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ABSTRACT
This study aims to find out and see the effectiveness of Monetary Policy
Transmission Mechanism Through Interest Rate Channel and the Exchange Rate
Channel, where most effectively to be applied in order to achieve the final goal of
monetary policy. The method of analysis used in this research is Vector Auto
Regression model (VAR), namely: 1. Impulse response function (IRF) and 2.
Variance decomposition (VD) with the program Eviews 6. In the VAR model
applications require some testing, among others: Stasionerits test, cointegration
test: Johansen and Granger Causality Test and Determination of Optimal Lag.
The results showed that the transmission mechanism of monetary policy
through interest rate and exchange rate channel effectively achieve the ultimate
goal of monetary policy in Indonesia period 1999:1-2009:2 with a variety of
different speed and strength variables respond to changes in monetary instruments
and changes in other variables to The realization of the goals / objectives of
monetary policy. Transmission mechanism of monetary policy through interest
rate channel requires time lag is about 8 quarters and rPUAB able to explain
variations in the final goal of monetary policy around 24,64%. While the
exchange rate channel requires time lag is about 11 quarters and the exchange rate
can explain variations in the ultimate target of monetary policy amounted to
6,64%.
The conclusion of this study is the transmission mechanism of monetary
policy through interest rate channel more effectively achieve the ultimate goal of
monetary policy in Indonesia 1999:1-2009:2 period compared with the exchange
rate channel.
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