Daily Outlook
GLOBAL MARKETS & ECONOMIES | WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS | CURRENCIES | PRECIOUS METAL | O I L |
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21 Februari 2022
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
CT FORECA
DATE WIB INDICATORS PER ACTUAL PREV. REV.
Y ST
Mon/14-Feb-22 04:30 NZ Performance Services Index Jan 45.9 -- 49.7 49.8
14:30 CH Producer & Import Prices MoM Jan 0.6% -- -0.1% --
14:30 CH Producer & Import Prices YoY Jan 5.4% -- 5.1% --
23:00 EZ ECB's Lagarde Speaks
Tue/15-Feb-22 03:00 NZ REINZ House Sales YoY Jan -- -29.4% --
04:00 KR Export Price Index MoM Jan -- -1% --
04:00 KR Export Price Index YoY Jan 22.3% -- 23.5% 23.3%
04:00 KR Import Price Index MoM Jan -- -1.9% --
04:00 KR Import Price Index YoY Jan 30.1% -- 29.7% 29.6%
05:30 AU ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index Feb-13 -- 99.9 --
06:50 JP GDP Annualized SA QoQ 4Q P 5.4% 5.8% -3.6% -2.7%
06:50 JP GDP SA QoQ 4Q P 1.3% 1.4% -0.9% -0.7%
06:50 JP GDP Nominal SA QoQ 4Q P 0.4% 0.5% -1% -2.4%
06:50 JP GDP Deflator YoY 4Q P 0.2% 0.3% -1.2% 0.1%
06:50 JP GDP Private Consumption QoQ 4Q P 2.7% 2.2% -1.3% -0.9%
06:50 JP GDP Business Spending QoQ 4Q P 0.5% -2.3% --
06:50 JP Inventory Contribution % GDP 4Q P 0.0% 0.1% --
06:50 JP Net Exports Contribution % GDP 4Q P 0.3% 0.0% --
07:30 AU RBA Minutes
11:30 JP Industrial Production MoM Dec F -1% -1% -1% 7%
11:30 JP Industrial Production YoY Dec F 2.7% -- 2.7% 5.1%
11:30 JP Capacity Utilization MoM Dec -0.4% -- 8% --
14:00 GB Claimant Count Rate Jan -- 4.7% --
14:00 GB Jobless Claims Change Jan -31,9k -28k -43.3k --
14:00 GB Average Weekly Earnings 3M/YoY Dec 4.3% 3.8% 4.2% --
14:00 GB Weekly Earnings ex Bonus 3M/YoY Dec 3.7% 3.6% 3.8% --
14:00 GB ILO Unemployment Rate 3Mths Dec 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% --
14:00 GB Employment Change 3M/3M Dec -38k -65k 60k --
14:00 GB Payrolled Employees Monthly Change Jan -- 184k --
14:00 GB Output Per Hour YoY 4Q P -- -4.5% --
17:00 EZ ZEW Survey Expectations Feb 48.6 -- 49.4 --
17:00 EZ Trade Balance SA Dec -- -1.3b --
17:00 EZ Trade Balance NSA Dec €-4.6b -- €-1.5b --
17:00 EZ Employment QoQ 4Q P 0.5% -- 0.9% --
17:00 EZ Employment YoY 4Q P 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% --
17:00 EZ GDP SA QoQ 4Q P 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 2.2%
17:00 EZ GDP SA YoY 4Q P 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 3.9%
17:00 DE ZEW Survey Expectations Feb 54.3 55 51.7 --
17:00 DE ZEW Survey Current Situation Feb -8.1 -6 -10.2 --
20:15 CA Housing Starts Jan 230.8k 245k 236.1k 238.4k
20:30 US PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY Jan 7.8% 8.3% --
20:30 US Empire Manufacturing Feb 10 -0.7 --
20:30 US PPI Final Demand MoM Jan 1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4%
20:30 US PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM Jan 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
20:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM Jan 0.4% 0.4% --
20:30 US PPI Final Demand YoY Jan 9.7% 9.1% 9.7% 9.8%
20:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY Jan 8.3% 7.9% 6.9% 8.5%
21:00 CA Existing Home Sales MoM Jan -- 0.2% --
Wed/16-Feb-22 06:00 KR Unemployment rate SA Jan 3.6% -- 3.8% --
06:30 AU Westpac Leading Index MoM Jan 0.1% -- -0.03% 0.0%
08:30 CN PPI YoY Jan 9.1% 9.5% 10.3% --
08:30 CN CPI YoY Jan 0.9% 1% 1.5% --
11:30 JP Tertiary Industry Index MoM Dec 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7%
14:00 GB CPIH YoY Jan -- 4.8% --
14:00 GB CPI MoM Jan -0.1% -0.2% 0.5% --
