Proyeksi Kebutuhan Energi Listrik (2013-2022)

Provinsi Kalimantan Selatan

No. Tahun

GWh

Beban
Puncak
MW

Produksi

Produksi Energi
(GWh) Hit
Exp

Lin

Poly

Beban Puncak
(MW) Hit
Exp

Lin

Poly

Produksi Energi
(% Error)

Beban Puncak
(% Error)

Exp

Lin

Poly

Exp

Lin

Poly

2013

2403

406

2481.9 2397.9 2409.6 414.9

402.9 409.2

3.2

-0.2

0.3

2.2

-0.8

0.8

2014

2669

447

2664.2 2639.5 2643.4 442.4

438.5 440.6

-0.2

-1.1

-1.0

-1.0

-1.9

-1.5

2015

2886

476

2860.0 2881.1 2879.3 471.7

474.1 473.0

-0.9

-0.2

-0.2

-0.9

-0.4

-0.6

2016

3072

499

3070.1 3122.7 3117.0 502.9

509.7 506.5

-0.1

1.6

1.4

0.8

2.1

1.5

2017

3341

537

3295.7 3364.4 3356.7 536.2

545.3 541.1

-1.4

0.7

0.5

-0.2

1.5

0.7

2018

3624

580

3537.8 3606.0 3598.3 571.7

580.9 576.7

-2.4

-0.5

-0.7

-1.5

0.2

-0.6

2019

3855

615

3797.8 3847.6 3841.9 609.5

616.5 613.3

-1.5

-0.2

-0.3

-0.9

0.2

-0.3

2020

4102

654

4076.8 4089.2 4087.3 649.9

652.1 651.1

-0.6

-0.3

-0.4

-0.6

-0.3

-0.5

2021

4318

688

4376.3 4330.8 4334.7 692.9

687.7 689.8

1.3

0.3

0.4

0.7

0.0

0.3

10

2022

4582

729

4697.9 4572.4 4584.1 738.8

723.3 729.7

2.5

-0.2

0.0

1.3

-0.8

0.1

Kurva Produksi Energi dan Beban Puncak

y = 2312e0.0709x
R = 0.9929

Produksi (GWh)

y = 241.61x + 2156.3
R = 0.999
y = 0.9659x2 + 230.99x + 2177.6
R = 0.9991

5000
4500
4000
3500
3000

Produksi (GWh)

2500

Expon. (Produksi (GWh))

2000

Linear (Produksi (GWh))

1500

Poly. (Produksi (GWh))

1000
500
0
0

10

12

Beban Puncak (MW)

800

y = 389.16e0.0641x
R = 0.9962
y = 35.606x + 367.27
R = 0.9971

700

y = 0.5303x2 + 29.773x + 378.93

R = 0.9985

600
500

Beban Puncak (Mw)

400

Expon. (Beban Puncak (Mw))

Linear (Beban Puncak (Mw))

300

Poly. (Beban Puncak (Mw))

200
100
0
0

10

12