTEM UNTUK MENDUKUNG
PENGAMBILAN KEPUTUSAN
1.1 KOMPLEKSITAS PENGAMBILAN KEPUTUSAN
Kompleksitas pengambilan keputusan mengacu pada tingkat kesulitan atau
kerumitan yang terlibat dalam proses pengambilan keputusan. Faktor-faktor berikut dapat
menyebabkan kompleksitas dalam pengambilan keputusan:
1.)Jumlah Informasi: Semakin banyak informasi yang tersedia, semakin kompleks proses pengambilan keputusan.
Memilah informasi yang relevan dan mengabaikan yang tidak relevan dapat menjadi tugas yang sulit.
2.)Ketidakpastian: Ketika masa depan tidak dapat diprediksi dengan pasti, pengambilan keputusan menjadi lebih
kompleks. Keputusan seringkali harus dibuat dalam kondisi ketidakpastian, yang dapat meningkatkan risiko dan
mempengaruhi hasil.
3.)Konsekuensi Keputusan: Keputusan dengan konsekuensi besar dan jangka panjang cenderung lebih
kompleks daripada keputusan dengan dampak yang lebih kecil.
4.)Keterbatasan Sumber Daya: Ketika sumber daya terbatas, seperti waktu, uang, atau tenaga kerja,
harus diperhitungkan, pengambilan keputusan menjadi lebih rumit karena perlu memprioritaskan dan
mengoptimalkan penggunaan sumber daya.
Manfaat Teknis:
1.)Analisis dan Perancangan yang Lebih Baik: Pemodelan sistem membantu mengidentifikasi masalah
potensial dan memungkinkan perancangan yang lebih baik sebelum implementasinis.
2.)Deteksi dan Perbaikan Kesalahan: Pemodelan sistem memungkinkan identifikasi dini terhadap
kesalahan dan kelemahan dalam desain atau logika perangkat lunak. Hal ini memungkinkan perbaikan
sebelum implementasi, yang dapat menghemat waktu dan biaya dalam jangka panjang.
3.)Pengujian yang Lebih Efisien: Dengan memiliki model sistem, pengembang dapat mengidentifikasi
dan menguji kasus uji yang relevan dengan lebih efisien. Pemodelan membantu dalam menyusun skenario
pengujian yang mencakup berbagai kemungkinan situasi.
4.)Pemeliharaan yang Mudah: Struktur dan aliran sistem yang terdefinisi dengan baik dalam model
memudahkan pemeliharaan dan perbaikan saat ada perubahan atau penambahan fitur baru.
5.)Perencanaan Kapasitas dan Skalabilitas: Pemodelan sistem membantu dalam memperkirakan
kapasitas dan mengantisipasi skala yang diperlukan untuk mengakomodasi pertumbuhan dan permintaan
masa depan.
Manfaat Non-Teknis:
1.)Komunikasi yang Efektif: Pemodelan sistem memungkinkan komunikasi yang
lebih efektif antara anggota tim proyek dan pemangku kepentingan yang berbeda.
Model menyediakan bahasa visual yang dapat dimengerti dengan mudah oleh semua
pihak terkait.
2.)Komitmen Bersama: Pemodelan sistem membantu dalam mencapai pemahaman
bersama tentang tujuan dan lingkup proyek di antara tim pengembang dan pemangku
kepentingan. Ini mengurangi risiko terjadinya perbedaan ekspektasi.
3.)Manajemen Proyek yang Lebih Efisien: Model sistem memungkinkan manajemen
proyek yang lebih baik, memudahkan pemantauan dan pengendalian kemajuan proyek
serta penilaian risiko.
4.)Dukungan Keputusan: Pemodelan sistem menyediakan informasi yang berguna
untuk membuat keputusan yang lebih baik dalam perencanaan dan pengembangan
sistem.
5.)Dokumentasi yang Baik: Model sistem berfungsi sebagai bentuk dokumentasi
visual yang membantu dalam memahami struktur dan fungsi sistem, yang dapat
diperbarui dan dipelihara sepanjang siklus hidup sistem.