14:00 GB CPI YoY Jan 5.5% 5.4% 5.4% --
14:00 GB CPI Core YoY Jan 4.4% 4.3% 4.2% --
14:00 GB Retail Price Index Jan -- 317.7 --
14:00 GB RPI MoM Jan 0.0% -0.4% 1.1% --
14:00 GB RPI YoY Jan 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% --
14:00 GB RPI Ex Mort Int.Payments (YoY) Jan -- 7.7% --
14:00 GB PPI Output NSA MoM Jan 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% --
14:00 GB PPI Output NSA YoY Jan 9.9% 9.1% 9.3% --
14:00 GB PPI Input NSA MoM Jan 0.9% 0.9% -0.2% 0.1%
14:00 GB PPI Input NSA YoY Jan 13.6% 13.1% 13.5% 13.8%
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14:00 GB Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel YoY Jan 7.2% 7.9% -3% -3.8%
14:30 CH Industry & Construction Output WDA YoY 4Q -- 7.3% --
14:30 CH Industrial Output WDA YoY 4Q 7.3% -- 8.3% 8.5%
16:00 EZ ECB Current Account SA Dec €35.65b -- €23.6b €25.85b
17:00 EZ Construction Output MoM Dec -4.03% -- -0.2% -0.18%
17:00 EZ Construction Output YoY Dec -3.9% -- 0.5% 0.4%
20:30 CA Retail Sales MoM Dec -1.8% -2.1% 0.7% 0.8%
20:30 CA Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM Dec -2.5% -2% 1.1% --
22:00 EZ Consumer Confidence Feb A -8.8% -8 -8.5 --
22:00 US Existing Home Sales Jan 6.5m 6.10m 6.18m 6.09m
22:00 US Existing Home Sales MoM Jan 6.7% -1% -4.6% -3.8%
22:00 US Leading Index Jan -0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 0.7%
22:45 US Fed’s Evans and Waller takes Part in Policy Panel at...
Sat/19-Feb-22 01:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Feb-18 645 -- 635 --
01:30 EZ ECB's Panetta Speaks
CT FORECA
DATE WIB INDICATORS PER ACTUAL PREV. REV.
Y ST
Mon/21-Feb-22 05:00 AU Markit Australia PMI Composite Feb P -- 46.7 --
05:00 AU Markit Australia PMI Services Feb P -- 46.6 --
05:00 AU Markit Australia PMI Mfg Feb P -- 55.1 --
07:00 KR Exports 20 Days YoY Feb -- 22% --
07:00 KR Imports 20 Days YoY Feb -- 38.4% --
07:01 GB Rightmove House Prices MoM Feb -- 0.3% --
07:01 GB Rightmove House Prices YoY Feb -- 7.6% --
07:30 JP Jibun Bank Japan PMI Services Feb P -- 47.6 --
07:30 JP Jibun Bank Japan PMI Composite Feb P -- 49.9 --
07:30 JP Jibun Bank Japan PMI Mfg Feb P -- 55.4 --
13:00 JP Machine Tool Orders YoY Jan F -- 61.4% --
14:00 DE PPI YoY Jan -- 24.2% --
14:00 DE PPI MoM Jan -- 5% --
15:30 DE Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Feb P 59.4 59.8 --
15:30 DE Markit Germany Services PMI Feb P 54 52.2 --
15:30 DE Markit/BME Germany Composite PMI Feb P 55.2 53.8 --
15:30 HK Unemployment Rate SA Jan -- 3.90% --
16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Feb P 58.6 58.7 --
16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Services PMI Feb P 51.7 51.1 --
16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Composite PMI Feb P 53.4 52.3 --
16:30 GB Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Feb P 55 54.1 --
16:30 GB Markit/CIPS UK Composite PMI Feb P -- 54.2 --
16:30 GB Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA Feb P 57 57.3 --
All CA Bank Holiday (Family Day)
All US Bank Holiday (President Day)
22-Feb - 28-Feb N/A KR Retail Sales YoY Jan -- 11.6% --
Tue/22-Feb-22 04:00 KR Consumer Confidence Feb -- 104.4 --
05:30 AU ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index Feb-20 -- 103.2 --
All JP Bank Holiday (Emperor’s Day)
06:50 JP PPI Services YoY Jan 1.2% 1.1% --
08:00 AU RBA's Kent-Speech
15:30 HK CPI Composite YoY Jan 1.7% 2.4% --
16:00 DE IFO Business Climate Feb 96.4 95.7 --
16:00 DE IFO Current Assessment Feb 96.5 96.1 --
16:00 DE IFO Expectations Feb 97.7 95.2 --
17:45 GB BOE's Ramsden speaks
18:00 GB CBI Trends Total Orders Feb 25 24 --