6.)Mengatasi Perubahan dengan Lebih Baik: Dengan pemodelan yang solid, sistem
dapat lebih mudah beradaptasi dengan perubahan kebutuhan bisnis atau lingkungan
teknis.
1.3 BERPIKIR BERBASIS MODEL (MODEL
THINKING) SEBAGAI MANFAAT PEMODELAN
SECARA NON-TEKNIS
1.)Melihat keseluruhan sistem: Berpikir sistem melibatkan melihat sistem dalam keseluruhan, bukan
hanya fokus pada bagian-bagian individu.
2.)Hubungan dan ketergantungan: Pendekatan ini menekankan pentingnya
hubungan dan ketergantungan antara elemen-elemen dalam sistem. Perubahan
pada satu elemen dapat mempengaruhi keseluruhan sistem, dan pemahaman
tentang hubungan ini membantu mengantisipasi dampak perubahan.
the company to
choose
Current
Current New
PRODUCTS
IMPACT OF THE RISKS
20% 25%
VENUS JUPITER
Venus is the second planet from Jupiter is the biggest planet of
the Sun them all
30% 25%
MARS SATURN
Despite being red, Mars is a cold Saturn is a gas giant and has
place several rings
Follow the link in the graph to modify its data and then paste the new one here.
For more info, click here
CORPORATE STRATEGIES
VENUS
Venus has a beautiful name and is the second
planet from the Sun
MARS
Despite being red, Mars is actually a cold place.
It’s full of iron oxide dust
A calendar to organize business
MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13 14
15 16 17 18 19 20 21
22 23 24 25 26 27 28
THE You need to provide a neutral description with Our company has been selling its products in
facts that you know your audience will agree the US for 10 years, with an annual profit
SITUATION on growth above 10%
THE
The complication is a desired change of the With a market share already above 40%,
COMPLICATIO current situation profit growth will be limited in the US
N
THE The question that implicitly results from the Should we enter the
QUESTION complication European market?
DECISIONS, NEW MARKET, NEW
PRODUCT, NEW COMPANY
SWEET SPOT
STRATEGIC PERSPECTIVES
VENUS JUPITER
Venus is the second planet Jupiter is the biggest planet
from the Sun of them all
MARS SATURN
Despite being red, Mars is a Saturn is a gas giant and has
cold place several rings
AWESOME
WORDS
AWESOME WORDS
PLAN: THINGS TO CONSIDER
MERCURY JUPITER
Mercury is the closest planet to Jupiter is the biggest planet of
the Sun them all
VENUS SATURN
Venus is the second planet from Saturn is a gas giant and has rings
the Sun
MARS NEPTUNE
Despite being red, Mars is Neptune is very far away from
actually a very cold place Earth
STRONG BUSINESS: PLAN
POLITICAL TECHNOLOGICAL
Mercury is the closest planet
to the Sun
P T Jupiter is the biggest planet of
them all
ECONOMICAL LEGAL
Venus is the second planet
from the Sun
E PESTLE L Saturn is composed of
hydrogen and helium
SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL
Mars is actually a very cold
place
S E Neptune is the farthest planet
from the Sun
STRONG BUSINESS CASE
PROJECT COSTS $4M TANGIBLE BENEFIT $14M NET PRES. VALUE $8M
BALANCE SHEET
ASSETS
Cash xx xx xx xx xx xx xx
Accounts xx xx xx xx xx xx xx
Inventory xx xx xx xx xx xx xx
Current assets xx xx xx xx xx xx xx
Property xx xx xx xx xx xx xx
Total xx xx xx xx xx xx xx
FINANCIAL MODEL
VENUS
25%
75%
VENUS MARS
Venus is the second Despite being red,
planet from the Sun Mars is a cold place Follow the link in the graph to modify its data and then paste the
new one here. For more info, click here
PRICING STRATEGY
ADVANCED LEADING
BASIC STANDARD
Level 1 2 3 4
Percentage 20% 70% 10% 1%
●Insert your ●Insert your ●Insert your ●Insert your
description here description here description here description here
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Description description here description here description here description here
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description here description here description here description here
02
CONSULTING
PROPOSAL
You can enter a subtitle here in case
you need it
CONSULTING PROPOSAL
Outsource non-core functions Simplify core functions Review supplier cost to save
to save $3 mill. processes to save $1 mill. $1 mill.