18:00 GB CBI Trends Selling Prices Feb -- 66 --
21:00 US House Price Purchase Index QoQ 4Q -- 4.2% --
21:00 US FHFA House Price Index MoM Dec 1% 1.1% --
21:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA Dec 1% 1.18% --
21:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA Dec 18.3% 18.29% --
21:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA Dec -- 18.81% --
21:45 US Markit US Manufacturing PMI Feb P 56 55.5 --
21:45 US Markit US Services PMI Feb P 53 51.2 --
21:45 US Markit US Composite PMI Feb P -- 51.1 --
22:00 US Conf. Board Consumer Confidence Feb 110 113.8 --
22:00 US Conf. Board Present Situation Feb -- 148.2 --
22:00 US Conf. Board Expectations Feb -- 90.8 --
Wed/23-Feb-22 N/A HK GDP YoY 4Q F -- 4.8% --
N/A HK GDP SA QoQ 4Q F -- 0.2% --
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EUR/USD
Interest Rate: 0.00% (EU)/0.00%-0.25% (US)
1.14247
RESISTANCE 1.14004
1.13621
1.12995
SUPPORT 1.12752
1.12369
@researchvaf
@rekhmen BUY ---
SELL 1.1330
SUGGESTION S/L 1.1360
1.1285
T/P:
1.1270
USDJPY
Interest Rate: 0.00%-0.25% (US)/-0.10% (JP)
115.828
RESISTANCE 115.559
115.319
114.810
SUPPORT 114.541
114.301
@researchvaf
BUY ---
@rekhmen SUGGESTION
SELL 115.10
S/L 115.30
114.80
T/P:
114.60
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21 Februari 2022
GBP/USD
Interest Rate: 0.50% (GB)/0.00%-0.25% (US)
1.37031
RESISTANCE 1.36726
1.36333
1.35635
SUPPORT 1.35330
1.34937
@researchvaf
@rekhmen BUY 1.3585
SELL ---
SUGGESTION S/L 1.3550
1.3640
T/P:
1.3660
USD/CHF
Interest Rate: 0.00%-0.25% (US)/ -1.25 to -0.25% (CH)
0.92500
RESISTANCE 0.92336
0.92232
0.91964
SUPPORT 0.91800
0.91696
@researchvaf
@rekhmen BUY 0.9205
SELL ---
SUGGESTION S/L 0.9180
0.9250
T/P:
0.9265
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21 Februari 2022
AUD/USD
Interest Rate: 0.10% (AU)/0.00%-0.25% (US)
0.72779
RESISTANCE 0.72523
0.72150
0.71521
SUPPORT 0.71265
0.70892
@researchvaf
BUY ---
@rekhmen SUGGESTION
SELL 0.7180
S/L 0.7200
0.7150
T/P:
0.7130
NZD/USD
Interest Rate: 0.75% (NZ)/0.00%-0.25% (US)
0.67625
RESISTANCE 0.67456
0.67195
0.66765
SUPPORT 0.66596
@researchvaf 0.66335
@rekhmen
BUY ---
SUGGESTION
SELL 0.6700
S/L 0.6715
0.6675
T/P:
0.6660
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21 Februari 2022
USD/CAD
Interest Rate: 0.00%-0.25% (US)/ 0.25% (CA)
1.28720
RESISTANCE 1.28150
1.27864
1.27008
SUPPORT 1.26438
1.26152
@researchvaf
@rekhmen BUY 1.2750
SELL ---
SUGGESTION S/L 1.2725
1.2785
T/P:
1.2810
EURJPY
Interest Rate: 0.00% (EU)/-0.1% (JP)
131.805
RESISTANCE 131.459
130.892
129.979
SUPPORT 129.633
129.066
@researchvaf
BUY ---
@rekhmen SUGGESTION
SELL 130.40
S/L 130.70
130.00
T/P:
129.70
FEBRUARY 2022
HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
131.897 (16/Feb) 130.035 (14/Feb) 133.142 (10/Feb) 128.859 (01/Feb) 133.142 (10/Feb) 128.238 (25/Jan)
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21 Februari 2022
GOLD (XAU/USD)
1919.86
RESISTANCE 1911.11
1903.95
1888.04
SUPPORT 1879.29
1872.13
@researchvaf
BUY 1895.00
@rekhmen SUGGESTION
SELL ---
S/L 1889.00
1904.00
T/P:
1910.00
SILVER – XAG/USD
24.486
RESISTANCE 24.275
24.082
23.678
SUPPORT 23.467
@researchvaf
23.274
@rekhmen
BUY 23.85
SUGGESTION
SELL ---
S/L 23.70
24.10
T/P:
24.25
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21 Februari 2022
95.54
RESISTANCE 93.30
91.93
88.32
SUPPORT 86.08
84.71
@researchvaf BUY ---
@rekhmen
SELL 90.70
SUGGESTION
S/L 91.70
89.30
T/P:
88.30
OPEN
DATE HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE CHANGE PREVIOUS
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21 Februari 2022
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