Evaluate cost and service level of Select and review current supplier
Design current processes
potential partners costs
Choose one partner for each Adopt best practices based on Negotiate supplier contracts/choose
function benchmarks options
INITIATIVE PRIORITIZATION MATRIX:
IMPACT & EFFORT
IMPACT EFFORT
An initiative with a high impact would mean one of The “effort” criteria is assessed based on the
the followings: followings:
● The initiative needs to happen in order to ● Ease of implementation
achieve the desired future state ● Time frame required
● The initiative will significantly reduce our cost ● Resources required (Number of people, capital
or increase our revenue investment, etc.)
PRIORITIZATION MATRIX
INITIATIVE IMPACT EFFORT
1 List all your potential initiatives Very high
Do you know what helps you make your point clear? Lists like this
one:
● They’re simple
● You can organize your ideas clearly
● You’ll never forget to buy milk!
And the most important thing: the audience won’t miss the point of
your presentation
BUSINESS BIBLIOGRAPHY
2 Venus has very high COMPANY LOGO 5 Saturn is a gas giant and
temperatures has rings
HERE
A. SALARY $15,098
HOBBIES
NAME Jenna Doe
AGE 34 years
5 3
SALES STRATEGY
7,098
Big numbers catch your audience’s
attention
500M
Big numbers catch your audience’s attention
ABOUT THE TERMS OF THE AGREEMENT
VENUS
Venus is the second planet
from the Sun
MARS
Despite being red, Mars is a
very cold place
Follow the link in the graph to modify its data and then paste the new one here.
For more info, click here
$20,000 $25,000
Despite being red, Mars is a cold place Venus has very high temperatures
$10,000
Mercury is the smallest planet
150,000
Mercury is the smallest planet
200,000
Jupiter is the biggest planet
15K 20M
Mercury is the smallest planet Jupiter is the biggest planet
50% 70K
Venus has a beautiful name Despite being red, Mars is cold
MANAGEMENT APPROACH
JUPITER
It’s the biggest planet in
the Solar System
VENUS
Venus is the second planet
from the Sun
OUR CLIENTES
JUPITER
It’s the biggest planet in
the Solar System
VENUS
Venus is the second planet
from the Sun
VENUS
Venus is the second planet
from the Sun
ANSWER AND ARGUMENTS
WRITE YOUR QUESTION
Despite being red, Mars is Mercury’s name has nothing to It has a beautiful name and is
actually a cold place. It's full do with the liquid metal, since the second planet from the
of iron oxide dust, which gives this planet was named after a Sun. It’s terribly hot and its
the planet its reddish cast Roman god atmosphere is poisonous
ORGANIZATIONAL CHART
MERCURY
CEO
VENUS JUPITER
10% Venus is the second planet 30% It’s the biggest planet in the
from the Sun Solar System
MARS SATURN
40% Despite being red, Mars is a 20% Saturn is a gas giant and has
cold place several rings
PROBABILITY RATIOS
WORST PEER BEST PEER
3 How will you reach your vision? 8 What will be the marketing plan?
5 How big is the market you are? 10 Who are the key players?
SOFTWARE & APP
DEMO
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SOFTWARE &
TABLET APP DEMO
You can replace the image on the screen with your
own work. Just right-click on it and select “Replace
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SOFTWARE &
MOBILE APP DEMO
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image”
OUR TEAM
ANNE DOE
You can replace the image
on the screen with your own
JOHN JAMES
You can replace the image
on the screen with your own
OUR TEAM
In Google Slides:
● Insert the image into the slide
● Go to Formatting Options> Change Color Choose
grayscale and then apply some transparency
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● Place this circle behind the image
THANKS Do you have any questions?
addyouremail@freepik.com
+91 620 421 838
yourcompany.com
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ALTERNATIVE INFOGRAPHICS
MARS
75% Despite being red, Mars
is a cold place
MERCURY
Mercury is the smallest MERCURY
planet 25% Mercury is the smallest
8/10 6/10
planet
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